The Cattle Market Guys Podcast

Cattle Market Guys by Herd Advisor

Brock and Jim break down the week’s cattle market news, trends, and forecasts with a mix of data-driven insight and 40 years of ranching wisdom. Published three times a week by Herd Advisor, each episode blends hard numbers and real-world experience to help cow-calf producers make smarter, more profitable marketing decisions.

  1. 4D AGO

    Cattle Market Guys - Week Wrap Up 2-13-2026

    Market volatility takes center stage as lightweight steer prices dip $5 to $450.24/cwt while futures swing dramatically. The April live cattle contract bounced within a $10 range this week, creating what hosts call "market-on-a-trampoline territory." With tight cattle inventories driving aggressive buying and cash prices holding firm in the South at $242-245, producers face tough decisions in an increasingly unpredictable market environment.In this week's comprehensive market review, Brock and Jim analyze the complex factors driving current cattle market conditions. The hosts break down price movements across weight classes, examine futures contract behavior, and discuss strategies for producers navigating the volatile trading environment. Their analysis includes detailed price comparisons with early January figures and forecasted trends for the coming weeks.The episode explores major industry developments, including Cargill's announcement to close its Milwaukee meat processing facility and Brazil's significant expansion in feedlot operations. The hosts examine how these changes could impact U.S. producers and discuss the broader implications of industry consolidation. Special attention is paid to Brazil's growing competitiveness in global markets and its potential effect on U.S. export opportunities.International trade developments take the spotlight as the hosts analyze Brazil's potential implementation of export quotas to China and JBS's strategic expansion into the Middle East. Brock and Jim evaluate how these moves could reshape global beef trade flows and create both challenges and opportunities for U.S. producers in key export markets.

    12 min
  2. FEB 10

    Cattle Market Guys - Tuesday Check In 2-10-2026

    Historic supply crunch meets record consumer demand in the cattle markets, creating a perfect storm for price volatility. With beef cow numbers down over 1% nationwide and a 15% increase in feeder cattle grazing grain fields this winter, the industry faces unprecedented tight supplies heading into 2026. Market analysts Brock and Jim explore how this supply-side squeeze, combined with elevated input costs, is pushing producers toward earlier market decisions and creating potential risks for unhedged operations.In this week's Tuesday Market Update, the Cattle Market Guys dive deep into current feeder market dynamics, examining the significant premium steer calves are commanding over futures. Five-weight and six-weight categories continue showing strength, with six-weights trading more than forty dollars ahead of the board, suggesting strong buyer optimism despite recent price softening.The episode also tackles major developments in the processing sector, including potential labor disruptions at JBS Greeley's facility where 3,800 workers have voted to authorize a strike. This situation, combined with JBS's recent international expansion into Oman, signals important shifts in the domestic processing landscape that could impact producer leverage and market dynamics.Rounding out the discussion, Brock and Jim address critical biosecurity concerns, specifically the USDA's enhanced efforts to combat screwworm threats along the Texas border. The conversation highlights the importance of vigilant herd health protocols and the potential nationwide implications of regional disease pressures in an already stressed market environment.

    12 min
  3. FEB 7

    Cattle Market Guys - Week Wrap Up 2-6-2026

    Historic cattle shortage drives markets to critical levels as US herd hits lowest numbers since 1951. With futures climbing steadily above $366 and cash trades showing strength across weight classes, the industry faces a pivotal moment. Labor troubles at major packing plants, including a potential strike at JBS Greeley, threaten to create additional supply chain bottlenecks in an already strained market.In this week's comprehensive market review, hosts Brock and Jim analyze the current state of the cattle industry amid unprecedented supply constraints. The episode breaks down current cash prices for different weight classes, with 5-weight steers holding at $442.59/cwt and 6-weights showing positive movement at $399.31/cwt. The hosts examine how these tight supplies are affecting both immediate market conditions and longer-term industry outlook.The discussion delves into critical processing sector challenges, particularly the developing labor situation at major packing plants. With JBS Greeley workers voting overwhelmingly to strike and recent reductions in national slaughter capacity, the hosts explore potential impacts on the entire supply chain. Jim shares valuable historical perspective on previous market disruptions and their lasting effects on the industry.Policy developments take center stage as the hosts examine two major proposals: Texas's new Heifer Retention Tax Credit initiative and a proposed $12 billion agricultural bailout package. Brock and Jim evaluate these measures against the backdrop of current market conditions, discussing their potential effectiveness in addressing both immediate challenges and long-term industry sustainability. The conversation includes practical insights for producers navigating this complex market environment, drawing on decades of combined experience in the cattle business.

