The ACID Capitalist Podcast

Hugh Hendry
  • 4.9 (36)
  • Self-Improvement
  • Updated Weekly

Gonzo Finance! Hugh Hendry is an Award Winning Hedge Fund Manager, Market Commentator, Thought Leader, St Barts Real Estate Investor & Surfer.Full episodes are available at https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry and https://hughhendry.substack.com

  1. 4d ago

    stan druckenmiller is wrong

    Send us Fan Mail everyone thinks washington is the crime scene. thirty-year treasuries are above five percent, the vigilantes have apparently ridden back into town, and america is finally being punished for its fiscal sins. maybe. but i think everyone is staring at the debtor because that’s easier than asking what happens to the creditors when the debtor stops playing along. i get into bessent and the treasury buybacks in this episode. a few billion dollars of long-bond repurchases dressed up as something more consequential has the familiar quality of a magician making a great show of the wrong hand. druckenmiller is worried too, although for slightly different reasons. i’m less interested in adjudicating the daily noise than in the structure underneath it. michael pettis gives you the useful way in. when china, germany or japan run persistent trade surpluses, somebody else has to run the savings deficit. that isn’t ideology. it’s arithmetic. those excess chinese savings come back into dollar assets, yields get compressed, asset prices rise, and america gets congratulated for enjoying its reserve currency privilege. i’ve always thought privilege was an odd word for an arrangement in which you’re required to absorb everybody else’s excess production. it’s a throne, certainly. it may also be a trap. that’s why the 1929 comparison matters. creditor nations can look extraordinarily strong while the system is working because somebody else is doing the absorbing. remove that jenga and the pressure migrates very quickly into factories, property collateral and export margins. if america begins refusing the role through tighter monetary policy that forces a resetting recession, the interesting crisis may not begin in washington at all. that is the argument in this episode. the simple story says the bond market is disciplining america. i’m much more interested in who discovers they were dependent on american indiscipline. subscribe if you want to get there before the story becomes obvious. Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

    stan druckenmiller is wrong

  2. Aug 26

    what if the real risk is distraction.

    Send us Fan Mail a stranger asks for a kiss outside a bar in montauk and suddenly the weekend’s noise turns into a clean signal. you can buy the table and you can certainly buy the story afterwards, but presence is harder. i watched a man spend an afternoon inside a roped-off vip section staring at his phone, surrounded by everything he’d presumably come to enjoy. that felt uncomfortably close to the age we live in, where the proof of having been somewhere can matter more than actually being there. markets have their own version of the same mistake. composure matters when prices are moving against you, but there’s a cost to wearing the television face for too long, especially once conviction starts dressing up a guess as fact. certainty and position size aren’t the same thing. confuse them and you can end up watching the damage arrive in slow motion while still feeling unable to move. the caprivi strip is what happens when intelligent people fall in love with a map and forget the terrain. boeing and bayer belong in the same conversation for different reasons, because the mistake isn’t always stupidity. sometimes the business survives and the glitch passes. sometimes the thing you thought was contained turns out to own the entire outcome. the useful part is admitting, early enough, that reality gets a vote. this episode is about attention, conviction and the dangerous comfort of believing the story in your head has already become the world outside it. subscribe. share it with someone who lives through their screen. Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

  3. Aug 23

    baby bonds and snake farms.

    Send us Fan Mail pay people to kill cobras and you end up with cobra farms. that one historical mistake is the operating manual for most of modern life, and this episode runs it through three places where it still matters. the first is monetary reform. fiat currency is a covenant that gets quietly rewritten, decade after decade, while purchasing power takes a long slow walk in a direction nobody approved. that's why people reach for scarce anchors like gold or bitcoin, something committees can't conjure at 2am. but pegging money to something finite doesn't remove human behaviour from the equation. it moves the snake farm. the mechanism comes first. the slogans come later. the second is the uk white collar economy. if knowledge work means reading, synthesising and producing documents under deadline, large language models do a growing share of it for essentially nothing. hsbc makes the mechanism visible: headcount disappears without a dramatic announcement, and the graduate-to-manager ladder starts sealing itself off. the consequences run straight into the tax base, public spending and the architecture of upward mobility. the third is demographics and sovereign arithmetic. fertility rates are running well below replacement, pension systems were built for a world with far more workers per retiree, and i make the case for baby bonds as collateral that grows. call it baby woods: a bretton woods replacement where the scarce asset is whoever shows up next. once children carry a bounty, the world reorganises to produce them. the cobra programme finally gets an incentive it actually wants. and then there is the awkward part. the collateral votes. if you listen, send me your strongest objection or the best real-world cobra story you've ever seen. Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

