Is the AI boom approaching its peak, or are we simply witnessing a painful but temporary correction before the next leg goes higher? In this episode of The Master Investor Podcast, Wilfred Frost sits down with Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management, one of the world's leading technology investors, to dissect the recent tech selloff and assess where we are in the AI investment cycle. Drawing parallels with the late 1990s dot-com boom, Dan explains why he believes today's market looks more like 1997–98 than 2000, while warning that the eventual AI bust could be every bit as brutal. Dan examines the growing pressures on the AI trade, from rising financing costs and slowing revenue growth at leading AI companies to the challenges facing data centre infrastructure and the increasing scarcity of capital. He also explains why he believes Anthropic is better positioned than OpenAI, why Microsoft is in the “catbird seat” for enterprise AI, and why Google could emerge as a long-term winner despite the growing threat to its traditional search business. The conversation also explores the outlook for Meta, Intel, Apple and Nvidia, including how the shift towards agentic AI could reshape the semiconductor industry. Dan discusses the potential implications of the US midterm elections for data centre investment, the risks posed by rising oil prices and interest rates, and why he believes investors need to be far more selective in the current environment. Finally, Dan shares his approach to managing risk through market volatility, explaining why investors must remain nimble, avoid becoming emotionally attached to their investment views, and recognise that not every dip is a buying opportunity. Recorded Monday 2nd November 2026 0:00 Intro 3:40 Where are we in the AI investment cycle? 6:50 Two biggest risks to the AI trade: financing costs and slowing growth 11:25 @AnthropicAI IPO: a critical test for the AI boom 14:30 @Microsoft - enterprise winner 22:08 @Meta positioned for agentic AI 24:35 @Google’s selloff 31:26 Very bearish @OpenAI 33:20 I got @Intel wrong 39:29 @Apple top pick 2027 42:52 @Nvidia today vs @Cisco 2000 46:33 "Terrified" of US midterms 50:28 Stay nimble 53:47 Cautious positioning 57:13 Fed and rate pressure 1:00:25 Oil prices, Iran & recession risk 1:02:21 Closing investment advice Watch the full episode on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel Follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In And NEW: Subscribe to The Master Investor Podcast Memos Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG). The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media. This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.