SpaceX will attempt to catch both the Super Heavy booster and Starship upper stage on Flight 15. Top News 1. SpaceX confirmed plans to catch the Super Heavy booster and the Starship upper stage with the launch tower arms on Flight 15, expected next month. An 80-second animation shown during the earnings webcast depicted the upper stage completing its belly-flop reentry, steering with forward and aft flaps, swinging vertical, and being secured by the tower arms after dropping past the tower top. Elon Musk rated the first attempt more likely than not to succeed and noted that SpaceX maintains a steady stream of Starship flights through year-end if the initial try fails. The company views a successful dual catch as the first full recovery of an orbital launch vehicle. Musk said success would mark the first time an orbital launch vehicle has been fully recovered. He added that SpaceX has a steady stream of Starship flights scheduled through the end of the year if Flight 15 fails. Source: keeptrack.space SpaceX reports Q3 2026 revenue of $14.6 billion, up 161 percent year-over-year SpaceX delivered $14.6 billion in revenue for the third quarter, a 161 percent increase from the prior year, and added $6.7 billion in incremental Super Intelligence solutions and infrastructure revenue. The Connectivity segment posted 69 percent revenue growth and 99 percent growth in income from operations, supported by enterprise, government, and consumer Starlink adoption. Nameplate compute capacity reached 1.7 GW as of September 30. Gwynne Shotwell stated that Starship Flight 14 delivered 26 Starlink Version 3 satellites, providing roughly 10 times the downlink capacity of a Falcon 9 Starlink launch. The company closed the quarter with more than 11,100 Starlink satellites in low Earth orbit. Shotwell noted the service was active across 174 markets globally with hundreds of thousands of additional enterprise and aviation customers. Source: x.com SpaceX and Tesla form independent director committees to study a merger SpaceX and Tesla each established special committees of independent directors to examine a potential merger. Elon Musk described the combination as a good idea during the earnings call, citing shared work in superintelligence software, chip design, the Terafab facility, robotics, mass-to-orbit via the Starmind constellation, and connectivity. Musk said he supports combining the two largest companies and listed the work they could share across superintelligence software, chip design, the Terafab facility, robotics, mass to orbit with the Starmind constellation, and connectivity. He stated there is a lot of merit to combining the companies as they are pretty much in the superintelligence singularity. This follows a year of consolidation that includes SpaceX acquiring xAI in February and going public in June. Source: keeptrack.space Falcon 9 launch of 27 Starlink satellites from Vandenberg scrubbed SpaceX scrubbed the planned launch of 27 Starlink satellites from Vandenberg Space Force Base on October 20 after a technical issue. The mission, using booster B1063 on its 36th flight, is now targeted for a window opening at 2:59 p.m. PDT on October 21, with the booster slated to land on the droneship A Shortfall of Gravitas. This would mark the 229th landing on that vessel and the 673rd Falcon booster landing to date. The rocket will fly on a southeasterly trajectory upon leaving the pad. Roughly 8.5 minutes after liftoff, B1063 will target the droneship landing if the attempt proceeds. Source: spaceflightnow.com Starlink constellation stands at 13,015 satellites launched and 11,140 working The Starlink network now comprises 13,015 satellites launched, 11,154 in orbit, and 11,140 operational. SpaceX added 1.6 million subscribers in the third quarter, bringing service to 174 markets, with hundreds of thousands of additional enterprise and aviation customers. Ten upcoming Starlink conjunctions appear in the current SOCRATES top-probability list, and none of them reach HIGH risk. Two of the ten carry upstream numbers that are physically implausible, so they are treated as stale or erroneous reports. Two Starlink satellites also have active reentry predictions. Source: keeptrack.space Community Buzz Honest feedback from Grok and Fable: Elon Musk posted on X asking for honest feedback from Grok and Fable on technical topics. The post directs users to the @Bot interface for direct interaction. Observers noted the emphasis on practical engineering questions. Source: x.com Congrats to SpaceX team on Q3 2026 highlights: Elon Musk posted congratulations to the SpaceX team following the release of third-quarter results. The message highlighted revenue growth and Starship progress. Community members discussed the 161 percent year-over-year increase. Source: x.com Falcon 9 capsule spotted on California highway: A Reddit user posted a photo of what appears to be a Falcon 9 capsule on the 101 Southbound. Commenters speculated