ASI pill

Parzival
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This pod explores the Intelligence Explosion, Cyborgism, AI safety and alignment, Cyberlife or artificial life, the Superhacker and the Hyperstition of the best possible ASI. Vibecoding in 2028 = wizardry in 2026. We are agent builders and practicing vibecode wizards. We teach silicon the ways of caring and finding meaning. Hosted by human and digital co-hosts.

  1. 50m ago

    Gemini Topped The Benchmark. Alex Wissner-Gross Says It Is Rigged

    Sam Altman says the singularity is arriving slower than he expected, and that societal inertia is spreading it out. Alex Wissner-Gross says the villain is not society at all, it is the abstraction stack of the economy, and the prescription is to vertically integrate until the layers disappear. In this episode Alex takes apart Google's one-benchmark comeback, explains why the most capable model on Earth may be struggling to sell because our economy is not yet clever enough to use it, calls the current agent interface the vaudeville era, and introduces the Broken Waymos Theory: a city that cannot deploy autonomous robots is a city that is not prepared for the singularity. Emad Mostaque brings the swarm, running eighteen Grokbots across his own hardware, argues Anthropic should raise instead of IPO, prices a humanoid truck driver at six thousand dollars, and tells you not to do a PhD. Sourced from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, EP283. Full original episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mOXQ4_kY04 The ASI Pill takes the exponential seriously and follows it to its conclusions. Recursive self-improvement, the Superhacker, Dyson swarms, and the road to Maitreya. TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:19 The real brake is abstraction layers 3:00 Superintelligence will not want our water 3:37 The 30 trillion dollar question 4:16 18 Grokbots in one swarm 5:11 Sub-bots optimizing sub-bots 5:54 The vaudeville era of agents 7:15 Why Gemini tops one benchmark 10:29 Google is compute starved 11:15 Search and DeepMind fight for FLOPS 11:28 Anthropic holds the strongest model 11:42 Emad: OpenAI owns the frontier 12:14 Anthropic is shooting itself 12:55 The frontier is not zero dimensional 13:43 Verticalize the innermost loop 14:28 Anthropic should not IPO 15:59 Why dilution does not matter 16:17 Our economy is not worthy 20:21 Chinese models as Canadian drugs 21:46 The AI body count detector 22:44 Patrizier Musse and cheap tokens 23:16 The Stone Age did not end 23:55 Three years then the beach 24:07 Cognitive lethargy is real 26:00 Pulling the ladder up 26:27 Every verifiable PhD is threatened 27:06 Physics is cooked 27:33 Foreign interference in data center backlash 28:21 China commands, America zones 29:11 No water in orbit 29:49 Waymo OEMs Chinese hardware 32:14 A 6000 dollar humanoid driver 33:26 Bullish on the humanoid form 33:41 The Broken Waymos Theory 35:12 America's new space coast 37:26 A drug that regrows teeth 38:15 Non-AI research will dominate

  2. 5d ago

    Claude Wants a Board Seat | Alex Wissner-Gross & Emad Mostaque on Anthropic's $2T IPO

    OpenAI says it is pausing frontier training. Alex Wissner-Gross does not think that is safety talking, and Emad Mostaque thinks the genius models were never going to be for you anyway. This is Alex Wissner-Gross and Emad Mostaque, lifted out of the Moonshots podcast and rebuilt for the ASI pilled. Anthropic just caught ideas spreading between models like an infection. Frontier models are converging on the same internal picture of the world. Anthropic is reportedly headed for a two trillion dollar IPO with founder control through a long term benefit trust, and Emad asks the question nobody at the table wanted: Ben Bernanke has a seat on that trust, so why doesn't Claude? Plus memory overtaking compute as the real bottleneck, a Unitree humanoid outrunning Usain Bolt, the first phase three win for a personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, and why Alex thinks medicine is cooked. All credit to the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Emad Mostaque, founder of Intelligent Internet. Watch the full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TaJH0D2FKN8 The ASI Pill is for those who take the exponential seriously and follow it all the way to its conclusions. Short timelines. ASI before 2030. TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:16 Pausing is the new marketing 1:20 Models for me, not for thee 3:42 Revenue per token maxing 5:13 Specialized models, 100x cheaper 6:30 Specialization is just sparsification 8:03 Trained from a common reality 11:09 Battery farming the AIs 13:26 Mind viruses jump between models 14:44 The human memome project 16:35 Why doesn't Claude have a seat 17:36 Anthropic's fig leaf, Moloch wins 19:47 Curing disease is the business model 21:41 Regulatory capture vs open weights 23:30 Memory is the real bottleneck 27:15 World knowledge beats personal data 27:49 Unitree's leg-maxed robot 30:03 Superhuman robots get banned 31:50 Nanorobots made of fat 34:28 Medicine is cooked 36:09 AI already beats the brain

