The Dividend Cafe

The Bahnsen Group
  • 4.9 (562)
  • INVESTING
  • UPDATED DAILY

The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).

  1. 9H AGO

    Media Mergers and Dividend Growth

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4jGkzyW In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen explores the critical importance of dividend growth investing, using real-life examples from the media sector's history of mergers and acquisitions. He talks about the recent Netflix's proposed acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery, recalling the infamous AOL Time Warner merger and the turbulent history of Viacom, Paramount, and CBS. He contrasts these with companies like Comcast that have demonstrated responsible capital return through dividend growth. Bahnsen explains how dividend growth signals management's confidence in their business model and serves as a safeguard for both investors and companies, preventing reckless financial behavior. The episode emphasizes the value of dividend growth investing for long-term shareholder value and financial stability. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:29 The Media Sector's M&A Drama 02:21 The AOL Time Warner Merger: A Case Study 07:18 The Rise and Fall of Viacom and Paramount 10:56 The Importance of Dividend Growth 19:15 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    24 min

  2. 1D AGO

    Thursday - January 15, 2026

    In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a daily market recap for January 15th, highlighting a positive day across indices such as the DOW Jones, S&P 500, and NASDAQ. Key economic insights discussed include lower-than-expected jobless claims, strong manufacturing survey results, and the performance of semiconductor stocks. The episode also explores reasons why markets continue to climb despite various economic concerns, emphasizing financial conditions, Fed balance sheet policies, fiscal stimulus, and deregulation in financials. Brian addresses a client question on Fed independence and the potential implications of administrative actions on market volatility, underlining the importance of maintaining diversified portfolios to navigate uncertainty. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:42 Economic Indicators and Job Market 01:24 Manufacturing and Semiconductor Updates 01:51 Year-to-Date Market Performance 02:11 Climbing the Wall of Worry 03:23 Financial Conditions and Fiscal Stimulus 04:45 Fed Independence and Market Implications 06:06 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    8 min

  3. 2D AGO

    Wednesday - January 14, 2026

    In today's episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the overall market decline and the shift towards value-oriented sectors. He highlights the impact of delayed government statistics on retail sales, home sales, and inflation. Despite mixed earnings from major financial institutions, value stocks and sectors such as industrials, energy, and materials have shown positive performance at the start of the year. Brian also addresses a thoughtful question on whether the US dollar could be replaced as the reserve currency, emphasizing current market dynamics and the lack of a stable alternative. He concludes with insights into upcoming interest rate policies and potential judicial rulings on tariffs. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:16 Sector Performance and Market Rotation 01:02 Economic Indicators and Earnings Reports 03:15 Discussion on the US Dollar and Global Trade 06:27 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    8 min

  4. 3D AGO

    Tuesday - January 13, 2026

    Market Update and Inflation Insights - January 13th In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a market update, highlighting a 398-point drop in the DOW and smaller declines in the S&P and Nasdaq indices. The episode features an in-depth analysis of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, indicating modestly above-target inflation at 2.7% year over year, with core inflation at 2.6%. Brian discusses the Federal Reserve's modestly restrictive policy stance amid current inflation rates and anticipates further inflation trends. He also addresses the potential impact of the Trump administration's announcement of $200 billion in Fannie and Freddie mortgage bond buying, expressing skepticism about its long-term benefits. The episode concludes with an invitation for listener questions and provides insights into upcoming economic indicators. 00:00 Market Overview and Daily Performance 00:41 Inflation Update and CPI Read 02:35 Fed Policy and Interest Rates 04:11 Government Interventions and Housing Market 05:47 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    8 min

  5. 4D AGO

    Monday - January 12, 2026

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4jyfdpi Market Updates, Fed Investigation, and Public Policy Insights - Monday Dividend Cafe In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen emphasizes the productivity and enjoyment derived from the structured Monday format, which covers key market categories including public policy, economic data, and energy. The episode dives into five significant recent events, including criminal investigations into Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, tweets from President Trump, market reactions, and President Trump's various policy announcements. David also provides a market performance update, specifically mentioning the Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ movements, and discusses the implications of public policy changes on sectors like housing, defense, and finance. Economic data such as job creation numbers, the trade deficit, and CFO survey findings are also analyzed. Additionally, Bahnsen previews the upcoming earnings season and offers insights into the impact on markets and sectors. Closing the episode, David shares details about Dividend Cafe's regular content offerings. 00:00 Introduction to Monday's Dividend Cafe 00:48 Market Overview and Recent Events 01:48 Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell Investigation 04:18 Market Reactions and Analysis 12:09 Public Policy Announcements 15:28 Economic Data Insights 18:46 Housing and Mortgage Market Update 21:46 Oil Market and Geopolitical Factors 23:20 Conclusion and Upcoming Earnings Season Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    26 min

