Trading in the New Economy

Specialist Share Education

Australian Stock Market Educator & Fund Manager Garry Davis gives his top down insights into the global economic environment and its impact on financial markets, to set stock market direction and strategy from the US to the ASX. Plus, we'll add some short form educational segments from our member only education sessions along the way (we highly recommend our first ever published episode). Mostly taken from our Weekly YouTube Show, these episodes give you non biased, just facts and logical, open minded guidance to succeed in the New Economy (and it has changed!). Indices, bonds, spreads, currencies, commodities and what the smart money is doing right now is what Garry delivers to our 8,000+ YouTube community every week. For the full visual experience, come check us out over there at https://www.youtube.com/c/SpecialistShareEducation.

  1. Aug 9

    Gold Breaks Out as Opportunities Explode Across Markets

    The market message has turned strongly more positive, with improving breadth in the US, a much better tone across multiple sectors, and an explosive breakout in gold. In this update, Garry Davis looks at the broader change of character across markets, what the latest money flows are signalling, and why being organised still matters when volatility can return quickly. Watch on YouTube View our scoreboard of results Update summary The US market continues to absorb bad news, earnings remain supportive, and participation is broadening well beyond the usual large-cap leaders. At the same time, parts of the AI trade have reset without clearly breaking, while Australia may be entering a more favourable phase, particularly across resources. Gold was the standout move, with miners responding even more strongly than the underlying metal. Key message The bigger question now is not simply whether markets look bullish. It is how to participate with a process that suits your psychology, your plan and your risk tolerance. Opportunities are expanding, but the market is still treating stocks on their merits, so weightings, cash levels and exit rules remain important. What you'll learn Why the bullish case in the US looks stronger now Why improving market breadth matters How to think about the AI reset without following the herd Why the gold breakout and strength in miners are important Where the Australian opportunity set may be improving Why organisation, weightings and exit rules still matter in a bullish market If you value calm, rational and objective market analysis, you can learn more about the Insiders Club here: Join the Insiders Club If you would like to learn more about our individually managed account service, you can enquire here: Portfolio Manager Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  2. Aug 1

    This Market Is Punishing Guesswork: Here’s How to Stay in Control

    Markets are rewarding discipline and punishing anyone trying to make sense of every headline in real time. In this update, Garry Davis explains why AI and semiconductor weakness, rising bond yields, gold’s tightening setup and a highly selective earnings season all point to the same conclusion: get organised before the market forces you to react. Watch on YouTube View our results scoreboard The evidence for AI demand and cloud monetisation is strengthening, but the return on an increasingly debt-supported hyperscaler capital expenditure cycle is still unresolved. At the same time, leverage unwinds and forced selling have amplified semiconductor volatility, while money appears to be rotating rather than leaving the market. Gold and silver are coiling near an important inflexion point, and the Australian earnings season is likely to punish even minor disappointments. These conditions can create outstanding opportunities, but only for investors who are organised enough to avoid emotional decisions. For ongoing market guidance, portfolio recommendations, education and direct support, learn more about the Insiders Club. For an individually managed account where you retain visibility and control, learn more about Portfolio Manager. You do not need to predict the next move. Cash is a position. A clear purpose, weighting plan and exit process allow you to wait for confirmation and act when the risk/reward becomes favourable. What you’ll learn What recent hyperscaler results prove about AI demand — and what remains unresolved Why crowded, leveraged trades can overwhelm compelling fundamentals in the short term Why the semiconductor correction still requires confirmation before trying to pick a bottom What rising bond yields are signalling while the Fed holds rates steady Why gold and silver appear close to a forceful move, but direction still needs confirmation How cash, portfolio weightings and a clear process can turn volatility into opportunity Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  3. Jul 26

    AI’s Biggest Test Has Begun: Should You Still Buy the Dip?

