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19.09.2024

027 | 忽左忽右的硅谷 Silicon Valley's Political Shift

【聊了什么】近年来，硅谷这个传统的民主党堡垒正悄然发生变化。科技界的“右转”现象，以及马斯克和Marc Andreessen等大佬对特朗普的公开支持，似乎预示着一场政治地震。这是否反映了科技界对主流社会长期“敌意”的反弹？在这期节目里，我们探讨了硅谷在即将到来的大选中的政治取向，AI革命下科技界政治光谱的变迁，以及源自科技圈的新兴政治话语及其在网络上的传播。【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 03:25 AI的浪潮引发政治语言的变革 08:17 回顾这几个月最近硅谷发生的“大佬右转，支持川普”的情况 13:27 Marc Andreessen和a16z对特朗普的公开支持，以及他的《科技乐观主义宣言》背后说了什么 21:00 华盛顿和硅谷之间撕裂从2016年开始不断加大 31:49 e/acc (有效加速主义）是什么？以及有哪些硅谷“cults”出现了？ 40:40 什么是Marc Andreessen和Ben Horowitz的“The Little tech agenda (小型科技议程)”？他们如何看待AI 监管？ 58:10 简析Peter Thiel对于特朗普的支持，以及他和JD Vance之间的历史 01:04:10 简析马斯克对于特朗普的公开支持 01:13:50 扎克伯格最近的态度：没有表态但是... 01:28:00 科技届的在公众面前的形象如何在2016年之后逐渐“崩坏”？ 01:33:10 哈里斯和加州湾区的关系，以及科技圈对哈里斯的支持网“VC for Kamala” 【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。本期的主播和嘉宾：小华：媒体人，美政观察者曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者 Afra: 在湾区生活工作的科技从业者一闻：商业记者，曾驻旧金山报道科技行业主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。【 What We Talked About】 In recent years, Silicon Valley, traditionally a Democratic stronghold, has been undergoing subtle changes. The tech industry's "right turn" and public support for Trump from prominent figures like Elon Musk and Marc Andreessen seem to herald a political earthquake. Does this reflect a backlash from the tech world against long-standing "hostility" from mainstream society? In this episode, we explore Silicon Valley's political leanings in the upcoming election, the shifts in the tech industry's political spectrum amidst the AI revolution, and the emergence and spread of new political language originating from the tech sphere. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 03:25 How AI is transforming political language 08:17 Recent "rightward shift" of Silicon Valley leaders supporting Trump 13:27 Marc Andreessen and a16z's public support for Trump, and what his "Techno-Optimist Manifesto" reveals 21:00 The widening rift between Washington and Silicon Valley since 2016 31:49 What is e/acc (effective accelerationism)? And what Silicon Valley "cults" have emerged? 40:40 What is Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz's "Little Tech Agenda"? Their views on AI regulation 58:10 Brief analysis of Peter Thiel's support for Trump and his historical connection with J.D. Vance 01:04:10 Brief analysis of Elon Musk's public endorsement of Trump 01:13:50 Mark Zuckerberg's recent attitude: No statement, but... 01:28:00 How has the tech industry's public image gradually "collapsed" after 2016? 01:33:10 Kamala Harris's relationship with the Bay Area, and the tech circle's support network "VC for Kamala" 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School Afra: Tech professional living and working in the Bay Area 一闻（Yiwen）：Business reporter, with previous experience covering the tech sector while based in San Francisco The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【拓展链接】 Key Issues in the 2024 United States Presidential Election, https://fletcher.tufts.edu/news-events/news/key-issues-2024-united-states-presidential-election The Little Tech Agenda, https://a16z.com/the-little-tech-agenda/ The Techno-Optimist Manifesto, https://a16z.com/the-techno-optimist-manifesto/ VCs for Kamala, https://www.vcsforkamala.org/

19.09.2024

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1 godz. 39 min
4 MAJ

051 | 加拿大大选：特朗普如何帮助自由党逆风翻盘 How Trump Tipped the Scales for Canada's Liberals Party

