Julie Gammack's Iowa Potluck

Julie Gammack
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The Iowa Potluck features commentary, stories and interviews with notable leaders. Feel free to join our growing tribe, where you'll find a smart, engaged community of readers. okobojiwriters.substack.com

  1. Jul 26

    Charlie Cook, Founder of the Cook Report, Joins the Podcast

    For more than four decades, Charlie Cook has been one of the country’s most trusted interpreters of American elections. He founded the nonpartisan Cook Political Report in 1984 and helped make its race ratings an essential resource for journalists, candidates, donors and political professionals. On August 1, 2021, Cook transferred ownership and leadership of the publication to longtime colleague Amy Walter, who became its owner, publisher and editor-in-chief. Cook remains a contributor to what is now called The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. The Cook Political Report That history made his recent conversation with members of the Iowa Writers’ Collaborative particularly newsworthy. Cook believes the 2026 election is developing according to the familiar midterm pattern: Democrats are highly motivated, Republicans are less energized, and independent voters are moving away from the president’s party. He did not predict an extraordinary Democratic wave. Instead, he explained why a favorable national climate can produce Democratic gains without automatically turning reliably Republican states blue. And, he often gives his predictions plenty of wiggle room incase the results land elsewhere. Iowa, however, may be behaving differently. Cook said the state is showing more signs of political movement than almost anywhere else. He predicted that Democrat Rob Sand would probably win the open governor’s race, while placing the chances of a Democratic victory in the U.S. Senate race at roughly one in four. His distinction is important: dissatisfied Republicans may cross party lines in a governor’s race, but in a federal contest they are more likely to stay home or skip the race than vote for a Democrat. The conversation is worth hearing for much more than its predictions. Cook explains why most self-described independents are actually dependable partisans, why candidate quality still matters, why immigration may energize the bases without moving many swing voters, and why reputable polling is better than its current reputation. He also speaks candidly about the decline of Congress, the future of Iowa’s caucuses and the danger both parties face when their primaries produce candidates poorly suited to the voters they must win. At a time when political analysis is often reduced to cheering, outrage and wishful thinking, Cook offers something considerably more valuable: perspective. His weekly column is available on Substack Charlie Cook. Harkin is a regularly featured speaker in central Iowa through the Harkin Institute. Monday’s Podcast Guests We’re splitting Monday’s podcast hour down the middle to bring you two topics readers of this column adore: Iowa politics and the Iowa State Fair. First, the race for Iowa lieutenant governor. Laura Belin has broken story after story about the Republican candidate’s financial issues. She’ll join us to explain what she has uncovered—and why it matters. Then we’ll turn to the Iowa State Fair. Connie Taylor has been steeped in every aspect of the annual extravaganza. We’ll hear what she’s most looking forward to this year and learn what goes into the fair’s many