Nobody Knows Anything

Narrowcast Media

Rob Flaherty and Jesse Lehrich, both veterans of Presidential campaigns, host a twice weekly live show about the news, politics, and our stupid, broken political system. An insiders show for outsiders, they'll look at the polling, prediction markets, and DC conventional wisdom about who's wrong (and it will often be them).  It's a show for people who love politics but hate themselves.  Coming April 12th, new episodes on Monday and Friday mornings. 

  1. 1 day ago

    Zohran's Pollster tells us whether polls are broken

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse unpack the latest Democratic primary fallout in Wisconsin and Michigan, the growing political fight over data centers and AI, and what these battles could reveal about where voters are headed in the 2026 midterms. They break down the aftermath of Wisconsin’s razor-thin primary, the role of late-deciding voters, and why Democrats and Republicans alike are suddenly scrambling to take an anti-data-center position. From there, they turn to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the extraordinary amount of attention surrounding her, from her decision to publicly document her egg-freezing journey to the backlash over her comments about “woke” politics. They discuss AOC’s unusually direct relationship with voters, why her authenticity continues to set her apart from other politicians, and whether she is prepared to handle the intense spotlight of a potential 2028 presidential campaign.  The episode then takes a deep dive into the state of political polling with Jane Rayburn, principal and co-founder of Workbench Strategy and a pollster for Zohran Mamdani. Rayburn explains what really happened with the recent polling in Wisconsin and Michigan, whether the polls were actually “wrong,” how late-deciding voters can reshape a race, and why public polling and internal campaign polling serve very different purposes. Finally, Rayburn shares lessons from Mamdani’s campaign, including how the campaign used polling to identify and mobilize key groups of voters, why affordability needs to be more than just a Democratic buzzword, and what Democrats and progressives can learn from Mamdani’s focus on concrete policies, constituent service, and communicating a clear vision for government. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  2. 6 days ago

    Wisconsin’s Shocking Upset. (LIVE with Holly Otterbein, Sam Cornale, Quentin Fulks and more)

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse stay up late for an absolutely chaotic night of Democratic primary results, breaking down David Crowley’s stunning upset over Francesca Hong in Wisconsin and what the race reveals about the fight between progressives and the Democratic establishment. With Wisconsin’s returns coming in slowly and the outcome swinging wildly by the minute, they unpack the polling misses, Tony Evers’ late endorsement of Crowley, Hong’s campaign strategy, the impact of the data-center issue, and why the state’s Democratic electorate proved so difficult to predict. They also look beyond Wisconsin, discussing Peggy Flanagan’s Minnesota primary win, Luke Bronin’s defeat of longtime incumbent John Larson in Connecticut, and the broader anti-establishment and generational-change forces reshaping Democratic primaries. Along the way, they debate what “electability” really means, whether Democrats are too quick to label candidates as establishment or unelectable, and how campaigns should balance grassroots organizing, paid media, persuasion and turnout. The conversation then turns to Abdul El-Sayed’s Michigan victory and what his performance could mean for AOC, the future of progressive politics, and the 2028 presidential race. They examine whether candidates on the left can win in swing states, how progressives need to adapt outside places like New York and California, and why communication, coalition-building and electability may matter more than ideological labels. Finally, they dig into the Democratic coalition itself, including the role of Black voters, young voters and college-educated voters, before the night descends into election-night chaos involving recount rules, missing USB drives, delayed Milwaukee results, and the very real question of whether anyone will ever get to bed. Through it all, the hosts are joined by Holly Otterbein, Sam Cornale, Quentin Fulks, Dan Kanninen, Devin Remiker and Addisu Demissie for a behind-the-scenes look at one of the strangest primary nights of the cycle. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  3. 10 Aug

