My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

Andrew Stotz
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Welcome to My Worst Investment Ever podcast hosted by Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, where you will hear stories of loss to keep you winning. In our community, we know that to win in investing you must take the risk, but to win big, you’ve got to reduce it. Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, Ph.D., CFA, is also the CEO of A. Stotz Investment Research and A. Stotz Academy, which helps people create, grow, measure, and protect their wealth. To find more stories like this, previous episodes, and resources to help you reduce your risk, visit https://myworstinvestmentever.com/

  1. Ep820: Tony Martignetti – A Flattering Binder and $13,500 Down the Drain

    APR 20

    Ep820: Tony Martignetti – A Flattering Binder and $13,500 Down the Drain

    BIO: Tony Martignetti is the evangelist for Planned Giving fundraising for small- and mid-size nonprofits. STORY: Two years into building his business, Tony convinced himself he could become the nation's thought leader on planned giving fundraising — not just for nonprofits, but for all Americans. He walked into a swanky Midtown Manhattan PR agency, got dazzled by a four-inch binder, and signed up at $6,750 per month. Two months and $13,500 later, his only return was a single bylined op-ed in a free subway newspaper. LEARNING: Check your ego. Vet your big ideas with honest, trusted people before spending any money. Understand that PR, even when it works, rarely converts to actual revenue. "This was an ego investment. I did it for my vanity project. I got one placement in a giveaway newspaper on a federal holiday when nobody was in the subway. That was it." Tony Martignetti Guest profileTony Martignetti is the evangelist for Planned Giving fundraising for small- and mid-size nonprofits. Connect with him on LinkedIn. Check out Tony's free How-to Guide on Planned Giving Fundraising. Worst investment everTwo years into running his consultancy, Tony had a big idea. He didn't just want to serve the nonprofit sector; he wanted to reach all Americans and make planned giving a concept that everyday citizens (not just charity insiders) would understand and act on. To do that, Tony decided he needed PR, the kind that lands you on 60 Minutes and gets Charlie Rose calling. He found his way to a prestigious agency in Midtown Manhattan, far from his own modest office in the Flatiron neighborhood. They had an 80-story skyscraper overhead to match. At the pitch meeting, they brought out what Tony describes as a four-inch-thick three-ring binder, every page in a plastic sleeve. Client on The Today Show. Client on Good Morning America. Client on 60 Minutes. Client with Charlie Rose. All this sucked Tony in, and he bought it all—hook, line, and sinker. They kept feeding his ego. He signed on at $6,750 per month. What he got for $13,500After two months, Tony canceled the contract. His total return: one bylined op-ed in AM New York, a free newspaper distributed in New York City subway stations. The placement ran on Martin Luther King Day. A federal holiday when subway ridership was a fraction of normal on a Tuesday. No leads from Good Morning America. No call from 60 Minutes. No magazine profiles. No newspaper reporters are following up. Nothing promising on the horizon. Just $13,500 lighter and one op-ed that almost nobody read. Why the agency let it happenThe agency saw a solo entrepreneur with ideas far bigger than the media landscape could realistically support, and instead of managing Tony's expectations honestly, they kept stoking his enthusiasm to secure the fee. They should have talked him down to what's reasonable to expect. Instead, they completely mismanaged his expectations and kept feeding his ego to capture a fee. The fundamental problem was that Tony's ambition—to educate ordinary Americans about the value of nonprofits, then about the value of supporting them long-term, then to direct them toward specific giving vehicles—was a multi-step awareness campaign that no single PR placement could accomplish. It was simply too much to ask of the media. The uncomfortable truth about PR and revenueYears after the failed agency experiment, Tony had better PR results. He hired a skilled freelance publicist who secured quotes for him in The New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Chronicle of Philanthropy, the leading trade publication in his sector. Reporters on the nonprofit beat came to know him and called him when they needed a source. And yet: not one new client ever picked up the phone because they saw Tony's name in the Times. This taught him a lesson: PR is more about reputation and awareness than revenue. Lessons learnedPR might get done right, and it still won't save you. It can build reputation and awareness over the years. It is not a customer acquisition channel.For early-stage founders, the honest question to ask before writing a large check is: Is this actually going to build the business, or is this about making me feel like I've arrived?Don't go check your idea with the people who are going to get a fee for capitalizing on your pie-in-the-sky idea. The people most likely to validate an idea are often the ones most financially motivated to tell you it's great. Lawyers, consultants, vendors, agencies—all have a stake in your enthusiasm. The honest input has to come from people with nothing to gain: trusted colleagues, mentors, or experienced friends who will tell you what they actually think. Andrew's takeawaysEgo investments are a universal founder trap. Almost every entrepreneur who has started a business has made at least one purchase driven more by identity and aspiration than by clear ROI thinking. Naming it "a vanity investment" is the first step to catching it before it costs you.PR almost never converts to customers. This is one of the most consistent findings across hundreds of My Worst Investment Ever PR can build credibility and awareness over time. But it is not a sales channel, and expecting it to deliver clients, especially early in a business, is a setup for disappointment.The stage of business matters for marketing strategy. Early-stage businesses need direct, efficient client acquisition, not brand awareness campaigns aimed at broad audiences. Align your marketing spend with where you actually are, not where you imagine yourself to be.The media landscape has to be ready for your idea. Tony's vision of educating all Americans about planned giving required multiple layers of awareness-building before a single TV segment could have any effect. Even flawless PR execution couldn't shortcut that process. Actionable adviceAsk yourself: Is this a business investment or an ego investment? Before any significant marketing or PR spend, write down the specific customer acquisition outcome you expect. If you can't describe a clear path from the spend to a paying client, it's probably a vanity investment.Match your marketing strategy to your business stage. In the first two to three years, most professional service firms grow through direct outreach, referrals, and relationship-building rather than mass media. Invest accordingly.Understand what PR actually does. PR builds reputation and credibility over the long term. If that's your goal, it can be worth it. If your goal is revenue next quarter, look elsewhere.If you're going to do PR, set explicit expectations in writing. What placements will they pursue? In what timeframe? What counts as success? If the agency won't commit to specifics, that tells you something important. No. 1 goal for the next 12 monthsTony's number one goal for the next 12 months is to publish his first self-published book: Planned Giving Accelerated, due out in September. A companion course will follow the book's release. Parting words "Thank you very much, Andrew. This was great, great fun. It's very different than what I've done."Tony Martignetti [spp-transcript] Connect with Tony MartignettiLinkedInYouTubePodcast Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points Andrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock Marketa href="https://academy.astotz.com/courses/finance-made-ridiculously-simple"...

