Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. Why Emerging Markets are Finally Outperforming Developed Markets | Robert Koenigsberger | Gramercy

    32 MINS AGO

    Why Emerging Markets are Finally Outperforming Developed Markets | Robert Koenigsberger | Gramercy

    This episode is brought to you by Pictet’s AI Enhanced Equity ETFs Learn More about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/ Learn more about the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Emerging market outperformance is turning investors’ heads and in this episode of Other People’s Money, Robert Koenigsberger, CIO and founder of multi-billion dollar EM alternative asset manager Gramercy, explains why the macro environment has emerging markets looking more developed than some developed markets, particularly in how swiftly their central banks acted to combat inflation. He also explains how passive index investing can do damage to an emerging market portfolio and why the typical EM approach focusing on exposure is all wrong. Koenigsberger also dives into the structural advantages of emerging market private credit over its developed market counterparts, emphasizing the importance of local networks, senior secured collateral, and having a positive influence on corporate governance. Follow Robert Koenigsberger on X: https://x.com/GramercyRK Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:36 Pictet AI ETFs 01:54 How EM Investing Evolved 02:48 Why EMs Outperformed 04:08 Debt vs Equity Returns 06:09 Policy Convergence EM vs. DM 08:33 Diversifying Beyond Dollar 11:30 EM Private Credit 14:57 Pictet AI ETFs 16:32 Why Borrowers Choose Private 21:06 Defining EM Alpha 25:23 Index Construction Pitfalls 28:57 True Distress and Asymmetry 33:14 China Property Deep Value 35:15 Picking Winners at Five Cents 38:33 Sovereign Timing Checklist 40:07 Sanctions and “Uninvestibility” 43:37 Structuring Downside Control 44:58 Creditor Groups Collaboration 48:55 Restructuring Deal Template 50:23 Warrants Windfalls Risks 53:19 Governance in Private Credit 59:02 Underwriting People Networks 01:02:43 Hedging Without Shorting 01:05:49 Allocator Case for EM Credit 01:08:40 Liquidity Myths and Cycles

    1h 10m
  2. “Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

    3D AGO

    “Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

    Listeners can get 20% off Misadventures in Shipping subscriptions through April 17th here: https://edfin.substack.com/monetary Subscription includes access to Substack research pieces and private Twitter (X) account. ____ In this episode, Ed Finley-Richardson of the Misadventures in Shipping Substack joins Jack to break down how the Middle East conflict is creating unprecedented chaos (and massive profits) in the global shipping industry. With the ongoing disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz, global trade routes are being radically redrawn, forcing massive surges in spot market freight rates. Ed explains why smaller "MR" product tankers carrying refined fuels from the U.S. Gulf to Asia are currently minting fortunes, while very large crude carriers (VLCCs) prices are moderating after a surge that pre-dated the Iran War because of the aggressive actions of a certain Korean businessman. We dive deep into the specific tanker stocks positioned to capture this volatility, analyzing the fleets, corporate governance, and dividend potentials of major players like Frontline, International Seaways, and DHT Holdings. Listeners will learn about the counterintuitive economic forces unique to maritime trade, where logistical inefficiency directly drives margin expansion for shipowners. Finally, Ed lays out his "feeding frenzy" scenario—a potential massive logistical traffic jam that could occur if the straits reopen, proving exactly why books will be written about this generational shipping market. Recorded April 2, 2026. Pieces discussed from “Misadventures in Shipping”: “Bauxite (3): Why China is ‘locked in’ to Guinea as their main supplier” (March 14, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/bauxite-3 “Hummus Fallout: A de facto Strait of Hormuz 'closure' is leading to a crescendo of panic” (March 6, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/hummus-fallout “Atlantic MR Bonanza: Who Benefits Most?” (March 20, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/atlantic-mr-bonanza-who-benefits “Iron Ore: Indexes, Inventories” (April 3, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/iron-ore-indexes-inventories “DHT — How At Risk from Hormuz Fall-Out?” (March 10, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/dht-how-at-risk-from-hormuz-fall “The Strait of Hormuz & Tankers (1)” (April 4, 2024): https://edfin.substack.com/p/hummus-fallout “VLCC S&P Rumor — 10 Vessels Sold” (January 7, 2024): https://edfin.substack.com/p/vlcc-s-and-p-rumor-10-vessels-sold “VLCC Period Charter Modeling” (February 26, 2026): https://edfin.substack.com/p/vlcc-period-charter-modeling Follow Ed Finley-Richardson on X https://x.com/ed_fin Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    2h 34m
  3. Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