  4. Jun 9

    the drugs work.

    Send us Fan Mail it's nearly one in the afternoon and i haven't read a fucking email this year. this was supposed to be a serious day. deadlines. targets. catholic guilt. presbyterian duty stomping around the room like an angry motherfucker. instead i'm still in my silk bruce lee pyjama bottoms, three coffees deep, magic potions mashed into yoghurt, watching my laptop quietly devour the morning. this is a field report from inside the machine. adhd. drugs. barefoot running in tropical heat. mouth taped shut. russian garment dye. cannabinoids. kratom. tequila. sleep. pain. recovery. the strange optimisation ritual required to keep the trapdoor open and the lights on. i'm not trying to live forever. i'm trying to stay elastic. plastic. interested. somewhere between the beach, the sea, the pharmacy and the bar, i've assembled a system that allows me to function. not calmly. not normally. but function nonetheless. the drugs work. until they don't. then i change the mix. Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

    the drugs work.

  5. May 29

    Compute Is Revenue

    Send us Fan Mail back in march i published a bullish substack essay into a collapsing tape. software stocks were getting butchered. hyperscalers accused of losing their minds. nvidia was falling like a broken momentum trade while missiles were raining down across iran and every idiot on television suddenly became a geopolitical strategist. but price was saying something else. software was no longer scarce. that was the whole point. once code starts writing code the scarcity moves upstream into the physical machine. power. transformers. cooling. fibre. systems that cannot expand fast enough once demand arrives all at once. compute stops supporting revenue and starts becoming revenue itself. from bar select in gustavia trader mike and i walk through that transition in real time. mike sitting perfectly still watching the machine while i pace around conducting imaginary charts in the air. none of those exchanges are invented. we’re very different traders staring at the same pressure points from opposite ends of the same bar. eventually the market caught up. of course it did. the same hyperscaler capex once described as reckless suddenly became visionary once price turned higher. same reality. different price. the market had already decided while everyone else was still trying to sound clever. this episode is really about constraint. who has it. who doesn’t. and what happens once intelligence itself becomes industrial infrastructure.  copper carries current. fibre carries light.  the winners stop looking like software companies and start looking like electricity grids. i also go somewhere else entirely. bitcoin. derivatives. synthetic scale. optionality. and the uncomfortable possibility that conventional investing strategies increasingly guarantee an average life. my friends. if you enjoy the episode share it with someone who watches price instead of headlines. subscribe. leave us a review. and come join us before the crowd notices the world has already repriced itself. summer acid camp aug2-6th in st barts. remember, if you don’t own assets, you are the asset. hugh. Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

  6. May 8

    what if the uk is already bankrupt.