【聊了什么】美国的北方邻国加拿大刚刚经历了一场联邦大选。民调一度大幅落后的自由党，在新党魁、前央行行长马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）的带领下赢得连任，但仅获少数政府；一度被高度看好的保守党及其「小特朗普」式党魁博励志（Pierre Poilievre）痛失好局，本人甚至丢掉了自己的国会议席。这场「逆风翻盘」背后，特朗普扮演了极不寻常的角色。从挥舞关税大棒，到宣称「加拿大应成为美国第51州」，特朗普的一系列言行如何深刻影响了加拿大选民的情绪和选择？博励志试图模仿的「枫叶MAGA」路线，为何在加拿大行不通？面对国内的住房危机、通胀压力，以及来自美国的贸易战和威胁和主权挑战，技术官僚卡尼将在「后特鲁多时代」带领加拿大走向何方？我们请到两位加拿大的朋友昌西和Sagar，一起复盘这场邻国大选。播客文字稿 https://theamericanroulette.com/canada-election-trump-carney-transcript/ 更正：卡尼拥有哈佛大学的经济学学士学位（1988年毕业）以及牛津大学的经济学硕士（1993年）和经济学博士学位（1995年），并非哈佛大学的经济学博士。卡尼于2013年7月1日出任英格兰银行行长，当时他并非英国公民。他是自1694年英格兰银行成立以来第一位担任此职的非英国人。本期节目录制于5月1日。【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:34 大选结果：自由党逆风翻盘与特朗普的关键影响 05:05 特鲁多十年回顾：从高光时刻到少数政府困境 29:10 保守党与博励志：「枫叶MAGA」为何在加拿大行不通？ 35:36 大选背景：通胀、移民与民粹主义暗流 37:50 代际鸿沟：年轻人右倾与选民议题差异 42:23 博励志个人政治前途未卜 49:24 新民主党惨败：策略投票与政党困境 55:53 保守党未来：内部分裂风险与派系矛盾 59:29 华人等少数族裔选票与选区分析 01:04:50 新总理卡尼：技术官僚的登场与挑战 01:13:52 特朗普时代的美加关系 01:23:41 美加关系的「新常态」与加拿大多边主义外交的未来【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾：小华：媒体人王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子昌西：曾担任自由党国会党团幕僚 Sagar：全球市场交易员【 What We Talked About】 Up North, Canada just experienced a dramatic federal election. The Liberal Party, led by new leader and former central bank governor Mark Carney, achieved a stunning comeback despite trailing badly in the polls, securing a minority government. Conversely, the Conservatives, once poised for victory under their Trump-like leader Pierre Poilievre, suffered a major setback, with Poilievre himself losing his seat in Parliament. What role did US President Trump play in this surprising turnaround? His tariff threats and extraordinary claim that Canada to become the 51st U.S. state reverberated across the border. How did this influence Canadian voters? And why did Poilievre's attempt at a "Maple MAGA" strategy fall flat? In the post-Trudeau era, how will the technocratic Mark Carney navigate Canada through its housing crisis, inflation, and the unprecedented pressure – covering trade, threats, and sovereignty – from its southern neighbour? We're joined by two friends with insights from Canada, Chauncey and Sagar, to dissect this pivotal election next door. This episode was recorded on May 1st, 2025. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:34 Election Results: Liberal Comeback & Trump's Key Influence 05:05 Trudeau's Decade: From Highlights to Minority Government Struggles 29:10 Conservatives & Poilievre: Why "Maple MAGA" Failed in Canada? 35:36 Election Context: Inflation, Immigration & Populist Undercurrents 37:50 Generational Divide: Youth Rightward Shift & Voter Issue Priorities 42:23 Poilievre's Uncertain Political Future 49:24 NDP's Crushing Defeat: Strategic Voting & Party Struggles 55:53 Conservative Future: Risk of Internal Splits & Factionalism 59:29 Analysis: Chinese & Other Minority Votes in Key Ridings 01:04:50 New PM Carney: The Technocrat's Arrival & Challenges 01:13:52 US-Canada Relations in the Trump Era 01:23:41 The "New Normal" for US-Canada Ties & Canada's Multilateral Future 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Chauncey: Former staffer for the Liberal Party's parliamentary caucus Sagar: Global Markets Trader 【The Links】 https://theinitium.com/zh-hans/opinion/20250113-canada-trudeau-resign

