5 in 5 with ANZ ANZ

The Fed has held US rates and reduced its ‘dot plot’ forecast to just one cut in 2024 from three. Earlier, a lower-than-expected US May CPI sent Treasury yields tumbling and stocks surging to record highs. Inflation in India and China was also softer than expected.
In our bonus deep dive interview, NZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes says Asia’s heatwave is putting huge pressure on energy grids already dealing with greater electrification, boosting demand in particular for LNG.

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US stocks weaken ahead of Fed rate decision; European markets continue to be buffeted by Macron’s French election call; Australian businesses grow gloomier, but the RBA still has a headache; and China’s CPI later today is being watched for any signs of domestic demand.
In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton takes us through ANZ Research’s call change for when the RBA will begin rate cuts.

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European stocks fall after French President Emmanuel Macron’s surprise decision to call Parliamentary elections he is forecast to lose. We preview the Fed’s decision this week, and look out to US inflation data
In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner talks about why she sees the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cutting in February next year, rather than May.

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The ECB cuts rates overnight as expected, but reluctantly. Australian housing lending jumps in April as rental property investors build up a head of steam, while building work slows in New Zealand.
In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes reviews the OPEC+ meeting earlier this week and its impact on the oil market.

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Stronger US services activity is shrugged off as rate cut hopes increase off the back of a cut by Bank of Canada and expectations the ECB will also move. Australia’s economy hangs onto growth, boosted by stronger household consumption.
In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Catherine Birch highlights work Australia’s Fair Work Commission is undertaking on gender undervaluation.

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India’s election throws a curveball into the markets, with Narendra Modi’s BJP failing to secure a majority; US markets increase Fed rate cut bets after soft job openings data; And in Australia, weaker net export figures could be a drag on GDP data out today.
In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Dhiraj Nim outlines what India’s election result could mean for fiscal and monetary policy there following the election result.

Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/