The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts
  • 4.7 (12)
  • Business News
  • Updated Daily

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

  1. 1 hr ago

    6-25-26 The Micron Report: What's Next for Semi-conductors?

    Has Micron's earnings report changed the outlook for semiconductor stocks and the broader artificial intelligence trade? With expectations running exceptionally high following a massive rally in chip stocks, investors are looking beyond headline numbers to what Micron's results and outlook may reveal about future demand, pricing power, and earnings growth across the industry. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss what Micron's report means for semiconductor stocks, market leadership, and the next phase of the AI-driven investment cycle. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Economic Data Preview & Trump's Gasoline Gaffe 7:00 - Narrow Market Rally Obscures Underlying Weakness 13:02 - Micron Recap 16:32 - Nvidia vs Micron - Comparing the Fundamentals 20:26 - When Will Demand Slow or Supply Catch Up? 21:57 - "Your High Margin is My Invitation" 25:22 - The Law of Large Numbers Will Eventually Apply 28:58 - Calculating the Risk 30:32 - Crude Oil Pricing vs Gasoline 33:04 - Economic Data Preview - What Will Markets Do? 37:27 - Will CPI, PPI Indicators Matter to the Fed Now? 40:54 - Bonds Look Like Gasoline Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hu6OW8jg_XE ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What's Really Driving This Market? " https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Semiconductor Rally Hides Market Weakness" here: https://youtu.be/iT0t1C5puiE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Micron #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #Gasoline #CrudeOil

    44 min

  2. 3 hrs ago

    6-25-26 Semiconductor Rally Hides Market Weakness | Before the Bell

    Markets pulled back to the 50-day moving average ahead of Micron's earnings, but the bigger story is what lies beneath the surface. While semiconductor stocks may lead a strong rebound today, most sectors continue to lag as portfolio rebalancing and month-end positioning weigh on the broader market. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why the current rally remains unusually narrow, how the 50-DMA is becoming a critical support level, what July seasonality and the return of corporate buybacks could mean for stocks, and why investors should pay attention to the emerging rotation between Growth and Value. We also discuss why many diversified portfolios may underperform despite headline index gains and what to watch as June comes to a close. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/iT0t1C5puiE --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook

    5 min

  3. 21 hrs ago

    6-24-26 Q&A Wednesday: What's Really Driving This Market?

    Markets can remain resilient longer than many expect, but understanding what is fueling the rally is critical for managing risk and protecting long-term financial goals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff tackle your questions about what is really driving stocks higher, whether earnings expectations are becoming too optimistic, the risks of narrow market leadership, portfolio positioning in today's environment, bonds, inflation, artificial intelligence, and what investors should be watching next. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - Micron Earnings Day 5:30 - Dollar Rally & Money Flows 6:38 - Markets Break Below Consolidation 10:51 - How We Spend Money 13:23 - Do All IPO's Go Down After Lock-up Period? 18:18 - Where do Foreign Money Flows Come From? 19:21 - What to Do When Markets Feel "Toppy?" 24:32 - Manage Your Money for Risk, not Beating an Index 26:21 - Promises vs Reality 29:19 - Explaining Preferred Stock, Bonds, Shares (& pecking order in Bankruptcy) 33:37 - Can a Continued Rally in the Dollar Impact Markets? 35:31 - Concerned about U.S. Gov't. Debt? 40:27 - Effects of Foreign Money Creation on Domestic Money Flows 44:30 - The Importance of Convexity in a Portfolio 47:39 - Olive Garden vs Italy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch our previous show, "The New Rules of Portfolio Protection" https://youtube.com/live/donQO1t_hLs ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Micron Earnings: The Bar Is Too High" here: https://youtu.be/v7poBC45Le0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Micron #Semiconductors #StockMarket #EarningsSeason #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook

    50 min

  4. 1d ago

    6-24-26 Micron Earnings: The Bar Is Too High | Before the Bell

    Markets on Tuesday broke below their recent consolidation range and tested the 50-DMA, putting investors on alert ahead of Micron's earnings report. While earnings and revenue growth are expected to remain strong, the real question is whether future guidance can justify the market's extremely elevated expectations. Semiconductor stocks have become the primary driver of S&P 500 earnings growth, with investors already pricing in aggressive profit forecasts through 2028. As a result, even a strong earnings report may not be enough if guidance falls short of expectations. With semiconductors representing roughly 18% of the market and contributing the majority of expected earnings growth, the stakes for tonight's report are unusually high. In this morning's update, we discuss the technical breakdown, the importance of the 50-DMA, why expectations matter more than results, and what Micron's earnings could mean for the broader market over the next few days. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/v7poBC45Le0 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Micron #Semiconductors #StockMarket #EarningsSeason #Investing