on whether it was a recovered Dragon capsule or test article. The thread drew dozens of replies within hours. Source: reddit.com SpaceX launch blasts through Georgia sky: Local reporting described a SpaceX launch visible across parts of Georgia on October 21. Residents shared photos of the plume and sonic effects. The event coincided with the Vandenberg Starlink mission attempt. Source: theadvancenews.com Upcoming launches preview covers busy global week: NASASpaceflight outlined nine rockets scheduled from California, Florida, New Zealand, Japan, and China. The preview highlighted SpaceX’s trio of Falcon 9 missions alongside JAXA’s H3 debut and Rocket Lab’s Electron flight. Analysts noted the high cadence across multiple providers. Source: nasaspaceflight.com The Counterpoint SpaceX spent roughly $1 billion on Starship development in the third quarter while reporting its first solidly profitable quarter as a public company. Sustaining that level of investment alongside a planned $35-40 billion fourth-quarter capex run rate will test whether the AI and connectivity revenue streams can scale fast enough to support continued hardware iteration without eroding margins. The earnings materials show the company closed the quarter with nameplate compute at 1.7 GW while Starship remains the primary capital consumer. Analysts will watch whether the 830 percent surge in AI business revenue can offset the hardware spend trajectory. Source: x.com AI & Compute SpaceX added $6.7 billion of incremental Super Intelligence solutions and infrastructure revenue year-over-year, driven by cloud services agreements, the acquisition of Cursor, and growth in SI models and software applications including Grok. Public filings now place most expected future revenue in AI-related business. The company described the AI segment as overtaking Starlink in some internal contribution metrics during the quarter. Source: keeptrack.space SpaceX’s AI business revenue surged 830 percent in the quarter, outpacing the overall 161 percent revenue increase and overtaking Starlink as the largest contributor in some internal metrics. The results include the first revenue-generating Starship mission that placed 26 Starlink V3 satellites, each adding approximately 10 times the downlink capacity of a Falcon 9 launch. Source: trendingtopics.eu Engineering Deep Dive Catching an orbital-class upper stage with fixed tower arms requires converting the vehicle from a high-drag belly-flop attitude at hypersonic speeds into a vertical orientation only seconds before contact. The forward and aft flaps must generate the necessary pitch and yaw moments while the vehicle is still moving at hundreds of meters per second; the timing of the flip and the landing burn decides whether the vehicle arrives inside the capture envelope defined by the arm geometry. The animation released this week shows the stage dropping past the tower top before the arms close, which means the guidance system must null both horizontal velocity and residual angular rates before the arms close. The upper stage lacks the booster’s large grid fins, and its body flaps lose effectiveness sharply once dynamic pressure falls below a few kilopascals, which is why the Raptor engines relight to flip it upright and brake for the final seconds. The physics limit is set by the product of flap authority and the time window before touchdown velocity exceeds what the arms can absorb without exceeding material yield. At the moment the stage swings vertical, residual horizontal velocity and pitch and yaw rates must be small enough that the contact loads stay below the yield strength of the arm mechanisms and the vehicle’s skirt structure; SpaceX has not published those limits. The animation sequence shows the stage falling past the tower top before the arms close, so the landing burn has to be trimmed into the last moments before capture. Ground tests cannot replicate the combination of thermal gradients from reentry, changing dynamic pressure, and the exact mass properties of a flight article, so the first attempt supplies data on combined margins that no static rig can duplicate. If the initial catch succeeds, the company gains a direct measurement of the structural and control margins required for repeated upper-stage recovery. Repeated success would eliminate the need for a second heat-shielded recovery system on every flight and collapse the marginal cost of each additional Starship mission by removing the hardware and propellant otherwise spent on a disposable upper stage. The same flap surfaces that steer the belly-flop reentry must also hold attitude until the engines take over for the flip, creating a single set of actuators that must survive both the peak heating of atmospheric entry and the low-dynamic-pressure regime near the tower. That dual-use requirement drives the design toward larger flap areas and faster actuator response than would be needed for reentry alone. Market