UPTHINKING FINANCE

Emerson Fersch
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A Podcast that offers a unique and discerning view of economics and financial planning Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state.

  1. 5D AGO

    The End of the Line

    I welcome back market analyst, former hedge fund manager, and author Alex Krainer to discuss the intersection of global finance, organized crime, and geopolitical intrigue. We explore headline-grabbing scandals like the Epstein list and their far-reaching implications on economic and political systems in the UK, Europe, and beyond. Alex breaks down the hidden machinations of money laundering, offshore banking, and the underbelly of globalized crime networks, connecting the dots between historical cover-ups, bank settlements, and power players in government and finance. The conversation also includes the collapse of public trust in institutions, the emergence of alternative power structures, and the underlying volatility in today’s markets. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...[00:00] The Epstein list's economic implications[04:18] Recent collapse of institutional credibility[14:07] Recent revelations led to high-profile downfalls[18:12] Money laundering, noise, and patterns[23:55] Organized crime's global impact[30:27] The American system vs. free trade[33:42] Markets signal instability amidst geopolitical turmoil[38:02] Stay grounded and rely on objective strategies[41:25] Keep an open mind, challenge assumptions The Epstein List Sends Shockwaves Through the EstablishmentThe Epstein list has dropped like a stone into the still water of public consciousness, sending ripples through the political, financial, and media classes. Alex discusses the direct connections between power players like Lord Peter Mandelson, the Rothschild family, and Jeffrey Epstein, framing this scandal as “a massive blow” to the legitimacy of Western governance, particularly in the UK and by extension, Europe. The unraveling of these connections is not just a matter of personal or political scandal—it strikes at the economic root, and could lead to total loss of credibility for the British ruling class, a phenomenon without real precedent in the age of instant, uncensored communication enabled by the internet and social media. Is Globalism Dead?The Davos conference earlier this year, according to Alex, may have marked a turning point. For decades, the British model of free trade—open markets, global flows of capital, labor, and goods—has reigned. The alternative, the so-called American system, is founded on tariffs, domestic market protection, and intentional reinvestment in national infrastructure and industry. Alex points out the historic resistance to this approach—most notably, how U.S. leaders promoting this system have met violent ends. The geopolitical reverberations are profound: if the legitimacy of Western financial and political systems collapses under the weight of scandal and crime, and the U.S. pivots inward, the world may be witnessing the death knell of globalism as we know it. Markets in the Eye of the Storm: How Should We Invest? So what are investors supposed to do in this environment? Alex stresses the importance of trend following as an investing philosophy—trusting in the wisdom of collective market movement, devoid of emotion or agenda. He suggests that the current environment, characterized by emotional, rapidly spiking (and suddenly crashing) markets, is not a time for prediction but for resilience and strategic positioning. The best anchors are clear personal goals and a strong spiritual foundation, which help investors weather storms no algorithm can forecast. The old narratives are crumbling, new challenges and opportunities are emerging, and the only certainty is that adaptability will be essential—in finance, in politics, and in life. Alex Krainer is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers. Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. Resources & People Mentioned Promethean Updates - YouTube Connect With Alex Krainer Krainer AnalyticsAlex Krainer on SubstackAlex Kranier on X Connect with Emerson Fersch Capital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    45 min