4 maj

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1 godz. 32 min
22.07.2024

023 | 拜登高风亮节，哈里斯临危受命 Biden Drops Out and Endorses Harris

【聊了什么】 2024年7月21日美国东部时间下午1:46，美国总统拜登在社交媒体上发表声明，宣布退出2024年美国总统竞选。这一事件不仅彻底改变了整个大选的局势，更有可能深远影响美国的命运。我们紧急录制了新一期播客，讨论了拜登退选的原因及其影响，分析了潜在接班人哈里斯的优势和劣势以及她可能的竞选策略，并展望了并不怎么光明的未来。本期播客录制于美国东部时间7月21日晚间。【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:00:41 民主党高层如何通过压力让拜登退选 00:05:57 民主党新候选人产生的流程 00:11:52 各州选票截止日期和民主党大会召开时间带来的挑战 00:15:10 换人后如何从流程上增加哈里斯（或其他候选人）的合法性 00:19:34 民主党对哈里斯支持的不同态度 00:24:08 民主党换人是一种自我实现的预言 00:25:50 哈里斯的优势和劣势 00:27:27 拜登退选本人和民主党精英的都有责任 00:31:35 民主党国会成员要求拜登退选的考量 00:34:37 拜登为何无法扭转竞选危机 00:40:13 哈里斯给选举带来的变数 00:44:00 哈里斯需要尽快定义自己的形象 00:49:29 哈里斯的潜在副总统人选 01:02:30 哈里斯的动员和选举策略 01:09:45 极化环境下总统选举对参议院和众议院选情的影响 01:14:25 特朗普获胜、共和党控制两院的后果 01:17:04 民主党对特朗普获胜的恐惧 01:19:56 拜登接下来还能做什么？ 01:25:35 拜登退选打开的潘多拉魔盒【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾：王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者寄馀生：比较政治爱好者【 What We Talked About】 On July 21, 2024, at 1:46 PM Eastern Time, President Joe Biden announced on X that he has decided to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race. This development has not only dramatically reshaped the entire election landscape but also holds significant implications for the future of the United States. We recorded an urgent podcast episode to discuss this event. We examined the reasons behind Biden's decision and its potential impacts. We also delved into the strengths and weaknesses of potential successor Kamala Harris, her possible campaign strategies, and the uncertain future that lies ahead. This episode was recorded on the evening of July 21, Eastern Time. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:00:41 How Democratic leaders pressured Biden to withdraw 00:05:57 The process of selecting a new Democratic nominee 00:11:52 Challenges posed by state ballot deadlines and the timing of the Democratic National Convention 00:15:10 Enhancing the legitimacy of Harris (or another candidate) through procedural changes 00:19:34 Varied attitudes within the Democratic Party towards supporting Harris 00:24:08 The self-fulfilling prophecy of the Democratic Party's candidate switch 00:25:50 Harris's strengths and weaknesses 00:27:27 Responsibility of Biden and Democratic elites in his withdrawal 00:31:35 Calculations of Democratic Congress members in urging Biden to step down 00:34:37 Why Biden couldn't reverse his campaign crisis 00:40:13 The uncertainties Harris brings to the election 00:44:00 The need for Harris to quickly define her own image 00:49:29 Potential VPl picks for Harris 01:02:30 Harris's mobilization and campaign strategies 01:09:45 The impact of the polarized environment on Senate and House races during the presidential election 01:14:25 Consequences of a Trump victory and Republican control of both chambers 01:17:04 Democratic fears of a Trump win 01:19:56 What Biden can still do moving forward 01:25:35 The Pandora's box opened by Biden's withdrawal 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast 【拓展链接】 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/21/us/politics/biden-withdrawal-timeline.html https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/07/trump-campain-election-2024-susie-wiles-chris-lacivita/678806/

22.07.2024

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1 godz. 31 min
9 STY

042 | 卡特的政治遗产 The legacy of Jimmy Carter

【聊了什么 The What】卡特以美国历史上最长寿总统的身份离世。在本期节目中，我们深入分析了这位“外来者”总统：从他早年在佐治亚州的政治崛起，到1976年以局外人之姿赢下大选；从他与国会复杂的互动关系，到其充满争议的总统任期。为什么卡特会被称为美国第一位新自由主义总统？他那些在当时备受质疑的外交决策，为何在今天被认为富有远见？面对能源危机和高通胀，卡特政府的应对措施为何屡屡受挫？在民主党从新政联盟向新自由主义转型的过程中，这位来自南方的政治家又扮演了怎样的角色？让我们通过这期节目重新认识这位被过度符号化和简单化的美国总统。本期节目由美轮美换和看理想联合制作，欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴 The When】 00:30 美国国会众议院举行议长选举，共和党议员迈克·约翰逊（Mike Johnson）以218票赞成的投票结果成功连任 11:31 卡特：历史转折中的领导人？历史转折期的复杂政治遗产探讨 20:05 卡特的政治生涯与1976年总统大选分析 42:47 内政：入住白宫，依然是局外人？外来者的形象和政治理念 47:58 卡特与里根政策风格对比及卡特执政的得失分析 01:04:49 外交：成就与困境，从戴维营协议到人质危机 01:23:28 1980年美国大选卡特因何败选？【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子【 What We Talked About】 Jimmy Carter has passed away as America's longest-living president. In this episode, we examine the legacy of this "outsider" president: from his early political rise in Georgia to his unexpected victory in the 1976 election; from his complicated relationship with Congress to his contentious presidency. Why is Carter considered America's first neoliberal president? How did his once-controversial foreign policy decisions come to be seen as visionary? What led to the Carter administration's repeated setbacks in addressing the energy crisis and inflation? What role did this Southern politician play as the Democratic Party shifted from the New Deal Coalition to neoliberalism? Join us as we reassess this often oversimplified and misunderstood American president. This episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:30 U.S. House Speaker Election: Republican Mike Johnson Re-elected with 218 Votes 11:31 Jimmy Carter: Leadership in a Time of Transition - Examining His Complex Legacy 20:05 From Georgia to the White House: Carter's Rise and the 1976 Presidential Election 42:47 An Outsider in Washington: Carter's White House Years and Political Philosophy 47:58 Contrasting Styles: Carter vs. Reagan - Assessing the Carter Presidency 01:04:49 Foreign Policy Legacy: From the Camp David Accords to the Iran Hostage Crisis 01:23:28 The 1980 Election: Understanding Carter's Defeat 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 【拓展链接】 https://ishare.ifeng.com/c/s/v004ahhs-_3oAWdGcK0oqyOmyRTEiRHFSY-_BKFrGGWk8SziU__