    5D AGO

    Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Learn More about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/ In this episode of Monetary Matters, Bloomberg Chief US Economist Anna Wong explains why surging oil prices are unlikely to trigger a repeat of the 9% inflation seen in 2022. Wong argues that even if oil reaches $200 per barrel, headline CPI would likely peak near 6% before declining due to "base effects" and a lack of the excess consumer savings that fueled previous price spikes. She highlights the reality of "demand destruction," noting that sustained $100 oil would sap nearly $2,000 in spending power from the average American household. Despite these pressures, Wong does not view a recession as her base case, citing the offsetting support of expansionary fiscal policy and increased domestic production in the energy and defense sectors. The discussion also explores why the Federal Reserve should "look through" these commodity shocks, particularly as core PCE remains influenced by more persistent issues like the AI-driven memory chip shortage. Finally, Wong compares our current macro landscape to the 1970s, suggesting that while the situations "rhyme," a full repeat would require a much larger surge in government-driven demand. Recorded March 31, 2026 Follow Anna Wong on X https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    52 min
  4. The Psychology of Market Champions: Inside the Minds of Point 72 & Citadel Portfolio Managers | Dr. Gio Valiante

    MAR 31

    The Psychology of Market Champions: Inside the Minds of Point 72 & Citadel Portfolio Managers | Dr. Gio Valiante

    This episode is brought to you by Pictet’s AI Enhanced Equity ETFs Learn More about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/ Learn more about the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Join Max Wiethe on "Other People's Money" as he sits down with world-renowned performance coach Dr. Gio Valiante. Dr. Valiante has spent decades coaching elite performers, from PGA Tour champions like Jordan Spieth to legendary portfolio managers at Point 72 and Citadel. In this deep-dive podcast, Dr. Valiante pulls back the curtain on the psychology of the world’s most successful investors. He explains that top traders operate with the discipline and optimization of elite athletes—"investor athletes"—who must manage fear, detach from ego, and master their environment. Follow Dr. Gio: https://x.com/GioValiante Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:42 Pictet ETFs 00:55 Why Pods Took Over 03:04 Culture and Incentives Matter 05:19 Fear in Trading Explained 08:53 Embarrassment and Risk Aversion 12:03 Playing to Win vs Not Lose 13:21 Elite Funds Audit Process 14:34 Regret and Missed Trades 19:21 Pictet AI ETFs 20:56 Detaching from Short Term PnL 22:21 Weekends Recovery for PMs 24:15 Handling Weekend News Cycles 28:41 Regulation Favors Big Platforms 32:30 Spinoffs Vs Bootstrapping 33:29 Bootstrapped Edge 34:33 Leaving Pod Shop Reality 36:05 Situated Cognition Explained 37:55 Culture Sparks Ideas 39:43 Mandates and Opportunity Cost 41:17 Ego Identity and Seat 45:04 Capital Cycles Perspective 48:46 Entitlement Versus Humility 54:39 Performance Hierarchy 57:57 Why Hedge Funds Matter 01:00:18 Masters Picks and Wrap 01:01:54 Pictet AI ETFs

    1h 2m
  5. The 2026 Private Credit Liquidity Crunch | Leyla Kunimoto on Redemptions in Semi-liquid Vehicles, Private/Public BDCs, and the Future of Alternatives

    MAR 29

    The 2026 Private Credit Liquidity Crunch | Leyla Kunimoto on Redemptions in Semi-liquid Vehicles, Private/Public BDCs, and the Future of Alternatives

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Learn More about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF:https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/ In this episode, Jack sits down with Leyla Kunimoto, founder of Accredited Investor Insights, to discuss her journey into private markets and the ongoing "democratization" of alternative assets. The conversation explores the rise of "evergreen" or semi-liquid structures, which allow retail investors to bypass the traditional "J curve" by deploying capital almost immediately. Leyla provides a detailed look at the current wave of redemption requests hitting major private credit funds like Cliffwater and Blackstone, explaining the mechanics of 5% quarterly caps used to prevent the fire selling of assets. She further breaks down the risks associated with Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) and the rise of "shadow defaults" through payment-in-kind (PIK) interest toggles. The interview highlights why Leyla currently prefers publicly traded Business Development Companies (BDCs) over private ones, noting the potential arbitrage available when public shares trade at a significant discount to their net asset value. Finally, Leyla shares why she is far more bearish on private equity than private credit, citing the asset class's extreme opaqueness and junior position in the capital stack. Recorded March 29, 2026. Accredited Insight: Cliffwater Part 1: https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/cliffwater-corporate-lending-fund Cliffwater Redemptions: https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/cliffwater-corporate-lending-fund-d4c Follow Leyla Kunimoto on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lkunimoto/ Follow Leyla Kunimoto on X https://x.com/LeylaKuni Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1h 25m
  6. How the Iran War Reshapes the Sovereign Debt Landscape | Sovereign Debt Expert Lupin Rahman