competitions—the contests that bring out rolling pins, treasured recipes and competitive bakers from river to river. Subscribers receive the podcast Zoom link on Monday morning. Join the call. Ask questions. Engage. OKOBOJI RETREAT ADDS THREE NEW SPEAKERS Dana Kennedy, Kaitlyn Busbee and Kelly Crull expand instruction in Substack, filmmaking and children’s publishing OKOBOJI, Iowa — July 25, 2026 — The sixth annual Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat has added three speakers to its 2026 faculty: marketing and communications professional Dana Kennedy, award-winning filmmaker Kaitlyn T. Busbee and award-winning children’s book author Kelly Crull. The additions broaden the retreat’s hands-on instruction in three areas of growing interest to writers: building an audience on Substack, moving stories from the page to the screen, and navigating the children’s publishing process. The retreat will be held September 27–30 in the Iowa Great Lakes region and is expected to bring together approximately 300 participants and more than 60 speakers from Iowa and across the country. We look closely at the feedback participants submit before the retreat and determined there is a broader interest in the topics these speakers offer, and we were fortunate enough to add them to our list of over 60 speakers. Dana Kennedy is a marketing and communications professional with more than 30 years of experience in brand messaging, copywriting and integrated campaigns. She manages Story Summit’s Substack publication, teaches beginner and intermediate Substack classes, facilitates its monthly Substack Forum and provides individual coaching. At Okoboji, Kennedy will help writers understand how Substack can support their creative and professional goals, build stronger connections with readers and create momentum for publications that have stalled. Kaitlyn T. Busbee is a former Iowan, New York-trained and Chicago-based filmmaker whose character-driven work spans narrative and documentary film. A graduate of NYU Tisch School of the Arts, she received the Martin Scorsese Scholarship and the 2023 ARRI Volker Bahnemann Award for Outstanding Cinematography. Her forthcoming thesis film, Jarfly, is executive produced by Spike Lee. Busbee’s Okoboji session, “Following Curiosity: From Observation to Page to Screen,” will explore how lived experience, observation and creative constraints can become the foundation for compelling screenplays and visual storytelling. .kaitlynbusbee.com/about Kelly Crull is a Des Moines children’s book author, photographer and educator whose seven books include titles published by National Geographic Kids and Lerner Publishing Group. His work has earned national honors and recognition from the American Library Association, National Council of Teachers of English, National Science Teaching Association, New York Public Library, Chicago Public Library, Sierra Club and Science Friday. Crull will demystify how children’s books move from idea and manuscript to acquisition, design, publication and marketing, and will offer guidance on finding the right editors and agents. https://kellycrull.com Okoboji For information about the retreat, faculty and registration, visit okobojiwritersretreat.com. Who’s Coming? Check out our growing roster, then join us. We have participants joining us from all over the country. The Iowa Writers’ Collaborative Roundup Sign up for a compilation of columns by this extraordinary roster of professional writers: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

