Patrick Boyle

Patrick Boyle

Patrick Boyle is a hedge fund manager, a university professor and a former investment banker. This channel is all about quantitative finance. By subscribing you will see videos explaining what is happening in markets right now, you will learn about financial derivatives, corporate finance and how traders use quantitative tools like statistics. You will see interviews with some of the most interesting people in the financial industry. In addition, you will see some longer form documentaries on the history of financial markets.To contact Patrick go to the website http://onfinance.orgDISCLAIMER:This channel is not affiliated with any financial institution. The videos on this channel are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Those seeking investment advice should seek out a registered professional. Patrick is not responsible for investment actions taken by viewers and his content should not be used as a basis for investment.Links:Amazon Author Page: https://amzn.to/3bTeqedPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceWebsite: https://www.onfinance.org/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/patrickeboyle/BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social

  1. 20 min ago

    How Trump’s Tariffs Will Transform Global Trade?

    Go to https://surfshark.com/boyle for 4 extra months of SurfsharkPresident Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on April second were more severe than the market expected. On top of a 10 per cent universal minimum tariff, the new regime includes significantly higher tariffs for most major trading partners and brings US effective tariff rates to levels we have not seen since the early 1900s. How will Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs transform global trade?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.orgPatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveHidden Forces Podcast: https://hiddenforces.io/podcasts/end-of-the-german-economic-miracle-wolfgang-munchau/Manoj Pradhan & Charles Goodhart - The Great Demographic Reversal: https://amzn.to/42zBaNWMichael Pettis & Matthew Klein - Trade Wars are Class Wars: https://amzn.to/42kiiB4Join this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    How Trump’s Tariffs Will Transform Global Trade?
  2. 49 min ago

    History's Greatest Conman!

    To try everything Brilliant has to offer for free for a full 30 days, visit https://brilliant.org/patrick/. You’ll also get 20% off an annual premium subscription.Gregor MacGregor was a Scottish soldier, adventurer, and con man who invented a Central American country called “Poyais,” in 1820 which he claimed to rule as the “Cazique.” MacGregor attempted to draw British and French investors and settlers to his fictional country. Hundreds invested in Poyaisian government bonds and land certificates, while about 250 emigrated to MacGregor’s invented country. MacGregor’s Poyais scheme has been called one of the most brazen confidence tricks in history.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleThe Land That Never Was By David Sinclair: https://amzn.to/4eVC3EDVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyleBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.orgPatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveJoin this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    History's Greatest Conman!
  3. 55 min ago

    What Happened to Electric Vehicle Sales?

    To try everything Brilliant has to offer for free for a full 30 days, visit https://brilliant.org/patrick/. You’ll also get 20% off an annual premium subscription. Sales growth of electric vehicles has slowed dramatically this year. Tesla delivered 20% fewer cars in the first quarter of 2024 than in the prior quarter, and BYD who was previously the world’s biggest EV maker saw sales decline more than 40% over the same period.BYD’s EV sales were still up 13% when compared to the same quarter a year earlier, while Tesla’s sales were down 9%. Both companies have been slashing prices to stimulate demand.While EV sales overall are still rising, they are rising at a slower rate than before. On top of that, the space has become more competitive as legacy automakers have introduced new EVs, and Chinese manufacturers have ramped up exports, overtaking Japan as the world's biggest vehicle exporter last year.Apple, who spent a decade and ten billion dollars on research, decided in February to end their efforts to build an electric car. The Apple car would have likely cost over $100 thousand dollars and would have had lower profit margins than their core consumer electronics business. Apple’s stock price rose on the announcement that they were abandoning their EV project.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveJoin this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/joinVideos Mentioned: @TheIntercooler https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vQY-VeA87cM&t=307s @harrysgarage https://youtu.be/nZysvgm2_Aw?si=AzvFLM2Ta56HgRxl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    What Happened to Electric Vehicle Sales?
  4. 1 hr ago

    Trump’s Big Pharma Battle: Real Reform or Empty Promise?

    Ad: 🔒Remove your personal information from the web at https://joindeleteme.com/BOYLE and use code BOYLE for 20% off 🙌 DeleteMe international Plans: https://international.joindeleteme.comDonald Trump has promised to slash the US’s high prescription medication prices by as much as 80 per cent with an executive order that seeks to force other countries to pay more for their medicines.“Americans will no longer be forced to pay almost three times more for the exact same medicines, often made in the exact same factories,” the order said. “As the largest purchaser of pharmaceuticals, Americans should get the best deal.” Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.orgPatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveJoin this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Trump’s Big Pharma Battle: Real Reform or Empty Promise?
  5. 2 hr ago

    Sell in May And Go Away?

