Forecast 2050

Nebular

Interviewing the thinkers, investors, and founders shaping the world of 2050. Hosted by Nebular General Partner, Finn Murphy.

Épisodes

  1. -5 J

    Space AI, Moon Resorts, and Interstellar Calamity | Starcloud CEO Philip Johnston on 2050

    Starcloud Founder and CEO Philip Johnston believes data centers in space are the first step to becoming a Kardashev level civilization. I caught up with Philip at Starcloud’s HQ to talk about his vision for the next 25 years. The conversation covers everything from luxury space tourism, whether Tesla’s Optimus robot will become a self-replicating galactic probe, the hard problem of consciousness, whether the world is a simulation, Mars becoming the next America, and Philip’s greatest concern for our long-term future. Extended Show Notes: https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/data-centers-in-space-moon-resorts Transcript: https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/forecast-2050-episode-iv-transcript Chapters: 00:00 Intro 00:59 Why the Space GPU Skeptics are Wrong 03:12 Elon Will Bring Launch Costs Down with Starship 06:50 The 2050 Space Economy: Moon Hotels, Asteroid Mining and Manufacturing 16:37 The 2050 Martian Colony: A Stepping Stone for Exploring the Universe 26:32 The Kardashev Scale of Civilization 28:44 We Live in a Simulation: The Fermi Paradox & The Great Filter 34:52 Cracking the Hard Problem of Consciousness 37:46 There is a Calamitous Event Waiting for Us 39:04 Mars is the Next America Philip Johnston is the co-founder and CEO of Starcloud, a space technology company building orbital data centers powered by solar energy to run AI and compute infrastructure in space. Philip on X: https://x.com/PhilipJohnston Philip on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philip-johnston/ Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next. Finn on X: https://x.com/FinnMurphy12 Finn on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465/ Nebular is a venture capital firm based in New York City. Head to nebular.vc for more info.

    41 min

  2. 25 MARS

    Conflict and Diplomacy in an Era of Recklessness | Sir Malcolm Rifkind on 2050

    Sir Malcolm Rifkind served as Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom from 1995 to 1997 and as Defence Secretary before that. He has sat across from Soviet ministers while a KGB double agent secretly briefed both sides, watched the Berlin Wall fall when nobody saw it coming, and has been banished from Russia by Putin personally for his criticism of the invasion of Crimea. I sat down with Sir Malcolm in London this January to talk about the next 25 years of conflict and diplomacy, and how to navigate a world where nobody cares about the old rules anymore. Extended Show Notes: https://substack.com/home/post/p-192033568 Transcript: https://substack.com/home/post/p-192033862 Chapters: 00:00 Intro 01:05 Why Politicians Can’t Predict the Future 03:37 The Power of Double Agents in Spycraft 04:38 Social Media Diplomacy Was Inevitable 12:46 Soft Power is Dead 16:25 The Cult of Youth in Global Leadership 18:54 The West Must Think Long-Term to Survive 27:43 Technological Innovation Will Hurt Old People 30:58 The Chinese Will Eat Their Rich 38:11 Meeting Gorbachev and His Philosopher Wife 44:32 There Are No Good Guys and Bad Guys 46:46 Ukraine will Freeze Up like Korea, Kashmir, and Cyprus 47:55 Taiwan is More Important than Iran 53:23 How Smaller Countries Operate without Pax Americana 55:09 “The Chinese and the Russians Cannot Believe Their Luck” - on NATO Collapse 59:59 America May Not Be the Main Character in the Future Sir Malcolm Rifkind is a British statesman who served as Defence Secretary and then Foreign Secretary under Prime Ministers Margaret Thatcher and John Major, and later chaired the UK Parliament's Intelligence and Security Committee. Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next. Finn on X: https://x.com/FinnMurphy12 Finn on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465/ Nebular is venture capital firm based in New York City. Head to nebular.vc for more info.

    1 h 2 min

  3. 18 MARS

    Artificial Wombs, IVF & Robot Nannies | Noor Siddiqui on Family in 2050

    Noor Siddiqui is building a future free of inherited disease. As Founder & CEO of Orchid, she has developed embryo screening technology that reads 99% of an embryo's DNA - 100 times more information than legacy tools. In this episode of Forecast 2050, Nebular General Partner Finn Murphy sits down with Noor in San Francisco to discuss why embryo screening and artificial wombs may become the default way humans reproduce, what's really driving falling birth rates, the moonshot nobody is funding, and why a generation of young people with world-changing energy has been left with nowhere to put it. Extended Show Notes: https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/sex-is-for-fun-orchid-ivf-is-for Transcript (with links): https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/forecast-2050-transcript-episode Chapters: 00:00 Intro 00:50 Rolling the Dice No More: The Embryo Screening Revolution 05:27 Artificial Wombs Are the Tech Challenge of Our Time 07:47 Why Aren't We Having Kids? 17:03 The Broken Generational Contract 18:56 Nature Beats Out Nurture 21:45 AI & Genetic Technology Could Give Us Superhuman Powers 30:54 Noor’s Plan for 2050 37:10 What We Lose When Old People Run Everything Noor Siddiqui is the Founder & CEO of Orchid, the world's first whole genome embryo screening company. Noor on X: https://x.com/noor_siddiqui_ Orchid: https://www.orchidhealth.com/ Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next. Finn on X: https://x.com/FinnMurphy12 Finn on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465/ Nebular is a venture capital firm based in New York City investing in early-stage companies. Head to nebular.vc for more info.

