Stansberry Investor Hour

Stansberry Research
  • 4.3 (669)
  • Investing
  • Updated Biweekly

From financial markets and politics to business and social issues, Dan Ferris and our Stansberry Analysts offer candid discussion on today's most important headlines. Each week you'll hear exclusive interviews with guest investment experts, authors, and top thinkers such as Jim Rogers, Kevin O'Leary, Glenn Beck, PJ O'Rourke, and Jim Grant. The Stansberry Investor Hour is produced by Stansberry Research, LLC.

  1. 1d ago

    Value Investing Is Dead. Here's What Replaces It.

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Matthew Tuttle to the show. Matthew is the CEO of Tuttle Capital Management, a firm that focuses on breaking away from conventional Wall Street wisdom by using its own ETFs that target new investment opportunities.   Matthew kicks things off by discussing the "death of value investing" and what he believes is contributing to it. First, with the advent of the Internet, information was more accessible to ordinary people, so a lot of the edge from learning crucial details was lost. Second, folks lost interest in value investing. When COVID-19 struck, a lot of new investors spent their stimulus checks on meme stocks instead of solid companies. But while Matthew thinks it's dead, he says the new value stocks are in heavy assets, low obsolescence ("HALO") investing. These are stocks with physical assets, so it's unlikely that even AI could disrupt them. (0:00)   Next, Matthew shares his disdain for exchange-traded funds ("ETFs"). He believes the majority of them "stink" and that if investors want to invest in a theme, they should completely invest in that theme. The problem, he says, is that Magnificent Seven companies are added to an ETF with the businesses having little relation to the theme, and you're probably holding them in several places. Additionally, there are "way too many ETFs, way too many indexes, [and] way too many... investment ideas" that folks are buying into. But one of the bigger problems is that ETFs are being advertised to individual investors using "marketable" people rather than proven and tested portfolio managers. (13:03)   Finally, Matthew shares the framework behind his hedging and asymmetry strategy. With hedging, you want to limit your tailing risk. However, Matthew says that bonds are not a proper hedge, and points out how "Liberation Day" and the Iran conflict saw bonds sell in tandem with stocks. With asymmetry, the idea is to limit your losses instead of your gains. Matthew says that all the top investors he has spoken with had their own methods that made them lots of money when their ideas were correct, but they only lost a little bit of money when they were wrong. It's important that you also set up your strategy work the same way. And Matthew says that going down the supply chain of breakthrough companies helps you find the best investing opportunities. (33:40)

    54 min

  2. May 26

    The 50% AI Software Crash: Why Wall Street Is Dead Wrong

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Bryan Beach back to the show. Bryan is the editor of Stansberry Venture Value and a senior analyst on Stansberry's Investment Advisory.   Bryan kicks things off by discussing the idea of passive investing and how it has changed the way the market is valuated. He says that folks are relentlessly buying the biggest stocks every time they invest in their retirement funds, and they don't even know it. This "irrational indifference" could result in such a high level of volatility that it leads to mass liquidation of stocks. Bryan then talks about Software as a Service ("SaaS") and why artificial intelligence ("AI") isn't going to kill the companies that focus on it. (0:00)   Next, Bryan does a deep dive into Salesforce (CRM) and its business model. Investors thought that AI was going to undermine the company and similar businesses because it offers better efficiency and can be cheaper. However, its software is so embedded in its customers' operations that they don't want to leave it, even if they aren't in love with it. Bryan says that "sticky" companies with models like that are ones you want to look at. (20:14)   Finally, Bryan shares the market sectors he's most interested in right now. He says investors should keep an eye on the conflict in the Middle East. This has created multiple energy investment opportunities in North America, especially in Canada. But in general, it pays to frequently brush up on what's going on in the world to see what new opportunities could arise. And contrary to what you might think, investing isn't an "either/or" matter. If you're focused on long-term investing, you can take advantage of volatility and make options trades. (33:37)

    55 min

  3. May 19

    The Hidden Flaw in Wall Street's Trillion-Dollar Maths

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes James Weatherall to the show. Unlike most of our guests, James does not come from a finance background. However, he has found interesting ways in which physics can change investing. You can check out his book The Physics of Wall Street here.   James kicks things off by sharing his background in physics and philosophy. He's interested in mathematics and how it can be applied to the markets. He's a firm believer in using mathematical models to assist in investing but says that it's important to examine your models and check your assumptions that result from them. If one model is good for a particular use case, trying to use it in a different area or within a larger scope than it was originally intended can yield different results than expected. James discusses the models that Louis Bachelier and Edward Thorp (whom he writes about in his book The Physics of Wall Street) created that would have a major impact on investing. (0:00)   Next, James mentions extreme events similar to Black Monday and their probability of occurring. He notes that in the long term, investors with 401(k)s would be able to survive and even recover after major crashes. However, anyone who overleverages a trade or invests heavily in the short term is at a greater risk of having their portfolios be wiped out. James also mentions the Kelly criterion, a strategy developed by mathematician John Kelly. In short, this method involves having an understanding of what could happen with stocks better than the markets and using that to your advantage to make the optimized trades possible. And when asked if he would change anything about his ideas in The Physics of Wall Street, he remains adamant that his argument still holds up. (19:01)   Finally, James mentions passive trading and volatility and how, over time, the addition of new passive investors will gradually increase market volatility. He adds that there's a scalability problem in the markets. In one example, he says that private markets "worked great 20 years ago" but only "worked OK" 10 years ago. Private markets are slowly becoming less able to sustain the growth they have. And James wraps things up by sharing his personal use cases of AI and his fears with the technology. (34:44)