  2. JAN 30

    2026 Economic Forecast

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked We welcome back Julia C. Hermann, Global Market Strategist at New York Life Investments, for a wide-ranging conversation on the 2026 economic outlook. We’re discussing the key macro trends shaping the future, from the ongoing AI boom and its comparison to the dot-com era, to the Federal Reserve's policy moves, the impact of tariffs and inflation, and the fast-evolving global geopolitical landscape. Julia offers a balanced perspective, exploring why the current environment may feel at odds with headlines about global chaos, and how investors can think about risk, portfolio construction, and opportunities in this unique moment. The discussion covers everything from the intricacies of bond-market risks and Fed independence to energy markets, Japan’s financial experiment, and the emerging role of China on the world stage. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...03:34 Navigating global economic uncertainty.07:35 AI investment and tax incentives.11:17 Fed independence and Powell's influence.18:30 Inflation driven by housing costs.26:09 Global economies wrestle with debt.27:59 Japan's tenuous reflation experiment.33:01 Fed influence vs market rates.35:52 AI and US-China dynamics.38:12 Focus on diversification and quality. Is the AI Boom Hype or Here to Stay?Many are quick to compare today’s AI surge to the dot-com bubble of the late ‘90s. However, Julia draws a firm line between the two. In the dot-com era, overvaluation was driven by hope in unproven business models. This time, it’s established tech giants, think Magnificent Seven, NVIDIA, etc., that are at the forefront. The current rally is grounded in real earnings, not just speculative future growth. These companies are reinvesting 50-60% of operating cash flow into capital expenditures, especially in AI infrastructure. Plus, recent fiscal legislation, like the One Big Beautiful Bill, supercharges this by reintroducing immediate expensing of capital investment, encouraging more spending and innovation. That depth and durability make a near-term AI bubble burst unlikely. Inflation, Bond Markets, and the Limits of PredictionInflation fears remain front and center for many investors. Despite headlines and some price increases from tariffs and supply disruptions, the full picture is more complicated. Inflation is broader than goods alone, with shelter costs making up about 45% of the inflation basket and being the major story over the past year. Energy prices have actually provided relief, with increases in some goods more than offset elsewhere. When it comes to fixed income, Julia n remains cautious about “adding duration”, a stance held even as long-term rates surprised many by coming down during 2025. The Fed’s Role, Policy Independence, and Market CommunicationA change in Federal Reserve leadership doesn’t necessarily mean the end of balanced monetary policy. The Fed chair is influential, but decisions require consensus from the Federal Open Market Committee. What the chair does control, however, is messaging. Ever since Greenspan’s celebrity status and Bernanke's implementation of greater transparency, communication has become monetary policy’s second lever. Markets obsess over every word, precisely because perception is reality. As long as the Fed maintains credibility and independence, the machinery keeps humming even amidst leadership changes. Global GeopoliticsFrom Venezuela’s oil politics to Japan’s bond market dynamics, the global picture is far from simple. While headlines speculate about the impact of repatriating assets or local institutions being forced to buy domestic bonds (what’s known as “financial repression”), Julia provides some context: no single country, including major players like Japan or China, can destabilize U.S. Treasuries thanks to the depth and liquidity of American markets. While risks exist, global investors still see the U.S. market as the safest and most attractive port in any storm. Back to Basics for Portfolio ConstructionIn an age where hot trends often trump fundamentals, the long-neglected virtues of diversification and quality are back in style, a shift driven by the realities of a later-stage economic and credit cycle. As the world grows more complex, holistic, risk-managed approaches are once again proving their worth. Noise will always exist, and risk never disappears. But with a disciplined framework, an awareness of historical analogues, and a focus on fundamentals, investors can look toward 2026 with confidence and clarity. Julia Hermann is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers. Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. Resources MentionedJulia’s Podcast Connect With Julia HermannJulia C. Hermann on LinkedIn Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    42 min