  2. Jul 15

    The Nastiest Saloon in Iowa

    Wait just a minute—where else can you join a one-hour conversation with debut authors and readers from across Iowa about a book that's sure to fascinate anyone interested in the hidden, sordid history of Des Moines? If you enjoy conversations like this, consider becoming a paid subscriber. Your support helps fund merit-based scholarships that enable emerging writers to attend the Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat. See who is coming: David and Rose Donovan I interviewed David and Rose Donovan about their debut nonfiction book, The Nastiest Saloon in Iowa: Murder, Prostitution and Corruption in the Heartland. The conversation explored the remarkable family history and historical research that led to the book. We had a nice-sized group of subscribers on the call, too. A family mystery became Iowa history Rose Donovan is the great-granddaughter of Erastus Wallace Scott, the notorious saloon owner at the center of the story. What began as David Donovan’s genealogy hobby evolved into years of research uncovering a forgotten chapter of Des Moines history involving murder, prostitution, political corruption, land fraud, and organized crime. Rose admitted she initially resisted learning more about her family’s past, but the story ultimately became less about her ancestors and more about revealing an overlooked period in Iowa history. The murder that remains unsolved The book includes the 1905 murder of farmer Edward Gresser, whose land was the target of a fraud scheme. Although no one was ever convicted, the Donovans believe the evidence strongly suggests Wallace Scott was involved in the conspiracy, if not the actual killing. The case remained unresolved despite years of investigation. Two years of painstaking research David described an exhaustive research pouring through newspaper archives, census records, Ancestry.com, court and property records, wills, and other historical archives. He estimates reading hundreds of newspaper articles over a 20-year period, often searching every variation of names to uncover connections between the Scott family, the Carter gang, police officials, and politicians. Des Moines’ forgotten red-light district The authors explained that Scott’s saloon stood at East Court Avenue and First Street, just across the river from downtown Des Moines and only blocks from the State Capitol. His research included stories from the turn of the twentieth century of a where now government buildings stand that contained brothels, gambling, violent crime, corrupt police officers, and political payoffs. Corruption reached ‘respectable’ society One of the book’s more surprising revelations is that prominent Des Moines business interests allegedly profited by renting properties used as brothels. Newspapers of the time reported that city leaders also relied on fines collected from prostitution to help finance municipal government. Public health crisis The discussion explored how widespread prostitution fueled a severe syphilis epidemic. According to newspaper accounts of the era, the disease became so pervasive that public pressure finally forced the city to dismantle the red-light district. Rose believes her great-grandmother ultimately died from late-stage syphilis in the Clarinda State Hospital. Writing together David and Rose described an 18-month collaborative writing process: They intentionally limited themselves to facts supported by documentary evidence and avoided inventing dialogue. Artificial intelligence David emphasized that they deliberately did not use AI for researching or writing the book. After publication, he experimented by asking AI about the story and found numerous factual errors, reinforcing his belief that historical research still requires primary sources and careful verification. Looking ahead The Donovans expressed excitement about attending the Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat, where they hope to: They also welcomed anyone with family photographs, letters, diaries, or information related to the Scott family or East Court Avenue to contact them: davedono@gmail.com Overall, the interview revealed how one family’s hidden history became a richly documented account of early Des Moines—showing that beneath Iowa’s reputation for quiet respectability lay a surprisingly violent and corrupt past. Or, remember the city slogan a few decades ago? Des Moines, the surprising place. Donovans on Tour Join David and Rose Donovan, co-authors of The Nastiest Saloon in Iowa, as they discuss their fascinating new book and the remarkable family history behind it at one of these upcoming Iowa events: Wednesday, July 16 — 5:00 p.m.Plain Talk Books602 E. Grand Ave.Des Moines, Iowa Thursday, July 17 — 6:30 p.m.Beaverdale Books2629 Beaver Ave.Des Moines (Beaverdale) Friday, July 18 — 11:00 a.m.Three Bells Books14 S. Commercial AlleyMason City, Iowa Iowa Writers’ Collaborative Did you catch the most recent roundup of columns by members of the Iowa Writers’ Collaborative? This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