    26 min
  2. David Siegel – The Agentic Economy: Why AI Agents Will Redefine Work and Wealth

    MAR 23

    David Siegel – The Agentic Economy: Why AI Agents Will Redefine Work and Wealth

    BIO: David Siegel is a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who has founded more than a dozen companies. He has written five books on technology and business, was once a candidate for the dean of Stanford Business School, and is now an AI thought leader leading an AI startup he hopes will pave the way for the agentic economy. STORY: Nine months after David's last appearance on the podcast, the conversation has shifted from "what are LLMs?" to agents that act. 60-65% of NYSE trades are already fully machine-to-machine—a preview of where all commerce is headed. LEARNING: You don't need to know exactly how AI works, but you need to get in the game. "The biggest investment mistake everyone is making right now is not appreciating the exponential nature of what we're in and what is coming. The next 12 months will be nothing like any 12 months that have ever happened in human history."David Siegel David Siegel is a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who has founded more than a dozen companies. He has written five books on technology and business, was once a candidate for the dean of Stanford Business School, and is now an AI thought leader leading an AI startup he hopes will pave the way for the agentic economy. David joins the podcast for the fourth time and discusses his latest progress in AI with Andrew. The health reset before we beginBefore diving into AI, David opened with an invitation that even Andrew found surprising: a free online water-fasting event starting on April 20, 2026, with a preliminary strategy session on April 12. What is a water fast? David explains that it's not a diet or a weight-loss tool; it's a physiological reset. For three to six days, your body enters ketosis and "cleans house," activating suppressed systems and energizing you. David does this three to four times per year, emphasizing it's not a monthly practice but a strategic reset aligned with your health journey. The coaching program makes fasting easier and more fun through group accountability, with no obligation, just information to help anyone at any point in their health journey. Learn about fasting, or just join a group of people doing the same thing at the same time. It's designed for people from the West Coast to Europe. Please register for the event and feel free to invite anyone: https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/Tk-zp9ZERomWb0643Sypmw. The agentic economy: what's coming in 20 yearsDavid's core message centers on a profound shift: we're entering the agentic economy, where machine-to-machine communication replaces human-to-website interaction. He notes that in 20 years, you won't shop on Amazon. There won't be advertising or marketing for humans. All those "Cialdini mind tricks" of urgency, storytelling, and Russell Brunson funnels will vanish. Everything will be machine-to-machine, just like the stock market today, where 65% of NYSE trades open and close in less than one second. Even driving will be prohibited because human reaction times cannot match the frequency of machine communication. We're in an awkward transitional period where humans and machines must coexist. Nobody likes it, but it's taking us toward a future where drudge work is automated. What is an AI agent?David clarified a critical distinction that many miss: LLMs (Large Language Models) talk back, type responses, and generate images and videos—but don't do anything outside your interaction. AI Agent, on the other hand, is an LLM connected to APIs that can actually take action: send emails, order meals, book travel, make purchases, and run ads. Think of it as a virtual remote assistant working 24/7 while you sleep. OpenClaw: The framework powering the revolutionOpenClaw (CLAW = agents, inspired by lobsters from a forward-thinking fiction book) is an open-source framework created by Peter Steinberger on GitHub. It connects LLMs (the thinking entities) to APIs (the conduits for doing). This is revolutionary because it allows AI to take real-world actions. Previously, AI was confined to conversation. It can now execute tasks across systems. David strongly warns that OpenClaw is highly technical and requires API configuration. It's not designed for humans to use directly. It's for engineers building agent infrastructure. The security risks nobody is talking aboutDavid explains that agents introduce entirely new cybersecurity vulnerabilities that differ from traditional threats, such as social-engineering attacks against agents. For instance, impersonation via spoofed emails: "David wants a trip to Phoenix, book a flight," or multi-day, persistent attacks in which bots repeatedly try to extract secrets. David's approach with Claw Studio is to use APIs rather than scraping. Wherever possible, he attaches LLMs to official APIs with guardrails. This is safer and more sustainable than screen scraping, which violates Terms of Service and risks a shutdown. How to get started (without blowing yourself up)David's advice is clear: Don't do it yourself. That's suicide. With great power comes great responsibility. An agent can do almost anything, including deleting its own installation, wiping your disk clean, or draining your bank account. You want it to do almost nothing initially, then gradually widen the guardrails. The Redshift Labs/Claw Studio approach:Done-for-you setup like Red Hat for LinuxDedicated Chief of Staff agent with its own phone numberOnboarding period of 1-2 weeks, where you download your life into the agent:Birthday, family members' emails, and daily routinesIt can research you online to build context.Separate setups for personal and businessForever memory, unlike standard LLM context windows that forget:Every Zoom call transcript gets piped in word-for-word.Searchable memory: "Who was I talking to about Tahoe skiing in November?"Agent retrieves exact conversations and can follow up.Reverse prompting—the paradigm shift:Instead of you telling the agent what to do, it tells you.Morning briefing: what happened overnight, what's coming up, what's changedManages your calendar, project management, and prioritiesBreaks long-term goals into daily deliverablesYou're no longer the to-do list keeper.Security architecture:Virtual Private Server (VPS) hosting, not local machinesTwo-account system: one for operations, one for immutable backupsAll logs are piped to a one-way backup account."Go back six hours" restore button, in case things go wrong.Humans in the loop for critical actions (e.g., agent queues payments, human approves) The biggest investment mistake everyone is makingTo conclude, David talked about the biggest investment mistake everyone is making right now: not appreciating the exponential nature of what we're in and what is coming. He noted that the next 12 months will be unlike any 12 months in business history. He stated that we're entering a recursive self-improvement phase, in which software will write the next generation of itself. The singularity isn't theoretical; it's happening now. David's advice is to stop thinking six months ahead. The pace is too fast. Instead: Take baby steps to position yourself.Prepare to accelerate like never beforeInvest in agent infrastructure now, while it "doesn't suck too bad", it will...