    MAR 27

    How the Iran War Reshapes the Sovereign Debt Landscape | Sovereign Debt Expert Lupin Rahman

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm   Former Head of Sovereign Credit at PIMCO Lupin Rahman joins Jack to discuss sovereign debt and its peculiarities. She explains why its technicals can differ significantly from fundamentals, the growth of emerging market debt, and risks to consider when investing in these assets. Jack and Lupin also discuss the important conflict in the Middle East and what it means for markets across the world. As an expert in both sovereign debt and emerging markets, Lupin is an important voice to consider when assessing global fixed income markets. Recorded on March 16th, 2026.   Lupin Rahman’s Book https://www.amazon.com Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Lupin Rahman on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lupin-rahman/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1h 3m
  7. Headline Indices Are Masking Market Stress | Liz Ann Sonders on the Case For Quality Stocks During An Oil Shock

    MAR 25

    Headline Indices Are Masking Market Stress | Liz Ann Sonders on the Case For Quality Stocks During An Oil Shock

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm In this episode of Monetary Matters,  Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab’s Chief Investment Strategist, explains how 2026 presents an "analytically rich" environment where headline indices are currently masking significant underlying market stress. She notes that while the S&P 500 shows a modest drawdown, the average stock is seeing much steeper declines, reflecting a period of intense "rotation and churn" triggered by the war in Iran and a spike in oil prices. Sonders highlights a critical shift in investor behavior, where the previous year's preference for non-profitable speculative stocks has flip-flopped in favor of a "quality" factor centered on stable profitability and strong balance sheets. She draws parallels to the 1990 period, warning that the lack of alternate routes for oil through the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained economic demand destruction. Despite these geopolitical shocks, Sonders observes that forward earnings estimates for the tech and energy sectors remain surprisingly resilient, though she anticipates downward revisions as reporting season approaches. Ultimately, she reminds investors that in such a volatile cycle, "better or worse" as a leading indicator often matters more to the market than whether the data is objectively "good or bad". Recorded March 24, 2026. Pieces referenced: “Dire Strait: War's Impact on Stocks”: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/dire-strait-wars-impact-on-stocks “Schwab Market Perspective”:  https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/stock-market-outlook “Smoke on the Water…Fire Under the Surface”: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/smoke-on-waterfire-under-surface Follow Liz Ann Sonders on X https://x.com/LizAnnSondersFollow Liz Ann Sonders on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lizannsonders/ Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Investing involves risks, including the possible loss of principal. Because these ETFs rely on an AI-driven model, the strategy may not perform as intended. International and U.S investments may involve additional risks such as currency, political, or regulatory developments. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Funds before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information and may be obtained by visiting www.pictet.com/etf. Read it carefully before investing. Distributed by Foreside Fund Services.

    1h 8m
  8. “Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

    MAR 23

    “Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

    Learn more about Teucrium’s CORN ETF (CORN) here: https://teucrium.com/corn Nadia Martin Wiggen, Director at Svelland Capital joins Other People’s Money for a timely update on energy and shipping markets in light of the “5-day pause” Truth Social post that sent equity markets ripping higher and oil prices dipping lower. She explains why Svelland Capital believes May is the real timeline for controlling the Strait, how refining margins and refined product hoarding create a persistent bid for oil and gas, and how global energy supply chains have shifted with many ships sailing well outside of typical trade routes in their quest for alternative sources of oil. She also touches on how a protracted crisis would harm Asia, Australia, and emerging markets the most. Svelland Capital: https://www.svelland.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today. Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the respective Fund Prospectus before investing. CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds, which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading, LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT. PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 Reaction to Trump Announcement and State of the Strait 01:57 Strait Reality Check 05:53 Oil Flows and Bottlenecks 09:32 Asia Scrambles for Supply 12:55 China Refined Export Ban 14:01 Demand Destruction Thresholds 15:05 Military Path to Reopen 17:09 CORN Mid Roll 18:46 New Oil Price Floor 21:28 Broader Market Repricing 25:06 Shipping Rates and Europe Pull 27:33 Export Bans and Hoarding Spiral 30:11 US Refining Edge and Australia 34:37 LNG Shortfall and Europe Risk 41:00 Long Term Diversification 41:33 Trading Signals and Logistics 45:16 Most Vulnerable Products

    47 min
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5
out of 5
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About

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

Information

  • Creator
    Jack Farley
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2026
  • Episodes
    242

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