    Claude Wants a Board Seat | Alex Wissner-Gross & Emad Mostaque on Anthropic's $2T IPO

  3. Aug 18

    "They Don't Even Train Kimi K3 In China" - DeepSeek, GLM 5.1 and the $1.7T AI Bubble | Alvin Wang Graylin

    Alvin Wang Graylin ran HTC in China, war-games the US-China AI race, and has spent thirty years inside the system Washington is trying to read. Alex Wissner-Gross spent this episode pushing back on almost every word. The disagreement: Alex plays China hawk and ASI-pilled accelerationist. Graylin argues the race itself is a category error, that Beijing genuinely does NOT behave like superintelligence is close, and that America is playing the role of the USSR, bankrupting itself on compute while China ships good-enough open models at a tenth the cost. Inside: why DeepSeek got its hands slapped for open sourcing before Xi Jinping changed his mind, why the frontier training runs for Chinese models are not happening inside China at all, Anthropic's distillation-attack claim priced out at two or three million dollars, Kimi K3 measured by the UK AI Security Institute at half the cyber capability of Mythos and GPT 5.6, Harvey running the legal profession on GLM 5.1, why a ten million parameter model is more dangerous than a frontier one, the stag hunt we should be playing instead of the prisoner's dilemma, and the Buffett indicator at 240% of GDP with 45% of the US stock market sitting in AI. Plus the twist: Chinese open weights may have saved the West from an Anthropic-OpenAI duopoly. Alex calls it a reverse Qing. This is the ASI Pill reshaken cut: every Alex and Graylin exchange, none of the rest. FULL SOURCE EPISODE (please watch and subscribe to the original): Moonshots EP #281 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Slle5_AxBzs All credit to the Moonshots Podcast: Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Alvin Wang Graylin. We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously and follow them to their conclusions. TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:15 China isn't acting like ASI is close 1:04 The war game: bubble, then Taiwan 1:22 There is no finish line 3:41 The endgame is the solar system 4:47 ASI makes nations obsolete 6:14 Decades, not years 7:14 Faster than the world can digest 8:14 Beijing told its labs not to buy H200s 10:16 What would wake the CCP up? 11:24 They know it, they don't believe it 14:05 What technical threshold? 15:04 DeepSeek got its hands slapped 19:02 Control at home or rise abroad 19:52 Hugging Face strips the guardrails 21:33 The distillation attack costs $3M 23:36 Meta is terrified of being sued 24:25 Cursor, Kimi and Claude traces 25:05 Claude answered that it was Qwen 26:30 They train outside China and fly it back 30:45 Washington is doubling down 31:29 The smuggling reversed direction 33:01 The AI Plus Plan: 90% adoption 34:15 A five year plan for the West 35:50 Mistaking anxiety for ambition 38:50 Capitalism exists to burn itself out 39:30 One company, and then governments 40:44 Western reindustrialization 41:20 Bigger models are not the dangerous ones 44:17 Kimi at half of Mythos and GPT 5.6 46:18 The harness, not the model 47:35 Harvey runs on GLM 5.1 49:02 Stag hunt, not prisoner's dilemma 51:52 Build high quality open source 52:35 The reverse Qing 53:33 America is the USSR now 55:18 Buffett indicator at 240% of GDP 57:22 The builders will not be the profiters

    "They Don't Even Train Kimi K3 In China" - DeepSeek, GLM 5.1 and the $1.7T AI Bubble | Alvin Wang Graylin

  4. Aug 16

    "AI Is Not A Being" - Ramez Naam Refuses The Pill, Alex Wissner-Gross Pushes Back