  3. 12/12/2025

    Life Transitions: A Testimonial of Choice

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked  On the show this week, we’re exploring the real-life transitions and perspectives around retirement and life after work. In this episode, we’re joined by a diverse panel, Vicki Goodman, Darci Fersch, Cookie Talmage, Howard Lenoble, Joy Lunt, and Con Haffmans, who open up about their own journeys, challenges, and share their words of wisdom surrounding retirement. You’ll hear a spectrum of views: some embrace the idea of retirement, while others challenge its very concept, redefining it as a time for pursuing passions, creativity, or simply maintaining purpose. Whether it’s rediscovering music, running small businesses, volunteering, or savoring newfound freedom from alarm clocks, our guests share what brings meaning to their lives beyond careers. The conversation reflects on the emotional and practical sides of transition, highlighting the importance of financial planning, a supportive advisor, and, most importantly, a personal sense of fulfillment.  You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...[00:00] Embracing retirement your way.[03:59] Favorite things about retirement.[07:17] What our guests loved the most about their working life.[09:15] The motive to continue to work as you get older.[11:56] Struggles in downshifting routine and redefining achievement.[13:56] Advice for planning and thriving in retirement. When Endings Become New BeginningsAs Mr Rogers said, “Often when you think you’re at the end of something, you’re at the beginning of something else.” For many, retirement is seen as an “ending,” but for the guests on this episode, it’s just another beginning—one filled with self-discovery, purpose, and, most importantly, possibilities far beyond simply not working. Challenging the Traditional Narrative of RetirementThe discussion opens with candid admissions: Vicki Goodman always expected retirement, but didn’t plan to do it so early; Darci Fersch isn’t a fan of the concept or even the word “retirement”; and Cookie Talmage asks, “Why do I need to retire?” These initial reactions highlight a universal truth: the transition away from a traditional career is deeply personal and often full of mixed emotions. Instead of following a prescribed blueprint, the guests reveal the diverse ways in which they approach this transition. Howard Lenoble anticipated retirement as a goal, but also questioned whether it was truly attainable or even desirable. Con Haffmans, still not fully retired, laughs about working harder now than ever before, caring for horses, but finds his joy in this hard work rather than escaping from it. Purpose Over PassivitySeveral guests stress that retirement isn’t about abandoning productivity. Vicki Goodman delights in the absence of an alarm clock and the freedom of mornings spent with coffee and Wordle, while Howard Lenoble revisits old passions like playing in bands, enriching his life, and even generating new income streams. Both emphasize a shift from obligation-driven schedules to self-defined, passion-fueled days. Darci Fersch reflects that control over your own time—the ability to choose where and how to spend it—is the most cherished part of post-career life. Even though she left her job at the top of her game, her move was driven by a desire to be more present with her family and more engaged in her personal interests. The Rewards of Staying EngagedRetirement, the guests agree, is more fulfilling when you pursue what you love. For Con Haffmans, that means life around horses, not financial investments. Even though his cowboy chapter was the worst financial choice, it was the happiest period of his life. Joy Lunt and Cookie Talmage see their ongoing work as a source of purpose, joy, and meaningful relationships; they aren’t ready to put away the satisfaction they get from helping others or mentoring younger colleagues. Rather than becoming “professional spectators,” as Con Haffmans warns, staying engaged—whether through hobbies, side businesses, volunteerism, or creative pursuits—enriches retirement far more than endless leisure. Not Just Financial PlanningWhile financial readiness is crucial, most guests mention the need for a life plan. Cookie Talmage advises considering where and how you want to live, while Howard Lenoble recommends thinking about passions you want to pursue. Vicki Goodman discusses why those without outside interests may struggle most with the transition and the sudden abundance of unstructured time. Con Haffmans cautions against drifting into inactivity and just sitting down and watching other people live life, he firmly advocates for staying curious, involved, and committed to personal growth, regardless of age. The collective wisdom is simple but powerful: There’s no single path through retirement. Whether driven by passion, the desire for flexibility, or a yearning to give back, the most rewarding retirements are those lived intentionally and authentically. As Darci Fersch puts it, “Pick your own path and live the life that you want. Don’t wait.” Retirement isn’t just the end of work—it’s the beginning of living on your terms. Guests are not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers. Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state.  Resources & People MentionedDarci FerschVicki GoodmanCon HaffmansHoward LeNobleCookie Talmage Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    24 min

