Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. Warren Pies: The Scramble for Compute Cures All Ills | Two Wolves of “Hockeysticking Earnings” and Hormuz Oil Shock (Plus Caliban)

    1 DAY AGO

    Warren Pies: The Scramble for Compute Cures All Ills | Two Wolves of “Hockeysticking Earnings” and Hormuz Oil Shock (Plus Caliban)

    Request Access to Free Trial to Caliban, Warren’s new AI-powered research tool that automates complex data sourcing & institutional-grade charting for investors: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/monetary-matters In this episode, Warren Pies, founder of 314 Research and Caliban, joins the show to analyze the "two wolves" currently battling for control of the market: the transformative power of AI and the historic oil crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Pies details how an "agentic explosion" in AI and a massive scramble for compute are fueling an unprecedented earnings boom, with proprietary data showing that frontier models like Mythos are driving a legitimate, if lopsided, market advance. On the flip side, we explore the terrifying 10-million-barrel-per-day oil deficit caused by geopolitical blockades and why "managed demand destruction" has been the only force keeping prices from skyrocketing past $200. Despite these risks, Warren remains fundamentally bullish on equities, arguing that the AI-driven CapEx cycle and resilient fiscal stimulus are powerful enough to help the S&P 500 look through the energy nightmare. We also get an exclusive look at Caliban. Finally, Warren shares his tactical portfolio positioning, explaining his strategy for staying overweight in both stocks and oil commodities while remaining underweight in fixed income. Tune in to see how the S&P 500 reached the 7,000 target predicted in 2024 and why Warren believes the path to 8,000 remains intact. Recorded May 1st, 2026.

    1hr 11min
  2. Why Fundamentals Fail the New Economy | Jacob Pozharny on “Sentiment” Analysis’ Role in New Economy Stocks

    4 DAYS AGO

    Why Fundamentals Fail the New Economy | Jacob Pozharny on “Sentiment” Analysis’ Role in New Economy Stocks

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of "Monetary Matters," Jacob Pozharny, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Bridgeway Capital Management, explains why traditional fundamental analysis often fails "new economy" stocks due to the rise of intangible assets like R&D and customer relationships. He details a bifurcated investment strategy that utilizes advanced sentiment analysis for high-tech sectors while maintaining a classic fundamental approach for "old economy" industries. The discussion highlights how the 2026 Iran war is currently creating significant market dislocations in global energy and shipping, offering unique "alpha hunting" opportunities identified through proprietary textual analysis of earnings calls. Pozharny argues that the most effective stock picking occurs in less efficient mid-cap and small-cap markets outside the U.S., where the potential return spread is significantly wider than in the S&P 500. Finally, he outlines his firm's market-neutral approach to building idiosyncratic return streams that remain uncorrelated to broader market direction by leveraging unique data such as buy-side borrow availability. Jacob is portfolio manager of Bridgeway Global Opportunities Fund (BRGOX). Recorded April 16, 2026. Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC

    1hr 23min
  3. Jim Bianco on Division at the Fed and Jerome Powell’s Controversial Decision to Stay

    5 DAYS AGO

    Jim Bianco on Division at the Fed and Jerome Powell’s Controversial Decision to Stay

    Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @MTSituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Jack Farley and Max Wiethe interview Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. The discussion covers Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's controversial decision to stay on after Kevin Warsh becomes Chairman. Bianco highlights the shift towards independent voting at the Fed, pointing to a recent dissents focused on easing bias language. Bianco also explores the economic impact of the continued blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and shares his market outlook, predicting elevated oil prices and trending higher interest rates. Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:10 Powell Stays Controversy 02:24 Fed Independence and Dissents 03:57 Investigation Deal Explained 09:04 Easing Bias Forward Guidance 13:55 Supreme Court and Fed Upheaval 19:20 Earnings and Market Reaction 21:47 Oil Shock and Inflation Debate 25:47 Warsh Era Fed Outlook 32:13 Strait of Hormuz War Fallout 39:11 Trades for a Protracted War 41:30 Wrap Up and Where to Follow