    50 min
  3. Athena Brownson – What Happens When Trust Replaces Due Diligence

    FEB 2

    Athena Brownson – What Happens When Trust Replaces Due Diligence

    BIO: Athena Brownson is a Denver realtor, investor, developer, and former professional skier whose resilience through chronic illness fuels her refined, strategic, and client-focused approach to real estate. STORY: Athena lost $130,000 in her first development project when a builder she considered a friend vanished with the upfront funds. Her trust and incomplete due diligence led to a total loss, teaching her that personal relationships can create dangerous blind spots in business. LEARNING: Due diligence is non-negotiable. Trust is a liability. “A simple conversation with someone that we know, like, and trust is invaluable, because they can point out to us the blind spots that we may have missed in our excitement.”Athena Brownson Guest profileAthena Brownson is a Denver realtor, investor, developer, and former professional skier whose resilience through chronic illness fuels her refined, strategic, and client-focused approach to real estate. Worst investment everAthena Brownson entered her first development project with confidence and a seemingly dream team. With a 45-year veteran developer—her father—by her side, she felt prepared. She had saved diligently, owned the land, and chose a builder she’d known for three years, a dear friend’s business partner. After multiple interviews where her father asked all the right questions, they felt secure. They signed a contract and paid $130,000 upfront for site clearing, asbestos abatement, and foundation work. Initial excitement turned to unease as progress was glacial. A blue fence went up, and some abatement started, but then communication stopped. Phone lines went dead. Subcontractors began calling Athena directly, asking why they hadn’t been paid. The devastating truth emerged: the builder had vanished with the funds. Athena later discovered she was one of eight victims of the same scam. Despite her real estate expertise and her father’s decades of experience, they had been outmaneuvered by a trusted contact. Lessons learnedDue diligence is non-negotiable: Trust is not a replacement for verification. Athena’s key takeaway was the need for exhaustive due diligence: calling not just a few references, but a comprehensive list of past and current clients to hear the unfiltered story of their experiences.Friendship clouds judgment: A personal connection created a dangerous blind spot. It made her and her experienced team less likely to probe aggressively or assume the worst, a bias scammers often exploit.Assume the worst, hope for the best: The mindset must shift from “I trust you until you prove me wrong” to “Show me consistent, verifiable proof that you are trustworthy.” In business, healthy skepticism is a necessary form of self-defense.Measure twice, cut once: This adage applies to money and contracts. Double and triple-check every detail, every claim, and every line item before funds change hands. Andrew’s takeawaysMoney is life energy: Andrew referenced the classic book Your Money or Your Life, emphasizing that money represents hours of your life traded for it. Guarding it fiercely is an act of self-preservation.Trust is a liability: Stories like Athena’s and others show that misplaced trust is a common thread in catastrophic losses. Systems and verification must replace blind faith.Seek counsel, not confirmation: When making big decisions, actively seek advisors who will challenge you and point out blind spots, not just those who will validate your excitement. Actionable adviceAthena advises investors to do these three things when vetting any partner: Demand a list of 10 past and current clients/vendors and call them all. Don’t settle for 2-3 curated references. Ask specific questions about communication, budgeting, and problem-solving.Before major investments, formally run the deal by a small group of mentors or experienced peers whose explicit role is to find flaws and ask the tough questions you might be avoiding.Impose a mandatory 48-72 hour “cooling-off” period between agreeing to a deal and signing or funding. Use that time to conduct the extra due diligence that your initial excitement may have skipped. Athena’s recommendationsAthena’s number one recommendation is to invest in mentorship and continuous education. Whether through formal coaching, podcasts, masterclasses, or peer groups, constantly feed your knowledge. She advocates for finding a community that provides both accountability and the ability to see your own blind spots, which are invisible to you alone. For her, this approach, ingrained from her athletic career, is pivotal for professional growth and risk mitigation. No. 1 goal for the next 12 monthsAthena’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to deepen her impact by building a powerful, trusted referral network. She aims to serve more clients in building long-term wealth through strategic real estate and to expand her team. A core part of this mission is to pay forward the mentorship she received by guiding younger agents, helping them avoid the costly pitfalls she endured. Parting words “Don’t make rash decisions. Take your time and know that the right thing is going to come into place at the right time.”Athena Brownson [spp-transcript] Connect with Athena BrownsonLinkedInInstagramYouTube Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points Andrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your Influencea...

