The Real Eisman Playbook

Steve Eisman

The Real Eisman Playbook is your front-row seat to the insights, strategies, and perspectives of legendary investor Steve Eisman. Best known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Steve brings his sharp analysis and no-nonsense approach to dissecting the markets, global economy, and investment trends shaping the future. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just curious about how the financial world really works, The Eisman Playbook delivers the knowledge you need to stay ahead. Tune in for expert commentary, candid conversations, and actionable takeaways from one of Wall Street’s most influential minds.

  1. 4 hr ago

    SpaceX's Exploding Capex, AI Addiction Lawsuits, and the Reality of "TokenMaxxing" | The Weekly Wrap

    On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman revisits his SpaceX analysis and explains why he's skeptical about the company's valuation. He also covers Microsoft's move to token-based pricing for GitHub Copilot, addiction lawsuits against OpenAI, Nvidia's entrance into the PC market, and why private credit redemptions are now spreading from credit funds into the broader alternatives space. He also answers a mailbag question regarding whether or not now is a good time to buy a home. 00:00 - Intro 02:05 - Why the SpaceX Valuation is Crazy 07:30 - Anthropic's Future IPO 07:49 - OpenAI Sued & AI Addiction Concerns 09:45 - Agentic AI & Hidden Costs 12:22 - Microsoft Moves to Token-Based Pricing 12:50 - Nvidia Enters the PC Market 13:39 - Overall Market Thoughts 15:24 - Homebuilding Sector Update 17:02 - Private Credit Updates 18:24 - Earnings: Palo Alto & Broadcom 20:08 - Mailbag: Owning or Renting a Home 21:25 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    25 min
  2. 4 days ago

    Is AI a Bubble? Gary Marcus on What Could Break the Story | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 62

    On episode 62 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman opens with a sweeping overview of the entire AI landscape before sitting down with Gary Marcus to discuss the issues surrounding the industry. Gary breaks down why LLMs hallucinate, why scaling is no longer driving progress the way it used to, and why the economics of token pricing could be the thing that finally breaks the AI story. 00:00 - Intro & The Story of AI 09:25 - Start of Gary Marcus Interview 10:15 - The Limitations of LLMs 16:24 - What is AI Good For Right Now? 22:20 - Where AI Struggles & Why LLMs Hallucinate 26:50 - The Costs of Tokens 39:38 - The $2 Trillion Spending 43:19 - Will AI Break? Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    50 min
  3. 29 May

    The SpaceX IPO: Science Fiction or Serious Investment? | The Weekly Wrap

    On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman breaks down the SpaceX IPO, how Nasdaq changed its own rules to fast-track SpaceX into indices, and why Elon Musk is reserving 30% of the offering for retail investors. He also covers Salesforce's mixed quarter and Dell's explosive 39% revenue growth, and answers a viewer mailbag on whether Bank of America is still worth owning. 00:00 - Intro 02:24 - Iran War Updates 02:40 - SpaceX's Record Breaking IPO 11:12 - Salesforce 12:46 - Dell 13:16 - Mailbag: Bank of America 17:09 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    21 min
  4. 25 May

    How Silicon Valley Took Over the Defense Industry with Peter Arment | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 61

    On episode 61 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Peter Arment, aerospace and defense analyst at Baird, to break down how Silicon Valley's $66 billion bet on defense tech is disrupting the industry and why defense stocks are selling off during an active war. Peter makes the case for breaking up Lockheed Martin, explains why cheap drones are beginning to challenge the F-35, and walks through the nuclear renaissance powering overlooked names like Curtis Wright and BWX Technologies. 0:00:00 - Intro 0:01:19 - What's Happening in Defense? 0:08:44 - Real Eisman Playbook Premium Preview 0:09:49 - The Impact of the War in Iran 0:12:35 - Is the US Low on Munitions? 0:16:08 - The Pentagon's Perspective 0:18:00 - The Primes 0:22:55 - Lockheed Martin, Drones, & F-35s 0:31:50 - Which Prime Has the Best Portfolio 0:33:00 - Non-Prime Companies 0:41:16 - Why Russia Still Can't Beat Ukraine 0:44:40 - Boeing 0:52:20 - Curtis Wright & BWX Technologies 1:01:44 - Outro Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    1hr 8min
  5. 22 May