    55 min

  4. May 12

    George Noble: Why the Tesla and AI Bubble Will 'End Badly'

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes George Noble to the show. George is the managing partner of Noble Capital Advisors. He's also the author of The Noble Update on Substack, which has more than 13,000 subscribers.   George kicks things off by expressing his skepticism about Tesla. He says that despite the company branching out into different areas, the majority of its revenue comes from car sales and should therefore be treated as a car company. He also believes that investors are improperly valuating the stock, ignoring the fundamentals in favor of "charts" and "the narrative." And his sentiment extends further out into SpaceX. Due to the Nasdaq Composite Index altering the rules for listing stocks, George thinks that the company's upcoming IPO is not going as well as people might think if it couldn't meet the previous requirements for entry. (0:00)   Next, George discusses semiconductor capital expenditures. He says that folks are too caught up in the current boom and aren't looking at whether a company has a price to earnings that warrants buying a company's stock. Then he shifts the conversation briefly to bonds, saying that the market is so focused on energy due to tension surrounding the Strait of Hormuz that it hasn't noticed that bond rates have gone up, which normally go down during war. And his concern with that is what happens when we face a deflation bust. Additionally, investors aren't even aware of how hyperscalers have been hurting their portfolios, thinking that they hold a diversified collection of stocks. (13:26)   Finally, George shares how U.S. bonds are losing their worth due to the weakening dollar and warns that folks should "run, not walk" from their bonds. While bond coupons are enticing, the value of the money you receive is not worth it in the long term. George believes that the value of the dollar is currently pegged to U.S. expenses and payments, and just like when it was removed from the gold standard, he says that we need to cut it loose to end the continuing downward spiral. And he leaves listeners with a word of encouragement – and caution for newer investors. (27:41)

    45 min

  5. May 5

    Everyone Trades Too Much... And It's Costing Them Everything

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Jonathan Rose to the show. Jonathan is the editor of Masters in Trading at our corporate affiliate InvestorPlace. He has a presentation where he's showing how he's tracking 20 stocks that have strong, unusual market bets right now. You can view this presentation here.   Jonathan kicks things off by sharing how his livestream show operates and how his Discord community has become a resource for newcomers. He then gives his trading background by explaining how he made 1,000 trades a day for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and how that launched his career. He also mentions what's new on the market floor due to technology changing the way we invest. Jonathan next states what he looks for in his trades. He says the best traders should be able to explain why they're making a particular trade. For him, valuation is one of the things he looks for. And he likes to search for groups of five stocks that can rise together even if one is lagging. (0:00)   Next, Jonathan discusses owning multiple ideas and having "relative trading" between stocks. He also believes that stocks aren't "expensive" or "inexpensive" in isolation – rather, they can be high or low, correlating to similar stocks. One of the things that Jonathan does when looking for new trades is following "unusual options activity" set by the biggest traders. It suggests that they know something about companies that most folks don't, and paying attention tends to pay off. And Jonathan cautions against making too many trades. (13:26)   Finally, Jonathan advises treating trading like any other business and earn the right to buy more shares or place bigger trades. If you track your portfolio's performance and see that it's strong, it's fine to add risk. But if your portfolio is pulling back, you should be controlling your risk instead. Jonathan then shares four tickers and will explain why he's looking at them in his upcoming presentation. And he wants investors to understand that everything in the financial world is a derivative of something else and that you should find a way to express your opinion in whichever area you choose to invest in. (29:00)

