RiskReversal Pod

Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech.  We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions. Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

  1. Gene Munster Believes It's Different This Time

    1 day ago

    Gene Munster Believes It's Different This Time

    Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, for a wide-ranging conversation recorded as the market sold off into the close — and as the guys sign off from their current studio one last time. They open on Micron's blowout quarter and the 16 strategic five-year customer agreements that have it up 20%, debating whether the historic boom-and-bust cyclicality is finally being priced out of memory. From there, Gene makes his case that the AI trade is still in the "second inning," walking through AGI, the gap between hype and adoption, the threat cheap open-source models out of China pose to model pricing, and why he thinks Google has gotten the best return on its AI investment so far. The group also digs into Apple's pricing power as memory costs spike — and the 2019 upgrade-cycle scare that still haunts the bulls — before closing on the SpaceX IPO one week in, the Tesla–SpaceX roll-up bet, and the state of robotaxi and full self-driving. Articles Referenced Why aren’t more companies adopting AI? (FT) Fatal Tesla Crash Into Texas Home Now Under Federal Safety Investigation (WSJ) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    51 min
  2. James Lavish Gives Us His "Strategy" for Trading These Markets

    2 days ago

    James Lavish Gives Us His "Strategy" for Trading These Markets

    Find James Lavish's SubStack Here: https://www.jameslavish.com/ Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ In this episode of On the Tape, Danny Moses welcomes James Lavish back to the show for a wide-ranging conversation that goes well beyond Bitcoin. Drawing on his background trading risk arbitrage on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and running the Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, James breaks down why he believes the Fed and Treasury are "trapped" by a looming wall of debt—roughly $14 trillion rolling over in the next year on top of ongoing $2 trillion deficits—and what that means for rates, inflation, and the dollar. Danny and James dig into Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and his more hawkish-but-mostly-bark tone, the odds of a July rate hike, and how the war and energy prices are feeding back into inflation. They explore the "hot ball of money" chasing AI and the SpaceX IPO, the K-shaped economy driving retail toward speculative bets, and why James sees a coming rotation of capital out of high-flying AI names and back into Bitcoin. The two also debate Michael Saylor's Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) at length—whether its leverage and perpetual preferred structure leave Saylor in a "trap" or a position of strength—with James arguing the balance sheet concerns are overblown if you believe in Bitcoin long term. James shares how his fund approaches Bitcoin-adjacent energy and AI investments, and Danny closes with his Kalshi picks of the week. --ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    42 min
  3. 4 days ago

    Ilir Sela at Grimaldi's Pizzeria | Standing Table #5

    In New York, pizza is not just food - it’s part of the city’s DNA. And that story runs deep in Brooklyn where working class immigrant neighborhoods helped shape the pizza we know today. Grimaldi’s, sitting in the shadows of the Brooklyn Bridge, serves authentic, coal-fired brick oven pizza, sought out by tourists, locals and celebs like Ilir Sela, the founder and CEO of Slice.  As an Albanian raised in Staten Island, pizza was Ilir’s destiny. In this episode, we’re sharing a pie with this founder who transformed mom & pop shops around the country and today enjoys the largest network of independent pizzerias in America.  Timecodes  00:00 “I Bought a Bentley With My First Profits” 00:32 Meet the Founder of Slice 03:20 The Albanian Connection to Pizza 05:30 Is Cheese a Topping? 06:23 Why Domino's Is a Great Business 09:30 The Problem Slice Was Built to Solve 14:00 Building a Business-in-a-Box for Pizzerias 19:28 The Moment He Knew Slice Would Work 20:47 From a Two-Bedroom Apartment to a Tech Company 22:30 The Secret to Entrepreneurial Success —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    25 min
  4. 19 Jun

    Imran Khan: The Nvidia Math Says This Isn't A Bubble

    Is the AI trade a bubble? Imran Khan — founder of Proem Asset Management, former Snap executive, and the banker behind the Alibaba and Mercado Libre IPOs — isn't convinced. Dan Nathan sits down with Imran to pressure-test the bear case, from Nvidia's below-market multiple to the cyclical-vs-secular debate in memory, and to dig into why a big chunk of SpaceX's $2.5T valuation may not be a space story at all. Topics Covered Why hyperscalers underperform during heavy CapEx cycles — and why that's historically the best time to buy Distribution vs. technology: how Gemini won while arguably being the inferior model, and why Grok couldn't Meta's setup — cheap on earnings, not cheap on free cash flow — and the Zuckerberg "big swing" risk Nvidia at a $5T market cap: the $20B debt raise, buybacks, and the customers-are-competitors problem Micron and high-bandwidth memory sold out into 2027, and the cyclical-vs-secular question that decides the stock The "bottleneck trade" everyone's chasing — and why earnings durability is the thing to watch Energy constraints, data center delays, and the long-term demand picture Imran's contrarian case that AI won't create structural unemployment SpaceX's valuation decoded: rocket launch, Starlink, and the xAI cloud ramp What OpenAI and Anthropic coming to market could mean for the AI trade —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    50 min
  5. 17 Jun

    The SaaSpocalypse Is Looking Like A Bank Run with Current's Stuart Sopp & Trevor Marshall