    39 min

  4. 11 MARS

    Quantum, Superintelligence, and Reality's Ultimate Nature | Scott Aaronson on 2050

    Scott Aaronson thinks that the time to prepare for a post-quantum world isn’t years away - it was yesterday. In the second episode of Forecast 2050 with Nebular General Partner Finn Murphy and Entrepreneur in Residence Tom McCarthy, we explore whether classical AI might eclipse quantum computing, how post-quantum cryptography will upend global security, and why the rise of superintelligence both excites and deeply unsettles Scott. We also debate whether a quantum teleporter would actually be a suicide machine, how advanced AI might help us uncover the fundamental nature of reality, and the disturbing possibility that future superintelligences may compete with one another for dominance, treating humans as collateral. Extended Show Notes: https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/breaking-the-internet-scott-aaronsons Transcript (with links): https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/forecast-2050-episode-ii-transcript Chapters 00:00 Intro 02:04 How AI & Quantum Computing Interact Today 10:36 Why Scott Thinks Classical Computing Might Outdate Quantum 18:24 The Post-Quantum World of 2050 27:43 Quantum Computing & Biology 35:46 The Quantum Teleporter as a Suicide Machine 38:52 Superintelligence & The Ultimate Nature of Reality 45:00 The Battle Between Superintelligences Scott Aaronson, the Schlumberger Centennial Chair of Computer Science at the University of Texas at Austin, is widely recognized as a top researcher in the fields of quantum computing and computational complexity. Thank you to Matt Johnson of Q2B Sillicon Valley and QC Ware for helping us film at the conference! https://q2b.qcware.com/ Scott’s blog, Shtetl-Optimized: https://scottaaronson.blog/ Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next. Finn on X: https://x.com/FinnMurphy12 Finn on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465/ Tom on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tom-mccarthy-41144779/ Nebular is an early-stage venture capital firm based in New York City. Head to nebular.vc for more info.

    50 min

  5. 4 MARS

    The surprising truth behind collapsing birthrates | Tyler Cowen on 2050

    Tyler Cowen believes we are woefully unprepared for the next 25 years. In the first episode of Forecast 2050 with Nebular General Partner, Finn Murphy, we discuss the real reason behind falling birthrates, what the last human job might be in an AI-dominated economy, how conflict and war could evolve in the next 25 years, whether we will have a "viagra for the mind," why we are experiencing the fastest technological revolution in human history, why humans love stasis and hate change, and why we need faith in long-term thinking. Extended Show Notes: https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/humans-love-stasis-and-hate-change Transcript (with helpful links!): https://substack.com/home/post/p-189726563 Chapters: 00:00 Intro 01:03 The real reason behind low birthrates 04:50 Transitioning to a majority-old society 07:49 The future of worldwide immigration 14:55 The 2050 economy will be healthcare dominated 19:23 Corporations have never been so powerful 26:25 There is life on the moons of Saturn 27:07 Elon is wrong: We won't settle other planets 30:00 AIs Will Take Over Society By Trick 30:58 We need faith for long term thinking 32:47 There will be many, many fake jobs 36:29 The future of the UN and global conflicts 40:56 The AIs will build their own superintelligent institutions 45:18 Tyler's greatest concern 47:50 The last profession standing in the AI era Tyler Cowen is an economist, author, and professor known for his work on growth, innovation, and the future of technology. Tyler on X: https://x.com/tylercowen Tyler's Blog: https://marginalrevolution.com/ Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next. Finn on X: https://x.com/FinnMurphy12 Finn on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465/ Nebular is an early stage venture capital firm based in New York City. Head to nebular.vc for more info.

    48 min

  6. BANDE-ANNONCE SAISON 1

    Introducing Forecast 2050

    Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years, and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what lies ahead. Hosted by Nebular General Partner Finn Murphy.

    2 min

Bande-annonce

À propos

Interviewing the thinkers, investors, and founders shaping the world of 2050. Hosted by Nebular General Partner, Finn Murphy.

Informations

  • Création
    Nebular
  • Années d’activité
    2 k
  • Épisodes
    6
  • Classification
    Tous publics
  • Copyright
    © Nebular
  • Site web de l’émission
    Forecast 2050

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