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The Numbers

Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
  • 4.8 (6)
  • POLITICS
  • UPDATED WEEKLY

Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier provide their unique perspective and analysis on federal and provincial politics across Canada. Become a Patron for full access to exclusive content! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

  1. 2D AGO

    Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls

    Pierre Poilievre received 87.4% support in his leadership review at the Conservative convention in Calgary — a number we said in last week’s episode would be the “most boring” because it would be neither extremely high nor problematically low. But now that Poilievre has passed this test, he has to face his next challenge: closing the widening gap in the polls between his Conservatives and Mark Carney’s Liberals. This week on The Numbers, we discuss the aftermath of Poilievre’s leadership review and what the polls are saying about the state of the national race. We also chat about the NDP leadership contest, where Avi Lewis has opened a wide fundraising lead. Plus, we have some new provincial polls out of B.C., Alberta and Quebec. (Our discussion of the upcoming federal byelections was before the Liberals announced they had nominated Ontario NDP MPP Doly Begum as their candidate in Scarborough Southwest.) Scheduling note: Starting next week, new episodes of The Numbers will be published on Thursdays. Look for the next episode of The Numbers on February 12! Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://www.patreon.com/c/thenumberspod The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription. You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    43 min
  2. Live(-ish) from the Conservative Convention

    6D AGO • SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

    Live(-ish) from the Conservative Convention

    Exclusively for members of the podcast, Philippe reports from the Conservative convention in Calgary. Pierre Poilievre passes his leadership review with 87.4% of the vote. What do we make of that number? And what's the mood like on the convention floor?

    31 min

  3. JAN 27

    Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back

    Following Prime Minister Mark Carney’s speech at Davos last week, the polls appear to have shifted in his favour — and against that of Pierre Poilievre. With the House of Commons now sitting again, the year’s political season just getting started and Poilievre only a few days away from his leadership review in Calgary, what do these numbers mean for where things go from here on the federal political scene? We break it all down on this week’s episode of The Numbers. We also take a look at some new polls coming out of the provincial level in Ontario, Quebec and Alberta. Where do voters stand on the idea of Alberta independence? Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://www.patreon.com/cw/thenumberspod You can watch this episode on YouTube. The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    42 min
  4. The Numbers Mailbag #27

    JAN 22 • SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

    The Numbers Mailbag #27

    In this members-only mailbag episode, we answer questions on where Pierre Poilievre should (or could) run in the next election, what it would take for the NDP to replicate their 2011 breakthrough and who would have their electoral chances improve if they magically learned French. Plus, we've got tons of questions on the CAQ leadership and the upcoming Quebec election.

    38 min

  5. JAN 20

    Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem?

    With less than two weeks to go before Pierre Poilievre’s leadership review in Calgary, a new poll shows a spike in his negative ratings to a new high. Is it a one-off blip or a sign of a deeper problem for the Conservative leader? We break down the federal polls on this week’s episode of The Numbers. We also discuss François Legault’s bombshell resignation last week and how it shuffles the deck ahead of Quebec’s provincial election in October. Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://www.patreon.com/cw/thenumberspod The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription. You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    44 min

  6. JAN 13

    New year, new byelections?

    Chrystia Freeland, the former cabinet minister and Liberal leadership contestant whose resignation letter was the final nail in the coffin of Justin Trudeau’s prime ministership, finally vacated her seat in the House of Commons last week. As Mark Carney tries to find his way to the magic number of 172 seats needed for a majority government, he now has one more to fill. And it likely won’t be the last. In the first episode of 2026 of The Numbers, we take a look at the one byelection we know will happen soon and the other potential seats that could be vacated in the coming weeks or months. We also discuss the latest federal polling numbers as well as the state of the B.C. Conservative, Quebec Liberal and Ontario Liberal leadership races. Plus, there’s a new poll out of Nova Scotia. Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://www.patreon.com/cw/thenumberspod The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription. You can watch this episode on YouTube. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    39 min

  7. 12/30/2025

    Predicting 2026 in provincial politics

    After tackling the year in federal politics to come, we now turn our attentions to the provincial scenes. In this second part of our Over/Under Contest, we set our lines for the Quebec election in October. We also make our predictions for potential other provincial elections, premier resignations, leadership race outcomes and where party leaders might end the year in the polls. Thanks for all of your support for the podcast throughout 2025 and we wish you all the best in 2026! Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://www.patreon.com/cw/thenumberspod You can watch this episode on YouTube. The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    51 min

  8. 12/23/2025

    Predicting 2026 in federal politics!

    After the beating our predictions took in 2025, we’ve lifted ourselves up, dusted ourselves off and are once again ready to try to predict the political year to come. Yes, it’s time for our annual Over/Under Contest, the fifth year in a row that we go head-to-head to see who has the better crystal ball for 2026. What score will Pierre Poilievre get in his leadership review? When will Mark Carney’s polling numbers begin to drop — if at all? Will there be any more floor-crossers? And, of course, will there be an election in the year to come? We’re splitting up the 2026 Over/Under Contest into two parts. Today, we’re reviewing how we did in 2025 (badly) before we set our sights on the year ahead of us in federal politics. Next week, we’ll place our lines and make our predictions for the provincial political scene. Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here! https://www.patreon.com/cw/thenumberspod You can watch this episode on YouTube. The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    51 min
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Ratings & Reviews

4.8
out of 5
6 Ratings

About

Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier provide their unique perspective and analysis on federal and provincial politics across Canada. Become a Patron for full access to exclusive content! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Information

  • Creator
    Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
  • Years Active
    2023 - 2026
  • Episodes
    119
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
  • Show Website
    The Numbers
  • Provider
    Eric Grenier

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