  3. Jun 30

    Creator Corps Founders Pat Rynard and Liz (from Iowa) Fleming

    My guests are Pat Rynard, founder of Iowa Starting Line, and Liz Fleming, better known online as “Liz from Iowa.” Together they’re leading the Iowa Creator Corps, a project that trains and supports content creators who use platforms like TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, podcasts, and Substack to tell Iowa stories and engage new audiences. Our conversation explores the changing media landscape, the decline of traditional news outlets, and how younger audiences increasingly discover news through social media rather than newspapers or television. We also discuss how Creator Corps recruits and trains local voices, the importance of authentic community storytellers, and the opportunities—and challenges—of building trust, combating misinformation, and reaching people where they already spend their time online. Whether you’re a journalist, writer, content creator, or simply interested in the future of local news, this conversation offers an inside look at how one organization hopes to reshape civic engagement and storytelling in Iowa. See also: Iowa Starting Line Creator Corps Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat - Early Bird Registration ends July 5 I am happy to announce that Pat Rynard and Liz Fleming will be joining us for the Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat. You’ll learn how and why to use some of these social platforms for storytelling. Learn more Iowa Writers’ Collaborative Did you catch the roundup of extraordinary columns posted last week? This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

  4. Jun 27

    Zach Lahn Lived (s) in Kansas; Why Run for Governor in Iowa?

    Kansas Journalist Tim Carpenter Offers Perspective on Zach Lahn’s Kansas Years Veteran Kansas political reporter Tim Carpenter joined the Potluck to discuss what Iowa voters may want to know about Republican gubernatorial nominee Zach Lahn’s years in Kansas. Throughout the conversation, Carpenter was careful to distinguish between documented facts, his own observations, and areas where he believes additional reporting is needed. Carpenter noted that Lahn spent much of his adult life in Kansas, particularly in the Wichita area, where he became involved in politics, nonprofit work, education, and business ventures. Carpenter said he first became aware of Lahn’s Kansas background shortly before Iowa’s primary election and wrote a story examining that connection. One of Carpenter’s observations was that Lahn presents himself as a political outsider, despite having spent years working in politics and advocacy organizations, including Americans for Prosperity, a national conservative organization with ties to businessman Charles Koch. Carpenter suggested that voters may wish to consider how that experience aligns with Lahn’s outsider message. The discussion also focused on Lahn’s connection to the Koch family. Carpenter noted that Lahn worked with the Wonder School, an innovative private school in Wichita, and later married Annie Koch, formerly married to Chase Koch, son of Charles Koch. Carpenter said these connections are part of Lahn’s public biography and may help explain some of the opportunities available to him during his time in Kansas. However, Carpenter emphasized that he has no direct evidence regarding the role, if any, that Koch family members or Koch-affiliated organizations are playing in Lahn’s Iowa campaign. Several participants asked about the Wonder School. Carpenter described it as an unusual educational model that has attracted attention in Wichita. At the same time, he said he would like to learn more about the school’s operations, outcomes, and leadership structure. Carpenter characterized his own understanding of the school as incomplete and said further reporting would be valuable. Carpenter also discussed Lahn’s campaign positions on issues such as water quality, agriculture, and corporate concentration. He observed that some of Lahn’s rhetoric differs from traditional Republican messaging, particularly his criticism of agricultural monopolies and concerns about water pollution. Carpenter said it remains to be seen how prominently those issues will feature in the general election campaign and whether Lahn’s positions evolve over time. When asked directly about Lahn’s honesty or trustworthiness, Carpenter repeatedly declined to offer a personal judgment. He stressed that he has written only one story about Lahn, has never interviewed him, and has not spent enough time around him to assess his character. Carpenter contrasted that with politicians he has covered for decades, where long experience sometimes gives reporters insight into a public official’s credibility. In Lahn’s case, Carpenter said he simply does not know enough to reach such conclusions. The issue of residency also arose during the discussion. Carpenter acknowledged that Lahn appears to satisfy the legal requirements to run for governor of Iowa. However, he said voters may reasonably ask questions about a candidate who spent much of his adult life outside the state before returning and seeking statewide office. Carpenter framed this as a political question for voters rather than a legal challenge. Overall, Carpenter portrayed Lahn as an intriguing and unconventional candidate whose background warrants continued scrutiny by journalists and voters alike. Rather than drawing firm conclusions, Carpenter repeatedly encouraged further reporting and fact-checking. His central message was that Iowans still have much to learn about Zach Lahn’s years in Kansas, his business and educational ventures, his political evolution, and how those experiences may shape his candidacy for governor. The Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat is Proud to Sponsor Julie Gammack’s Potluck Learn more Iowa Writers’ Collaborative Did you catch the Iowa Writers’ Collaborative Roundup on Wednesday? This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