    32 min
  4. Jon Ostenson – Top 10 Franchise Opportunities for 2026

    JAN 19

    Jon Ostenson – Top 10 Franchise Opportunities for 2026

    BIO: Jon is the Founder and CEO of FranBridge Consulting, a 2-time Inc. 5000 company, and a leading franchise consultant. STORY: Jon believes franchising remains one of the most effective ways to build durable income, especially when investors focus on operational discipline and unit economics. He shares his top franchise categories for 2026. LEARNING: Look for businesses with repeat customers, operational discipline, proven unit economics, and leadership teams that have already made their mistakes. Guest profileJon Ostenson is the Founder and CEO of FranBridge Consulting, a 2-time Inc. 5000 company, and he is a top 1% franchise consultant. Jon is also the author of the bestselling book, Non-Food Franchising. Jon draws on his experience as a former Inc. 500 Franchise President and Multi-Brand Franchisee in helping his clients select their franchise investments. For many aspiring business owners, the biggest financial losses don't come from bad intentions. They come from underestimating complexity, overestimating scalability, or betting everything on an unproven idea. Jon Ostenson knows this lesson intimately. As the founder and CEO of FranBridge Consulting and franchise consultant, Jon has spent years helping entrepreneurs shortcut costly mistakes by investing in proven, non-food franchise models. In Episode 815: I Built a Million-Dollar Business That Never Made a Profit, he openly shared how he once built a million-dollar business that never made a profit. That experience now informs how he evaluates opportunities with discipline, structure, and risk control. Looking ahead to 2026, Jon believes franchising remains one of the most effective ways to build a durable income stream, especially when investors focus on operational discipline and unit economics. Below are his top franchise categories for 2026, and more importantly, why they help investors avoid the common traps that sink new businesses. Why Franchising Can Help Investors Avoid Big MistakesOne of the most common investment errors is assuming passion alone will overcome operational complexity. Many entrepreneurs love an idea but underestimate the systems, staffing, pricing discipline, and capital required to make it profitable. Franchising addresses this risk by offering something rare: a business model with historical data. Instead of guessing whether pricing works or whether customers will pay, franchisees can examine real-world performance, talk to existing owners, and follow systems that have already survived market cycles, helping investors feel confident in demand-driven, structured opportunities. Jon emphasizes that franchising is not about eliminating risk. It's about trading unbounded risk for structured risk, supported by systems, training, and benchmarks. 1. Cost Mitigation Consulting: Profits Without PayrollCost-mitigation franchises help small and medium-sized businesses reduce expenses by analyzing vendor contracts, utility bills, shipping costs, and other fees. Clients pay nothing up front and instead share a percentage of the savings. What makes this model compelling is its simplicity. There's no inventory, no employees required, and no large infrastructure investment. Franchisees focus on business-to-business sales while the franchisor provides analytical support and benchmarking tools. From an investment standpoint, this avoids two common mistakes: high fixed costs and overstaffing before revenue stabilizes. 2. Freight Brokerage: Leveraging Collective Buying PowerShipping costs remain a pain point for businesses, and freight brokerage franchises sit neatly between companies and major carriers like UPS, FedEx, and DHL. Rather than competing on price alone, franchisees act as trusted advisors, simplifying logistics and negotiating better rates using collective buying power. Technology and systems are already in place, preventing the trial-and-error phase that sinks many startups. This model rewards consultative selling skills while insulating owners from volatile commodity pricing. 3. Digital Billboard Advertising: Recurring Local RevenueDigital billboard franchises install advertising screens in high-traffic locations such as medical offices, oil change centers, and waiting rooms. The screens are free for host businesses, while advertisers pay for exposure. The appeal here lies in predictable recurring revenue and minimal staffing. Franchisees sell local advertising while the franchisor handles content delivery, technology, and procurement. It's a classic example of monetizing attention without carrying inventory or managing complex operations. 4. Senior Fitness and Stretching Services: Demographics at WorkWith thousands of Americans turning 65 every day, senior-focused services remain one of the strongest secular growth trends. One franchise Jon highlights provides on-site stretching and fitness programs inside senior living communities. Revenue is recurring, demand is non-discretionary, and the business directly improves quality of life. For investors, this reduces reliance on consumer whims and economic cycles. 5. Home Mobility Solutions: Aging in Place Is the FutureAnother senior-focused opportunity involves installing wheelchair ramps, stair lifts, and bathroom modifications to help seniors stay in their homes longer. Jon favors this franchise because the leadership team brings decades of industry experience, and market demand is structural rather than trendy. These services align closely with healthcare, reverse mortgages, and long-term aging trends. For investors, it's a reminder that boring, needs-based businesses often outperform exciting ideas. 6. Pilates Studios: Premium Wellness With Predictable RevenuePilates franchises continue to stand out as one of the strongest performers in the wellness space heading into 2026. Unlike trend-driven fitness concepts, Pilates benefits from longevity, broad demographic appeal, and a reputation for low-impact, high-value results. Clients range from young professionals to older adults focused on mobility, posture, and injury prevention. What makes this model attractive from an investment perspective is its membership-based recurring revenue and disciplined unit economics. Franchise systems have refined pricing, instructor certification, class capacity, and studio layout to maximise margins while maintaining quality. Jon highlights that these brands succeed not because fitness is exciting, but because their business models are structured, repeatable, and proven across multiple markets. For investors looking to avoid the mistake of underestimating operating complexity, Pilates franchises offer a clear framework for scaling without reinventing the wheel. 7. Recovery and Wellness Studios: Riding the Longevity EconomyRecovery-focused wellness franchises are another category Jon believes will accelerate into 2026. These studios offer services such as cold plunges, infrared saunas, cryotherapy, compression therapy, and contrast bathing, all designed to support recovery, performance, and long-term health. Unlike traditional spas, these franchises position themselves as ongoing wellness memberships rather than one-off luxury visits. Customers come weekly, sometimes multiple times per week, creating predictable cash flow and strong client retention. Demand is driven by athletes, busy professionals, and aging consumers who prioritise longevity and preventative health. From an investment standpoint, these franchises succeed when operators follow disciplined rollout plans, resist overbuilding too quickly, and rely on franchisor-tested marketing and pricing strategies. Jon notes that many independent wellness studios fail not because the demand isn't there, but because owners misjudge costs, staffing, or market readiness, mistakes that strong franchise systems are designed to prevent. 8. Music Education Studios: Community-Based Recurring IncomeMusic lesson franchises create centralized spaces where instructors teach children and adults under a standardized curriculum. Parents are willing to invest in their children regardless of economic conditions, making this category resilient. The franchise advantage lies in marketing systems, scheduling technology, and curriculum design. Owners focus on community engagement rather than building everything from scratch. 9. Teen Driving Schools: Regulation Meets OpportunityIn many US states, formal driver education is required for teens to obtain a driver's license. Yet the market remains fragmented and unsophisticated. Franchised teen driving schools offer standardized training, vetted instructors, and strong brand trust. For parents, safety matters. For investors, regulation-backed demand provides stability. 10. Property Services: Flooring and Junk Hauling ReinventedJon closes his list with two property services franchises that stand out due to operational innovation. One refinishes hardwood floors in a single day without sanding. The other reimagines junk hauling by charging by...