9 sty

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1 godz. 31 min
03.11.2024

033 | 2024美国大选懒人包 A Guide to the 2024 Presidential Election

【聊了什么】如果你刚刚开始关注大选，你的精神健康应该比美轮美换的几位主播要好一些。在大选前夕，我们帮你梳理了这场大选的关键时间点和重要议题：从拜登的意外退选到哈里斯的临危受命，从经济表现的党派差异到移民政策的困境，每个议题都折射出美国社会的深层分裂。在摇摆州选情胶着、社会撕裂加剧的背景下，这场选举是否会重新定义美国政治？经济数据与民众感受之间的巨大鸿沟该如何弥合？移民政策的两难困境能否找到平衡点？当两党政治生态日益分化，社会撕裂愈发明显，美国的民主制度将面临怎样的挑战？【有奖竞猜】大选进入倒计时，你对最终结果的预测是什么呢？填写表单告诉我们你认为谁将胜出，猜中即有机会参与抽奖，赢取网站会员，阅读我们对美国政治和选举的深度报道。若你能精准预测国会两院及摇摆州的结果，更可以跳过抽奖，直接获得美轮美换年度会员资格。竞猜问卷 → https://forms.office.com/r/KC7ncPhMAf 【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:01:12 考前突击：为什么我们需要关注这场选举 00:09:07 特朗普封口费案的来龙去脉 00:29:30 特朗普遭遇暗杀未遂事件的影响 00:34:12 拜登退选与民主党的权力交接 00:48:20 副总统候选人万斯和沃尔兹的选择 00:52:50 经济议题：通胀、就业与选民感受的复杂性 01:01:25 移民议题与社会分化 01:12:39 堕胎权之争：从罗伊诉韦德案到现在 01:19:16 这次大选对美国民主制度的影响 01:26:33 七大摇摆州的选情分析：从蓝墙到阳光带 01:37:40 计票规则解读：为何结果可能需要等待数天 01:40:05 国会选举展望：参众两院的微妙平衡 01:44:16 问答【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾：小华：媒体人，美政观察者 Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。【 What We Talked About】 For those who are just tuning into the 2024 election discourse, your mental health is probably much better than our hosts – who have been breathlessly tracking every development for the past year. As the election day approaches, we have distilled all of the pivotal moments and critical issues that have defined this madhouse of a cycle - from Biden’s unexpected withdrawal to Kamala’s ascension, from partisan narratives on the state of the economy and immigration. Each flashpoint illuminates the deepening chasm of American society. As the battleground state odds remain locked in a coin toss, we try to ponder the fundamental questions: will this election yet again reshape American politics? How to bridge the chasm between the escalating social divisions? Why do the economic indicators tell different stories to the two parties? And as the two-party ecosystem grows increasingly polarized and social fabric continues to fray, what trials await America's democratic institutions? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:01:12 Last-minute primer: why this election demands our attention 00:09:07 Trump hush money case: untangling the complex web 00:29:30 Implications of the attempted assassination on Trump 00:34:12 Biden's withdrawal and the democratic power transition 00:48:20 VP picks: a closer look at Vance and Walz 00:52:50 The economy: navigating inflation, employment, and voter sentiment 01:01:25 Immigration and social fractures: America's deepening divide 01:12:39 The abortion battle: from Roe v. Wade to present day 01:19:16 Impact on American democracy: examining institutional resilience 01:26:33 Battleground analysis: from the blue wall to the sun belt 01:37:40 Vote counting explained: why results may take a week 01:40:05 Congressional outlook: the delicate balance in both chambers 01:44:16 Q & A 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