    Zach Lahn Lived (s) in Kansas; Why Run for Governor in Iowa?

  5. Jun 17

    A Baseball Writer Who Was Born for the Beat

    Our guest on Monday knew at a very young age that he wanted baseball to be part of his life. As fate would have it, that wasn’t going to happen as a player. Some people seem born for their names. Judges judge. Farmers farm. Bakers bake. And then there’s Jared Diamond. A diamond, of course, is the shape of a baseball field. Not every Diamond becomes a baseball writer, but if you’re going to spend your career covering America’s pastime for The Wall Street Journal, it doesn’t hurt to have a memorable surname. My Potluck podcast guest this week was sports journalist Jared Diamond, the national baseball writer for The Wall Street Journal. Jared has covered Major League Baseball for more than a decade, including assignments following both the New York Mets and New York Yankees before taking on his current national role. He joined the Journal in 2011 after graduating from Syracuse University’s renowned S.I. Newhouse School of Public Communications. Jared is also the author of the bestselling book Swing Kings: The Inside Story of Baseball’s Home Run Revolution, an inside look at the data, technology, and personalities that transformed modern baseball. His reporting has taken him deep into some of the sport’s biggest stories, from the Astros sign-stealing scandal to labor disputes, gambling controversies, and the changing economics of professional sports. One of the most interesting parts of our conversation had nothing to do with baseball. Jared believes artificial intelligence is already changing sports and journalism, but not in the way many people fear. While he uses AI regularly for research and reporting support, he doesn’t use it to write. Instead, he sees it as a tool that can make journalists more efficient. The real value, he argues, will shift toward original reporting because AI can only analyze information that is already public. It cannot uncover stories that haven’t yet been reported. In Jared’s view, the ability to discover new information — the essence of reporting — is “AI-proof” and may become even more valuable in the years ahead. We also had terrific audience participation from Iowa Writers’ Collaborative members Chuck Offenburger, Rob Gray, Bob Leonard and Barry Piatt, along with Potluck readers Tim Grover and Brice Oakley. Chuck was first up with a question many of us were wondering: How in the world did a young sportswriter land one of the most coveted jobs in journalism? The podcast actually begins with Jared’s answer. Due to pilot error (me), I neglected to restart the recording after our opening conversation. As it turns out, Diamond joined The Wall Street Journal almost by accident. After graduating from Syracuse University and completing an internship at the Virginian-Pilot, he learned that a former mentor was launching a sports section at the Journal. A simple email led to a job, then a baseball assignment, and ultimately a 15-year career covering the sport. Today he enjoys extraordinary freedom to pursue stories that interest him rather than chasing transactions and breaking news. He described his role as looking for stories that reveal something larger about baseball, business, culture, or human nature. Unlike many national baseball reporters, Diamond isn’t interested in being first with trade rumors or contract signings. Instead, he searches for stories no one else is telling and that wouldn’t exist without original reporting. Diamond credits much of his success to Syracuse University’s student newspaper, The Daily Orange, where editors painstakingly reviewed and improved his work. He also emphasized a lesson that applies far beyond sports: Writers don’t need to be experts in a subject to tell compelling stories. Curiosity, fresh eyes and an interest in people matter more than encyclopedic knowledge. Another topic that generated discussion was sports gambling. Diamond expressed deep concern about its rapid growth, calling it “an incredible net negative for sports.” He worries that a generation of young people has grown up with betting apps such as FanDuel and believes the long-term consequences are only beginning to emerge. He suggested that sports leagues are just starting to understand the risks gambling poses to the games themselves. Throughout the conversation, Diamond returned to a theme that would resonate with any writer: Whether covering baseball, politics, business or the Olympics, the best stories are ultimately about people. Statistics, analytics and technology have transformed sports. Human stories remain at the center of why readers care. Okoboji Tick tock. The Early Bird discount ends July 5. If you’ve been thinking about joining us in Okoboji this fall, now is the time. This retreat is going to be the best one yet. Five literary agents. New memoir coaches. Bestselling authors. Journalists. Songwriters. Filmmakers. A community of people who understand what it means to create something from nothing. Whether you’re just beginning to imagine a project or arriving with a manuscript under your arm, you’ll find encouragement, practical advice and fellow travelers on the path. All skill levels are welcome. The expert was once a novice. Come. Our T-shirt theme this year: Courage is contagious. Iowa Writers’ Collaborative I am delighted to be a founding member of the Iowa Writers’ Collaborative. On July 7, Richard and I will host a special gathering for paid subscribers of the Iowa Down Ballot podcast. Dave Price, Kathie Obradovich and Laura Belin are among the sharpest political observers in Iowa. Together, they provide reporting, analysis and context that help make sense of an increasingly complicated political landscape. Independent journalism doesn’t happen by accident. It requires readers who value it enough to support it. We are grateful to the paid subscribers who help make Iowa Down Ballot possible, and we look forward to thanking them in person for sustaining this important work. If you can join us from 4-6:30 p.m. on July 7, please RSVP and we will get you the location information. Please subscribe to Iowa Down Ballot: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