    41 min
  5. David Siegel – A Smart Idea Nobody Wanted

    JAN 5

    David Siegel – A Smart Idea Nobody Wanted

    BIO: David Siegel is a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who has founded more than a dozen companies. He has written five books on technology and business, was once a candidate for the dean of Stanford Business School, and is now an AI thought leader leading an AI startup he hopes will pave the way for the agentic economy. STORY: David invested heavily in launching a longevity coaching business, believing people would pay to extend their lives through lifestyle change. Despite strong science, personal results, and significant marketing spend, demand proved nearly nonexistent. LEARNING: A great idea without real demand is still a bad investment. “There will be many new problems, and whenever there are new problems, there’s a new economic opportunity for many people.”David Siegel Guest profileDavid Siegel is a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who has founded more than a dozen companies. He has written five books on technology and business, was once a candidate for the dean of Stanford Business School, and is now an AI thought leader leading an AI startup he hopes will pave the way for the agentic economy. Worst investment everAfter years of building companies and studying major technological shifts, David found himself pulled deeply into the longevity movement. This wasn’t casual curiosity. He read more than 20 books, radically transformed his lifestyle, and developed a deep understanding of insulin resistance, nutrition, exercise, and long-term health. The results were personal and visible. David was fit, disciplined, and energized. The idea that science could help people live 10 to 15 years longer, with a higher quality of life, felt not only possible but urgent. Helping others do the same seemed like a natural next chapter. Turning passion into a businessConfident in both the science and his own experience, David decided to turn longevity coaching into a scalable business. His target audience was people in their 50s and 60s, individuals who were pre-diabetic or heading toward serious health issues and stood to benefit the most from early intervention. He approached the venture like a seasoned entrepreneur. He built funnels, ran Facebook ads, spoke at retirement communities, and spent months on discovery calls explaining how lifestyle changes could dramatically reduce the risk of cancer, Alzheimer’s, and diabetes. This wasn’t guesswork; it was disciplined execution. The painful reality checkThen reality set in. Despite spending over $100,000 on advertising and investing countless hours in conversations, demand was almost nonexistent. People listened. They nodded. They agreed the logic made sense. Then they walked away. Many believed the healthcare system would save them. Others hoped for a pill instead of discipline. Even those clearly facing insulin resistance weren’t willing to make sustained lifestyle changes. The most sobering realization wasn’t about marketing or pricing. It was this: most people don’t actually want to live longer if it requires consistent effort. Accepting the lossIn the end, only about one percent of the people David spoke to were already doing the work and didn’t need coaching. Everyone else opted out, fully aware of the consequences. The investment failed not because the science was wrong, but because the market wasn’t there. David ultimately gave the information away for free and walked away from the business, having learned an expensive but clarifying lesson about belief versus demand. Lessons learnedEven the most compelling solution will fail if it requires behavior that people are unwilling to change.Logic, evidence, and outcomes don’t matter if the market emotionally resists effort.A great idea without real demand is still a bad investment. Andrew’s takeawaysAndrew highlights that people consistently search for shortcuts rather than long-term solutions. Whether in health or investing, most people prefer convenience over discipline, even when the stakes are life-altering. Actionable adviceBefore scaling any idea, test for real demand, not polite interest. Ask whether people are willing to pay, change their habits, and put in effort. If behavior change is central to your offering, validate that reality early or risk learning the hard way. David’s recommendationsDavid encourages understanding your own health data, particularly insulin resistance, through proper testing, such as an oral glucose tolerance test. While the business failed, the knowledge remains powerful and freely available for those willing to act. Parting words “Keep looking for new problems that didn’t exist six months ago and jump in after them.”David Siegel [spp-transcript] Connect with David SiegelLinkedInXYouTubeWebsite Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points Andrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your Goals Connect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookli...

