NAB Morning Call

Phil Dobbie
  • 4.8 (8)
  • Business News
  • Updated Daily

Start your day with the NAB Morning Call for the latest overnight key economic and market information straight from our team of expert market economists and strategists. This includes perspective on overnight news and market price action and the forces shaping movements in Australian and global markets in the days ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

  1. 17h ago

    Paying the price of war

    Thursday 11th June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Oil prices are higher again as the US and Iran tit for tat measures pick up a pace, with more rhetoric from the US President. The question global banks are asking, is how are rising oil prices impacting core inflation? The Fed seems is expected to wait, even with headline inflation at 4.2%. The ECB, though, is concerned about the second-round effects of oil price rises and is likely to raise rates tonight. China, meanwhile, reported lower consumer inflation but rising producer prices. NAB’s Skye Masters joins Phil to talk through the numbers. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    13 min

  2. 1d ago

    Helicopter oil money, and hike-free RBA?

    Wednesday 10th June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB There hasn't been a strong market reaction to the downing of a US helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, even though Donald Trump has talked retaliation. Instead, markets seem to have focused more on the fact that some oil tankers have successfully made their way through and that Kuwait has been actively selling oil to refineries. Meanwhile NAB has revised its expectations for the RBA and doesn't see any rate hikes this year with the next move likely to be down. NAB’s Ken Crompton takes us through the reasoning, including the latest data from the NAB business survey yesterday and the consumer sentiment read. Today the focus is going to be on US and China inflation numbers. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    17 min

  3. 2d ago

    Fed more certain, Gulf more unsettled

    Friday 5th June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB A blowout U.S. non-farm payrolls report has injected definitive hawk-ish certainty into central bank paths, while a hyper-volatile tit-for-tat missile exchange between Israel and Iran leaves the outlook for the Gulf structurally unsettled. Phil and NAB’s Rodrigo Catril work through the geopolitical and data crosscurrents, noting that while global oil prices spiked past $98 a barrel during the weekend combat before settling back to $94, prediction markets continue to aggressively push back the timeline for a lasting regional truce. This unresolved energy shock contrasts sharply with a block of robust North American labour metrics—led by a 172,000 U.S. hiring beat in May and an 88,000 full-time employment surge in Canada—which triggered a massive bear flattening across core treasury yield curves. Wall Street managed a partial recovery from its brutal tech sell-off, yet broader equity configurations show distinct vulnerability as a highly anticipated, multi-billion-dollar SpaceX flotation triggers significant liquidity churn. At home the focus pivots to a critical testing day for local momentum with the simultaneous drop of the NAB Business Survey and the Westpac Consumer Confidence index, which will offer fresh visibility on whether worsening price pressures, margin squeezes, and post-budget sentiment are altering the structural direction of the Australian economy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    16 min
  4. Weekend Edition: Electrifying Australia

    6d ago

    Weekend Edition: Electrifying Australia

    Friday 5th June 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here. Phil talks to Tim Jordan, Commissioner at the Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC),on how the energy grid is adapting to volatile fossil fuel prices and the massive surge in electricity demand driven by artificial intelligence. While retail energy costs prepare to ease under the upcoming July Default Market Offer (DMO) reductions, the conversation centres on the complex shift toward a renewable-dominated system. Tim breaks down the structural divide between the rule-making AEMC and the pricing regulators, highlighting the critical role that large-scale battery farms, domestic virtual power plants, and time-of-day pricing models must play to move supply out of midday solar peaks. The discussion covers major structural bottlenecks, from the long financial payback periods of household storage to grid connection delays and the unique challenge of providing vehicle-to-grid charging options in a country that is embracing more apartment living. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    32 min

  5. 6d ago

    Jobs Day

    Friday 5th June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Tonight's highly anticipated U.S. non-farm payrolls data follows a week of highly conflicting signals from the American labour market. So, what will today’s data reveal about underlying economic momentum? Also, can the market’s rampant "buy the dip" equity mentality survive a potential rotation out of over-stretched tech stocks? Phil is joined by NAB's Ken Crompton to discuss this and the shifting risk sentiment which saw oil prices retreat on speculative Israel-Lebanon peace headlines. They also discuss RBA Governor Michelle Bullock’s Senate testimony, questioning whether a hawkish pause and stickier supply-shock inflation will ultimately force a definitive interest rate hike this August. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    14 min

  6. Jun 3

    Warsh’s Dilemma

    Thursday 4th June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB An exchange of fire in the Gulf aw a resurgence of risk-off sentiment in global markets, driving Brent crude back toward $98 a barrel and weakening the Australian dollar. The unfolding crisis highlights Warsh’s Dilemma ahead of his first Fed meeting: while much of the world downshifts, the U.S. economy remains strikingly insulated. As NAB’s Gavin Friend explains, the May U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing survey surged nine points which, alongside strong ADP employment figures and an elevated prices-paid component signals inflation prospects that the Fed can’t ignore. Closer to how GDP growth slowed yesterday, in part because of the trade deficit, but also sluggish household consumption. How that plays out in terms of future rate decisions will no doubt be discussed in Michelle Bullock’s appearance before a senate hearing today. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    17 min

  7. Jun 2

    Slower growth for Australia

    Wednesday 3rd June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB More signs of global cooling. NAB’s Ray Attrill looks ahead to today’s Q1 GDP for Australia, with expectations dialled down following a surprising slide into a trade deficit yesterday. It shows how domestic growth was already slowing and tracking below RBA forecasts well before recent energy shocks emerged, although Ray says this, and the 4.75% increase in minimum wage, won’t impact the RBA’s trajectory. But the expectation of a rate rise from the ECB rose along with inflation yesterday. Services inflation is a particular sticking point.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    16 min

  8. Jun 1

    The truth about oil

    Tuessday 2nd June 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer  Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Phil Dobbie and NAB’s Sally Auld delve into a turbulent market session where geopolitical theatre and conflicting macroeconomic signals pulled global asset classes in opposite directions. Crude oil spiked toward $98 a barrel early in the session before cooling down to just over $95 after a flurry of Truth Social posts from Donald Trump claimed he had negotiated a halt to the fighting in Lebanon, smoothing the path for U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks. While Wall Street pushed to fresh record highs solely on the backs of surging IT and energy stocks—buoyed by a strong U.S. manufacturing ISM accelerating to 54—the domestic focus shifted heavily to a much softer-than-expected Australian housing print. Sally highlights that this property slowdown represents a powerful alignment of compounding RBA rate hikes alongside significant changes to investor tax arrangements. While it remains early days, she notes that the combination of these forces could create a larger housing downturn cycle than initially anticipated. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    17 min
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Hosts & Guests

Ratings & Reviews

4.8
out of 5
8 Ratings

About

Start your day with the NAB Morning Call for the latest overnight key economic and market information straight from our team of expert market economists and strategists. This includes perspective on overnight news and market price action and the forces shaping movements in Australian and global markets in the days ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Information

  • Creator
    Phil Dobbie
  • Years Active
    2016 - 2026
  • Episodes
    1.6K
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © All rights reserved
  • Show Website
    NAB Morning Call

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