  6. Jun 12

    Three Guys Fomenting a Revolution

    The Lobe Rangers: Iowa Farmers Challenging the Status Quo Julie Gammack’s podcast featured the Lobe Rangers, a trio of Iowa farmers—Zach Smith, Matt Bormann, and James Hepp—who are advocating for practical changes in agriculture that they believe can improve Iowa’s water quality, soil health, and rural communities while also helping farmers remain profitable. The discussion opened with journalist, farmer and Iowa Writers’ Collaborative member Darcy Maulsby, who described the Lobe Rangers as one of the most hopeful developments she has seen in Iowa agriculture in 30 years. She said their message offers practical solutions to problems such as polluted water and soil erosion while also making economic sense for farmers. It was Darcy who introduced our Collaborative members to the Lobe Rangers when we gathered in Storm Lake earlier this spring. Who Are the Lobe Rangers? All three members are working farmers who have adopted conservation-minded practices, including cover crops, strip tillage, no-till farming, reduced fertilizer applications, and improved nutrient management. They emphasize that these methods are not simply environmental measures. Many of them were adopted because they reduce costs, improve soil productivity, and make farms more resilient and profitable. Their Core Message The Lobe Rangers argue that Iowa already has a scientifically developed roadmap for improving water quality: the Iowa Nutrient Reduction Strategy, adopted in 2013. They believe the problem is not a lack of knowledge, but a lack of implementation. According to the group, politicians frequently talk about water quality, conservation, and nutrient reduction, but actual progress on the ground remains limited. Their mission is to compare political promises with what scientists say is actually necessary to improve Iowa’s waterways. Why They Remain Nonpartisan Although two members are Republicans and one is an Independent, they intentionally avoid aligning with political parties. They argue that cancer rates are not partisan, polluted water affects everyone, and clean lakes and rivers matter regardless of political affiliation. Rather than endorsing candidates, they want voters to understand the science and ask harder questions of elected officials. The Truth, According to the Rangers When I asked, “What is the truth?” each member offered a variation of the same answer. They believe Iowa is not achieving meaningful water-quality improvements. The science already exists to address the problem, but the pace of change is far too slow. Farmers, policymakers, and citizens need to be honest about what it will take to improve conditions. Matt Bormann said he became frustrated while serving on Iowa’s State Soil and Water Conservation Committee because conservation success stories were often highlighted while broader statewide progress remained limited. Voluntary Conservation vs. Regulation One of the most significant conversations centered on whether voluntary conservation efforts are enough. The Rangers argued that after more than a decade of voluntary programs, adoption rates remain too low. While they recognize that regulation is unpopular among farmers, they believe some policy changes and incentives will eventually be necessary if Iowa hopes to achieve its nutrient reduction goals. At the same time, they emphasized that any policy should help farmers transition rather than punish them. Results on Their Own Farms All three farmers reported measurable benefits from conservation practices. They described lower fuel and equipment costs, reduced fertilizer use, better water infiltration during heavy rains, increased organic matter in the soil, and strong crop yields. James Gillmore described cutting tractor horsepower needs in half after switching systems and significantly reducing fertilizer expenses. Zach Smith noted that regenerative-style practices have produced exceptionally high corn yields on some acres while improving soil health. The Role of the Farm Bill The conversation also explored federal farm policy. The Rangers argued that current crop insurance programs heavily favor corn and soybeans, making it difficult for farmers to diversify into other crops such as small grains, forage crops, and alternative rotations. They believe future farm policy should support more diverse cropping systems, expand insurance options for alternative crops, and encourage farming systems that improve soil and water quality. What’s Standing in the Way? The group identified fear of change, fear of failure, economic pressure, existing agricultural systems and incentives, and political influence from large corporations and industry groups as major obstacles. They argue that many farmers understand the problems but are reluctant to be the first to change. Art Cullen’s Perspective Art Cullen was on the call, and said the Lobe Rangers are part of a larger shift in Iowa’s conversation about agriculture, and they know what “they are talking about.” “Farmers are going to grow what they are paid to grow, and so they are going to grow corn and soybeans until it’s coming out your ears. If you want them to grow grass, pay them to grow grass.” Final Takeaway The Lobe Rangers are not advocating for the end of modern agriculture. Instead, they argue that Iowa can continue to be one of the world’s most productive farming regions while dramatically improving water quality, rebuilding soil health, and strengthening rural communities. Their message is straightforward: the science already exists, the practices work, and the challenge is finding the political and public will to implement them at scale. Our lives depend on it. Resources Shared Jim Sayers shared several resources related to the Lobe Rangers: * The Lobe Rangers: The Lobe Rangers * The Lobe Rangers Facebook page * Land Stewardship Project podcast featuring the Lobe Rangers: Ear to the Ground #395: The Lobe Rangers Here’s the mid-week Flipside Roundup of columns by Iowa Writers’ Collaborative Members Don’t Miss Early Bird Pricing for the Okoboji Writers’ and Songwriters’ Retreat Deb Engle and I did a short interview about OWSR on WHO TV’s Hello Iowa program. Hello Iowa - an interview with Debra Engle and Julie Gammack This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