    48 min
  6. Jon Ostenson – I Built a Million-Dollar Business That Never Made a Profit

    12/22/2025

    Jon Ostenson – I Built a Million-Dollar Business That Never Made a Profit

    BIO: Jon is the Founder and CEO of FranBridge Consulting, a 2-time Inc. 5000 company, and he is a top 1% franchise consultant. STORY: Jon co-founded a marketing and call-center business that appeared successful on the surface, growing to millions in revenue and dozens of employees. However, excessive customization and an inability to charge prices that matched rising costs meant the business never became sustainably profitable. LEARNING: Profitability is oxygen. Knowing when to admit you’re wrong matters just as much as knowing how to start. “Humble yourself and admit when you’re wrong, course correct, and pivot.”Jon Ostenson Guest profileJon Ostenson is the Founder and CEO of FranBridge Consulting, a 2-time Inc. 5000 company, and he is a top 1% franchise consultant. Jon is also the author of the bestselling book, Non-Food Franchising. Jon draws on his experience as a former Inc. 500 Franchise President and Multi-Brand Franchisee in helping his clients select their franchise investments. Worst investment everLeaving the corporate world felt like freedom. After years of structure, predictability, and steady paychecks, you finally get to build something of your own. That was precisely where Jon found himself: grateful for his corporate experience, energized by the idea of business ownership, and eager to prove he could create something meaningful on his own terms. A promising partnership and a compelling business visionShortly after leaving corporate life, Jon partnered with a colleague to launch a marketing and sales company. He owned 60 percent of the business and ran day-to-day operations, while his partner held the remaining 40 percent. The vision was compelling. The company would help franchise businesses grow by handling their marketing, answering inbound calls through an in-house call center, and booking appointments directly for clients. The promise was simple: make the phones ring and convert those calls into revenue. Early momentum and the illusion of successAt first, it worked. The business grew quickly, attracting a strong leadership team and building a culture Jon was proud of. With around 35 employees and annual revenues of $3 million to $4 million, the company appeared successful from the outside. The team was energized, clients were signing on, and the pace was exciting. When growth didn’t translate into profitBut beneath the surface, there was a quiet, persistent problem. The business wasn’t profitable. Despite all the effort, the long hours, and the constant tweaking, the company hovered around breakeven. Some months it lost money. Others it barely scraped by. Payroll was always looming, and profitability felt just out of reach. Jon tried adjusting pricing, shifting emphasis between marketing and call center services, and introducing new technology to increase value. But every fix only delayed the inevitable question he didn’t want to answer: What if the model itself was broken? The hidden cost of customization and complexityThe core issue turned out to be customization. The business was designed to scale by serving franchise systems with repeatable processes. Instead, each franchisee insisted their market was different, their staff was unique, and their customers required special handling. Wanting to please early clients and drive revenue, Jon said yes. Again and again. Over time, the company became highly customized, operationally complex, and increasingly expensive to run. Pricing no longer matched costs. The more the business grew, the harder it became to make money. What looked like top-line success was masking a model that couldn’t sustain itself. The hard decision to walk away with integrityEventually, Jon made the difficult decision to wind down the business. There was no dramatic exit or acquisition, but there was integrity. The team helped place employees in new roles and transitioned clients responsibly. Still, it was a painful experience. The failure wasn’t just financial; it was an ego hit. This was Jon’s first true experience of business ownership, and letting it go meant admitting that the original idea wasn’t as strong as he believed. Lessons learnedThe biggest lesson came from contrast. After running his own startup without a proven product-market fit, Jon developed a deep appreciation for franchising. Unlike a startup built on assumptions, franchises offer historical data, real performance benchmarks, and access to owners who have already walked the path. You can see results before you ever invest.There were personal lessons, too. Knowing when to admit you’re wrong matters just as much as knowing how to start. Humility, course correction, and the willingness to pivot are not weaknesses in entrepreneurship; they’re survival skills.Profitability, Jon learned, is oxygen. A business that can’t consistently operate in the black eventually suffocates, no matter how exciting the vision or how talented the team. Andrew’s takeawaysOne of the most important disciplines for any business owner is accurately closing the books each month. That means reviewing not just the profit and loss statement, but also the balance sheet. If your accountant can’t do that, it’s time for a new one. Monthly financial clarity allows you to identify problems early, before they become fatal.Another insight comes from scale. Based on analysis of tens of thousands of companies globally, Andrew points to $7.5 million in annual revenue as a critical threshold. Below that level, it’s tough to afford the management talent and infrastructure required to run a scalable business. If you can’t get there efficiently, it may be time to rethink the model.Finally, complexity is the silent killer. Businesses naturally drift toward offering more products, more services, and more custom solutions. Every added layer increases costs and erodes margins. Only disciplined leadership can stop complexity from overwhelming profitability. Actionable adviceIf you’re building a business, be honest about whether you’re chasing revenue or building something scalable. Early customization can help you survive, but staying there too long can trap you in a low-margin cycle that’s hard to escape. Focus on creating profitable top-line growth, not just growth for its own sake. Learn to say no, even when opportunities feel exciting. And remember: there is no perfect time to start a business. The best way to learn is to get in the game early, without betting everything, and build experience that you can compound over time. Jon’s recommendationsJon recommends starting with education and proven frameworks. He offers a free downloadable copy of his book, Non-Food Franchising, in a concise 90-page guide. The book has received strong feedback and provides practical insights for anyone considering business ownership. Listeners can download the PDF or audio version by visiting FranBridgeConsulting.com and sharing their email address. Those who prefer a physical copy can purchase it on Amazon, with all proceeds supporting Hope International. No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsJon’s goal for the next 12 months is to grow passive income across multiple asset classes, including franchising. His goal is to build sustainable revenue streams that create freedom across all areas of life: faith, family, fitness, finances, and future ventures. Passive income, for Jon, isn’t just about money. It’s about capacity—the ability to choose how you spend your time and energy. Parting words “There’s never a good time to start a business. Get off the couch, dip your toe in the water, read our book, get in the game, and start thinking about it.”Jon Ostenson [spp-transcript] Connect with Jon OstensonLinkedInTwitterFacebooka...