03.11.2024

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2 godz. 6 min
6 LIP

057 | 纽约将迎来“社会主义”市长？佐赫兰·马姆达尼的崛起

【聊了什么】在纽约市长民主党初选中，名不见经传的33岁州议员佐赫兰·马姆达尼（Zohran Mamdani）以惊人的胜利击败了前州长库默（Andrew Cuomo），震惊了美国政坛。马姆达尼是一位自我认同的“民主社会主义者”，他的崛起不仅可能让他成为这个全球金融中心的第一位社会主义者市长，也标志着美国进步派运动取得了历史性的胜利。从讨论“餐车通胀”（Halalflation），到娴熟地运用各种新媒体策略，Mamdani如何在短短数月内从民调个位数迅速攀升，赢得了这场看似不可能的选战？他提出的冻结租金、全民学前班等政策，在纽约这个贫富差距巨大的城市中获得了怎样的回响？当进步派的理想主义遇上纽约错综复杂的政治现实，他又将面临怎样的挑战？本期节目中，我们与身在布鲁克林的嘉宾小钟一起，深入剖析的马姆达尼的崛起之路，探讨这场选举背后纽约市的阶级、种族和代际政治变迁。更正：播客中提到AOC赢得初选为8年前，实际上是7年前播客中引用了《纽约时报》的分析，提到18-24岁是初选中比例最大的群体，但此数据在录制之后进行了更正，显示25-34岁的选民所占比例更高。播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 06:17 精英家庭出身的“草根”候选人马姆达尼 11:00 马姆达尼与AOC的相似之处 15:20 “社会主义者”标签的背后 17:33 Mamdani如何靠社交媒体赢得选战？ 25:31 谁在支持Mamdani？ 28:43 对变革的渴望：为何选民抛弃建制派？ 33:38 前州长库默为何输掉选举？ 45:07 马姆达尼的政策蓝图与可行性分析 51:17 理想主义 vs. 政治现实：马姆达尼执政将面临的挑战 57:37 进步派市长的执政困境 01:08:18 马姆达尼如何应对反犹指控 01:17:49 民主党与进步主义的未来与挑战 01:25:22 11月市长选举展望【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾：王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子小华：媒体人小钟：布鲁克林居民主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。【 What We Talked About】 In the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, a little-known 33-year-old State Assemblyman, Zohran Mamdani, defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in a stunning upset victory, sending shockwaves through the American political establishment. Mamdani, a self-described 'democratic socialist,' whose rise not only positions him to potentially become the first socialist mayor of the global financial capital but also marks a historic victory for the American progressive movement. From discussing "Halalflation" to adeptly using a range of new media strategies, how did Mamdani, in just a few short months, surge from single digits in the polls to win a race that once seemed impossible? How did his proposals, such as a rent freeze and universal pre-K, resonate in a city marked by a vast wealth gap? And when progressive idealism meets the complex political realities of New York, what challenges lie ahead for him? In this episode, we're joined by our guest Zhong, who is based in Brooklyn, to do a deep dive into Mamdani's rise and discuss the shifting dynamics of class, race, and generational politics in New York City that this election has brought to the forefront. Corrections: In the episode, we mention that AOC's primary win was eight years ago. This was a slip of the tongue; it was actually seven years ago. The episode references a New York Times analysis indicating that the 18-24 age group was the largest demographic in the primary. This data was subsequently updated after our recording, showing that the 25-34 age group actually had a higher turnout. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 06:17 Zohran Mamdani: A "Grassroots" Candidate with Elite Roots 11:00 The Parallels Between Mamdani and AOC 15:20 Unpacking the "Socialist" Label 17:33 How Mamdani Leveraged Social Media to Victory 25:31 Who is Backing Mamdani? 28:43 A Hunger for Change: Why Voters Abandoned the Establishment 33:38 Why Former Governor Cuomo Lost 45:07 Mamdani's Policy Blueprint and Its Feasibility 51:17 Idealism vs. Reality: The Governing Challenges for Mamdani 57:37 The Governing Dilemma for Progressive Mayors 01:08:18 How Mamdani Navigates Accusations of Antisemitism 01:17:49 The Future of the Progressive Movement within the Democratic Party 01:25:22 Looking Ahead to the November Mayoral Election 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小钟（Xiao Zhong）：Brooklyn resident The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