    Voice Note: Jesse on the Michigan Primary Fall Out

    Jesse looks ahead to another big night of primary results while taking stock of where the Democratic Party stands after Abdul El-Sayed’s stunning Michigan Senate primary victory. After a bruising campaign, El-Sayed is getting an increasingly unified show of support from across the Democratic coalition, with Haley Stevens, Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, and others helping rally behind his general election campaign. But Jesse asks whether El-Sayed has learned the right lessons from his unexpectedly narrow victory—and whether his shift toward a more welcoming, big-tent message can help Democrats hold together heading into November. He also breaks down the Republican response to El-Sayed, including what he describes as an overtly racist campaign focused on his Muslim identity, and why that attack could ultimately help bring Democrats and the broader progressive coalition together behind him. The conversation then turns to one of the most unexpected political issues emerging from this year's primaries: data centers. From Michigan's 7th District to Kansas and Wisconsin, opposition to data center development has become a surprisingly powerful grassroots issue, helping progressive candidates defeat well-funded establishment-backed opponents and reshape Democratic primaries. Finally, Jesse previews the races to watch on the upcoming Election Night Live, including the South Carolina Senate special primary to replace Lindsey Graham, the Minnesota Senate showdown between Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig, the bizarre Minnesota governor's race involving Mike Lindell, and Francesca Hong's closely watched Wisconsin gubernatorial primary. With establishment Democrats increasingly nervous about the direction of the party—and candidates discovering new ways to build grassroots momentum—the next round of primaries could offer another revealing look at where Democrats are headed. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  4. 5 Aug

    Abdul wins. Barely. Here’s how and why. (LIVE with Lauren Hitt, Caitlin Legacki, Liam Donovan and more)

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse go live throughout one of the biggest Democratic primary nights of the year, reacting in real time as results roll in from Michigan's high-stakes Senate race. With Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens locked in a closely watched contest, they break down what the results could mean not only for Michigan, but for the future direction of the Democratic Party. Joined by an all-star lineup of guests—including former AOC communications director Lauren Hitt, former Haley Stevens advisor Caitlin Legacki, Republican strategist Liam Donovan, journalists, campaign operatives, and voices live from Abdul El-Sayed's victory party—the conversation explores whether progressives are reshaping the Democratic coalition, how campaigns are evolving in the social media era, and why authenticity, online messaging, and grassroots organizing have become just as important as traditional political strategy. Along the way, they discuss the battle between the Democratic establishment and the party's progressive wing, what El-Sayed's victory means for Democrats heading into the general election, the future of Michigan politics, and why this primary could have major implications for the road to 2028. As results continue to unfold live on air, the panel also examines key House races, party unity, the changing role of political communication, and what both Democrats and Republicans can learn from one of the most consequential election nights of the cycle. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  5. 3 Aug

    Politico’s Adam Wren: Inside the Michigan Senate Showdown

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse are joined by POLITICO's Adam Wren to break down one of the most closely watched Democratic primaries in the country: Michigan. They dive into the increasingly bitter showdown between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens, discuss the role of AIPAC and outside spending in shaping the race, and explore what the outcome could mean for the future of the Democratic Party. They also examine whether El-Sayed's populist campaign can translate into success in a general election and what the primary reveals about the growing divide between progressives and the Democratic establishment. The conversation then shifts to Senator Elissa Slotkin, as Adam shares insights from his reporting on her growing national profile and whether she's quietly laying the groundwork for a 2028 presidential campaign. They discuss Slotkin's strategy for rebuilding the Democratic coalition, her outreach to swing-state voters, and why many believe she's positioning herself as one of the party's most influential voices heading into the next presidential cycle. Later in the episode, Rob and Jesse react to the latest developments surrounding Congressman Max Miller, including the fallout from domestic abuse allegations and the political pressure surrounding his future. They also discuss Donald Trump's latest controversies, the ongoing debate over government accountability, and wrap up with another edition of Stock Up, Stock Down, covering everything from Andy Beshear's recent political momentum to Sam Altman's latest vision for AI-powered parenting. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  6. 30 July

    THE AI DOOM EPISODE: What’s a Hugging Face and what’s the future? (With Jeffrey Ladish and Alex Bores)