    AI earnings season has begun, and the market is no longer accepting spending promises at face value. In this update, Garry Davis examines what Google’s result and the market response are signalling about hyperscaler capital expenditure, free cash flow and the changing leadership across US markets. Watch on YouTube   |   View our scoreboard of results   The first major hyperscaler result has reinforced what the charts were already showing: AI and technology leadership is weakening, while money is rotating into other parts of the market. That does not invalidate the long-term AI opportunity, but it does make price, timing and stock selection far more important. Garry also looks at the improving relative strength in healthcare, financials, industrials and energy, the resilience of smaller companies, and the early signs that gold and silver may be forming a base after a substantial pullback. If you value clear, probability-based analysis and practical guidance across Australian and US markets, you can learn more about the Insiders Club here: Join the Insiders Club If you would prefer an individually managed account rather than making every portfolio decision yourself, you can enquire here: Portfolio Manager Key message A buy-the-dip opportunity in AI will come, but the current evidence does not yet favour assuming that every decline is an immediate entry point. The long-term theme can remain intact while the short-term reward for risk deteriorates. Follow the money flows, reassess weightings and look more widely for strong businesses where downside appears more limited and upside is building. What you’ll learn Why the market is questioning whether hyperscaler spending can produce an acceptable financial return What falling forward free cash flow means for the bullish and bearish AI cases Why technology and semiconductors are losing relative momentum Where leadership is emerging as money rotates rather than leaves the market Why a gold and silver basing pattern may be forming, without confirming an immediate reversal Why stock selection and entry timing matter more as broad market leadership narrows   Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  4. Jul 18

    Was Friday the Pause Before the Next Leg Down?

    Friday’s sharp intraday recovery showed that buyers are still present. It did not confirm that the market has formed a low. In this update, Garry Davis explains why forced selling and leverage are creating unusually fast market moves, what the next six weeks of major earnings could reveal, and why a repeatable process matters more than predicting the top or bottom. Watch on YouTube Markets are at an important crossroads. Friday’s rebound was constructive, but the recovery did not hold strongly enough to confirm a change in control from sellers to buyers. At the same time, the resilience of US small caps suggests this may still be a rotation and leverage reset rather than a wholesale exit from equities. The next phase will be shaped by major US earnings, guidance and—most importantly—how markets respond in the 48 to 72 hours after each result. A strong report is no longer enough if investors are unwilling to reward it. Key message This is not a time for heroic predictions or automatic dip-buying. Raise or reduce exposure according to the evidence, manage weightings and cash levels, and wait for the charts to show that buyers have regained control. What you’ll learn Why Friday was a signal, but not confirmation of a market low How leverage and forced selling can overwhelm strong fundamentals Why the next six weeks of earnings could influence global market direction What would indicate that buyers are beginning to regain control How pre-planned weightings, cash levels and exit rules reduce emotional decisions Why a strong process remains valuable even when an individual call is early or wrong For daily market analysis, portfolio recommendations and a repeatable risk-management process, join the Insiders Club. For investors seeking an individually managed account, learn more about Portfolio Manager. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  5. Jul 12

    The AI Trade Has Rotated. Has Gold Bottomed?

    The AI trade has rotated, and gold may be getting closer to a bottom. In this update, Garry Davis explains why semiconductor risk has risen in the short term, where money is moving, and what still needs to happen before gold can be treated as a confirmed recovery. Watch on YouTube The long-term semiconductor thesis remains compelling, but the character of money flows has changed. Wider swings and heavier selling call for deeper entries and sensible weightings. Meanwhile, the broader market is rotating rather than being deserted, and gold’s downward momentum is slowing without yet confirming a bottom. Key message The market does not owe investors certainty. Respond to the evidence by rebalancing progressively, keeping some cash and waiting for confirmation rather than blindly buying every dip. What you’ll learn Why semiconductors are now a higher-risk short-term trade Where market leadership is rotating Why strong fundamentals are not a timing signal What would confirm a bottom in gold and gold stocks How to rebalance without abandoning long-term themes If you value calm, rational and objective market analysis, you can learn more about the Insiders Club here: Join the Insiders Club If you would like to learn more about our individually managed account service, you can enquire here: Portfolio Manager Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  6. Jul 5

