Azeem Azhar's Exponential View

Azeem Azhar
  • 5.0（13）
  • テクノロジー

How will the future unfold? What is the impact of AI and other exponential technologies on business & society? Join Azeem Azhar, founder of Exponential View, on his quest to demistify the era of exponential change.

  1. Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

    2時間前

    Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic.  To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  ---- In this episode, I'm joined by Jaime Sevilla, founder of Epoch AI; Hannah Petrovic from my team at Exponential View; and financial journalist Matt Robinson from AI Street. Together we investigate a fundamental question: do the economics of AI companies actually work?  We analysed OpenAI's financials from public data to examine whether their revenues can sustain the staggering R&D costs of frontier models.  The findings reveal a picture far more precarious than many assume; we also explore where the real infrastructure bottlenecks lie, why compute demand will dwarf energy constraints, and what the rise of long-running agentic workloads means for the entire industry.  Read the study here: https://www.exponentialview.co/p/inside-openais-unit-economics-epoch-exponentialview We covered:  (00:00) Do the economics of frontier AI actually work?  (02:48) Piecing together OpenAI's finances from public data  (05:24) GPT-5's "rapidly depreciating asset" problem  (13:25) Why OpenAI is flirting with ads  (17:31) If you were Sam Altman, what would you do differently?  (22:54) Energy vs. GPUs; where the real infrastructure bottleneck lies  (29:15) What surging compute demand actually looks like  (33:12) The most surprising finding from the research  (38:02) The race to avoid commoditization  (43:35) Agents that outlive their models    Where to find me:  Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/  Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem    Where to find Jamie: https://epoch.ai or https://epochai.substack.com  Where to find Matt: https://www.ai-street.co    Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1 Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    50分
  2. Mustafa Suleyman — AI is hacking our empathy circuits

    2月5日

    Mustafa Suleyman — AI is hacking our empathy circuits

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic. To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ ----- A week before OpenClaw exploded, I recorded a prescient conversation with Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI and co-founder of DeepMind. We talked about what happens when AI starts to seem conscious – even if it isn’t. Today, you get to hear our conversation. Mustafa has been sounding the alarm about what he calls “seemingly conscious AI” and the risk of collective AI psychosis for a long time. We discussed this idea of the “fourth class of being” – neither human, tool, nor nature – that AI is becoming and all it brings with it. Skip to the best bits: (03:38) Why consciousness means the ability to suffer (06:52) "Your empathy circuits are being hacked" (07:23) Consciousness as the basis of rights (10:47) A fourth class of being (13:41) Why market forces push toward seemingly conscious AI (20:56) What AI should never be allowed to say (25:06) The proliferation problem with open-source chatbots (29:09) Why we need well-paid civil servants (30:17) Where should we draw the line with AI? (37:48) The counterintuitive case for going faster (42:00) The vibe coding dopamine hit (47:09) Social intelligence as the next AI frontier (48:50) The case for humanist super intelligence ----- Where to find Mustafa: - X (Twitter): https://x.com/mustafasuleyman - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mustafa-suleyman/ - Personal Website: https://mustafa-suleyman.ai/ Where to find me: - Substack: https://www.exponentialview.co/ - Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/ - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar - Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem Produced by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1 Ltd. Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    50分
  3. Davos 2026 and the end of the rules-based order

    1月29日

    Davos 2026 and the end of the rules-based order

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic. To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ ----- At Davos 2026, the mood was unlike any previous World Economic Forum gathering. With Donald Trump arriving amid escalating geopolitical tensions and European leaders sounding alarms about sovereignty, I recorded live dispatches from the ground. In this special episode, I bring together observations from four days at the annual meeting, tracking the seismic shifts in global order alongside the practical realities of AI adoption in the enterprise. Skip to the best bits: (00:38) Day one at Davos (02:10) Three recurring themes through the week (03:55) Day three at Davos (05:12) Mark Carney's stirring speech (05:52) Why European leaders are sounding the alarm (06:51) Why technological sovereignty just became urgent (09:31) Day four at Davos (12:59) What leaders really have to say on AI adoption (14:07) The case for only using open source models Where to find me: Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/ Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1. Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    16分
  4. Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

    1月21日

    Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic. To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ ------ In this episode, Peter McCrory, Head of Economics at Anthropic, unpacks the company's new Economic Index report. His team analysed millions of real Claude conversations to map exactly where AI is augmenting human work today and where it isn't. We explore the striking divergence between API and chat usage, why businesses need to extract tacit knowledge to unlock AI's potential, the "hollow ladder" risk for junior workers, and Anthropic's estimate that AI could add 1.0-1.8% to annual productivity growth over the next decade. Skip to the best parts: (00:00) Anthropic's Economic Index report (01:20) Claude's two distinct usage patterns (06:22) Examining AI's impact on the labor market (09:20) Where most businesses think too small (12:03) Why extracting tacit knowledge is so important (20:33) How do we create the next generation of experts? (23:22) Why people need to develop cognitive endurance (29:55) Long-term vs. short-term productivity (35:56) The future of human knowledge (37:46) Could AI's greatest impact go unmeasured? (41:55) How task bottlenecks have moved (46:09) Implementation resembles a staircase - not a curve (50:47) "Capability doesn't instantly deliver adoption" ------ Where to find me: Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/ Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/ Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1. Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    55分
  5. My outlook for 2026: orchestration, the human edge and the AI bubble