  4. 11/28/2025

    An update on Energy Infrastructure

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked Is the energy transition really leaving oil and gas behind, or is the story more complicated? In this episode, Emerson sits down with Simon Lack, CFA, Managing Partner at SL Advisors and veteran of more than four decades in investment management, to unpack what is actually happening inside the midstream energy space. Simon draws on his experience as an investor, author, and board member of the CFA Society in Naples, Florida to walk through the history of MLPs, the painful reset after 2014, and why he believes natural gas and energy infrastructure are positioned to be long term winners in a world hungry for power, data, and reliability.  You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in... Why energy infrastructure still matters for retirement income (00:00)The shale revolution, overbuilding, stranded assets, and the downturn into 2015 (05:00)Three major headwinds, energy transition fears, overbuild, and the pandemic washout (11:30)Why Simon prefers natural gas over oil and why coal to gas was the real emissions win (15:00)LNG exports, global gas price gaps, and America’s edge in cheap energy (19:00)AI, data centers, and why 24/7 power demand points straight back to natural gas (23:00)Pipelines as toll roads, inflation linkage through regulated tariffs, and protecting purchasing power (34:00)The limits of solar and wind, the case for nuclear, and the reality of global energy demand (39:00)EVs, range anxiety, and why the United States is a tough market for full electrification (43:00)Simon’s philosophy for owning midstream as a long term income and value play (46:00)How an FX and hedge fund background led Simon into the midstream energy niche (47:30) From Rollercoaster To Reset: What Really Happened In MidstreamSimon walks through the origin story of MLPs in the late 1980s, explaining how tax advantaged structures attracted high net worth investors who were comfortable with K-1s in exchange for deferred income. That calm income story changed with the shale revolution. Rapid investment, overbuilding, and the emergence of stranded or underutilized assets pushed the sector into an extended downturn starting around 2014. Kinder Morgan’s decision to cut distributions and then restructure its GP and MLP entities became a turning point. Many long time income investors faced both reduced cash flow and unexpected tax bills, leaving them frustrated and reluctant to come back. Over time, many MLPs converted to corporations, widened their investor base, and rethought how growth should be funded. Simon also highlights one underappreciated culprit in the 2020 crash, heavily leveraged closed end MLP funds that were forced to liquidate in March 2020, pushing prices far below what underlying cash flows justified. The upside, in his view, is that the weakest hands and structures have already been washed out of the system. Why Natural Gas, LNG, And AI Make Midstream So InterestingLooking forward, Simon makes a clear distinction between oil and natural gas. Oil, he notes, is mainly a transportation fuel and subject to policy swings. Gas is different. It is difficult and expensive to move, which means infrastructure assets that move it are often backed by long term, take-or-pay style contracts and relatively visible cash flows. He points out that the biggest real “energy transition” in the United States has already happened quietly. Shifting from coal to natural gas has reduced emissions meaningfully while keeping power reliable and affordable. At the same time, America’s gas is far cheaper than in Europe or Asia, which sets the stage for robust LNG exports for years to come. Layered on top of LNG is the AI and data center build out. Data centers need power nearly 100 percent of the time, not 20 to 35 percent of the time like wind and solar. In Simon’s view, that reliability requirement makes gas fired generation a natural partner for AI growth. For midstream companies that move and process gas, that means decades of potential volume growth tied to two powerful drivers, export demand and compute demand. He also reminds listeners that much of midstream EBITDA is explicitly linked to the Producer Price Index through FERC regulated tariffs. That gives many pipelines built in inflation protection and can help long term investors protect purchasing power when inflation runs structurally above the old 2 percent target. A Cleaner Balance Sheet And A Simpler Investment CaseOne of Simon’s key messages is that the sector today is not the same as it was a decade ago. Leverage has come down from four to five times debt to EBITDA to closer to three to three and a half times. Growth projects are more disciplined and are often funded internally rather than through constant equity issuance. Many companies now combine attractive distributions with share buybacks and a self financing capital model. He also emphasizes that midstream has finally broken its unhealthy day to day correlation with crude oil prices. Pipelines are paid on volumes and contracts, not commodity prices, and recent years have shown that performance can be strong even when oil prices are weak. For investors, Simon frames midstream as a way to get paid to wait. You own real assets that help keep the modern economy running, you collect a meaningful income stream, and you participate in long term growth driven by LNG and data centers. His own approach is deliberately straightforward, no leverage, no trading, no derivatives, simply owning what he believes are durable businesses for a long time. Connect With Simon LackSimon Lack Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    49 min