    Todays we look at the investing adage "Sell in May and Go Away" Does it make sense today and is it a good general rule? Let's examine the statistics.Buy Patrick's Book Here: https://amzn.to/2J2kF3AVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyleUS stocks finished their biggest monthly rally this April since 1987. The market rose 12.7% over the month, cutting the coronavirus-driven losses on the S&P 500 to about 10 per cent year to date, despite an economic shock far greater than the financial crisis a decade ago. Some investors have expressed doubts about whether the rallies have further to run but are reluctant to bet against the massive interventions by central banks and governments around the world.The rally in equities is not driven by fundamentals but by the liquidity support from the Federal Reserve.The rally has been led by the tech sector that dominate the US stock market. Amazon and Netflix have both gained more than 40 per cent from their mid-March lows, benefiting from the shutdowns around the world that have kept billions of people indoors, reliant on home delivery and streaming entertainment.A big gap between signals from the commodities and bond markets, which indicate expectations for a long period of low growth and stocks, which are pricing in a strong rebound for economic growth and corporate earnings. It is a tug of war between central bank policy and stock fundamentals. Right now, policy is winning.Howard Marks of Oaktree recently said on CNBC “We're only down 15% from the all-time high of February 19, and it seems to me the world is more than 15% screwed up."It took seven years to get back to the 2000 highs in 2007," Marks told CNBC. "It took five-and-a-half years to get back to the 2007 highs in late 2012.""Is it really appropriate that, given all the bad news in the world today, we should get back to the highs in only three months? That seems inappropriately positive," he added.So, does the Halloween Indicator actually work?Looking at S&P500 monthly returns from 1928 to present we can see that November - April Returns are on average +5.1% while May – October returns average out at +2.1%An academic paper by Jacobsen and Bouman from 1998, which was updated in 2009 finds that this inherited wisdom is true in 36 of the 37 developed and emerging markets that they studied. The 'Sell in May' effect tends to be particularly strong in European countries and is robust over time. Sample evidence, for instance, shows that in the UK the effect has been noticeable since 1694.So, what is the lesson of this? Should investors follow every investing adage that they hear? No, hopefully your take-away from this piece is that most ideas that are testable should be tested. It took less than fifteen minutes for me to download the monthly data and study this effect. While returns are indeed lower over the summer half of the year, there is a general positive expectation associated with investing in stocks. If you want to have a handful of winning investment rules, the best way to get them is to download some stock market data from the internet and test your ideas.Sell in May and Go Away 2020 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Sell in May And Go Away?
  6. 2 hr ago

    The Mirage of Megaprojects: Why the West Keeps Getting Infrastructure Wrong

    Ad: 🔒Remove your personal information from the web at https://joindeleteme.com/BOYLE and use code BOYLE for 20% off🙌🏻 DeleteMe international Plans: https://international.joindeleteme.comBritain once built world-class infrastructure with speed and purpose—now it plans ideas like a £24 billion extension cords to Morocco that are unlikely to ever work. This video dives into the rise and fall of the Xlinks Morocco–UK Power Project, exploring how overcomplication, bespoke design, and regulatory gridlock have turned modern megaprojects into cautionary tales. From fish discos at Hinkley Point C to 31,000-page environmental assessments, we ask: have we forgotten how to build? And what can we learn from countries like Ireland in the 1920s—or South Korea today—about getting big things done?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org@TheDavidMcWilliams link: https://youtu.be/niZ1OBQnODw?si=z3mVIIirWfDLE8Mw@commonsenseskeptic link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XPYWyqy1hng&t=7sPatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveJoin this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Mirage of Megaprojects: Why the West Keeps Getting Infrastructure Wrong

About

Patrick Boyle is a hedge fund manager, a university professor and a former investment banker. This channel is all about quantitative finance. By subscribing you will see videos explaining what is happening in markets right now, you will learn about financial derivatives, corporate finance and how traders use quantitative tools like statistics. You will see interviews with some of the most interesting people in the financial industry. In addition, you will see some longer form documentaries on the history of financial markets.To contact Patrick go to the website http://onfinance.orgDISCLAIMER:This channel is not affiliated with any financial institution. The videos on this channel are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Those seeking investment advice should seek out a registered professional. Patrick is not responsible for investment actions taken by viewers and his content should not be used as a basis for investment.Links:Amazon Author Page: https://amzn.to/3bTeqedPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceWebsite: https://www.onfinance.org/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/patrickeboyle/BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social

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