    Walmart & Target Signal Consumer Stress as the 10-Year Yield Hits 4.6% | The Weekly Wrap

    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://premium.realeismanplaybook.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman breaks down a week full of warning signs from disappointing results at Walmart and Target to the Ten Year Treasury yield hitting 4.6%. He also covers NVIDIA's blockbuster quarter, the state of software, and closes with two mailbags: one on private credit and another on how his hedge fund actually closed the famous Big Short trades from 2008. 00:00 - Intro 01:02 - Next Week's Real Eisman Playbook Premium Preview 02:45 - Iran War Updates 03:00 - Why I Lightened Up 05:05 - NextEra Buys Dominion Energy 06:17 - Target & Walmart 07:45 - Salesforce 08:40 - Intuit 09:16 - NVIDIA 12:06 - Home Depot & Lowe's 13:30 - Toll Brothers 13:38 - Mailbag: Private Credit 17:22 - Mailbag: The Big Short 19:12 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    21 min
  6. 18 May

    Why Energy Stocks Are Down When They Should Be Up with Bob Brackett | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 60

    On episode 60 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Bob Brackett, the energy and mining analyst at Bernstein, to break down the energy landscape and discuss why energy stocks are down even as oil sits near $100 a barrel in the wake of the Iran war. Bob also explains where the opportunities are, which companies are best positioned, and why the forward curve is confusing even the most seasoned investors. They also explore the AI connection to energy demand, the UAE leaving OPEC, and much more. 0:00:00 - Intro 0:00:55 - Bob's Background 0:01:50 - What's Happening in This Sector? 0:07:15 - Exxon, Oil Prices, & The Forward Curve 0:18:52 - UAE Dropping Out of OPEC 0:22:04 - Natural Gas 0:35:12 - Miners & Copper 0:40:32 - Lithium 0:46:10 - Analyzing the Main Groups & Companies of the Sector 0:55:14 - Drillers 1:02:00 - Which Companies Does Bob Like? 1:06:20 - EOG 1:08:40 - Back to Miners 1:10:15 - L&G 1:14:32 - Outro Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    1hr 18min
  7. 11 May

    FICO’s Monopoly is Fading & Consumers Are the Winners w/ Kelsey Zhu | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 59

    On episode 59 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Kelsey Zhu of Autonomous to discuss the collapse of FICO's decades-long monopoly on credit scores and what it means for homebuyers, lenders, and investors. Kelsey breaks down how FICO raised its mortgage score pricing from 60 cents to $10 per pull and why that aggressive pricing opened the door for Vantage. They also explore the broader financial data sector and discuss how AI is reshaping the competitive landscape for every company in the group. 00:00 - The Real Eisman Playbook Premium 02:20 - Intro 04:35 - An Overview of the FICO Situation 13:40 - Destroying a Monopoly 20:05 - FICO vs Vantage Pricing 27:42 - The Credit Bureaus 30:39 - Kelsey's Call with a Private Mortgage Lender 35:09 - Outside the Mortgage Industry 37:00 - Going Back to the Price Increase 38:06 - Monopolies vs Duopolies 40:11 - Good & Bad Business Models 45:15 - Businesses of the Credit Bureaus 49:23 - How AI Factors In 51:20 - Verisk's Business Model 54:10 - MSCI 59:03 - FactSet 1:03:25 - Summarizing the FICO Situation & Lessons Learned 1:03:32 - Outro Visit https://realeismanplaybook.com/ to sign up for our mailing list. Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    1hr 14min

About

The Real Eisman Playbook is your front-row seat to the insights, strategies, and perspectives of legendary investor Steve Eisman. Best known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Steve brings his sharp analysis and no-nonsense approach to dissecting the markets, global economy, and investment trends shaping the future. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just curious about how the financial world really works, The Eisman Playbook delivers the knowledge you need to stay ahead. Tune in for expert commentary, candid conversations, and actionable takeaways from one of Wall Street’s most influential minds.

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