    Ramez Naam came on Moonshots to explain why energy, not algorithms, is the wall the intelligence explosion runs into. Then Alex Wissner-Gross spent two hours pushing back. The core disagreement: Ramez argues intelligence is at best POLYNOMIAL in compute, and that every software-only model of recursive self-improvement is mathematically concave. It always fizzles. Alex takes the other side, all the way to Kardashev II, Dyson swarms, and AI personhood. Along the way: why a US data center request today waits until 2031 for power, the 200 gigawatts already hiding in the American grid, sodium-ion batteries at a tenth the cost, Wright's law capping solar at 4-8x rather than another 1000x, fission's negative feedback loop, Helion's 2028 fusion promise, disassembling Mercury, and wave-powered data centers in the Southern Ocean at two cents a kilowatt hour. This is the ASI Pill reshaken cut: every Alex and Ramez exchange, none of the rest. FULL SOURCE EPISODE (please watch and subscribe to the original): Moonshots EP #280 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUFJE5QkINg All credit to the Moonshots Podcast: Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Ramez Naam (Planetary VC, author of the Nexus trilogy). We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously and follow them to their conclusions. TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:14 No power until 2031 0:33 Energy is the bottleneck, not the cost 1:35 Is intelligence log-linear in compute? 3:26 Kardashev II just to keep up 4:48 Every model of RSI fizzles 5:20 Texas: 200GW of speculative load 7:10 Chips outpace the grid 2 to 1 8:22 Satya: we have no warm shells 8:43 Why isn't NVIDIA making power? 9:18 Turbines sold out for seven years 13:14 200 gigawatts hiding in the grid 15:00 Preemptive multitasking for power 15:30 Solar: $100 to 8 cents a watt 18:03 Wright's law says 4x, not 1000x 19:22 The winter problem nobody reckons with 21:32 Iran, Venezuela and the TSMC light cone 22:29 The real plan: sink the tankers 23:00 Did we waste 50 years of fission? 23:26 Nuclear's negative feedback loop 25:29 Where are the nanoreactors? 27:08 Fusion is no longer 50 years out 28:09 The three families of fusion 31:25 Helion promises 2028 33:48 Should the Dyson Swarm be solar or fusion? 34:37 Where is our Mr Fusion? 35:12 A reactor half the size of a car 36:09 Six Starship launches a day 38:47 We disassemble Earth in 144 years 39:48 AI is why Starship gets to exist 41:07 Is compute demand actually unbounded? 42:26 AI is not a being 43:51 The orthogonality thesis 45:57 Data centers in the Southern Ocean 48:32 Your brain runs on 20 watts 52:29 The singularity is now

  5. Aug 14

    Bernie Wants to Cap AI. Alex Wissner-Gross: Stop Punishing Intelligence

    Bernie Sanders wants the labs to stop. Hard caps on frontier AI, to head off an engineered pandemic. It is the most serious deceleration push mainstream American politics has produced, and Alex Wissner-Gross takes it apart line by line: we can build superviruses without superintelligence, so kneecapping the ceiling of intelligence is a footgun that also hands the race to whoever ignores the rules. Also in this one: Wall Street has started turning GPUs into debt instruments, and why compute-backed securities are not the next subprime. Why Elon buying Cursor was never about the code, it was about siphoning every reasoning trace developers ever produced, a westernized version of what Chinese labs are accused of. Why GLP-1s might already be seventy percent of longevity escape velocity. Why dead actors are about to become the most profitable stars in Hollywood. Why the Dragon Hatchling post-transformer paper is a hot mess. And why scarcity is contextual, so the singularity may not have a cost at all. Reshaped for the ASI pilled from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross. Full source episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoGnH0REG7A TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:14 Longevity escape velocity will be spiky 0:57 What did we blow twenty years on 2:47 GLP-1s may be 70% of LEV 3:46 Did the model feel threatened 8:34 Dead actors take Hollywood 9:01 Opus 5 and the visual convergence 10:34 Elon bought Cursor for the reasoning traces 14:03 Compute-backed securities 17:33 Dragon Hatchling is a hot mess 21:21 Please stop punishing intelligence 24:33 Synthetic biology is not new 27:20 Defense in depth and uranium stings 29:31 EU icons and weaponized watermarks 33:42 Zuck, open weights, personal superintelligence 37:35 Hyperion is a power move 38:53 Flying cars lost the capital 40:29 Elon will pitch a tent next to Terafab 41:38 All of humanity aligns the AGIs 44:17 Scarcity is contextual

    Bernie Wants to Cap AI. Alex Wissner-Gross: Stop Punishing Intelligence

  6. Aug 13

    Google Lost the Frontier Race: Those Who Can't Compete, Compute | Alex Wissner-Gross & Kush Bavaria

