Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Nicholas Rossolillo; Kasey Rossolillo

Semiconductors are the heart of the modern economy. These small devices that manipulate the flow of electricity run everything from our PCs and smartphones to our cars to manufacturing. The semiconductor industry is at an inflection point of renewed growth, powering new movements like generative AI and electric vehicles. The Chip Stock Investor Podcast explores how semiconductors work, and especially the business of chips. Follow Nicholas and Kasey to learn how chip technology has become the engine of the world, and how to invest in its growth.

  1. 1d ago

    AppLovin Stock: Is It Time to Buy the Dip?

    AppLovin stock posted 59% revenue growth and a 70% free cash flow margin in Q1 2026—numbers that look more like cheat codes than a real business. We break down what makes the Axon 2.0 machine learning ad engine so efficient, why AppLovin can scale without a traditional sales force, and how targeted digital advertising has become the clearest ROI story in AI so far. We also walk through management's 10-year growth roadmap—from mobile gaming to consumer, e-commerce, and connected TV—and what has to be true for AppLovin to reach $70 billion in annual revenue. Then we run both a five-year and ten-year reverse DCF to show exactly what growth rate is already baked into the current stock price, and whether buying the dip today makes sense for long-term investors. Plus, how they're deploying $1.3 billion in quarterly free cash flow, including nearly $1 billion in share buybacks in Q1 alone. Want real-time portfolio access and deeper coverage on high-growth software and semiconductor stocks? Join Semi Insider at chipstockinvestor.com. Run your own AppLovin research with AI-powered financial tools at fiscal.ai/csi — 15% off any paid plan. Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.CSI owns shares of AppLovin.

    13 min
  2. 3d ago

    AI Data Center Supply Chains & Indium Phosphide: A Look at Oxford Instruments

    In this episode, CSI is cutting through the social media noise to bring you a vintage Chip Stock Investor breakdown of the semiconductor supply chain. Today, we are putting the spotlight on Oxford Instruments, a small-cap UK company that might be a critical bottleneck in the AI data center networking boom. We explore how the industry is scaling up production for compound semiconductors and specifically look at Coherent's breakthrough with six-inch indium phosphide (InP) wafers. From there, we map out the players making this transition possible and detail why Oxford Instruments' plasma deposition and etch systems are moving out of the R&D lab and onto the commercial manufacturing floor. Episode Chapters & Key Takeaways: The Indium Phosphide Breakthrough: The industry has long been stuck at two- to four-inch wafers due to manufacturing defects, but Coherent has successfully transitioned to six-inch InP wafers. Mapping the Supply Chain: A breakdown of the companies involved in this ecosystem, including Sumitomo Electric for substrates, KLA Corp and Onto Innovation for inspection, and Applied Materials for deposition. Oxford Instruments' Critical Role: Oxford Instruments supplies the plasma deposition and etch technology used by Coherent to create features like laser sources and waveguides. A Shift to Commercial Scale: Historically an R&D business spun out of Oxford University, the company is now seeing its advanced technologies group transition into early-stage commercial production. Strategic Divestitures: Oxford Instruments recently sold its quantum computing and cryogenics segment to Quantum Design to focus heavily on AI data centers and compound semiconductors. Financials & Valuation: Despite recent headwinds like tariffs and US R&D funding delays, the company holds a clean balance sheet and is expecting a return to growth in fiscal 2027. Special thanks to our sponsor, fiscal.ai! Get 15% off any paid plan using our special link: fiscal.ai/csi. Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.CSI doesn't own shares of Oxford Instruments.

    15 min
  3. 4d ago

    SpaceX IPO, Orbital Data Centers & Investing in Quantum Computing | CSI with Simon Erickson of 7investing

    In this episode of CSI Live, Nick sits down with Simon Erickson from 7investing to unpack the latest breakthroughs in high-tech infrastructure. The conversation kicks off with a look at the massive SpaceX IPO and the ambitious potential for building orbital data centers. From there, the discussion shifts to the primary focus: the rapidly evolving world of quantum computing. Simon breaks down how quantum mechanics could solve incredibly complex problems simultaneously, highlighting the projected $1.3 trillion to $2.7 trillion in economic value the industry could deliver by 2035. The episode covers specific pure-play quantum companies, including IonQ's commercial revenue lead and recent SkyWater acquisition, Infleqtion's neutral atom technology, and Quantinuum's full-stack approach under the Honeywell umbrella. Finally, they detail practical portfolio allocation strategies for early-stage tech and explore the looming national security concerns that could heavily regulate the sector. Check out Semi Insider at chipstockinvestor.com Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.CSI owns shares of Honeywell and Quantinuum.

    32 min
  4. Jun 18

    NextPower (NXT) Stock Analysis: Solar Tracking Expansion and Valuation Data

    In this episode of Chip Stock Investor, Nick and Kasey analyze NextPower (formerly Nextracker), evaluating its transition from specialized solar tracking to broader power generation and distribution. The discussion breaks down NextPower's recent acquisitions in power converters, battery electric storage systems (BESS), and industrial maintenance robotics. We also examine the macro environment impacting the solar market, including international competition from Chinese firms like Architec and Trina Solar, as well as domestic policy deadlines approaching on July 4, 2026. Key Topics Covered: Business Evolution: NextPower's growth from a Flex spin-off into an integrated solar technology provider facing patent litigation with GameChange Solar. Financial Outlook: An analysis of the fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance of $3.8 billion to $4 billion, and why profitability may see a near-term dip during this investment year. Data-Driven Valuation: A walkthrough of NextPower using the Reverse DCF Calculator, demonstrating a discounted fair value of approximately $80, compared to its current trading price near $120. Sector Alternatives: Why Amphenol remains our preferred choice for broad exposure to solar tracking hardware, power conversion, and battery assemblies. New Feature AnnouncementThis episode demonstrates the newly implemented price alert functionality on the Reverse DCF Calculator. Available on the Semi Insider research dashboard, this tool allows you to build a margin of safety and receive automated alerts driven by fundamental data, not chart drawing. For data-driven research, weekly blog articles, our free weekly newsletter, and full access to the Semi Insider toolset, visit chipstockinvestor.com.