    45 min

  6. Apr 28

    What Big Money Is Doing While Everyone Else Is Guessing

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Pete Carmasino back to the show. Pete is the chief market strategist at our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. He's also editor of the Chaikin PowerTactics and Chaikin Power Portfolio newsletters.   Pete kicks things off by discussing the current trends he's seeing. He says that you can't focus on just one area because there are many moving parts that shape the market, including other investors. The goal, he states, is to react to the movements, not predict where things are headed. Predictions can be wrong, and folks who don't react wind up missing out on new opportunities. Pete then shares his investing process. He understands that sectors rotate, and when he sees a shift from one sector to another, he follows the signal on where to start moving money. He also looks at fundamentals and technicals to determine whether the stocks he's looking at are good buys at the moment. And he shares his thoughts on the Strait of Hormuz tension and how things might play out. (0:00)   Next, Pete shares his thoughts on the energy crisis. He says the root cause is less of a supply issue and more of a distribution problem. He believes that properly equipping refineries will encourage miners to produce more oil. According to him, if the supply can increase while conflict tensions decrease, we can have an equilibrium where consumers are comfortable with gas prices and miners are content to continue drilling. Then, he talks about the producers that he finds most promising in several different sectors. (17:05)   Finally, Pete explains how his portfolio works. Using a "top-down analysis," he looks at themes throughout the year to find the best names in the strongest market sectors. He then shifts to the market corrections we've seen since the sell-off from last year's "Liberation Day." But he notes that the big names in the Magnificent Seven didn't recover with the rest of the broader market last November. And that implies that the baton could be getting passed from tech to energy. So he adjusted his portfolio to prepare for a sector rotation. He then wraps things up by stressing the importance of handling risk management in your portfolio. (35:48)

    57 min

  7. Apr 21

    The Diesel Crisis That Could Send Gas to $10 Overnight

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Tracy Shuchart to the show. Tracy is the founder, CEO, and chief market strategist of Hilltower Research Advisors. She's also the author of the Renegade Resources newsletter on Substack, which has more than 8,000 subscribers.   Tracy kicks things off by discussing the issues surrounding diesel. She says that the world was previously in a "diesel crunch" in 2025, which only started to ease up in early 2026. With 14% of global refined products passing through the Strait of Hormuz, tension with Iran has started to set things back again. Tracy also states that there's a diesel refinery issue. The U.S. has been slow to build new refineries and is importing diesel from Europe, which is experiencing its own refinery problems. Tracy then gives her 10-year outlook on diesel for the U.S., with part of the solution being that the country looks to South America. (0:00)   Next, Tracy shares her reasoning for discussing municipal bonds in her recent writings. She sees a lot of risk in buying energy bonds right now and cautions investors to know what they're buying if they decide to buy any of them. She then mentions how commodities have more applications than most folks realize and are connected with other resources. For example, a sulfuric acid shortage in Africa is impacting copper mines. Tracy then shifts the discussion to China's willingness to produce energy by utilizing any resources necessary, including coal, and she believes that Southeast Asian countries could also start leaning more toward coal as well. She thinks that while nuclear energy is starting to be seen as a viable energy solution, it will take time to establish power plants and overcome remaining pushback. (16:20)   Finally, Tracy explains the problems with relying on solar power as a primary source, especially since our grids aren't built to accommodate it. And while there are discussions about adding batteries, she says it's not efficient enough or economically viable for widespread use. Tracy then shares several companies that she's looking at that she believes will be well positioned once the Iran conflict settles. And she concludes things by sharing her bullish outlook on gold. (36:02)

    55 min

  8. Apr 14

    The Five Best Turnaround Stocks in 2026 to Buy Now

    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Alex Morris back to the show. Alex is the founder of TSOH (The Science of Hitting) Investment Research and an author. TSOH, which boasts more than 24,000 subscribers, aims to generate attractive long-term returns while providing complete transparency on the research process, portfolio decision-making, and returns.   Alex kicks things off by reflecting on the potential changes in Berkshire Hathaway due to the passing of Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett's retirement. He believes the company is in a good position to continue the momentum that was built up when Buffett was at the helm and acknowledges that the issues the company currently faces were present during Buffett's final days. Alex then begins sharing the names of companies that have fallen but he believes will be able to improve their positions. Though he's wary about picking beaten stocks that might be going nowhere. (0:00)   Next, Alex gives his outlook on the next set of stocks he's considering. The first was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. But Alex believes that it's taking the right steps to combat inflation without causing its customers to turn away. The second stock is in a niche field. It's currently facing headwinds from a stagnant housing market, but Alex is confident that once conditions improve, the company is set to boom. The third is building up its business by providing higher-quality, premium beverages compared with the competition, which can produce loyal customers who won't want to settle for anything else. And the fourth also provides premium products, only directed at the egg industry. (24:54)   Finally, Alex discusses his final stock pick. This is a company that has faced controversy surrounding user safety, but Alex says the company has improved and continues to improve its safety protocols and is righting the ship. In the long run, he sees the company being comparable with YouTube due to the way its creators make experiences that can't be rivaled by any similar platform. And he concludes by stressing the importance of creating goals in your life. (44:13)

    56 min
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From financial markets and politics to business and social issues, Dan Ferris and our Stansberry Analysts offer candid discussion on today's most important headlines. Each week you'll hear exclusive interviews with guest investment experts, authors, and top thinkers such as Jim Rogers, Kevin O'Leary, Glenn Beck, PJ O'Rourke, and Jim Grant. The Stansberry Investor Hour is produced by Stansberry Research, LLC.

Information

  • Creator
    Stansberry Research
  • Years Active
    2017 - 2026
  • Episodes
    385
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Stansberry Research
  • Show Website
    Stansberry Investor Hour

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