  5. 10/09/2025

    State of the World

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked In this episode of Upthinking Finance, we’re joined by returning guest Alex Krainer, a former hedge fund manager, market analyst, and outspoken commentator on global affairs, who shares candid perspectives on looming global tensions and his personal mission to help others understand the forces shaping our economic and political landscape. We discuss the fragility of current international alliances, the unraveling of the European Union, the global “darkness before the dawn”, from the U.S.-Russia relationship to the mechanics of debt-driven economies, and the importance of grassroots businesses in restoring prosperity. This episode isn’t just about finance; it’s about the real human impact of policy, war, and change. Tune in for a candid, global view that connects the dots between the news, the markets, and everyday life. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...Embracing humility in trend following (03:38)Is the EU on life support? (08:19)Socio-political unrest in Europe with real-world examples (16:22)Europe vs. United States political dynamics (20:11)Trump's global vs. domestic stance (27:07)Central Bank's impact on stocks (35:50)How to revive American industry (42:32) Europe’s Unraveling: The End of an Era?One of the most provocative ideas explored is the potential collapse of the European Union. Alex characterizes the EU’s current condition as “the dying phase,” likening its centralized, unaccountable bureaucracy to a modern-day Soviet Union. The EU’s decision-making, he argues, has become increasingly detached from the will of European citizens; key policies are often dictated by unelected officials, who frequently prioritize the interests of corporate lobbyists over those of the public. He points to rising grassroots movements across the continent, sovereignist parties, mass marches, and political crises as evidence that Europeans are waking up to policies they view as anti-human and destructive to communities. From controversial migration policies in Croatia to aggressive agricultural reforms that harm local farmers, the sense of crisis is palpable. Craner is blunt: if institutional avenues for change are blocked, social upheaval and even violence become a real risk, drawing a direct historical parallel to the French Revolution. Despite this bleak outlook, he believes that this time, there is an alternative: stronger ties with Russia and China and potential participation in new economic and security alliances (like BRICS and the Belt and Road Initiative). This eastward shift could, in theory, offer Europe a lifeline beyond its current structures. U.S. - Russia RapprochementThere is a bright spot in Alex’s analysis. He sees the recent normalization of relations between the United States and Russia, under a renewed Trump administration, in his view, as one of the most hopeful developments in recent years. Given the nuclear capabilities of both countries, dialogue is essential, and Alex credits Trump with taking a decisive step back from the brink of large-scale conflict. While European prospects are fraught, Alex sees the United States’ federal structure, armed citizenry, and local systems of accountability as reasons to believe America might weather the coming turbulence with more resilience, possibly achieving a “soft landing” as opposed to the “depression” he fears for Europe. Debt, Markets, and Monetary ReformAlex argues that central banks, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve, are the primary force moving markets. As long as they continue quantitative easing and inject liquidity, assets will inflate. However, this “solution” risks runaway price inflation, eating away at real wealth even as markets hit record highs. The sheer scale of public and private debt makes eventual systemic reform unavoidable. No tweak to central bank policy will solve problems rooted in a credit market debt approaching $110 trillion in the U.S. alone. Alex foresees the need for a complete overhaul: a return to a banking system that supports local businesses, entrepreneurs, and the middle class, restoring genuine economic dynamism. While the road ahead is undeniably fraught, Alex believes that deep systemic change, both political and financial, is necessary. Whether that change comes peacefully or through upheaval remains to be seen. But as both Europe and the U.S. stand at historic crossroads, the seeds of renewal may yet be sown in these turbulent times. Alex Krainer is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers. Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state.  Resources & People MentionedNick Murray  Connect With Alex KrainerAlex Krainer on LinkedIn   Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    50 min