    10 min
  5. Jun 12

    Cyclical vs. Non-Cyclical Stocks Explained: The CSI Investment Framework

    Is memory truly cyclical, or has the AI data center boom changed the rules? In Part 2 of the How CSI Invests series, Nick and Kasey tackle one of the most debated questions among semiconductor investors by walking through the investment thesis checklist step that asks: what kind of business cycle does this company actually have? Rather than labeling companies simply cyclical or non-cyclical, the framework breaks businesses into short cycle, long cycle, and non-cyclical categories based on how closely revenue tracks changes in GDP growth. A short cycle business sees revenue move quickly with the economy, while a long cycle or non-cyclical business continues growing steadily regardless of macro conditions. The traditional eleven sectors of the economy do not map cleanly onto this framework, and Nick and Kasey explain why semiconductors, SaaS, telecom carriers, and ad-driven internet platforms can all fall in very different places even within the same official sector. The episode applies this framework to six real companies. Micron is examined as a short cycle business currently in year two of a strong memory upcycle, with historical precedent for these cycles to run several years. Intuitive Surgical is discussed as a long cycle healthcare hardware business tied to product generation launches. Vertex Pharmaceuticals is presented as a genuinely non-cyclical pharmaceutical company with steady growth. NextEra Energy represents the utilities sector and one of the longest cycles of all. Credo Technologies, a newer public company, is evaluated as likely short cycle, with a look at its fiscal 2027 guidance calling for eighty percent revenue growth and fifty percent adjusted profit margins. Finally, Palo Alto Networks is broken down as a cyclical business once acquisitions like CyberArk and Chronosphere are stripped out, with commentary on CEO Nikesh Arora's view that cybersecurity is constantly chasing the next emerging risk. The episode closes with the revenue analysis questions CSI uses for every company: who the primary customers are, whether revenue is concentrated, what is actually being monetized, why customers choose to spend money with that company over alternatives, and what risks could disrupt the business. Understanding these fundamentals is what allows an investor to tune out noisy debates about whether a cycle has "changed forever" and instead build real conviction in a business. For in-depth stock research and the Semiconductor Insider membership,visit chipstockinvestor.com.

    22 min
  6. Jun 11

    Why Flex Ltd. Just Surged 80% — And What Happens When the Spinoff Closes

    Flex Ltd., ticker FLEX, surged roughly eighty percent in a single month — and the company hasn't even completed the spinoff that sparked it. Nick and Kasey cover this electronics manufacturing services giant for the first time at Chip Stock Investor, breaking down what drove the run-up, what the proposed spinoff actually is, and whether there is anything left for long-term fundamental investors at today's valuation. Flex is one of the world's largest electronics manufacturing services companies, competing with Foxconn, Jabil, Celestica, and Sanmina across a global footprint spanning over ninety locations in Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. Unlike the perception that contract manufacturing means cheap labor in Asia, Flex's business increasingly runs on automation and robotics — a structural shift that is compressing cost parity across geographies and driving genuine margin improvement. The spinoff is the centerpiece of this episode. Flex is separating its Cloud and Power Infrastructure segment — referred to as SpinCo in the materials — into a standalone company expected to begin trading by the first quarter of calendar year 2027. This segment posted thirty-eight percent year-over-year revenue growth in fiscal year 2026, with guidance pointing to sixty-five to seventy-five percent growth in fiscal 2027 and over eighty percent in fiscal 2028. The business covers critical power products for utility companies, embedded power systems inside data center servers and racks, thermal management solutions that compete in the same market as Vertiv, and cloud power infrastructure for hyperscalers and neo clouds. SpinCo also carries nearly ten percent adjusted operating margins — roughly double the margin profile of the remaining Flex business. What stays with Flex after the split is the larger but slower-growing core: twenty-one billion in revenue across Regulated Manufacturing Solutions, covering healthcare and automotive, and Integrated Technology Solutions serving customers like Cisco, Juniper Networks, now part of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, and Teradyne. Growth there is expected in the low to mid-single digits. Margins are trending in the right direction, but this is not a high-margin business. Nick and Kasey also zoom out on the broader industrial conglomerate breakup theme reshaping the market — from GE Vernova to Honeywell — and how Flex's spinoff fits squarely into that playbook. The prior Flex spinoff, NextPower in 2024, has performed very well for shareholders and gives the SpinCo story some historical credibility. The balance sheet is in reasonable shape for a manufacturer, with enough cash on hand to support bolt-on acquisitions as SpinCo looks to consolidate market share.The valuation discussion is honest: at roughly sixty to seventy times current earnings, this is a momentum trade. The forward picture for fiscal 2028 could look closer to thirty times earnings if growth delivers, but the stock is not cheap by traditional measures.For in-depth stock research and the Semiconductor Insider membership, visit chipstockinvestor.com. Use fiscal.ai/csi for 15% off any paid plan.

    18 min
4.6
out of 5
14 Ratings

About

Semiconductors are the heart of the modern economy. These small devices that manipulate the flow of electricity run everything from our PCs and smartphones to our cars to manufacturing. The semiconductor industry is at an inflection point of renewed growth, powering new movements like generative AI and electric vehicles. The Chip Stock Investor Podcast explores how semiconductors work, and especially the business of chips. Follow Nicholas and Kasey to learn how chip technology has become the engine of the world, and how to invest in its growth.

You Might Also Like