Doug Casey's Take

Matthew Smith

Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

  1. 2D AGO

    A Market Crash Incoming?

    Markets, Middle East Escalation, and Global Risk: Subscriber Q&A on Investing, Relocation, and Ethics Doug and Matt answer subscriber questions, focusing first on an escalating conflict involving Iran and the Gulf that they view as extremely serious despite a muted market response; Doug says stock and bond markets are overpriced, warns of a potential crash, criticizes demands like "unconditional surrender," questions U.S. involvement (including insuring ships in the Strait of Hormuz), and expects global economic spillovers, noting Gulf vulnerabilities such as desalination, food supply chains, and remittances. They then discuss Paraguay's unusual culture and land-based investment opportunities, dividend investing (noting oil stocks), practicalities of living/investing in Uruguay and Argentina (including taxes and policy changes under Milei), resource investing diligence, when to sell gold/silver, IPO lockup/exit issues, storing metals abroad, and conclude with a discussion of ethical decision-making frameworks and concerns about political leadership's morality. 00:00 Market Reaction to Iran 01:06 Overpriced Markets Warning 02:50 Gulf Risks and Dubai 04:08 Unconditional Surrender Debate 05:12 Strait Insurance Plan 06:49 Who Benefits From War 08:27 Regional Spillover Effects 10:21 Supply Chains and Remittances 13:07 War as Market Catalyst 13:46 Paraguay Living and Culture 16:22 Paraguay Investing Basics 17:55 Dividend Stocks and Oil 18:26 Uruguay Plan B Logistics 20:45 Tungsten Fund Question 21:52 When to Sell Gold 23:00 Selling Shares After IPO 23:54 Iran Travel and Motives 24:12 Missed Iran Polo Trip 24:40 What the Iran War Is About 26:40 Buying a Farm in Argentina 29:01 Argentina Export Taxes Explained 29:45 Why Gold Stocks Fall Out of Favor 31:18 Is This the Last Gold Bull 33:28 Staying in the US Safely 35:27 Replacing Income After Selling 37:30 Next High Ground Novel Update 38:21 Getting Physical Gold in Uruguay 38:57 War Impact on Mining Stocks 40:41 Ethical Reasoning and Consequences 46:19 Politics Morality and Wrap Up

    48 min
  2. 4D AGO

    This Is What A Crisis Looks Like!!

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Matt and Doug discuss the reported US invasion of Iran and warn it could escalate unpredictably and badly, potentially toward a wider regional conflict or even World War III. They argue information from the war zone is unreliable, but note Iran's missile/drone capabilities and the economic asymmetry of expensive US interceptors versus cheap attacks. They criticize launching strikes during negotiations, question US motives tied to Israel and long-standing regional history, and describe risks around the Strait of Hormuz for oil, gas, and fertilizer flows. They debate claims about attacks on Gulf targets, possible Israeli involvement, and confusion over downed aircraft, while highlighting how infrastructure like data centers and banking systems can become targets. The conversation shifts to markets (gold, oil, selected stocks), and broader "greater depression" themes about public crisis-blindness, government growth, inflation, and household financial stress. 00:00 War Breaks Out 01:33 Bases Everywhere  03:19 Fog of War 05:20 Costly Interceptors 05:59 Why Are We Involved 08:17 Israel and US Aid 11:29 Religious End Times 15:33 Iran Strikes Back 17:26 Negotiations Then Attack 24:09 Strait of Hormuz Risks 25:19 Escorts and Escalation 28:11 Cyber and Infrastructure 30:02 Who Hit the Refineries 30:38 False Flags and Mossad Claims 31:47 Fifteen Shootdown Mystery 33:48 Casualties and Interceptor Costs 35:07 Boots on Ground and Kurds 37:32 Markets Gold and Oil Plays 41:44 Why People Miss Crises 49:29 Greater Depression Timeline 50:13 How Iran War Ends 50:59 Assassinations and Nuclear Risk 54:12 Wrap Up and Audience Questions

    55 min
  3. FEB 27

    Scammers, "crappy little" mining stocks, and a war nobody's pricing in

    Doug & Matt Q&A: Scam Warnings, Private Placements, Gold Outlook, Business Advice, and Living Abroad Doug and Matt warn subscribers about scammers impersonating them on Substack to pitch a mentorship program with urgent funding deadlines, stressing they will never solicit business opportunities and that their only related activity is sharing private placement ideas with VIP members. They discuss strong recent performance in small mining stocks, arguing the sector remains tiny, illiquid, and largely unowned by the public and fund managers, and explain why they favor private placements for discounts and warrants, citing a VIP deal in Midnight Sun copper explorer bought at $0.22 with a $0.30 warrant and later trading above $1.35. They answer questions on starting or buying businesses by focusing on solving niche problems and avoiding "influencer" strategies, remain bullish on gold and related stocks, discuss English-speaking relocation options and Chile's livability, share stories about reckless youthful speeding, touch on glyphosate concerns, and speculate about potential U.S. action against Iran. 00:00 Scam Alert Mentorship Messages 01:18 Mining Stocks Bull Market Thesis 03:16 Private Placements VIP Strategy 05:17 Starting Businesses Finding a Niche 07:11 Influencer Culture Reality Check 11:04 Reinvesting Profits Trend Following 11:51 Second Residency English Options 14:43 Corvette Chase Jail Story 17:27 Muscle Cars and Drag Racing 20:16 Gold Price Overextension Debate 23:21 Living in Chile Pros and Cons 26:12 Glyphosate and Organic Food 28:06 Holding Cash in Treasuries 28:44 Buying a Business Owner Financing 30:33 Iran War Talk and Wrap Up