  6. 09/19/2025

    The Psychology of Retirement

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked Most retirement planning tends to focus on the financial side, but on this episode of Upthinking Finance™, we welcome Dr. Sara Yogev, clinical psychologist and author of “A Couple’s Guide to Happy Retirement and Aging.” We’re digging into the often-overlooked emotional and psychological aspects of transitioning into retirement. Drawing on over 30 years of experience, Dr. Yogev unpacks why psychological preparation is just as important as financial security, and sometimes even more challenging. We explore why retirement represents one of life’s biggest transitions, the stages most people experience, and the surprises that can catch even the most financially savvy off guard. Dr. Yogev offers practical advice on how to mentally prepare for retirement, maintain purpose and connection, establish a routine that brings true satisfaction, and navigate changes within relationships. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...Feeling inadequate without a career identity [06:40]Focus on increasing "joy span" for successful aging and retirement [11:48]Diversify your social portfolio [16:01]How to balance time alone, together as a couple, and with family [18:16]Be adaptable and open to change in family connections and expectations [21:59]Harmonizing post-retirement relationships [27:52]Gradually incorporate big changes, like relocating for a smoother transition [35:10]Retirement requires more mental as well as financial preparation [39:09] Preparing for the Psychological Transition to RetirementMost financial conversations about retirement revolve around money—accumulating enough savings, securing income, and ensuring a comfortable lifestyle. Yet, as Dr. Sara Yogev, clinical psychologist and author of “A Couple’s Guide to Happy Retirement and Aging”, points out, there’s a world beyond spreadsheets and investment portfolios. The emotional, mental, and relational challenges that come with stepping out of the workforce are just as critical to address as the financial ones. People really neglect psychological planning and preparation for retirement. They think, “Oh, if I have enough money, it’s fine.” But considering that retirement can last anywhere from one-third to one-fourth of your life, ignoring the psychological aspects can lead to dissatisfaction and discord—even for those who are financially secure. Navigating the Emotional LandscapeRetirement, like any major life transition, comes in stages. The initial honeymoon phase can last from six months to two years before giving way to a stage of disenchantment. Here, retirees might grapple with the loss of work-based identity and purpose. For many, professional life was more than a source of income—it was a wellspring of meaning, structure, and community. And when these roles fall away, so too can one’s sense of self. Work often defines who we are. It’s our identity, a way to feel useful and productive, and effective. And when that is gone, how do you replace it? Preparing emotionally for retirement, therefore, is about more than intellectual awareness that change is coming; it's about proactive exploration of what brings satisfaction, joy, and connection outside of one’s career. Creating Your New Routine and IdentityOne of Dr. Yogev’s central recommendations is for pre-retirees to spend time thinking about their future lives in greater detail: “What’s my day, what’s my week, what’s my month, what’s my year going to look like?” Constructing a satisfying routine is crucial for well-being. This might mean reengaging with hobbies or volunteering for causes close to your heart. She introduces the concept of “joyspan”—the idea of focusing not just on longevity, but on maximizing the time spent in contentment and fulfillment. Engage in activities that give you satisfaction regardless of the outcome. Even if you’re not going to become a concert pianist, you might still find deep joy in learning to play for your own enjoyment. Purpose, too, is a key ingredient in successful aging. Studies have shown that people with a sense of purpose live longer and happier. For some, this means giving back or deepening skills; for others, it may simply be about staying curious and engaged. Relationships, Routines, and the New Dynamics of HomeRetirement doesn’t just affect the individual; it reshapes couple dynamics, friendships, and family ties. Dr. Yogev highlights three main areas where friction often arises for couples: time together versus apart, division of household labor, and money management. Couples who looked forward to spending time together might find their expectations suddenly out of sync, leading to misunderstandings or even the phenomenon known in Japan as “retired husband syndrome.”  Friendships, too, can shift as colleagues fade from the picture and adult children and grandchildren’s lives grow busier. Dr. Yogev stresses the importance of diversifying your “social portfolio” and remaining open to new connections, activities, and even living arrangements, such as trying out a new city for an extended stay before a full relocation. A successful retirement is as much a psychological and relational journey as a financial one. By preparing emotionally, staying open to growth, nurturing relationships, and crafting satisfying routines, you can enter retirement not just with security, but with vitality and meaning. Dr. Sara Yogev is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers. Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state.  Resources & People Mentioned A Couple’s Guide to Happy Retirement and Aging by Dr. Sara Yogev Jim Rohn Dr. Kerry Burnight  Connect With Dr. Sara YogevSara Yogev, PhD  Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    42 min

