Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore
  • 5.0 (19)
  • Investing
  • Updated Weekly

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

  1. 3d ago

    Memory Stocks Pause | Fed May Do What No One Thinks | US Dollar Strength | Crude Oil Prices Done? | Bitcoin Recession

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to get into markets including whether the memory stock run (including Micron) is over or just taking a pause. Then, they look at the strength of the US Dollar and whether that is a major headwind while oil prices seem like they are done worrying about the Strait of Hormuz. Later, the case for and against the Fed LOWERING rates this year vs the consensus view that they need to tighten. Oh yeah, and they get Derek talking again about Bitcoin and Strategy, the resilient employment numbers, ISM prices paid are dropping, and market seasonality.   Did Michael Saylor compare Strategy's perpetual preferred shares to a 3-month treasury? Bitcoin winter The case for and against the Fed CUTTING rates Strong employment numbers ISM prices paid and oil prices are dropping Market seasonality and how July historically goes The market seems to have forgotten about the Straight of Hormuz Above all else its earnings, but at what multiple, and at what net profit margin? Micron, SanDisk, and the memory stocks turn over so what's next? Getting into earnings seasons once again US Dollar strength so what's the problem? US Dollar zone of insignificance and when it is significant     Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    54 min

  2. Jun 29

    The Unchanged S&P 500 Index | Micron Post Earnings | Hormuz Tanker Counts | Fed Useless Dot Plots | Bitcoin Sentiment | Michael Saylor Strategy Problems?

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week where they'll discuss Micron's earnings announcement and subsequent stock price changes and free cash flow. Is that where all the hyperscalers cash is heading? Plus, the latest geo-political goings on including tracking the number of tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Are the Fed dot plot predictions (expectations) really as useless as they same? Don't forget the guys got Derek talking about Bitcoin and Strategy again. Finally, looking at some bull and bear cases for the equity markets. What are the Hyperscalers? Strait of Hormuz tanker tracker Michael Saylors Bitcoin problem Bitcoin sentiment Micron implied volatility Micron's earnings and forward multiples Cash flow on the Mag 7 vs Micron Fed dot plots What the Fed dot plots predicted in December 2020 vs what actually happened 2021-2022 Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    55 min

  3. Jun 22

    Kevin Warsh Fed | Economy Better than Thought? | SpaceX Option Volatility | Strategy STRC Preferred Dips

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to get into the post Kevin Warsh Fed Presser reaction. Plus, leading economic indicators (LEI) are turning bullish? Then, they talk about the options action in SpaceX including how high is the implied volatility. Odds and ends this week include discussion on MicroStrategy's preferred STRC has dropped below its par value.   SpaceX implied volatility in its options Kevin Warsh FED press conference Kevin Warsh says no dot for you! LEI leading economic indicator MicroStrategy (Strategy) preferred issue #STRC Difference between a peg to par vs. trying to see it at par Word count in FED statement Warsh vs Powell 10 Year Treasury yields vs Nominal GDP growth rate YoY Oil prices continue to ease Analysts keep their earnings estimates strong for the forward 12 month period   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    1h 1m

  4. Jun 15

    SpaceX Day 1 Trading | Oil Going Lower? | SpaceX Expected Options Volatility | Inflation Hype | 2 Day Correction?

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to discuss some wild SpaceX price predictions and review day 1 of trading. Then, they discuss what the implied volatility and options pricing will be like once SpaceX options are available. Then they make the case that oil has seen its peak and the bull and bear case going forward. Later, they look at the 2-day correction before the markets decided none of the things that mattered matter anymore.   SpaceX day one price and predictions going forward SpaceX options coming next week Implied volatility expectations for SpaceX options Is the correction over? 2-day correction Oil futures curve US government is using oil price swaps selling out of the SPR What does it mean to use oil swaps? Hot IPO post launch performance What does history say SpaceX price will be in 30 days?   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    50 min

  5. Jun 7

    Friday Selloff | SpaceX IPO Price | Strong Jobs Number Revisions | MicroStrategy Sells Bitcoin | Fed Rate Hikes?