    36 min
  4. FEB 20

    Iran & Epstein Fallout

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Doug and the host discuss escalating tensions with Iran and the risks of US military action, then pivot to media and politics including Washington Post subscriber losses/layoffs, Trump's cabinet optics, Pam Bondi's testimony, and expectations around the Epstein files. They answer subscriber questions on the DEAGEL report, the dollar and immigration, retiring in El Salvador vs. the Southern Cone, robot leasing and rapid advances in China, unrealized-gains taxation in the Netherlands, rare-earth supply constraints, lawfare experiences and AI-driven enforcement, Hong Kong property, and why they favor gold/silver and mining stocks over overpriced US equities. 00:00 Iran War Drumbeat: Carriers, Motives, and Blowback Risks 04:06 Nukes, News Fatigue, and Tuning Out the Doom Cycle 07:22 Washington Post Meltdown: Subscribers, Layoffs, and AI Newsrooms 10:53 Scouting America & Eagle Scout Perks (Plus a Fed Chair Joke) 15:48 Pam Bondi, Trump's Cabinet Optics, and the Epstein Files Fallout 20:47 Subscriber Q&A: The Deagel Report—Forecast or Psyop? 23:31 If the Dollar Loses Reserve Status: Immigration, Inflation, and Tariffs 26:46 Retiring to El Salvador vs. the Southern Cone (Argentina Rumors) 29:21 Free Speech vs. the State: When "Hate" Becomes a Censorship Pretext 29:50 Robot Ownership Goes Subscription: Leasing, Updates, and Remote Kill Switches 31:28 China's Humanoid Robot Boom: Dances, Kung Fu, and a Friendly Terminator Future 32:25 Netherlands' Unrealized Gains Tax Shock: Capital Flight, Passports, and US Spillover 35:10 Can the West Replace China's Rare Earth Processing? The Real Bottleneck 36:54 Lawfare in Practice: The Domain Name Lawsuit That Cost $35K 39:11 AI + the Legal System: $3,500/hr Lawyers and the Coming Explosion of Automated Enforcement 41:52 If Democrats Sweep Power: Portfolio Defense, Debt Reality, and Why Gold Stays 44:03 Seasteading & City-States: Why It's a Billionaire's Game (Minerva, Honduras, and Coast Guards) 47:45 Hong Kong Property Revisited: Common Law, Deflation, and a Legendary Real Estate Win 49:25 Should You Avoid US Stocks? Overvaluation, Currency Debasement, and the Mining Stocks Bet (Wrap-Up)

    52 min
  5. FEB 6

    What Happens To Gold Stocks In A Crisis?

    Get an education on mining stocks: https://expertsroundtable.substack.com/p/rua-gold-corp-doug-caseys-experts Free newsletter on critical minerals: https://statespeculator.substack.com/ Subscribe to CrisisInvesting.com In this episode, Doug discusses a range of topics from Bitcoin's long-term viability and real estate opportunities in Argentina, to strategic investments in gold and specific mining stocks. He also addresses listener questions on fractional reserve banking, the state of the Japanese stock market, and the impact of financialization on various assets. Additionally, Doug gives his insights on a new Hollywood movie, the difference between commodity prices in the East and West, and strategies for investing in small and medium enterprises. 00:00 Introduction and Subscriber Questions 00:21 Bitcoin's Viability as a Currency 05:18 Bitcoin's Financialization and Market Dynamics 12:44 Real Estate Opportunities in Argentina 19:01 Investing in Small and Medium Enterprises 21:18 Gold Mining Stocks and Market Analysis 28:18 Christianity's Influence on Western Civilization 40:29 Doug's Take on Ari's Strategic Mining 43:40 Review of DiCaprio's New Film 47:34 Gold as a Tier One Asset and Tax Implications 49:51 Investing in the Japanese Stock Market 54:36 Silver Market Dynamics and Arbitrage 59:12 Fractional Reserve Banking and Usury 01:04:53 Stock Market Crash and Precious Metals 01:11:42 Stop-Loss Strategies in Mining Stocks

    1h 15m
4.6
out of 5
112 Ratings

About

Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

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