  7. 08/15/2025

    The Latest on CBDCs and Digital ID

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked Melissa Ciummei, an independent investor and researcher in Northern Ireland, joins us on Upthinking Finance™ to take a global look at the rapidly evolving world of digital currencies, digital IDs, and the shifting economic landscape. We discuss the push for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) in the EU, UK, and US, explaining how digital identity is becoming an essential precursor for programmable money and increased financial oversight. The discussion digs into the societal impacts of these technologies, exploring everything from privacy concerns and geopolitical pressures to generational shifts in values and the consequences of ever-growing inequality. Whether you’re curious about the politicized rollouts of stablecoins, the quiet move toward digital surveillance, or you want to understand how new technologies are reshaping money, this episode gives you a nuanced perspective on the future of finance and the growing importance of community involvement in shaping that future. Join us for an eye-opening conversation that connects the dots between economic policy, digital innovation, and the real-life consequences for individuals and society at large. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...Digital ID: Foundation before CBDCs [00:00]EU tensions and trade challenges [06:14]Why Melissa sees geopolitical and economic tensions rising [07:30]Why Digital ID adoption in the US is limited and the focus is on currency [13:23]Travel fast pass solutions and the impact of using biometrics to skip the line [16:35]Gold's quiet role in finance [27:16]Homeownership challenges for younger generations [29:47]Hackers pose risks, and laws are outdated [36:01]An example of how community dynamics are changing local politics [44:50] The Rise of Programmable Money and Digital IdentificationAs the world moves deeper into the digital age, few topics spark more concern or confusion than the twin emergence of programmable money and digital ID systems. But these technological frameworks threaten the autonomy and privacy traditionally associated with money and identity. At the heart of the discussion was the evolution from fiat currency, where some level of anonymity is preserved, to digital currencies tethered to the state and tech platforms. Melissa highlights that programmable money would be the most dominant thing that people need to think about when considering CBDC. Once financial and identity data converge, possibilities for control, whether for taxation, surveillance, or social engineering, multiply rapidly. A Fragmented Push Toward the Digital FutureThe EU is leading the charge to implement digital ID and currency. However, this technocratic race collides with real-time social resistance, especially spiraling around immigration and cultural integration. Melissa describes a backlash in places like Poland, Ireland, and the UK, where citizens increasingly question the motives behind digital migration controls and see digital ID as a tool of exclusion rather than inclusion.  Turning to the U.S., the conversation covered whether states’ rights and American federal diversity provide meaningful protection against the encroachment of digital money and ID versus the EU’s top-down approach. Initiatives like Real ID and mobile driver’s licenses represent “function creep”: stepwise moves that make opting out of digital surveillance increasingly inconvenient. Melissa gives a real-world example from airports, where facial recognition and biometric fast-tracking nudge even skeptical travelers into compliance. Seamless travel or instant payments are the carrot, but gradual loss of privacy and agency is the stick. The Looming Economic ShiftA key issue threaded through the discussion was whether these advances are responses to deeper economic failures, particularly ballooning government debt and the exhaustion of the fiat system. The introduction of stablecoins, programmable welfare, and tax rails may patch over cracks, but don’t address underlying imbalances and inflation, increasing inequality, and public alienation are likely to surge. Despite the daunting picture, the hosts find genuine optimism in the values and behaviors of younger generations. As Melissa puts it, “this generation…they’re not falling for the shiny things…they’re quite difficult then to control.” For many, authenticity, community, and local engagement trump material consumption and blind trust in institutions. Genuine change starts not with global technocrats but in town councils and neighborhood coalitions. Small-scale resistance and collective creativity, rather than mass compliance or digital acquiescence, may yet offer a route to a more humane social contract. The journey toward digital currencies and identity systems is about more than technology; it’s about who holds power, how social contracts are rewritten, and what futures we’re willing to trade for convenience.  Resources & People MentionedMoney: Whence It Came, Where It Went by John Kenneth Galbraith  Connect With Melissa CiummeiMelissa Ciummei on X  Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

