Welcome to episode number four of our series called “One O One VENTURE CAPITAL CORE PRINCIPLES FOR NEW LPs, WILLING TO UNDERSTAND HOW VC REALLY WORKS”… Today we’re going to explore four new core principles: Number 13: If a company runs, VCs must have strong ownership, a small investment of $1 million in a large fund is insufficient… Number 14: Internal data at VC firms shows that consensus versus non-consensus decisions does not matter at all… Number 15: The presence of conviction is the only factor that matters… Number 16: If every partner rates an investment a “six” (on a 0 to 10 scale), the investment should probably not be made because it is consensus without conviction. Let’s dig in… First: Ownership Must Be Meaningful.. When a company becomes a 100x outlier, a token-sized investment returns almost nothing to the fund as a whole, making meaningful ownership a prerequisite for LP impact. Founders Fund exemplified this by placing 33% of its third fund into Palantir and 20% of a $500 million fund into Airbnb, ultimately holding 12.7% of Palantir at IPO worth ~$1.4 billion and 5.5% of Airbnb worth ~$5.5 billion, stakes only possible because of concentrated, conviction-sized positions, not safe $1 million diversification checks... Consensus vs. Non-Consensus Is Irrelevant.. Internal data from top VC firms consistently shows that whether a deal is consensus or non-consensus within a partnership has no predictive power over returns; the deciding variable lies elsewhere. Cambridge Associates research confirms this: the investments that generated the most exceptional returns were often those that initially struggled to attract investor interest, while Correlation Ventures found that non-consensus bets produce 3–5x higher returns than consensus deals, not because being contrarian is inherently virtuous, but because consensus deals are already priced to consensus... Conviction Is the Only Factor.. What actually separates winning investments from mediocre ones is the depth of a single partner’s conviction, even when peers disagree. Peter Thiel’s $500,000 Facebook investment in 2004 as the company’s first outside backer, made when the product was dismissed as a college social network with no clear business model, turned into over $1 billion, not because the deal was consensus, but because Thiel had absolute conviction in Zuckerberg’s capacity to build an enduring platform.. The “Six” Is a Trap.. A deal where every partner rates it a six is the most dangerous kind: it clears every internal threshold while belonging to no one, generating no single champion willing to fight for it under adversity. SoftBank’s Vision Fund demonstrated this at scale, dozens of investments made on broad market consensus and trend-chasing rather than deep partner conviction, producing catastrophic losses in WeWork ($47 billion valuation to bankruptcy), Oyo, and Katerra, precisely because the conviction required to stress-test assumptions had been replaced by collective comfort…Stay tuned for our next episode, and meanwhile, you can reach out to us, Vertices Capital, on our website: vertices.vc. Thank you for listening. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit verticescapital.substack.com