6 lip

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1 godz. 35 min
22 STY

044 | 特朗普重返白宫 Trump's Second Coming

【聊了什么 The What】 2025年1月20日，美国迎来了第47任总统——重返白宫的特朗普。在这个权力交接的关键72小时里，我们见证了一系列戏剧性的发展：从TikTok的生死时刻，到加沙地带的停火协议；从拜登的预防性特赦，到特朗普的加密货币发行。本期节目，我们将解析权力交接期间和就职典礼上发生的标志性事件。特朗普新政府的首日行动展现了鲜明的"美国优先"色彩，从宣布边境紧急状态到调整移民政策，从将墨西哥湾更名为"美洲湾"的象征性举动，到对1月6日事件参与者的大规模特赦。我们一起走进这个充满混乱和变化的新时代。本期播客录制于美国东部时间1月20日晚间，由美轮美换和看理想联合制作，欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴 The When】近期事件回溯 01:24 TikTok下线又上线是政治作秀吗？ 08:01 群众对美国体制的不信任 11:50 加沙停火，是特朗普部分兑现了承诺，还是他摘了拜登的桃？ 16:22 如何看拜登任前签署了一系列对家庭成员的预防性特赦？ 22:08 特朗普特赦国会山事件中的一千六百名参与者 24:06 就职典礼前两天，特朗普发布新币？特朗普就职典礼 29:00 因寒冷天气，就职典礼在国会大厦大厅里举行 30:23 为何科技公司高管们的座位相当靠前？ 33:34 民主党对特朗普的各方支持度破防？ 52:36 特朗普政府所代表的新的单边主义回归 55:29 “把墨西哥湾改名美国湾”，特朗普的“昭昭天命”（Manifest Destiny）是什么？ 58:43 第一天政策：宣布美墨边境进入国家紧急状态；移民申请庇护的APP关停 1:00:23 特朗普在关税并没有采取特别多实质行动？ 1:03:35 美国政治的“钟摆”现无疑摆向右边，什么时候会再往左吗？【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子小华：媒体人【 What We Talked About】 On January 20, 2025, Donald Trump made his historic return to the White House as America's 47th President. The crucial 72 hours surrounding this power transition witnessed a series of dramatic developments: from TikTok's fight for survival to the Gaza ceasefire agreement; from Biden's unprecedented preemptive pardons to Trump's venture into cryptocurrency. In this episode, we examine the pivotal events that marked both the transition period and the inauguration ceremony. The Trump administration's first-day actions boldly reaffirmed the "America First" agenda—ranging from declaring a national emergency at the border to overhauling immigration policies, from the symbolic renaming of the Gulf of Mexico to the "Gulf of America," to the sweeping pardons for January 6 participants. Join us as we navigate through this new era of uncertainty and transformation. This episode was recorded at 9 PM Eastern Time on January 20, 2025. The episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 Recent Events in Review 01:24 TikTok's offline-online flip: A political theater? 08:01 Growing public distrust in American institutions 11:50 Gaza ceasefire: Trump's promise fulfilled or Biden's achievement claimed? 16:22 Analyzing Biden's unprecedented preemptive pardons for family members 22:08 Trump pardons 1,600 January 6 Capitol riot participants 24:06 Trump launches cryptocurrency days before inauguration The Inauguration 29:00 Ceremony moves to Capitol Rotunda amid cold weather 30:23 Tech CEOs' front-row presence: A new power dynamic? 33:34 Democrats' surprising shift in Trump support ratings 52:36 The resurgence of unilateralism under Trump 2.0 55:29 "Gulf of America": Decoding Trump's "Manifest Destiny" 58:43 Day One executive actions: Border emergency declaration and asylum app shutdown 1:00:23 Trump's restrained approach to tariff policies 1:03:35 As the political pendulum swings right, when might it return left? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