    Send us Fan Mail come to the acid capitalist summer camp in st barts 2nd to 6th august. https://hughhendry.com/acid-capital-retreat/ broadcasting from the caribbean as the acid capitalist, i try to make the uk’s sovereign problem legible without the institutional fog. no jargon. no costume. just the one signal that still cuts through the spin: price. i start with a ghost story of imperial infrastructure repurposed into luxury hospitality, then land the argument with brutal ratios that sound like trivia until you see them for what they are: a balance sheet warning. from there, we invert the whole thing. modern war needs drones and factories more than it needs mass conscription. modern work needs software more than it needs layers of professional glue between capital and labour. when ai makes parts of the middle class optional, it’s not just jobs that move. it’s the uk tax base. the thing that funds pensions, healthcare, and the welfare state. then nato appears for what it increasingly is: a financial arrangement. europe’s long reduced-responsibility model stops looking like morality and starts looking like an expiring discount as the defence invoice rises. the autopsy moves through gilts, cheap borrowing, and the decades-long loop of surplus capital recycled into british government debt and assets. low gilt yields made big promises look affordable. too much of the money chased property and financial engineering instead of productivity. when global capital gets redirected and the subsidy fades, welfare arithmetic, political constraint, and bond market discipline collide fast. i finish with a tradable lens on scarcity, real estate, city-state jurisdictions, and the prices to watch next: real 10-year gilt yields, the gilt-bund spread, and sterling against the places where capital actually wants to live. if this changes how you see the uk bond market and the future of the welfare state, subscribe, share it, and leave a review. what price signal are you watching now? Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

    what if the uk is already bankrupt.

  7. Apr 21

    the tape is calling b******t

    Send us Fan Mail the strangest part of the last few weeks is not the headlines about iran, the strait of hormuz, or "financial war". the strangest part is the price. while the front pages sound confident that risk should be melting stocks down, the s&p 500 and nasdaq act like they already know how this ends, and they keep moving higher. i dig into that uncomfortable moment every investor recognises: being right on your story but wrong in your p&l, and what to do when the tape gives the loudest answer in the room. i take aim at the tidy media script that assigns roles before facts arrive, then i replace it with the market’s colder framework: constraints. who can actually afford disruption the longest? a big part of our answer is physical, not political. iran’s oil system is built to flow, not to pause. if the flow stops, wells can lose pressure and heavy crude can gum up the reservoir, creating damage that is hard to reverse. that "flow system" reality changes how we think about bargaining power, escalation risk, and why equities may be pricing probabilities very differently from the commentary class. then i zoom out to the signals traders watch when they have to bet real money: volatility and macro. a rapid vix collapse is not just a vibe shift; historically it often reshapes forward stock market returns favourably unless policy is tightening hard. i also look at producer prices to separate noisy headline inflation from the calmer underlying trend. finally, i talk about the next potential wave that markets may be front-running already: a hurricane of equity issuance and mega-ipos from names like spacex, openai, and anthropic, and what that means for liquidity and positioning. if you got something from this, subscribe, share the show with a friend, and leave me a review. what do you trust more right now: headlines or price? Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

    the tape is calling b******t

  8. Apr 15

    double voltage. the trade no one sees.

    Send us Fan Mail it broke. the talks. iran, the us, all of it. the kind of weekend that’s supposed to matter. the market sells off. of course it does. and then it gets quickly bought back. clean. no hesitation. and by the time you’re ready to process it, it’s back at the all time high again. so now you’ve got a problem. because that isn’t noise. it’s instruction. price telling you what it doesn’t care about, and what you should stop caring about too if you want to invest like an adult rather than react like a tourist. i don’t chase headlines anymore. i build systems. i call it the game beneath the noise. a macro framework across equities, bonds, alternatives and cash. four moving parts, never static. once you see that, it simplifies. you stop reacting and start watching what actually matters. if you feel that, stay with it. subscribe, share it with someone still trading headlines, and leave a review so more people can find the show. Support the show ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes  ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry https://hughhendry.substack.com https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial https://blancbleustbarts.com https://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐  Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts! 🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X 📩 Substack 👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe 📺 YouTube 🎧 ...

    double voltage. the trade no one sees.
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4.9
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About

Gonzo Finance! Hugh Hendry is an Award Winning Hedge Fund Manager, Market Commentator, Thought Leader, St Barts Real Estate Investor & Surfer.Full episodes are available at https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry and https://hughhendry.substack.com

Information

  • Creator
    Hugh Hendry
  • Years Active
    2020 - 2026
  • Episodes
    184
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © 2026 The ACID Capitalist Podcast
  • Show Website
    The ACID Capitalist Podcast

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