Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

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    A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, StoneX Vice President Josh Linville explains how the Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a global fertilizer crisis that is currently crippling agricultural economics. With urea prices effectively doubling in just a few months, Josh warns that the market is facing a supply shock far more severe than the 2022 crisis because current grain prices aren't high enough to offset these surging input costs. The geopolitical bottleneck in the Persian Gulf has effectively sidelined three of the world's top ten urea exporters, removing enough nitrogen from the market to cover nearly the entire US corn crop. Beyond shipping delays, recent attacks on energy infrastructure in Qatar and Iran have caused structural damage that experts estimate could take three to five years to fully repair. This massive loss of production capacity, combined with a lack of global stockpiles, means the market must now find balance through aggressive demand destruction. Consequently, the price floor for critical fertilizers has likely been raised for the remainder of 2026, forcing farmers to make difficult choices about planting and yields. Join us as we explore the long-term implications for global food security and why the current "bleeding red" financial state of farming might lead to higher agricultural commodity prices. Recorded March 20, 2026. Follow Josh Linville https://www.stonex.com/en/market-experts/josh-linville/ Josh Linville on X https://x.com/JLinvilleFert Josh Linville on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshua-linville-9555a711 ______ This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.  Sources  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).  Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC.  5324752

    54 min
  2. “This Is The End of The Oil Market As We Know It” | Rory Johnston on How $300 Oil Could Trigger Depression If De-Escalation Does Not Occur In Iran War

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    “This Is The End of The Oil Market As We Know It” | Rory Johnston on How $300 Oil Could Trigger Depression If De-Escalation Does Not Occur In Iran War

    20% discount to annual subscription to Rory Johnston’s Commodity Context: https://www.commoditycontext.com/monetarymatters In this urgent episode of Monetary Matters Today, Jack sits down with Rory Johnston of Commodity Context to break down the unprecedented global oil shock caused by the ongoing war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With 20 million barrels of daily flow disrupted and 9 million barrels of confirmed production shut-ins across the Middle East, Johnston warns that the market is facing a supply loss multiple times larger than the 2022 Russian invasion fears. They explore the timeline of global impact, the looming threat of operational shutdowns for Asian refineries, and why Johnston believes political de-escalation by President Trump is the only way to avoid $200+ oil and a global economic depression. Recorded March 19, 2026. Pieces discussed:  Oil & Iran War Context Weekly (W11) (March 13 2026) https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/ocw11w26 “No End in Sight,” March 12, 2026: https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/no-end-in-sight Oil and the Iran War Context Weekly (W10), March 6, 2026: https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/ocw10w26 North American Oil Data Deck (March 4, 2026):  https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/north-american-oil-data-deck-march-2026 “Strait to the Point on Iran (March 2, 2026)”:  https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/strait-to-the-point-on-iran Follow Rory Johnston on X: https://x.com/Rory_Johnston Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 h 22 min
  3. “We’re Just Getting Started” | Bob Elliott on Why The Oil Shock Is Not Fully Priced In To Markets

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    “We’re Just Getting Started” | Bob Elliott on Why The Oil Shock Is Not Fully Priced In To Markets

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack Farley and Max Wiethe are joined by Bob Elliott, Chief Investment Officer at Unlimited Funds, to discuss the economic fallout of the recent conflict and surging oil prices. Elliott explains that the massive spike in oil prices—which recently topped $110 for Brent and $150 in Oman—will inevitably reduce consumer spending power, fuel higher inflation, and drag down real economic growth. He argues that both the stock and bond markets are currently mispricing this risk, making a strong case for that both asset classes could struggle as yields rise. Furthermore, Elliott dismisses the Federal Reserve's 2026 inflation target of 2.7% as wildly unrealistic, warning that persistent inflation will keep the Fed from cutting rates anytime soon. Finally, Jack and Max preview their upcoming interviews with industry experts to further unpack the disruptions to global oil production, fertilizer supply chains, and shipping. Recorded afternoon of March 18, 2026, after FOMC meeting. Follow Bob Elliott on Twitter https://x.com/BobEUnlimited Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    43 min
  4. Stock Market on Shaky Foundations | Blind Squirrel Macro’s Rupert Mitchell on IPO Supply, Oil, and Private Credit

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    Stock Market on Shaky Foundations | Blind Squirrel Macro’s Rupert Mitchell on IPO Supply, Oil, and Private Credit

    Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Rupert Mitchell of Blind Squirrel Macro to unpack why the foundations of the current US stock market bull run might be crumbling. Mitchell details his transition to a 50% cash and gold portfolio, warning that a looming wave of jumbo IPOs and cracks in the private credit markets could severely disrupt equity liquidity. He also shares his actionable bearish thesis on vulnerable sectors, revealing why he is actively shorting SaaS businesses, boutique M&A banks, and overvalued fast-casual restaurant chains. On the bullish side, Mitchell explains his custom "Shiny Acorns" strategy for investing in gold miners without taking on jurisdiction risk, alongside his continued allocation to long-lived Canadian oil assets and US refiners. Tune in for a masterclass on macro positioning during times of elevated market volatility and consumer uncertainty. Recorded March 9th, 2026. Blind Squirrel Macro research: https://t.co/mgOvPYwOAi Follow Blind Squirrel Macro on Twitter https://x.com/SquirrelMacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund. This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb. Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. TUCRM-5281845-03/26

    1 h 26 min
  5. The Ultimate Hard Asset: American Farmland and The 300-Year Water Supply Hidden Underneath It | Chris Morris LandFund Partners

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    The Ultimate Hard Asset: American Farmland and The 300-Year Water Supply Hidden Underneath It | Chris Morris LandFund Partners

    Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb In this episode of Other People's Money, Max sits down with Chris Morris, President of LandFund Partners, to explore why they believe U.S. row crop farmland is the ultimate hard asset. Chris details how farmland performed as a portfolio diversifier during the Great Financial Crisis and explains why the relative value compared to other regions and essentially free access to 300-years of groundwater them has focusing on the U.S. Mid-South region. He highlights global water scarcity, food security, and inflation as macro drivers for this farmland, but he also argues that rising values and yields from technological improvements and increased demand for non-farming purposes like solar power are how they have delivered S&P 500 beating net returns since 2021. LandFund Partners website: https://www.landfundpartners.com/ Follow LandFund Partners on X: https://x.com/LandFundLP Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:40 Teucrium SOYB 01:00 Investing in Farmland 04:26 Diversification and Correlation 06:07 Real Assets and New Macro Risks 09:13 Scarcity and Water Thesis 10:48 Protein Demand Multiplier 12:45 How Farmland Returns Work 15:00 AI and Renewable Energy 15:41 Teucrium SOYB 17:02 Community Impact and Ethics 20:21 Who Buys Farmland? 22:47 Why the Mid-South 26:33 Valuation Gap Explained 28:25 Water Rights and Water Scarcity 35:06 Solar Leases Beat Crops 39:23 AI Boosts Farm Profits 42:22 Regenerative Farming and the Three Fs 44:35 Iran Conflict Inputs and Crops 48:26 Subsidies and Rent Security 54:02 Fund Focus and Growth Plans 57:30 Conclusion SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund. This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb. Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. TUCRM-5281845-03/26

    58 min
  6. “Deflationary Bust” A Risk From AI | Alex Gurevich’s Bull Case on Rates, “Perfect Trade” Potential in Japan, and The Risk of Artificial Intelligence Poses to Labor Market

    15 MARS

    “Deflationary Bust” A Risk From AI | Alex Gurevich’s Bull Case on Rates, “Perfect Trade” Potential in Japan, and The Risk of Artificial Intelligence Poses to Labor Market

    In this interview, Alex Gurevich of HonTe Investments outlines his macroeconomic outlook, highlighting a particularly bullish stance on the platinum and palladium markets because they historically follow long cycles that lag behind gold and silver. He predicts that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence will initially act as a deflationary headwind, potentially automating away 20% of jobs by the end of the decade and permanently eliminating certain white-collar economic activities. To combat this impending deflation and job loss, he anticipates that the Federal Reserve will be forced to drastically cut short-term interest rates—possibly down to zero—alongside the introduction of massive government stimulus. Because of this dynamic, Kovich views being long on short-duration bonds as a "dominant trade" that can succeed under multiple economic outcomes, though he remains uncertain about the trajectory of long-term rates and therefore favors a steeper yield curve. Furthermore, he envisions a long-term AI-driven prosperity boom but warns that the massive compute power required will inevitably lead to a severe global energy bottleneck. As part of this AI infrastructure build-out, he specifically notes that there will not be enough copper on the planet to support the necessary power demands. Alex’s Book, “The Next Perfect Trade: A Magic Sword of Necessity”: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GBYXNLD4?tag=scribemedia0a-20&th=1&psc=1&geniuslink=true Follow Alex Gurevich on Twitter https://x.com/agurevich23/with_replies Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 h 8 min
  7. Could the Iran War Cause a New Oil Crisis? | FT's Chief Economics Commentator Martin Wolf

    13 MARS

    Could the Iran War Cause a New Oil Crisis? | FT's Chief Economics Commentator Martin Wolf

    Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times joins Jack for a frank and important discussion on the war with Iran. Jack and Martin delve into the economic consequences of a prolonged war in Iran, particularly with regards to the Strait of Hormuz being affected by the war. In short—war with Iran could be a nightmare scenario for the world economy with few if any benefits for the U.S. and most of the world. Recorded on March 11th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Martin Wolf on Twitter https://x.com/martinwolf_ Read Martin in the FT https://www.ft.com/content/dab7d625-77f8-40ff-aeb9-451f81772125 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 h 1 min
  8. Joseph Stiglitz: Higher Oil and Food Prices From Iran War Risk 1970s-Era Stagflation

    11 MARS

    Joseph Stiglitz: Higher Oil and Food Prices From Iran War Risk 1970s-Era Stagflation

    Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb Nobel Laureate in Economics Joseph Stiglitz (who holds highest #1 D-Index than all other Economists in the world) joins Jack to discuss the recent war in Iran, artificial intelligence, and his macroeconomic views. Dr. Stiglitz warns that the conflict in Iran is likely to have much more serious consequences for the U.S. & world economy than the Trump administration expected. In particular, the disruption of energy production could very well create an energy crisis similar to the one seen in the U.S. in the 1970s. Jack and Dr. Stiglitz also discuss Stiglitz’s work, including the recent The Road to Freedom, which touches on inequality, the cost of war, and economic freedom. Finally, they go over the effects of AI on employment and what the collapse of an AI bubble would mean for the economy. Recorded on March 9th, 2026. Professor Stiglitz’s The Road to Freedom https://wwnorton.com/books/9781324074373 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Professor Stiglitz on Twitter https://x.com/JosephEStiglitz Follow Professor Stiglitz on Bluesky https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:esniasaciq3ecprflyir2h3y  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez SOYB Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/soyb Investing in SOYB involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodity investments are subject to significant volatility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Teucrium Soybean Fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information about the Fund. This material must be proceeded or accompanied by the prospectus. The prospectus is available atteucrium.com/soyb. Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. TUCRM-5281845-03/26

    1 h 19 min
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

Informations

  • Création
    Jack Farley
  • Années d’activité
    2024 - 2026
  • Épisodes
    234

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