Closing Market Report

Todd E. Gleason
  • 4.7 (15)
  • MARKETING
  • UPDATED DAILY

Established 1985 The Closing Market Report airs weekdays at 2:06pm central on WILL AM580, Urbana. University of Illinois Extension Farm Broadcaster Todd Gleason hosts the program. Each day he asks commodity analysts about the trade in Chicago, delves deep into the global growing regions weather, and talks with ag economists, entomologists, agronomists, and others involved in agriculture at the farm and industry level. website: willag.org twitter: @commodityweek

  1. 4H AGO

    Apr 14 | Closing Market Report

    - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com- The Changing Climate of Western Water Rights- Don Day, DayWeather.com The April 14, 2026, closing market report details immediate commodity market pressures, long-term hydrological challenges, and polarized domestic weather patterns. In the agricultural markets segment, Naomi Blohm reports that U.S. planting progress is slightly ahead of the five-year average, with corn at 5% and soybeans at 6%. Downward pressure on domestic grain prices is currently driven by increased Brazilian crop estimates from CONAB, placing corn at 139.57 million metric tons and soybeans at 179.15 million metric tons. This is compounded by a sharp $7 to $7.50 drop in crude oil prices tied to anticipated U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks, which reduced geopolitical risk premiums. Additionally, high fertilizer costs may incentivize a shift from corn to soybean acreage among U.S. producers. Addressing western water rights, Eric Hunt highlights the precarious state of the Ogallala Aquifer, the primary irrigation source for the High Plains. While central Nebraska saw some moisture relief in 2024, western and southern regions continue to face strict water allocation limits due to severe groundwater declines. The situation is acute in Kansas and Texas, where aquifer depletion could force a transition away from irrigated commodity crops within a decade. Hunt notes that a quarter-century of western drought, exacerbated by rising baseline temperatures, will increasingly define agricultural viability and regional water politics. Meteorologist Don Day confirms a stagnant weather pattern heavily favoring the eastern half of the United States. A persistent moisture pipeline is expected to deliver one to three inches of rain from Texas through the eastern corn belt over the next week, sustaining moisture in already saturated areas. Conversely, the western plains, particularly the Dakotas and western Nebraska, remain unseasonably dry. Day notes that the primary wet season for the High Plains typically arrives in late May and June, suggesting an ongoing El Niño pattern may eventually deliver necessary precipitation to currently parched western regions. ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min

  2. 1D AGO

    Apr 13 | Closing Market Report

    - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net- Risk Premium & N Supply Chain Issues- Mark Russo, EverStream.ai The April 13, 2026, closing market report highlighted the impact of international geopolitical tensions on agricultural commodities. Analysts noted that recent blockades involving the United States and Iran injected volatility and risk premiums into the markets, initially pushing corn and wheat prices higher while temporarily weakening soybeans. Given these built-in risk premiums, market experts recommend that producers begin executing their old and new crop marketing strategies, aiming to price at least twenty percent of their grain to capitalize on the current environment. Domestic planting progress is advancing at a strong pace, particularly in the central and southern Midwest, with expectations of average or slightly above-average planting progress overall. However, the global conflict has raised significant long-term concerns regarding nitrogen and urea supply chains. While the vast majority of fertilizer for the current spring season was priced before the conflict escalated, analysts warn that sustained high fertilizer prices will likely limit fall applications and significantly impact acreage and crop rotation decisions for the 2027 growing season. Weather patterns continue to present varying challenges across key agricultural regions. The western hard red winter wheat belt continues to suffer from a lack of meaningful rainfall, pushing crop conditions closer to dire levels. In the broader Midwest, the southern belt is experiencing drier conditions conducive to rapid planting, while central and northern areas remain slightly wetter. Internationally, incoming rains in Argentina are expected to slow the corn and soybean harvests, whereas the Safrinha crop areas in southern Brazil are entering a drier pattern that will soon require moisture to maintain adequate soil conditions. ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min

  3. 4D AGO

    Apr 10 | Closing Market Report Special Edition

    The Value of FarmlandBruce Sherrick, DirectorTIAA Center for Farmland ResearchUniversity of Illinois ★ Support this podcast ★

    44 min

  4. 5D AGO

    Apr 09 | Closing Market Report

    - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net- Resistant Waterhemp, maybe Metribuzin- Mike Tannura, Tstorm.net The April 9, 2026 closing market report covers agricultural commodity markets, weed control strategies, and Midwestern weather forecasts. Analyst Matt Bennett characterized the day's USDA WASDE report as largely uneventful, noting ample global corn supplies and continuing competitive pressure from South American soybean exports. University of Illinois weed scientist Aaron Hager then detailed the increasing resistance of waterhemp to Group 15 and PPO-inhibiting herbicides across the state, advising producers to consider metribuzin as a viable and cost-effective alternative for residual control. Finally, meteorologist Mike Tannura highlighted severe drought conditions currently impacting over half of the U.S. hard red winter wheat crop. He forecast upcoming rain systems that will primarily benefit eastern, lower-elevation areas of the Plains while leaving western regions dry, alongside additional precipitation expected to move into the Corn Belt during the planting season. ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min