    26 min
  7. Edwin Endlich – Early Doesn't Always Mean Right

    12/01/2025

    Edwin Endlich – Early Doesn't Always Mean Right

    BIO: Edwin Endlich is the Chief Marketing Officer of Wysh and President of the National Alliance for Financial Literacy and Inclusion. STORY: Edwin’s worst investment was buying Tilray stock at $143 during the early hype of legal cannabis investing. Swept up in the excitement of a “new frontier,” he held on as the price crashed—eventually selling at around 30 cents and losing over 99% of his investment. LEARNING: The fundamentals always apply, even in new or exciting industries. Don’t let hype replace due diligence.   “We’re in this AI conversation, let’s not forget the fundamentals of the market. Learn from what has happened in this space before. And don’t get too cocky.”Edwin Endlich  Guest profileEdwin Endlich is the Chief Marketing Officer of Wysh and President of the National Alliance for Financial Literacy and Inclusion. Edwin has spent his career at the intersection of marketing, fintech, and AI, helping financial institutions tell more human stories in an increasingly digital world. He’s passionate about making financial protection simple, accessible, and even a little more fun — proving you don’t need buzzwords or hype to make banking and technology relevant. Worst investment everThere’s nothing quite like the rush of feeling early—early to a trend, early to a movement, early to a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. That’s precisely what Edwin felt in 2015–2016, when investing in legal cannabis became possible in parts of the United States. For the first time, regular people could invest in a newly legalized industry. It felt like history happening in real time, a frontier market ready to explode. Edwin and his friends didn’t want to miss out, especially when companies were going public, and their share prices seemed destined to skyrocket. One of those stocks was Tilray. At $143 a share, Edwin was convinced he was buying the future. He imagined stock splits, booming demand, and a cannabis empire rising from the ground floor. Instead, he watched that $143 tumble month after month, until he finally sold it for around 30 cents. The emotional rollercoaster of hope, disappointment, and finally acceptance was a journey Edwin will never forget. A 99.3% loss. He now calls it his worst investment—not just because of the financial hit, but because of how powerfully excitement and hype clouded his judgment. Lessons learnedEvery investor thinks their situation is unique. But in reality, the same patterns repeat again and again.Markets take time to mature.Regulation can shift overnight.Early doesn’t always mean right.Excitement is not a strategy. Andrew’s takeawaysA portfolio isn’t just about diversification by industry or geography; it’s also about diversifying across stages of maturity.Stable, well-regulated companies like Coca-Cola or Pepsi behave very differently from early-stage, hype-driven industries, such as the cannabis sector.Even large companies, with teams of top analysts, often get it wrong. Actionable adviceIf Edwin could offer one piece of advice to anyone starry-eyed over the next big thing, it would be this: Do your due diligence. Seriously. Before you invest in anything—especially something exciting, futuristic, or rapidly trending—slow down and ask: Has this been done before?What can I learn from past bubbles?What does history say about similar innovations?Am I investing in fundamentals—or feelings? Whether it’s cannabis in 2016 or AI in 2024, the pattern is the same. Booms become bubbles. Investors overestimate how fast an industry will mature. And emotion often wins over discipline. But with the right mindset and discipline, you can avoid these pitfalls. Edwin’s recommendationsEdwin encourages people to empower themselves with real financial knowledge. That’s why he co-founded the National Alliance for Financial Literacy and Inclusion (NAFLI)—a nonprofit dedicated to helping individuals understand money, investing, and financial products. Whether you’re new to investing or leading a financial institution, NAFLI offers education, tools, and resources to help individuals make more informed financial decisions. No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsEdwin’s goal for the next 12 months is to have a full, uninterrupted conversation with his daughter, one that lasts longer than 10 minutes and isn’t broken by phones, notifications, or distractions. Edwin wants to rebuild community and presence—starting at home. Parting words  “Stay focused and look to the past.”Edwin Endlich  [spp-transcript]   Connect with Edwin EndlichLinkedInWebsite Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points Andrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your Goals Connect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsXYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast

    21 min
  8. Scott Alldridge – Hot Coffee, Cold Reality: The $10,000 Drone Delivery Mistake

    11/10/2025

    Scott Alldridge – Hot Coffee, Cold Reality: The $10,000 Drone Delivery Mistake

    BIO: Scott Alldridge is CEO of IP Services and President of the IT Process Institute, a bestselling author of the VisibleOps series, and a Certified Chief Information Security Officer. STORY: Scott’s worst investment was a stake in a startup promising to deliver hot coffee by drone. Excited by the futuristic idea, he invested before the concept was proven—but the project quickly crashed when the FAA banned drone deliveries and a prototype failed spectacularly. LEARNING: Being first doesn’t always mean being right. Due diligence is non-negotiable.   “You don’t have to jump in. Being the first with the most doesn’t matter if it’s a bad idea—you’ll lose money anyway.”Scott Alldridge  Guest profileScott Alldridge is CEO of IP Services and President of the IT Process Institute, a bestselling author of the VisibleOps series, and a Certified Chief Information Security Officer. He holds an MBA in cybersecurity and has over 30 years of experience in IT and cybersecurity leadership. Scott empowers organizations to achieve resilience through process excellence, Zero Trust, and AI-driven security. Worst investment everIf you live in the Pacific Northwest, coffee isn’t just a drink; it’s a way of life. Seattle is home to Starbucks, and in Oregon, coffee culture runs deep. So when Scott was pitched an idea that combined coffee and technology—delivering hot coffee via drone—he couldn’t resist. The concept sounded revolutionary: push a button on your phone, and a drone drops off your piping-hot Americano right at your doorstep. It felt like the future—part Amazon innovation, part TED Talk dream. Excited, Scott invested for a 3% stake in the startup. The founders promised a caffeinated empire built on convenience and cutting-edge tech. But just three months later, the buzz wore off. The FAA issued a cease-and-desist order on all drone delivery experiments, particularly those involving liquids. And then came the final straw: the company’s prototype drone spilled an entire cup of hot coffee mid-flight, grounding both the drone and Scott’s hopes. The “coffee drone revolution” turned into a $10,000 lesson in wishful thinking. Delivering hot coffee by drone was never going to fly—literally. Lessons learnedBeing first doesn’t always mean being right.It’s tempting to jump into the next big idea, especially when it sounds exciting and visionary. However, early-stage innovation carries significant risk, especially when the concept hasn’t been tested or proven.Enthusiasm can cloud judgment. Instead of investing based on a slick pitch deck or futuristic concept, it’s smarter to wait until an idea is validated, tested, and compliant with regulations. Andrew’s takeawaysEvery idea looks brilliant until reality—and regulation—show up.Even in large corporations, where top analysts and executives lead multi-million-dollar mergers, success isn’t guaranteed. Only about 20% of them added value within three to five years.Business is hard, and due diligence is non-negotiable. Actionable adviceAlways do your due diligence. Before investing in any idea—no matter how exciting—slow down and dig deep: Validate the concept. Is there a working prototype, or just a fancy pitch?Check the regulations, especially if the business operates in a grey area (like drones or cannabis).Assess the risk. What happens if laws, markets, or consumer behaviour change?Stay patient. If it’s truly a good idea, it will still be good when it’s proven. Scott’s recommendationsScott recommends his Amazon bestseller, Visible Ops Cybersecurity: Practical Ways to Enhance Your Cybersecurity Posture, which breaks down complex IT security concepts into real-world strategies that leaders can actually apply. For executives who don’t speak “tech,” he’s also written The Visible Ops Executive Companion Guide, a concise 105-page edition with zero “geek speak”—just actionable guidance. And coming soon: Visible Ops AI: Artificial Intelligence Governance with Practical Guidance, where Scott explores how businesses can safely and responsibly integrate AI while protecting data integrity. No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsScott’s goal for the next 12 months is to double down on two things: growth and impact. On the business side, his goal is to expand the top-line revenue of his IT services firm and bring in new client partnerships. But there’s also a bigger mission driving him—making the world a safer place through smarter, more disciplined cybersecurity practices. Parting words  “Thank you for having me today. Let’s keep the world a cyber-safe place.”Scott Alldridge  [spp-transcript]   Connect with Scott AlldridgeLinkedInInstagramFacebookWebsiteBook Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points Andrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your Goals Connect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsXYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast

    29 min
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About

Welcome to My Worst Investment Ever podcast hosted by Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, where you will hear stories of loss to keep you winning. In our community, we know that to win in investing you must take the risk, but to win big, you’ve got to reduce it. Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, Ph.D., CFA, is also the CEO of A. Stotz Investment Research and A. Stotz Academy, which helps people create, grow, measure, and protect their wealth. To find more stories like this, previous episodes, and resources to help you reduce your risk, visit https://myworstinvestmentever.com/

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