22 sty

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1 godz. 8 min
29 MAJ

011 透物见人——海昏侯墓考古 Through Objects, a Glimpse of Humanity

【聊了什么】海昏侯是近十年内中国最知名的考古发现之一。作为当代保存最完整的汉代高等级墓葬，海昏侯墓的发现，包括115公斤的黄金、珠宝玉石、青铜剑、孔子屏风、竹简等让它一度成为社会文化新闻的热点。在奇珍异宝背后，隐藏着墓主人刘贺跌宕的人生。他少年世袭昌邑王爵位，17岁仓促地被拥立为皇帝，短短27天后遭到罢黜，几经贬斥，最终以海昏侯的身份逝于江西南昌。在汉昭帝逝世后的权利真空期，他既被迫又主动地走入政治旋涡的中心，须臾间人生起伏辗转，成为了中国历史上首位被废的皇帝。除了海量的财富外，刘贺的随葬品以何种方式呈现了这位汉哀帝的一生？实物材料为我们认识历史开启了怎样的新视角？考古学能否呈现出数据之外关于人的故事？在本次讲座中，曾两次参与发掘工作的耶鲁大学在读博士周琪将与我们分享这项重大考古发现背后的故事。我们将借用学术界“透物见人”的概念，透过海昏侯墓的发掘成果和刘贺的人生经历，一起探索考古、历史与人生的相互映照与隐喻。 The Haihunhou Tomb is one of the most renowned archaeological discoveries in China over the past decade. As the most well-preserved high-status Han dynasty tomb ever unearthed, its findings—including 115 kilograms of gold, exquisite jewelry and jade, bronze swords, a screen bearing an image of Confucius, and ancient bamboo slips—once captured the spotlight of Chinese cultural and social news. Behind the glittering artifacts lies the dramatic life story of Liu He, the tomb’s occupant. He inherited the title of Prince of Changyi at a young age and was hastily installed as emperor at the age of 17, only to be dethroned after just 27 days. After years of political disgrace, he died in Nanchang, Jiangxi, under the diminished title of “Marquis of Haihun.” In the political vacuum following Emperor Zhao’s death, Liu He was thrust—both by circumstance and ambition—into the eye of the storm. In mere moments, his life rose and fell, making him the first emperor in Chinese history to be formally deposed. Beyond the vast wealth, how do Liu He’s burial goods reflect the arc of his tumultuous life? What new perspectives on history do these physical materials offer? Can archaeology reveal the human stories behind the data? In this talk, Zhou Qi—a PhD candidate at Yale University who has participated twice in the excavation—will share the stories behind this major archaeological discovery. Drawing on the academic concept of “seeing the person through the object,” we will explore how the findings from the Haihunhou Tomb and Liu He’s personal journey illuminate deeper metaphors about history, archaeology, and human existence. 【时间轴】 00:00:40 中国考古学怎么发掘一座墓 00:13:37 刘贺是怎么“被当上”皇帝的？ 00:39:12 黄金是怎么没被盗的？ 00:47:26 发掘等于破坏：考古的方法论思辨 00:52:11 为什么不挖秦始皇陵？ 00:00:40 How Chinese archaeology excavates a tomb 00:13:37 How Liu He was “chosen” to rule 00:39:12 Why the gold wasn’t looted 00:47:26 Digging is destruction: reflections on archaeological method 00:52:11 Why we don’t dig up the Qin Emperor’s tomb 【相关图片】【我们是谁 The Who】选修课 Universus 是一档分享和探讨泛文化话题的中文播客，脱胎于2013年创办的纽约文化沙龙。我们力求引发对学科方法和视角的认知和思考，而不仅仅是知识的传递。我们在组织活动的过程中积累了一些经验和人脉，尝试打造成年人的博雅教育，并在播客中拓展这样的探索。我们希望审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流。我们希望冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地拥抱多元视角。我们希望去工具化，真诚地感知、理解、创造自己的生活和复杂的世界。我们追随原初的好奇而非代餐式的猎奇。话题可以轻松，方法力求严肃。在《选修课》里，我们互相映照，唤醒失落的维度。选修课 Universus is a Chinese-language podcast created by the same people who founded the New York Chinese Cultural Salon (纽约文化沙龙）in 2013. The past decade of organizing events and talks put us in a position of creating a sort of liberal arts education experience for those who have left school. We strive to go beyond merely transmitting knowledge to reflecting on complex topics using cross-disciplinary perspectives. We strive to resist conformity, to dissect our own biases, and to embrace diverse schools of thought. Our goal is to help professionals resist becoming just a tool of production, and to understand the world around us in earnest. We let our genuine curiosity be our guide. With a light-hearted tone, we approach each topic seriously. We hope that “选修课 Universus” creates a space to explore lost dimensions. 主讲人：周琪，耶鲁大学考古学博士候选人 Speaker: Qi Zhou, Ph.D. candidate in archaeology at Yale University. 【买咖啡 Please Support Us】如果喜欢这期节目并愿意想要给我们买杯咖啡：打赏平台：www.patreon.com/universuspod 商务合作邮箱：universuspod@gmail.com If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: 打赏平台: www.patreon.com/universuspod Business Inquiries Email: universuspod@gmail.com