    11 min
  4. FEB 3

    Cattle Market Guys - Tuesday Check In 2-3-2026

    Historic Low: U.S. Cattle Herd Hits Smallest Size Since 1951, Pushing Markets Higher. The latest USDA January cattle inventory report reveals total cattle and calves have dropped to just 86.2 million head, marking a dramatic 72-year low. This unprecedented supply squeeze is driving feeder calf prices above $440/cwt for five-weights, with analysts predicting continued strength through 2024 and beyond.In this week's market update, Brock and Jim analyze the far-reaching implications of America's shrinking cattle herd and what it means for producers at every level. The hosts break down current cash market trends, including a resilient $442.59/cwt average for five-weight steers and strengthening six-weight prices despite high sale volumes. They examine how tight supplies are creating a sustained seller's market, though input costs continue pressing margins even in this elevated price environment.The episode explores several key market factors affecting cattle producers, including disrupted Mexican feeder imports, new border disease prevention measures, and shifting international trade dynamics. Brock shares detailed futures market analysis, noting the consistent premium for nearby delivery contracts and explaining how technical trading factors are influencing price movements.Drawing from decades of experience, Jim offers historical perspective by comparing today's market conditions to the challenging 1996 season, highlighting key differences in what's driving current herd liquidation. The hosts conclude with strategic considerations for producers navigating this unique market environment, emphasizing the importance of cost management and long-term planning in a period of structural supply tightness that could last several years.

    12 min
  5. JAN 30

    Cattle Market Guys - Week Wrap Up 1-30-2026

    Market analysts warn of critical supply constraints as the latest Cattle on Feed report reveals a stark 3% drop in on-feed inventory from January 2025, now sitting at 11.45 million head. With placements hitting decade-low levels and limited heifer retention, industry experts Brock and Jim compare current conditions to the transformative market of 1996. The tight supply situation, combined with severe winter weather impacts, has pushed futures higher despite cash market softness.In this week's comprehensive market wrap-up, hosts Brock and Jim analyze three major factors shaping the cattle markets: historically tight supply conditions, international trade dynamics, and the impact of severe winter weather across key cattle regions. The episode breaks down current feeder steer prices, with 500-549 pound cattle trading at $439.98 per hundredweight and 600-649 pound feeders at $390.78, both showing slight declines from previous weeks.The hosts examine how global trade developments are affecting domestic prices, including China's recent suspension of Irish beef imports and its potential implications for U.S. producers. Detailed analysis covers how international market access continues to influence local sale barn prices and overall industry profitability.The discussion concludes with an in-depth look at how current winter weather conditions are disrupting weight gain, feeding schedules, and transportation logistics across major cattle regions. Drawing from decades of experience, Brock and Jim offer practical insights for producers managing through challenging winter conditions while maintaining profitability in a volatile market environment.