    1月16日

    My outlook for 2026: orchestration, the human edge and the AI bubble

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic.  To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  --------  In this episode, I share my outlook for 2026 and explain why AI tools now feel genuinely different. I explore how the act of making has been transformed, why authenticity and meaning will become the new scarcity, and whether the foundations of energy and capital can hold. I also address the question I was asked most in 2025: when will the AI bubble burst?  Skip to the best bits:  00:00 Why AI feels different in 2026  01:59 The six shifts in AI 03:32 The "done list" era  06:43 From execution to orchestration  09:02 The agentic coding revolution  11:10 What's a Chief Question Officer?  13:58 Three ways value will be created  16:27 "Claude told me to use ChatGPT"  18:02 The AI usage gap  20:30 The new moat in 2026  26:10 How does solar growth affect AI?  28:53 Revisiting the bubble or boom question  ------  Where to find me:  Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/  Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem  Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1  Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    33分
  6. AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

    1月8日

    AI, markets, and power: A conversation with Paul Krugman (2025 re-run)

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years.  Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic.  To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  ------  In this episode, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman and I discuss how a strong US economy, high asset valuations, and rapid AI adoption are sitting in uneasy tension. We explore what past technology cycles can teach us, why safety nets struggle to address disruption, and where genuine optimism still makes sense.  This is a January 2025 rerun, which remains strikingly relevant today.  We covered:  (01:09) State of the US economy  (02:28) "That end of 1999 feeling"  (05:08) Insights and lessons from the dotcom bubble  (09:57) Why today's market is different  (13:44) Understanding AI's role in labor displacement  (16:05) Are LLMs "souped-up autocorrect"?  (20:14) How job displacement erodes communities  (23:40) 2025's looming threat of tariffs  (26:16) AI's surprising impact on globalization  (30:15) Can markets address inequality?  (33:06) The maximum level of sustainable national debt  (36:31) When should the Fed raise interest rates?  (38:57) The need to revitalize local economies  (44:53) Did Paul's 2025 predictions come true?  ------  Where to find me:  Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/  Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem  Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1  Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    47分
  7. Reflecting on 2025 (the K-shaped economy, AI's impact on work and human judgement, energy bottlenecks)

    2025/12/20

    Reflecting on 2025 (the K-shaped economy, AI's impact on work and human judgement, energy bottlenecks)

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic.  To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  ---  What made 2025 special?  In this episode, I reflect on the past year and what it revealed: a K-shaped divide. On one track, AI models are now doing hours of high quality work, improving at exponential pace, and shifting how we work from doing to judging. On the other, organisations and the broader economy are struggling to keep up. Stay to the end for my seasonal film recommendation.  I cover: (00:00) Intro  (00:45) The state of tool usage in 2025  (6:10) The gap between AI progress and organizational adoption  (9:53) AI’s shockingly rapid revenue growth  (11:17) The biggest mistake smart people make with AI  (14:14)  The inescapable need for physical infrastructure  (16:06) What everyone was asking in 2025  (18:08) The new winners of the AI economy  (20:48) Why “K” is the letter of 2025  (24:08) Seasonal movie recommendation  ----  Where to find me:  Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/  Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem    Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1  Production and research: Chantal Smith and Marija Gavrilov. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    25分
  8. What I learned from the world's leading minds in 2025

    2025/12/19

    What I learned from the world's leading minds in 2025

    Welcome to Exponential View, the show where I explore how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping our future. I've been studying AI and exponential technologies at the frontier for over ten years. Each week, I share some of my analysis or speak with an expert guest to make light of a particular topic. To keep up with the Exponential transition, subscribe to this channel or to my newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  ---  In this episode, I’ve distilled a year of extraordinary dialogue into one 20-minute briefing. I’ve spent 2025 in conversation with the architects of our future - the builders and thinkers redefining AI, energy, and the global economy. These are the "eureka" moments from my most exclusive interviews. From the future of "protopia" with Kevin Kelly to the hidden tech gaps with Dan Wang, this is your strategic roadmap for the exponential age. What you'll hear about: Part 1: AI as a general purpose tech Kevin Weil: The heuristic for startupsMatthew Prince: The “Socialist” pricing debateTyler Cowen: This will stifle the AI boomNick Thompson: The "NBA-ification" of JournalismKevin Kelly: From utopia to protopiaKevin Kelly: Technology as a "possibility factory”Part 2: How work is changing Steve Hsu: The future of educationThomas Dohmke: The inspectability turning pointBen Zweig: The new role for entry-level workersBen Zweig: Why are there so many hiring freezes?Ben Zweig: The eroding signal of higher educationPart 3: The physical world, compute, and energy Greg Jackson: The "crossing the road" metaphorGreg Jackson: Building a “show don’t tell” companyDan Wang, The "physical reality" of AIPart 4: The changing US China landscapeDan Wang: The West’s hidden tech gapJordan Schneider: The two types of accelerationismJordan Schneider: Why the US can learn from ChinaWhere to find me:  Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/  Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azhar/ Twitter/X: https://x.com/azeem  Production by supermix.io and EPIIPLUS1  Production and research: Chantal Smith, Marija Gavrilov and Hannah Petrovic Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    22分
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番組について

How will the future unfold? What is the impact of AI and other exponential technologies on business & society? Join Azeem Azhar, founder of Exponential View, on his quest to demistify the era of exponential change.

情報

  • クリエイター
    Azeem Azhar
  • 配信期間
    16年 - 26年
  • エピソード
    221
  • 制限指定
    不適切な内容を含まない
  • Copyright
    © Copyright 2024 EPIIPLUS1 Ltd
  • 番組のWebサイト
    Azeem Azhar's Exponential View

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