29 maj

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1 godz. 58 min
21.07.2024

022 | 特朗普的加冕和拜登的挣扎 Trump's Coronation and Biden's Struggle

【聊了什么】在特朗普枪击事件后，共和党全国大会在威斯康星州密尔沃基召开。整个共和党团结在特朗普身后，已完全成为特朗普的党。特朗普还选择了来自俄亥俄州的参议员JD Vance作为副总统候选人。在播客的开头，我们也回顾了特朗普枪击事件对特朗普和拜登双方的后续影响。本期播客录制于美国东部时间2024年7月19日晚间，录制时拜登尚未退选。【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:01:07 特朗普枪击和共和党全国大会并没有减轻拜登退选的压力 00:24:45 共和党开了一场团结的大会 00:27:43 黑莉对特朗普的背书能帮到特朗普吗？ 00:30:19 特朗普的副总统选择——万斯 00:41:53 硅谷部分金主对特朗普和万斯的支持 00:48:59 卡车司机工会主席参加共和党大会 00:49:21 共和党转型成为“大帐篷”党？ 00:53:05 共和党党纲的变化 00:58:32 《2025计划》 1:01:50 特朗普的加冕和一波三折的演讲【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾：王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者小华：媒体人，美政观察者【 What We Talked About】 After the Trump shooting, the Republican National Convention was held in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The entire Republican Party rallied behind Trump, clearly showing it has become his party. Trump also chose Republican Senator from Ohio, JD Vance, as his vice-presidential candidate. At the beginning of the podcast, we reviewed the impact of the Trump shooting for both Trump and Biden. This episode was recorded on the evening of July 19, 2024, Eastern Time, and at the time of recording, Biden had not yet withdrawn from the race. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:01:07 The Trump shooting and the Republican National Convention didn't ease the pressure on Biden to withdraw 00:24:45 Republicans held a unified convention 00:27:43 Can Haley's endorsement help Trump? 00:30:19 Trump's VP pick: JD Vance 00:41:53 Support from Silicon Valley donors for Trump and Vance 00:48:59 Teamsters president attends the Republican convention 00:49:21 Is the GOP transforming into a "Big Tent" party? 00:53:05 Changes in the Republican Party’s platform 00:58:32 Project 2025 01:01:50 Trump's coronation and his tumultuous speech 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【拓展链接】 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/19/us/politics/biden-defiance.html

21.07.2024

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1 godz. 15 min
13.12.2024

041 | 特朗普的抽象内阁 Trump Cabinet picks and major White House appointments

【聊了什么 The What】我们在这期节目中深入探讨特朗普组建的新内阁团队和其他核心成员，涵盖了幕僚长、安全团队、外交团队、经济团队、司法团队、移民团队、医疗卫生团队等各个领域的人选及其背景分析。同时还讨论了内阁成员的确认流程、休会任命等相关制度问题。本期节目由美轮美换和看理想联合制作，欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 【支持我们】如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴 The When】 00:52 为何这次进入速度这么快? 09:33 上届特朗普政府核心团队本次基本上都不在了? 10:45 与上届相比，本届内阁成员总体印象如何? 16:24 白宫办公厅主任人选分析 23:33 安全团队成员讨论 33:28 内阁成员的资质问题如何纳入考虑? 42:46 外交团队人选探讨 52:16 经济团队组建分析 01:08:13 司法团队人选讨论 01:17:07 移民和医疗卫生团队探讨 01:28:17 「政府效率部」(DOGE)的特殊安排 01:42:42 政党转型期的人事选择 01:45:56 内阁成员确认流程解析 01:50:34 休会任命制度探讨【我们是谁】美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。我们的主播和嘉宾：小华：媒体人 Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子向杨：芝加哥大学社会学博士候选人，b站up"向杨Alan君" 【 What We Talked About】 In this episode, we conducted an in-depth analysis of Trump's proposed new cabinet appointees and other core team members, examining the nominations and backgrounds across various departments including the Chief of Staff, national security team, diplomatic corps, economic team, Department of Justice, immigration officials, and health services leadership. We also explored the institutional processes involved in cabinet confirmation procedures and recess appointments. This episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:52 What accounts for the accelerated transition pace this time? 09:33 Examining the absence of previous Trump administration core team members 10:45 Comparing overall cabinet composition with the previous administration 16:24 White House Chief of Staff 23:33 Examining the national security team composition 33:28 How are qualifications being weighted in cabinet selections? 42:46 Analysis of diplomatic team appointments 52:16 Formation and structure of the economic team 01:08:13 Review of Department of Justice appointments 01:17:07 Analysis of immigration and health services leadership 01:28:17 Special structure of the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) 01:42:42 Personnel decisions during party transformation 01:45:56 Understanding the cabinet confirmation process 01:50:34 Examining the mechanics of recess appointments 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 向杨：PhD candidate in Sociology at the University of Chicago, Bilibili creator “向杨Alan君” 【拓展链接】 https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-cabinet-members-introduction/

13.12.2024

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1 godz. 55 min

Baihua Media is dedicated to informing and empowering the growing Chinese-speaking diaspora community around the world, by serving honest dialogues, encouraging open communications, and empowering authentic expressions, through a network of high-quality Chinese-language podcasts.

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