    42 min
  4. SpaceX IPO: Why This Hedge Fund Manager is Fading the Hype | Moez Kassam

    5 DAYS AGO

    SpaceX IPO: Why This Hedge Fund Manager is Fading the Hype | Moez Kassam

    Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @MTSlive for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Hosts Jack Farley and Max Wiethe are joined by Moez Kassam, the Chief Investment Officer of Anson Funds. Moez breaks down his strategy for generating alpha by acting as a contrarian and fading the crowd during times of rampant market speculation. In this episode, we cover: • The SpaceX IPO Rumors: Moez discusses the potential mechanics of the largest expected IPO in history and the rumors of early investor unlocks. He also details the "Day 9" trading strategy surrounding Nasdaq index inclusion. • The Massive Cannabis Opportunity: Learn why Anson Funds believes the U.S. cannabis sector could see a 400% move in a few years. Moez breaks down the DEA's descheduling process and the elimination of the restrictive 280E tax code. • Software and Activism: Why the indiscriminate selling of software stocks has created a massive opportunity for free cash flow investors and activist campaigns. • Navigating Emerging Tech: A candid assessment of AI, Space, and Quantum technologies. Moez explains why Quantum is facing a massive discount rate and why investors should be wary of the "me-too" space stocks. • Crypto & Private Credit: Insights from the recent Trump Crypto Conference and why the extreme negative sentiment around private credit makes its 10-15% yields highly attractive. Follow Moez Kassam on Instagram: @munchingmoez Follow Moez Kassam on X: https://x.com/MunchingMoez Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:10 SpaceX IPO Setup 05:49 Index Inclusion Trade 07:21 S-1 Filing Reality Check 08:32 Elon Rolls Up Businesses 12:12 Shorting Space Me Toos 13:35 AI, Space, Quantum Hype 16:18 Software Selloff and Activism 18:42 Cannabis Contrarian Bet 21:44 Descheduling Mechanics 24:30 AI & Semis: Crowded Trade? 26:10 Crypto Mood Shift 29:29 Media Activism Plays 31:16 Software Cash Flow vs Hype 34:49 Measuring Market Sentiment 37:51 Bitcoin Crowd Psychology 40:06 Shipping and Energy Contrarian 41:16 Canada: Gold & Oil Pulse 43:35 Process Over Predictions 45:50 Private Credit Negativity 46:34 Outro

    47 min
  5. From Soros to Old Farm: How to Identify the Market’s Top Thematic Risk-Takers | Kieran Cavanna | Old Farm Partners

    6 DAYS AGO

    From Soros to Old Farm: How to Identify the Market’s Top Thematic Risk-Takers | Kieran Cavanna | Old Farm Partners

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Kieran Cavanna, the founder and CIO of Old Farm Partners and former head of external managers at Soros Fund Management joins Other People’s Money to break down his high-conviction approach to thematic investing, explaining why "making the main thing the main thing" is the secret to capturing outsized returns in the public markets. From his time working under legendary macro investor Scott Bessent to his current focus at Old Farm Partners, Kieran shares how he identifies "asymmetric" opportunities where the upside is massive and the downside is protected. If you've ever wondered how the world’s most sophisticated allocators source managers and structure co-investments to beat the market, this is an interview you can't miss. Listen to the Thematic Investors Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTSvmgAOiFVttgxmUaO4hSgMxutOwyS9T Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:17 Soros External Managers 03:36 What Makes Great Managers 07:01 Spotting Skill Vs Luck 08:47 Risk Management 12:37 Geography and Benchmarks 15:21 Style Drift and Communication 18:57 Fees and Multi Strat Debate 22:30 Spinouts and Independence 26:47 Co-Investing in Public Markets 30:06 Allocator Base and Drawdown Focus 31:12 Family Office Allocators 32:13 Private Credit Shift 36:57 Big Launches Small Wins 38:40 AI CapEx Main Event 41:26 Defense Tech Next Theme 42:44 Asymmetry Not Binary 44:51 Cross Sector Blind Spots 49:51 Crowded Trades Unwind 52:58 Macro Themes Bottom Up 57:37 Risks and Hedging 59:42 Thematic Investors Podcast