    Wild Markets, Scary Headlines: My Calm & Rational Response

    A wild week in markets produced no shortage of scary headlines.  In this update, Garry Davis explains why investors should be careful about jumping to conclusions too quickly, and why calm, rational analysis still matters most when volatility rises. Watch on YouTube This week’s update steps back from the noise and focuses on what actually changed, what did not, and what investors should watch next. The message is simple: one wild week does not automatically prove the bearish case. Key message Scary headlines can create pressure to react, but the best investors stay objective. Let the evidence build. Let the charts and money flows speak. Avoid making big decisions on incomplete information. What you’ll learn Why one volatile week is not enough to draw major conclusions How to separate scary headlines from real evidence What would need to happen for the bearish case to strengthen Why chart structure and money flows remain central in volatile markets Where Garry is focused now across markets If you value calm, rational and objective market analysis, you can learn more about the Insiders Club here: Join the Insiders Club If you would like to learn more about our individually managed service, you can enquire here: Portfolio Manager Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  7. Jun 28

    AI Trade Phase 2 Begins: Q3 Earnings to Split Winners From Losers

    The AI trade has entered a new phase. Micron has helped prove that AI infrastructure demand is real, but the market is now asking a harder question: which companies can turn that demand into genuine economic returns? For the full experience, watch the YouTube video View our scoreboard of results In this week's update, Garry Davis looks at why Q3 earnings are now pivotal for the AI trade, what Micron revealed about the infrastructure build-out, and why the next phase may split genuine winners from companies simply riding the theme. The key message is that the easy phase of the AI trade is likely over. Demand has been proven, but demand alone is no longer enough. The market now wants evidence of pricing power, margins, cash conversion, backlog quality and credible payback on the enormous capex being deployed across the sector. What you'll learn: Why Micron was such an important earnings signal for the AI infrastructure build-out Why the market is moving from AI demand to AI economic proof What hyperscaler earnings need to show about capex, pricing and customer demand Why the next phase may split the genuine AI winners from the passengers How to think about volatility, risk management and stock selection before the July earnings window If you want a clearer process for navigating ASX and US market opportunities, the Insiders Club provides portfolio recommendations, daily Market Alerts, regular market analysis videos, education and ongoing support. New members can join the Insiders Club for $149 per month for the first two months, then $249 per month after that. Offer closes June 30. There is no lock-in, so you can try the service and decide whether it suits your style. Learn more about the Insiders Club For investors who would prefer professional portfolio management rather than making every decision themselves, Portfolio Manager may be a more suitable option. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

  8. Jun 21

    Tech Surges While Commodities Crack: Time to Rebalance?

    Tech is still leading, commodities are under pressure, and the US dollar has just added a new complication. That makes this a useful time to step back and ask whether your portfolio is still balanced for the market in front of you, not the market you would prefer to see. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video View our scoreboard of results In this week’s update, Garry Davis looks at the evidence behind the tech versus commodities split, including the NASDAQ, semiconductors, gold, copper, the US dollar breakout and the portfolio decisions investors may need to consider now. The key message is that strong trends can keep running much further than logic suggests, but volatility is also increasing. That means portfolio balance, position sizing and psychology are becoming more important, especially for investors who are exposed to both high momentum tech and longer-term commodity themes. What you’ll learn: Why US technology and semiconductors remain the dominant area of market leadership Why the US dollar breakout creates a clear short-term headwind for commodities How to think about gold, copper and miners when the long-term case remains intact but the short-term price action is difficult The three practical portfolio choices investors can consider after a strong market run Why stock-specific growth stories may still offer better risk/reward than broad market exposure If you want a clearer process for managing ASX and US market opportunities, the Insiders Club provides portfolio recommendations, market updates, trading alerts, education and ongoing support. Learn more about the Insiders Club For investors who would prefer professional portfolio management rather than making every decision themselves, Portfolio Manager may be a more suitable option. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

About

Australian Stock Market Educator & Fund Manager Garry Davis gives his top down insights into the global economic environment and its impact on financial markets, to set stock market direction and strategy from the US to the ASX. Plus, we'll add some short form educational segments from our member only education sessions along the way (we highly recommend our first ever published episode). Mostly taken from our Weekly YouTube Show, these episodes give you non biased, just facts and logical, open minded guidance to succeed in the New Economy (and it has changed!). Indices, bonds, spreads, currencies, commodities and what the smart money is doing right now is what Garry delivers to our 8,000+ YouTube community every week. For the full visual experience, come check us out over there at https://www.youtube.com/c/SpecialistShareEducation.

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