    4 min

  5. 2d ago

    6-23-26 The New Rules of Portfolio Protection

    Markets are near highs, but momentum is slowing, breadth remains narrow, buybacks are entering blackout periods, and investors are looking for ways to participate in gains without exposing themselves to a major drawdown. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss practical portfolio protection strategies that don't require moving entirely to cash. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - End of Quarter Rebalancing Begins 4:25 - Markets to Retest 50-DMA 9:17 - How to Stay Invested Without Getting Burned 14:19 - Take Some Profits & Stay Disciplined 16:10 - Two Camps of Space-X 23:34 - The AI/Industrial Revolution 20:45 - The market is changing how we manage money 27:39 - Avoiding Catastrophic Loss of Capital 30:35 - 15 Rules of Risk Management 31:47 - How to Hedge Your Portfolio 36:21 - The Risk in Trading 40:14 - Bull markets Breed Confidence 43:42 - Be Careful of Narratives vs Market Behavior 45:24 - Remember How You React to Market Downturns (pain) 47:56 - Hedging Your Portfolio is not a Binary Issue Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/donQO1t_hLs ------- Watch our previous show, "hen Money Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed" https://youtube.com/live/UYxvj5axVTQ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Quarter-End Rebalancing Hits Markets," here: https://youtu.be/REkG7SgcVhw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #PortfolioManagement #MarketVolatility #Investing #RiskManagement #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #RetirementPlanning #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement

    51 min

  6. 2d ago

    6-23-26 Quarter-End Rebalancing Hits Markets | Before the Bell

    Markets are starting to feel the impact of quarter-end portfolio rebalancing, and some of the biggest winners of the year—including technology and artificial intelligence leaders—are beginning to see selling pressure. With stocks still elevated relative to bonds, many balanced portfolios remain overweight equities, creating the potential for additional short-term volatility. In today's Before the Bell, we examine the developing technical setup as markets break below a narrowing consolidation pattern, increasing the probability of a test of the 50-day moving average. We also discuss why the current sell signal remains in place, why relative strength has more room to weaken, and what investors should be watching next. We'll also cover the sharp rally in the U.S. Dollar, the impact of Iran-related developments on oil prices, why commodities are struggling against a stronger dollar, and whether oil is finding support near its long-term average. Finally, we look at the recent pickup in volatility, why the VIX may be waking up after months of complacency, and why this pullback could ultimately create a better opportunity heading into the seasonally stronger month of July. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/REkG7SgcVhw --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #PortfolioManagement #MarketVolatility #Investing #RiskManagement

    5 min

  7. 3d ago

    6-22-26 When Money Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed

    Markets remain near record highs, but the technical backdrop is becoming more complex. Strong money flows continue to support asset prices, while a more hawkish Federal Reserve threatens to tighten financial conditions and limit upside potential. Lance Roberts looks at how liquidity, institutional flows, market momentum, and investor sentiment are interacting with Fed policy. We also explore whether technical support levels can withstand higher interest rates, what history suggests when liquidity and monetary policy diverge, and what investors should watch next as markets navigate this critical crossroads. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - FIFA Fever & Setting Up for July 5:32 - Portfolio Rebalancing & Buyback Blackout 11:34 - Alan Greenspan death at 100 16:42 - Markets Trading on Plumbing More than Fundamentals 21:06 - Market Inflows - Where's the money coming fron? 26:45 - Micron Quarterly Preview - Where's the risk? 30:25 - Market Breadth Concerns 32:58 - Where Does the Money Go? 34:51 - Market Mechanics Remain Strong 39:00 - When Everyone Agrees...(Bob Farrell Rule #9) 40:27 - Three Things to Watch 43:12 - The Risks are Real Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UYxvj5axVTQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality" https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown?" here: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Investing #Semiconductors #FederalReserve #AlanGreenspanDeath #KevinWarsh #MarketAnalysis

    46 min

  8. 3d ago

    6-22-26 Market Breakout Watch | Before the Bell

    Markets are entering a critical period as quarter-end portfolio rebalancing begins and corporate buybacks move into blackout. While money flows remain exceptionally strong, momentum is weakening, market breadth remains narrow, and semiconductor stocks continue to dominate performance. With markets compressing into a narrowing wedge pattern, investors should prepare for a decisive move in either direction. We discuss the key technical levels to watch, why portfolio rebalancing could create short-term pressure, and whether the recent rally has left investors carrying too much exposure to technology and semiconductors. We'll also examine why the current setup does not necessarily signal a major correction, what support levels matter most, and why the bigger seasonal risks may lie later this summer heading into the midterm election cycle. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/BuD3UnEOVgw --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," 8am Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Investing #Semiconductors

    5 min
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4.7
out of 5
12 Ratings

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It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

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