    49 min

  8. 07/18/2025

    Mid-Year Update: Perception vs Reality

    Upthinking Finance™ is now trademarked  Today's guest is Kristian Kerr, who is the head of macro Strategy at LPL Finance. Before joining LPL, he was the Western region head of foreign exchange and macro at City Private Bank. Before that, he spent a number of years in New York as a global hedge fund manager and is also head of various strategy and trading roles at other global financial institutions.  Kristian believes investment strategy should be both data-driven and guided by human expertise. He says that this balance creates a more dynamic, flexible, and effective investment process that aims to deliver better long-term results. He shares his views on how investors should handle the changing market. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...Welcome to Upthinking Finance (00:00)Kristian shares his process as an advisor (01:20)The challenge of managing more risk, post 2020 (05:30)Market correlations changing, impact on portfolio development (09:15)How geopolitics impact market trends (21:20)How investing has changed in the past decade (26:10)What's the value of trend following strategies? (28:00)How to respond to someone who thinks the financial market will end (35:35) Kristian Shares His Investment ProcessAs Head of Macro Strategy at LPL, Kristian is responsible for leading the firm’s global investment team, which includes 11 senior research members. They meet weekly to define LPL’s overall investment strategy and provide top-down guidance for managing approximately $85 billion across separately managed accounts (SMAs) and model portfolios. He shares that they use a hybrid investment framework that combines: Quantitative (systematic) analysis to efficiently process data, reduce bias, and ensure consistency, and Qualitative (discretionary) insight from experienced professionals to account for factors that can’t be captured by models alone. Managing More Market Risks Kristian shares how different clients have different levels of awareness about risk, and how portfolio managers often need to manage risk that clients might not even realize exists. This is especially true in today’s uncertain environment, which is much more complex than it was 10 years ago. A few of the modern risks include that the standard 60/40 investment strategies are less reliable, the U.S. dollar is at a pivotal point based on its value, and there is financial repression from government strategies at play in the current market.  To manage both visible and hidden risks for clients, Kristian explains that adapting happens by incorporating less correlated, alternative assets to build “all-weather” portfolios that can hold up in a wide range of market conditions. A Diverse PortfolioKristian values trend-following strategies as a critical part of a diversified portfolio, especially when paired with traditional assets like stocks and bonds. These strategies shine during extended market downturns (like in 2022), offering protection when equities are struggling. While they may underperform during short-term market bounces, that's expected as their role is to protect during prolonged stress, not quick dips. Kristian emphasizes using a “barbell” approach, combining growth-oriented assets with defensive strategies, and highlights the importance of building a toolkit of diversifiers (like long-volatility) to navigate different market regimes and support long-term compounding. Connect With Kristian KerrKristian Kerr Connect with Emerson FerschCapital Investment AdvisersOn LinkedIn Subscribe to Upthinking Finance Audio Production and Show Notes by - PODCAST FAST TRACK

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A Podcast that offers a unique and discerning view of economics and financial planning Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC. The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state.

Information

  • Creator
    Emerson Fersch
  • Years Active
    2022 - 2026
  • Episodes
    80
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Copyright 2026 Emerson Fersch
  • Show Website
    UPTHINKING FINANCE