    1hr 1min
  6. “Overblown” Sell-off in Software Loans | Matthew Bloomfield on Public BDCs (Business Development Companies) and Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

    26 APR

    “Overblown” Sell-off in Software Loans | Matthew Bloomfield on Public BDCs (Business Development Companies) and Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners   Matthew Bloomfield, President of Palmer Square Capital BDC, joins Jack to discuss structured credit markets. With fears rising over private credit defaults, it is important to listen to voices like Matthew. Matthew dives deep into the nuances of business development companies (BDCs), collateralized loan obligations, A.I. disruption, and private credit. He brings with him years of domain specific expertise on credit markets and is an incredible resource for those looking to become more acquainted with the minutiae of the credit industry. Recorded on April 14th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Matthew Bloomfield on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/matt-bloomfield-66433932/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1hr 11min
  7. Navigating the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Disruption is Mispriced | Deiya Pernas | Pernas Research

    19 APR

    Navigating the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Disruption is Mispriced | Deiya Pernas | Pernas Research

    Monetary Matters listeners can save 20% on their first-year subscription to Pernas Research: http://pernasresearch.com/monetarymatters Software stocks have plummeted as the market prices in existential threats from AI capabilities and the rise of "vibe coding". In this episode, Deiya Pernas of Pernas Research explains why he believes the market is entirely misjudging the resilience of smaller SaaS companies. He argues that real-world integrations, enterprise-grade security, and privileged API access create powerful moats that simple code generation cannot easily replace. Pernas also reveals a previously multi-billion-dollar enterprise company that he sees 100% upside in over the next 12 months. Tune in to discover how to navigate the current "SaaS apocalypse" and identify mispriced opportunities in the market. Follow Pernas Research on X: https://x.com/pernasresearch Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 SaaS Apocalypse Setup 00:43 Pernas Research Offer 02:02 Software’s Second Leg Down 04:21 What Really Disrupts 07:23 Spotting Real Pivots 08:58 Valuations Hit 3x EV/Sales 11:27 When Sentiment Flips 14:03 Real World SaaS Focus 15:32 Vibe Coding Reality Check 17:52 Research Tools and Hiring 19:09 Pernas Research Offer 22:57 Sprout Social Pitch 25:37 Moat via API Access 28:12 Competition and TAM 32:16 Sprout Growth Outlook Ahead 33:49 Stock Comp Debate 36:57 3 More Bullish Stocks 38:33 Xometry Marketplace Explained 44:57 Xometry Scaling and Profit Path 46:04 Remitly vs. Wise 49:11 Migration Theme and Risks 52:29 Policy Shock and Risk Mindset 55:22 Portfolio Volatility Playbook 59:11 Conclusion

    1hr 2min
  8. Banks' “Considerable” Exposure to Private Credit | Chris Whalen on Banks’ Loans to NBFIs, Plus CRE, Gold, and Payments

    18 APR

    Banks' “Considerable” Exposure to Private Credit | Chris Whalen on Banks’ Loans to NBFIs, Plus CRE, Gold, and Payments

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode, banking specialist Chris Whalen joins Jack to unpack the hidden risks within recent bank earnings, focusing heavily on the sector's exposure to private credit and non-depository financial institutions. Chris explains how the widespread use of off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicles obscures the true level of risk, warning that regional banks could face significant pain as troubled private credit debt is forced into equity. The conversation also explores the ongoing turmoil in commercial real estate, noting that while premium properties remain insulated, older buildings and specific markets like Chicago are suffering steep valuation discounts. Shifting to asset protection, Chris details his bullish stance on precious metals, highlighting gold as a crucial global monetary trade and silver as an industrial necessity currently facing acute supply shortages. Recorded April 17, 2026. Follow Chris Whalen on X https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC

    54 min
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About

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

Information

  • Creator
    Jack Farley
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2026
  • Episodes
    254

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