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to react to the market Friday selloff including many of the chip and memory stocks. What is driving this and has the oil trade decoupled from equities? Then they discuss SpaceX IPO pricing at $135, the strong jobs numbers that exceeded estimates including April being revised from negative to healthy positive number, and Michael Saylor sells some Bitcoin for Strategy. All this and more this week.   SpaceX IPO price Saylor sells Bitcoin for Strategy Crypto out of favor judging by the ETF fund flows S&P 500 Index Friday selloff of -2.6% after continuous march higher Semis and memory stocks hit with many pulling back ~ -20% from all-time highs Oil was down but the market didn't care today More Oil supply coming online? Fed futures pricing in a rate hike by December Tough to time when to sell a highflyer Will investors hit the sell button thinking this is the turn? Greenshoe IPO provision   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    58 min

  6. Jun 1

    IPO Performance First 30 Days | Google vs Tesla IPO Performance | SpaceX ETFs Are Coming | Don't Sell in May | 8000 S&P 500 Index Target

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to talk about the typical IPO performance within the first 30 days of trading. Then, they compare how Google vs Tesla performed after their IPOs. Later, Goldman Sachs calls for 8000 by year in in the S&P 500 Index, how May has seen stellar returns last couple years, a bunch of ETF filings for SpaceX adjacent products, and surprising forward EPS valuations.    Nvidia forward PE vs Costco and Walmart Google vs Tesla IPO performance Surprising Google State Post IPO SpaceX adjacent ETFs see a lot of filings How does this IPO issuance period compare to past ones? When day 100 is up nearly 10% what does the rest of the year historically look like? Bond vs Equity Valuations S&P 500 May Performance 1945-2026 Intel vs Nvidia   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    1h 2m

  7. May 24

    SpaceX IPO | SpaceX S-1 | Nvidia Earnings | IPO Fever Like 1999? | Market Returns vs Expected Returns

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to get into the SpaceX S-1 including their revenues and earnings revealed. Plus, comparing the fever for SpaceX IPO to the dotcom era in the late nineties. Then, looking at Nvidia earnings and looking at its price to sales vs SpaceX. Later, what people thought the market would return over the last 10 years vs what it actually has returned. All this and more this week.   Nvidia price to sales vs SpaceX price to sales based on reported initial IPO market cap Will SpaceX get into the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index? Requirements for a stock to be included in the S&P 500 Index SpaceX S-1 filing review including revenue and earnings What is the lockup period for the SpaceX IPO? Comparing SpaceX S-1 to Google and Amazon's Comparing this IPO cycle to the late nineties Nvidia earnings What will the implied volatility be on SpaceX options once they are made available Public service announcement about investing in IPOs   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    42 min

  8. May 17

    NVidia Earnings | Inflation Sticky | Earnings & GDP Still Strong | Warsh in Charge Now | Oil Price Curve

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to discuss the upcoming Nvidia earnings through the prism of the option volatility levels. Then, they look at inflation, GDP, and markets vs expectations. Later, looking at the interest rate predictions and the likelihood of cuts vs raises with Kevin Warsh now at the helm. Finally, looking at the oil futures curve and what the back end says about where people think oil will price to eventually.   Nvidia earnings predictions Nvidia option implied volatility and expected moves around earnings Pricing the Nvidia straddle Future interest rate probabilities Kevin Warsh takes over the Fed Oil futures swap curve Inflation sticky or not? Atlanta Fed GDP Now   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    44 min
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5
out of 5
19 Ratings

About

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

Information

  • Creator
    Derek Moore
  • Years Active
    2018 - 2026
  • Episodes
    383
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Copyright Broken Pie Chart Podcast. Can site, link, or share provided podcast website listed and sourced.
  • Show Website
    Broken Pie Chart

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