  7. Jun 4

    Post Election Analysis With Laura Belin

    Laura Belin’s Analysis of Iowa’s Primary Election Results Laura Belin, editor of Bleeding Heartland and co-host of the Iowa Down Ballot podcast, joined the Iowa Writers’ Collaborative the morning after Iowa’s primary election to help unpack what happened and what it means for November. Her overall conclusion: Iowa voters sent a clear message that they are looking for candidates who engage directly with voters and offer something different from the political establishment. Feenstra’s Defeat Was the Story of the Night Belin described Randy Feenstra’s loss in the Republican gubernatorial primary as the biggest surprise of the election. In her view, Feenstra entered the race with virtually every advantage imaginable. He was a sitting member of Congress, enjoyed strong establishment support, had significant fundraising, and received a late endorsement from Donald Trump. Yet he lost. Belin argued that Feenstra’s campaign strategy was fundamentally flawed. He avoided debates, skipped multi-candidate forums, held mostly small events with supporters, and rarely placed himself in situations where voters could ask difficult questions. She said Iowa voters still expect candidates to show up and earn their support, and Feenstra never did. Meanwhile, Zach Lahn did. Why Zach Lahn Connected With Voters Belin believes Zach Lahn’s appeal stemmed from his outsider status and his focus on issues that many Iowans believe are being ignored. His campaign centered on four themes: * Young people leaving Iowa * The decline of family farms * Struggles within public education * Iowa’s high cancer rates Belin noted that Lahn also spoke openly about water quality, agricultural consolidation, and corporate influence—issues that aren’t commonly emphasized by Republican candidates. Because he has never held elected office, voters were able to view him as a fresh face rather than someone responsible for the state’s current problems. That made him a particularly effective change candidate. Trump’s Endorsement Arrived Too Late Belin believes Donald Trump’s endorsement probably helped Feenstra but wasn’t enough to overcome the campaign’s weaknesses. She suggested Republican insiders became concerned when polling showed Feenstra underperforming and Lahn gaining momentum, leading to a last-minute effort to secure Trump’s backing. Had Trump endorsed Feenstra months earlier, Belin speculated, the outcome might have been different. Instead, one of Trump’s endorsed candidates lost one of the highest-profile primary races of the year. Josh Turek’s Senate Victory On the Democratic side, Belin attributed Josh Turek’s decisive Senate primary victory largely to the enormous amount of outside spending supporting his candidacy. Millions of dollars from VoteVets helped introduce Turek to Democratic voters and tell his personal story across the state. Belin said many Democrats genuinely liked both Turek and Zach Wahls. Rather than choosing between a strong candidate and a weak candidate, voters were choosing between two candidates they generally respected. The difference, she argued, was visibility. Turek simply had far more advertising reaching voters. Belin also said Tom Harkin’s endorsement likely helped Turek, though she was surprised the campaign didn’t emphasize it more heavily. Turnout Was Stronger Than Expected One of the night’s more surprising developments was voter turnout. Republican turnout exceeded expectations despite weak early-voting numbers. Democratic turnout was significantly higher than many analysts predicted, even though Democrats had only one truly competitive statewide contest. Belin said the stronger Democratic turnout could be an encouraging sign for Democrats heading into the general election. Legislative Results Show Continued Republican Shift Belin pointed to the defeats of Republican legislators Brian Lohse and Jane Bloomingdale as evidence that Iowa’s Republican Party continues moving away from its moderate wing. Both lawmakers were viewed as more pragmatic Republicans and were targeted by conservative groups. Their defeats suggest that the center of gravity within the party continues to move rightward. Rob Sand Faces a Tougher Opponent Looking ahead to November, Belin believes Rob Sand would have preferred to face Feenstra rather than Lahn. Sand has built his campaign around the idea that Iowa needs change after years of one-party Republican control. The challenge now is that Lahn is making a very similar argument. Because Lahn has never served in elected office, Democrats cannot tie him to unpopular legislative decisions or congressional votes. Belin expects Sand’s campaign to emphasize Lahn’s years living in Kansas and attempt to define him early before voters form firm impressions. Still, she believes Lahn presents a more complicated challenge than Feenstra would have. Data Centers Are Emerging as a Major Political Issue Former legislator Chuck Isenhart joined the discussion and predicted that data centers could become one of Iowa’s most significant political issues. He pointed to a new moratorium on data-center development in Dubuque County and suggested the issue could become as contentious as carbon pipelines. Several participants agreed that data centers may affect nearly every county in Iowa and could become a major issue in local elections across the state. The Bottom Line Belin’s central theme throughout the discussion was simple: Iowa voters reward candidates who engage with them. Feenstra largely avoided voters and paid the price. Zach Lahn spent months building a message around issues many Iowans care deeply about and earned an upset victory. Meanwhile, Josh Turek demonstrated the power of a compelling biography backed by substantial outside spending. And as Iowa heads toward November, Belin expects the governor’s race between Rob Sand and Zach Lahn to be far more competitive—and far less predictable—than many observers anticipated. Follow Laura Belin. Become a paid subscriber. She is working day and night to keep us informed. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

    Post Election Analysis With Laura Belin

  8. May 14

    Live with Julie Gammack & Dana Kennedy

    This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit okobojiwriters.substack.com/subscribe

    Live with Julie Gammack & Dana Kennedy
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The Iowa Potluck features commentary, stories and interviews with notable leaders. Feel free to join our growing tribe, where you'll find a smart, engaged community of readers. okobojiwriters.substack.com

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