  5. 6D AGO

    Apr 08 | Closing Market Report

    - Greg Johnson, TGM TotalFarmMarketing.com- Higher Fuel and Fertilizer Prices & Farmer Sentiment- Drew Lerner, WorldWeather.cc The April 8, 2026, Closing Market Report highlights that corn and soybean prices have decoupled from sharply lower crude oil prices following a temporary ceasefire in the Iran conflict. Analysts advise farmers to lock in current commodity prices, as large carryouts are expected unless a summer drought occurs. Concurrently, economists warn that elevated fuel and fertilizer costs driven by the Middle East conflict will likely persist into the fall, although recent bridge payments and minor commodity rallies have temporarily improved overall farmer sentiment. On the weather front, the Western United States faces long-term water supply concerns due to low snowpack, which could lead to a dry summer in the Plains, while immediate heavy rains in the Midwest threaten to delay spring planting. Internationally, agricultural weather is improving, with Argentina receiving a beneficial dry period and Brazil's safrinha corn utilizing an extended monsoon season. ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min

  6. APR 7

    Apr 07 | Closing Market Report

    - Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com- John Deere Updates Right to Report & DEF- Gerald Mashange, University of Illinois- Don Day, DayWeather.com The April 7, 2026 Closing Market Report highlights significant concerns regarding geopolitical tensions with Iran and their impact on agricultural commodities. Total Farm Marketing's Naomi Blohm notes that traders are squaring positions ahead of an impending deadline with Iran, closely watching crude oil resistance levels. University of Illinois agricultural economist Gerald Mashange elaborates on this "escalation trap" in the Strait of Hormuz, warning that damage to energy and fertilizer infrastructure could cause prolonged supply chain disruptions and price spikes akin to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. In agricultural news, John Deere announced software updates complying with new Environmental Protection Agency guidelines to allow farmers temporary overrides on emissions and diesel exhaust fluid equipment during critical operational windows.  On the weather front, Don Day from DayWeather forecasts much-needed rain for the drought-stricken winter wheat regions in the Southern Plains. This precipitation is expected to move northeast across the Corn Belt, though central and western parts of Nebraska and the Dakotas may remain largely dry. ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min

  7. APR 6

    Apr 06 | Closing Market Report

    - Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net- Ed Usset, University of Minnesota- Mark Russo, EverStream.ai Trading on April 6, 2026, was quiet, reflecting slight price gains in corn and soybeans alongside a dip in wheat futures. Market analysts expect the upcoming USDA WASDE report to indicate tighter corn stocks driven by strong demand, offset by a potential slight increase in soybean carryout. Geopolitical tensions continue to support commodity prices through war premiums; however, analysts warn of significant downside risks once the crop is successfully planted. Elevated fertilizer costs, with anhydrous ammonia projected at $860 per ton for the 2027 crop, combined with record board soybean crush margins at $2.43 per bushel, strongly favor a continued shift toward soybean acreage. Despite expanding domestic crushing capacity and bullish price scenarios, weak cash basis levels act as a red flag regarding the longevity of current futures rallies. Agricultural economists advise producers to proactively hedge or secure forward contracts to lock in profitable new-crop prices—such as November soybeans at $11.50 to $11.60 and December corn near $4.80—warning that historical trends frequently show prices deteriorating before harvest. In the U.S. Corn Belt, widespread weekend rainfall successfully replenished soil moisture, creating favorable conditions and steady soil temperatures for the upcoming planting season. Conversely, prolonged dryness remains a major concern for the Hard Red Winter Wheat regions of the Plains, with upcoming forecasts offering only scattered and localized precipitation. In South America, an active late-season weather pattern is causing minor harvest delays for corn and soybeans across Brazil and Argentina. However, the added moisture is exceptionally beneficial for the critical growth stages of Brazil's safrinha, or second crop, corn. ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min

  8. APR 2

    Apr 02 | Closing Market Report

    - Matt Bennett, AgMarket.net- I had A.I. write a song about Corn- PCM Date Shows Farmer Production Practice Consistency- Mike Tannura, Tstorm.net ★ Support this podcast ★

    24 min
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Ratings & Reviews

4.7
out of 5
15 Ratings

About

Established 1985 The Closing Market Report airs weekdays at 2:06pm central on WILL AM580, Urbana. University of Illinois Extension Farm Broadcaster Todd Gleason hosts the program. Each day he asks commodity analysts about the trade in Chicago, delves deep into the global growing regions weather, and talks with ag economists, entomologists, agronomists, and others involved in agriculture at the farm and industry level. website: willag.org twitter: @commodityweek

Information

  • Creator
    Todd E. Gleason
  • Years Active
    2015 - 2026
  • Episodes
    1.1K
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © University of Illinois
  • Show Website
    Closing Market Report

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