    Dan Nathan welcomes Current co-founders Stuart Sopp and CTO Trevor Marshall to discuss Current’s business momentum, the fintech landscape, and the evolving AI build-out. Sopp announces an $80 million Series E at a $1.5 billion valuation led by Spring Coast, noting Current’s profitability, deepened partnerships with Cross River and General Catalyst’s customer value fund, and over 70% growth for three consecutive years. Marshall describes Current’s compounding product strategy around combining banking and liquidity, and how disciplined infrastructure cost controls shape their AI approach, including customer-facing personalization and potential use of lower-cost or self-hosted models. The group debates token pricing deflation, open-source models, hyperscaler distribution advantages (especially Google/Vertex), SaaS displacement, and macro factors affecting consumers, concluding fintech winners are emerging and public-market interest may return via IPOs or M&A. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    44 min
  6. Warsh's First Fed Meeting, SpaceX Going Public & A Vice Stock Update

    11 Jun

    Warsh's First Fed Meeting, SpaceX Going Public & A Vice Stock Update

    Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Danny Moses is joined by Dan Nathan to break down a market that sold off on good news — strong jobs data, sticky inflation, and a Fed whose hands look increasingly tied heading into the CPI print. The guys dig into why the AI and data-center build has become the entire economy, and what a rotation out of those names would actually mean for growth. From there: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and how Danny is playing the odds of a dissenting vote, the long-awaited SpaceX IPO and the fine print behind it — index-inclusion mechanics, the timing of the Anthropic and Google compute deals, the 90-day exit clauses, and the question of who's left to buy once endowments and retail are already in. They close on two vice trades worth watching: Trulieve's move to the NYSE as cannabis quietly notches its biggest win in years, and how prediction markets like Kalshi are reshaping the data-provider landscape under DraftKings, FanDuel, and Flutter. --ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    22 min
  7. The AI Trade Shows Signs Of Weakness + Team Rubicon CEO Jim Brooks Was Here

    8 Jun

    The AI Trade Shows Signs Of Weakness + Team Rubicon CEO Jim Brooks Was Here

    Guy Adami and Dan Nathan break down a strange Friday tape: a strong jobs report that sent stocks lower as the market prices out rate cuts — and even flirts with hikes. They dig into the Broadcom-led selloff in semis, Anthropic's call to slow down AI development and what it could mean for the CapEx trade, and Bitcoin getting cut in half at ~$60K alongside the unraveling of the crypto treasury-company trade. Then Guy unloads on the SpaceX IPO and Jamie Dimon's endorsement of the deal, asking whether someone just rang the bell at the top. In the second half, Dan sits down with Jim Brooks, CEO of Team Rubicon, on his path from Navy SEAL to the CIA to the C-suite — and what grit, culture, and leadership look like when you're leading a force of 200,000 volunteers. They close on defense tech, drones, and the future of the space economy. Show Notes Anthropic Urges Global Pause in AI Development, Flags ‘Self-Improvement’ Risk (WSJ) Goldman Sachs expects SpaceX’s AI revenue to increase 100-fold by 2030 (FT) Morgan Stanley Sees SpaceX’s Revenue Reaching $3.4 Trillion in 2040 (WSJ) Elon Musk's near-daily online posts about race are turning off some fans (Washington Post) Musk Leaves Investors Starstruck at Dimon’s SpaceX Extravaganza (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    1hr 17min
  8. America's Trillion-Dollar Race to Catch Chinese Miners with Brian Paes-Braga, Founder/CEO of The Metals Royalty Company

    5 Jun

    America's Trillion-Dollar Race to Catch Chinese Miners with Brian Paes-Braga, Founder/CEO of The Metals Royalty Company

    Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are back with a packed episode covering the biggest market moves of the week. They kick things off with Broadcom's post-earnings selloff, a two-plus trillion dollar company that dropped over 16% after missing on key AI revenue targets and what it signals about how quickly the market punishes misses at elevated valuations, even when the underlying metrics aren't bad. From there, Guy and Dan dig into the broader AI trade, single-stock volatility versus a VIX sitting below 16, and what the repeal of the pattern day trading rule could mean for retail momentum names going forward. They also touch on Google's surprising resilience on a rough day for semis, why the market may be coming around to it as a long-term AI winner, and what a potential SpaceX IPO could mean for capital rotation across the tech landscape. After the break, Guy Adami sits down with Brian Paes-Braga, Executive Co-Chairman and CEO of Metals Royalty Company (Nasdaq: TMCR), to discuss one of the most urgent and underreported stories in markets today: America's critical mineral crisis. China controls 19 of 20 critical minerals essential to the modern economy, and the U.S. is decades behind. Brian breaks down why rare earths and critical minerals are a national security issue, how the mining industry was quietly offshored while no one was paying attention, and why the race to secure supply chains may mirror the shale revolution that transformed American energy dominance. They also dig into how the Metals Royalty Company is positioning itself as an alternative capital provider for mining projects across the U.S., Canada, and Latin America and why this could be one of the biggest investment themes of the next decade. Show Notes Op-Ed: America’s mineral awakening – onshoring supply chains, rebuilding industry, and the race for mineral independence (Mining.com) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

    57 min

Trailers

About

Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech.  We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions. Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

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