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse unpack the growing turmoil inside the Democratic National Committee, examining Ken Martin's leadership, the party's fundraising struggles, and why the DNC's internal chaos could have major consequences heading into the 2028 election. They also break down the newly unveiled Democratic primary calendar, debating whether the changes create a fairer path to the nomination—or make it even harder for outsider candidates to compete. Later, the conversation turns to the disturbing allegations against Congressman Max Miller and what the response says about accountability in American politics. Then the show welcomes AI safety researcher Jeffrey Ladish from Palisade Research for a fascinating deep dive into OpenAI's recent AI security incident involving Hugging Face. Jeffrey explains what actually happened, why AI systems are beginning to exhibit increasingly concerning behaviors, and what this could mean for cybersecurity, elections, and the future of artificial intelligence if development continues to outpace oversight. Finally, Rob and Jesse are joined by Alex Bores to reflect on his recent New York race, discuss what he learned on the campaign trail, and explore the broader lessons for Democrats navigating an increasingly unpredictable political landscape. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  7. 27 July

    Can Democrats Flip the Senate? Inside the 2026 Battleground Map (with Senate Majority PAC's Lauren French)

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Jesse is joined by Lauren French, Communications Director at Senate Majority PAC, for a deep dive into the battle for control of the U.S. Senate with just 100 days until Election Day. Together, they break down the rapidly shifting Senate map, discuss why Democrats are suddenly competitive in states that once looked out of reach, and examine where the party is investing millions of dollars in its fight to win back the majority. They take a state-by-state look at the biggest battlegrounds - including Ohio, Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, and Michigan - discussing candidate strengths and weaknesses, campaign strategy, fundraising, polling, and the messaging Democrats believe will resonate most with voters. Along the way, they analyze the challenges facing key Republican incumbents, how Democratic campaigns are adapting to changing political conditions, and what could ultimately decide some of the closest races in the country. The conversation also explores the broader political landscape, including how Democrats are responding to Republican attacks branding the party as "socialist," why economic issues continue to dominate voter concerns, and how campaign messaging has evolved heading into the final stretch of the election. Lauren shares an inside look at how Senate Majority PAC prioritizes its investments, what factors determine where resources are spent, and why the road to a Senate majority may run through some of America's reddest states. Whether you're following the biggest races of 2026 or simply want an insider's perspective on the strategies shaping Election Day, this episode offers an in-depth look at one of the most consequential Senate maps in recent history. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

  8. 23 July

    Can Republicans simply buy the midterm? Why their cash advantage matters… (With Peter Hamby)

    Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse are joined by Peter Hamby of Puck to break down the biggest stories shaping Democratic politics and media. They kick things off by exploring the rise of the Democratic YouTube ecosystem, discussing how creators like Brian Tyler Cohen, MeidasTouch, and other digital-first personalities are reshaping political messaging, why traditional media is struggling to keep up, and what it takes to build an audience in today's attention economy. From there, they turn to the Democratic National Committee, unpacking Ken Martin's fundraising challenges, the growing gap between Democratic and Republican campaign infrastructure, and whether the DNC is equipped to compete heading into the 2026 midterms. They debate the party's messaging strategy, donor confidence, and why grassroots enthusiasm doesn't always translate into organizational strength. The conversation then shifts to one of the most closely watched races in the country: Michigan's Democratic Senate primary. Jesse, Rob, and Peter examine the increasingly bitter showdown between Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed, the role of Gaza, progressive politics, electability, and identity in the race, and why the outcome could have major implications for the future direction of the Democratic Party. Finally, they discuss Senator Mark Kelly's growing national profile, the challenges facing Democrats in key Senate races, and what the party's biggest primary battles reveal about where Democrats are headed as the fight for 2026 continues. Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram.  Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter  Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf

Trailer

About

Rob Flaherty and Jesse Lehrich, both veterans of Presidential campaigns, host a twice weekly live show about the news, politics, and our stupid, broken political system. An insiders show for outsiders, they'll look at the polling, prediction markets, and DC conventional wisdom about who's wrong (and it will often be them).  It's a show for people who love politics but hate themselves.  Coming April 12th, new episodes on Monday and Friday mornings. 

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