    11 min
  6. JAN 27

    Cattle Market Guys - Tuesday Check In 1-27-2026

    Winter Storm Chaos Rocks Cattle Markets: Severe arctic blast sweeping across multiple regions is creating major disruptions in cattle transportation and daily operations. Markets are showing classic weather-induced confusion as traders wrestle with both supply constraints and potential demand impacts. CME reports indicate feeder cattle futures climbing on anticipated supply shortages, while earlier analysis warned of reduced beef movement and consumption during extreme weather.In this week's Tuesday Market Update, hosts Brock and Jim analyze the immediate and long-term impacts of the major winter weather system affecting cattle operations from the Plains to the Midwest. The episode breaks down current market numbers, including a slight decline in medium and large-frame steers across multiple weight classes, while examining the volatile futures market response to weather conditions.The discussion expands beyond weather to explore concerning trends in cattle inventory dynamics, with the latest USDA report showing total cattle on feed down 3% year-over-year at 11.5 million head. Brock and Jim examine how reduced calf supplies and limited heifer retention could affect market prices and long-term beef production, drawing on historical parallels from previous market cycles.The hosts conclude with an important segment on animal health management, highlighting new research from the Dairy X Beef Summit about the significant economic impact of pre-weaning health issues. They also discuss Elanco's announcement of new injectable disease prevention products and emphasize the critical importance of proactive health protocols in maintaining profitable operations during challenging market conditions.

    10 min
  7. JAN 23

    Cattle Market Guys - Week Wrap Up 1-23-2026

    Breaking News: False screwworm outbreak rumors sent cattle markets into a brief tailspin this week, highlighting how quickly misinformation can impact prices. The USDA quickly stepped in to debunk the claims, confirming no presence of New World Screwworm in Texas or anywhere else in the U.S. This market-moving incident sparked important discussions about industry preparedness and the need for rapid response protocols in the face of disease concerns.In this week's comprehensive market review, Brock and Jim analyze the current state of cattle prices, with five-weight steers holding strong at $442.29 per hundredweight and six-weights maintaining near $400. The hosts explore the disconnect between cash calf markets and more cautious futures prices, offering insights into what this spread might mean for producers.The episode delves into three major market factors affecting cattle producers this week. Beyond the screwworm scare, severe weather conditions across the Midwest and Southern Plains are impacting cattle performance and marketing decisions, with snowfall up to a foot in some regions. The hosts examine how these conditions are affecting prices and offer practical advice for weather-related management decisions.International trade developments round out the discussion, as Brock and Jim analyze China's lifting of the Canadian beef ban, Brazil's export outlook, and delays in the Mercosur-EU trade deal. Their analysis helps producers understand how these global shifts might affect domestic markets and pricing in the months ahead, drawing on historical examples to provide context for today's market dynamics.

    12 min
  8. JAN 20

    Cattle Market Guys - 1-20-2026

    Breaking News: A concerning surge in New World Screwworm cases along the Texas-Mexico border is sending shockwaves through the U.S. cattle markets. With eleven confirmed cases reported since December, including eight new cases in Mexico's Tamaulipas state just last week, biosecurity officials are on high alert. The flesh-eating parasite threat has already impacted futures markets, creating a notable spread between cash and futures prices that has market analysts concerned.In this week's "Cattle Market Guys" mid-week update, hosts Brock and Jim dive deep into the developing screwworm situation and its potential impact on cross-border cattle trade. The episode examines current market conditions, including strong performances in feeder steer prices, with five-weight steers holding at $442.29/cwt and showing nearly a $15/cwt increase over the past month.The discussion expands to cover significant shifts in European livestock production trends, where declining red meat output could create new opportunities for U.S. beef exports. Brock and Jim analyze how these international market dynamics might affect domestic producers and pricing strategies in the coming months.The hosts also explore how global instability and weather challenges are influencing meat markets worldwide. Jim shares valuable historical perspective from his experiences during the devastating drought of 1988, offering insights on market resilience and adaptation during challenging times. The episode concludes with detailed price forecasts for February and strategic considerations for producers navigating current market conditions.

    11 min

About

Brock and Jim break down the week’s cattle market news, trends, and forecasts with a mix of data-driven insight and 40 years of ranching wisdom. Published three times a week by Herd Advisor, each episode blends hard numbers and real-world experience to help cow-calf producers make smarter, more profitable marketing decisions.

You Might Also Like