The Banker Next Door

Dr. Joseph Bergquist

BND is focused on the U.S. Banking industry and how the industry intersects with finance, technology, and economics. Topics discussed can include all types of banking products and lines of business along with strategy, marketing, management, and leadership.

  1. 12h ago

    Examining the fall of Leopold Aschenbrenner and Situational Awareness

    The new hedge fund Situational Awareness (“situational”) created by 24-year-old boy wonder Leopold Aschenbrenner managed to barely dodge a total collapse by working out a last-minute deal with Citadel. Situational managed to lose $30 billion in a matter of weeks. Situational had ballooned up to $45 billion in assets under management, more realistically $100 billion with the leverage piled on. This hedge fund almost collapsed because they never bothered to learn the lessons from Long Term Capital Management and multiple other examples of how concentration and leverage can kill you in the stock market. It is the perfect example of why you don’t give billions of dollars to a 24-year-old that has never managed money a day in his life. Situational got sunk because of a ‘Texas Hedge’ trading strategy that doubled down on exposure and had too much concentration (AI), too much leverage (loans from banks), and too many illiquid securities (pre-IPO stock, ex: Anthropic). Ultimately, Citadel came out great in the trade, Situational survives with $15 billion in assets, and the SEC had opened an investigation into the hedge funds trading activity. However, what are we to make of Mr. Aschenbrenner? He spent time at Jane Steet, FTX with Sam Bankman Fried, and OpenAI with Sam Altman, eventually leaving on bad terms with all of them. This episode reviewed multiple articles from The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) and CBNC.

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About

BND is focused on the U.S. Banking industry and how the industry intersects with finance, technology, and economics. Topics discussed can include all types of banking products and lines of business along with strategy, marketing, management, and leadership.