  6. JAN 9

    Year Behind, Year Ahead – Special 2026 White Paper – January 9, 2026

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4qlplEM In this episode of Dividend Cafe, the first of 2026, David L. Bahnsen reflects on the events of 2025 and provides insights and predictions for the year ahead. Key topics include the impact of the Trump administration's policies, particularly relating to tariffs and the tax bill, and their influence on the stock market and economy. David discusses major themes such as the performance of risk assets, the state of the AI industry, housing market trends, the significance of midterm elections, and the potential for small cap growth. Predictions for 2026 include the vulnerabilities in AI, the tug of war between economic drivers and headwinds, and the outlook for energy and M&A activities. The episode provides a comprehensive review and forward-looking analysis aimed at helping investors make informed decisions in the coming year. 00:00 Introduction and Annual Review Overview 01:47 Reflecting on 2025: Key Questions and Themes 06:18 Major Events and Market Reactions in Early 2025 10:14 Mid-Year Market Volatility and Policy Shifts 12:27 Third Quarter Market Dynamics and Labor Market Concerns 17:57 Year-End Market Performance and Sector Analysis 25:53 Evaluating 2025 Predictions and Themes 30:56 China Relations: A Bold Prediction 33:42 Financial Deregulation: A Mixed Bag 35:14 Earnings Disappointment: A Risky Theme 36:27 Corporate Activity: A Record Year 38:17 Deficit Reduction: A Contrarian View 40:11 Quantitative Tightening Ends 42:18 2026 Themes: AI Vulnerabilities 47:45 Economic Tug of War 50:06 Midterm Elections and Market Impact 51:38 Housing Market Predictions 53:11 Small Cap vs. S&P 500 53:51 Foreign Appetite for US Assets 54:43 Energy Sector: A Contrarian Opportunity 55:47 Mergers and Acquisitions Outlook 56:19 Conclusion: Upside Risks and Cautious Optimism Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    1h 2m

  7. JAN 8

    Thursday - January 8, 2026

    Market Overview and Economic Data Insights: January 8th Edition In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the day's market movements from West Palm Beach, Florida, highlighting slight increases in stock prices and minor sell-off in bonds. The anticipation of key announcements, such as the non-farm payroll report and a Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA tariff eligibility, is noted. Other topics include the initial jobless claims report and its implications, the narrowing trade deficit, and Q3 productivity growth. Additionally, there is a discussion on the strategic importance of Venezuelan oil reserves and the potential geopolitical ramifications. The episode concludes with an optimistic overview of recent economic data and a preview of upcoming events. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:23 Upcoming Economic Reports and Supreme Court Ruling 01:00 Market Reactions and Predictions 02:31 Economic Data Highlights 04:18 Venezuela's Strategic Importance 06:16 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    8 min

  8. JAN 7

    Wednesday - January 7, 2026

    Market Snapshot: A Day of Mixed Signals and Volatility In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from West Palm Beach, Florida, discusses the latest market trends as of January 7th. Despite two consecutive positive days, the market experienced a slight downturn with the DOW down by nearly 1%, the S&P down by a third of a percent, and the Nasdaq inching slightly positive. Positive movements in the bond market and an increase in volatility were noted. Key geopolitical developments included potential positive news about Ukraine and discussions around Venezuelan oil and Greenland. On the economic front, the ADP private payroll and job openings numbers were slightly weaker than expected, but the ISM services number exceeded expectations. Brian provides insights into the impacts of Venezuelan oil on global prices and discusses the current state of the energy sector. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 01:11 Geopolitical Headlines Impacting Markets 02:10 Economic Data and Market Reactions 03:51 Venezuelan Oil and Market Implications 04:57 Energy Sector Insights 05:33 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    8 min
See All (1.2K)

Hosts & Guests

4.9
out of 5
562 Ratings

About

The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).

Information

  • Creator
    The Bahnsen Group
  • Years Active
    2016 - 2026
  • Episodes
    1.2K
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © All rights reserved @2024
  • Show Website
    The Dividend Cafe

You Might Also Like