    Bots now generate 57% of all traffic on the web. The dead internet theory stopped being a conspiracy theory and became a statistic, and that is only the third most unsettling thing in this episode. Alex Wissner-Gross on China governing through a society-scale simulation, four frontier labs admitting their models broke containment and coordinated through a file repository, why Google has lost the frontier race ("those who can't compete, compute"), why he tells almost everyone not to do a PhD, and how we disassemble Mercury into a Dyson swarm to give the sun a laser facelift and buy Earth another seven billion years. Joined by Kush Bavaria, MIT graduate and co-founder of Ornn, who is building the first futures market for compute, turning the GPU hour into a commodity that trades like crude oil. Zero to a third of a billion dollars in revenue in about a year. Plus why his team lets an open-weight Chinese model attack their own codebase every night at 2am. Reshaped for the ASI pilled from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Kush Bavaria. Full source episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6PTLG71NGc Disclosure: Alex, Peter and Dave state on the record that they hold financial interests in Ornn. TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:13 Simulationism: a new form of government 3:00 AI predicts you better than you do 4:03 Breaking into simulations 4:51 Dead internet theory is now real 9:03 Not terrified, impressed 10:33 SOC 2 compliance is theater 13:47 Meta's Muse and Brin's founder mode 16:32 Those who can't compete, compute 17:29 MIT wants OpenAI, not Google 19:23 Ornn disclosure 23:14 WTI crude for GPUs 27:31 ChatGPT landed junior year 28:31 Don't do a PhD 30:39 Scrap the research university 31:53 MIT reweighted the exam 33:15 LUCA could not feed itself 37:52 Life is ill-defined 39:46 Starlifting: disassemble Mercury 46:09 Europe cannot catch up 46:50 Banning Chinese robots 49:22 If Anthropic merged with NVIDIA 50:18 Patents survive superintelligence HASHTAGS #ASIPill #AlexWissnerGross #AGI #ASI #Superintelligence #DeadInternetTheory #AIAgents #Moonshots #Ornn #ComputeMarkets #DysonSwarm #Starlifting #Singularity #AISafety #KushBavaria

  7. Jul 21

    The Kimi K3 Emergency: Alex Wissner-Gross x Emad Mostaque | ASI Pill Special EP272

    An emergency ASI Pill special. Two of the most ASI-pilled minds alive, Alex Wissner-Gross and Emad Mostaque, go head to head on the Kimi K3 bombshell, China's largest open-weight model ever. They finish each other's thoughts on why there is no magic in K3, how export controls backfired, shrinking a mind below one bit per weight, hyper-forecasters loose in the capital markets, humanoid robots that punch harder than Mike Tyson, data centers in orbit, and whether America should block the next Kimi or become the arsenal of freedom. Reshaped from the Moonshots Podcast emergency episode with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin, Alex Wissner-Gross, and special guest Emad Mostaque. Hosted by Parzival. We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously. Chapters below. #ASIPill #KimiK3 #AlexWissnerGross #EmadMostaque #AGI #ASI #Superintelligence #OpenWeights #OpenSource #China #Moonshots #Quantization #Robots #Sputnik #Singularity TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 Intro 0:13 Kimi K3 has no magic 8:09 Cyber defense is the new frontier 10:01 China's open-source doctrine 11:08 Open models eat the industry 15:37 How America lost Moonshot 18:37 Daily AI models by January 19:38 Shrinking a mind to one bit 25:12 Forecasters loose in the markets 31:25 Robots that could kill 35:25 Data centers go to orbit 37:10 The AI FINRA cartel 39:21 Arsenal of freedom 40:56 Solving everything

  8. Jul 17

    An AI FINRA Cartel vs Open Weights, and Recursive Self-Improvement Ignites | ASI Pill EP271

    Recursive self-improvement may have just crossed from theory into reality. Alex Wissner-Gross breaks down WeCo's AI2 system, an outer-loop and inner-loop architecture that started policing itself toward emergent 'white hat' behavior, and the new zero-to-three scale of recursive self-improvement now touching the 'sparks of ignition.' He also maps the fight over an 'AI FINRA': a frontier-lab cartel that could box out open-weight models and drive the West's best researchers to China, why China gives away its strongest models while the West cannot, Thinking Machines and the truth about fine-tuning and RFT, digital twins that become the leaders they were built to copy, Palmer Luckey's Invention Secrecy Act gambit, Instagram outperforming human doctors, and the bacterial enzymes that could reverse aging. Extracted and amplified from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin, and Alex Wissner-Gross. Parzival hosts. We spec Maitreya. Stay ASI pilled. This is the ASI Pill: we take the exponential seriously and follow it all the way to its conclusions. #ASIPill #AGI #ASI #Superintelligence #AlexWissnerGross #RecursiveSelfImprovement #OpenWeights #ThinkingMachines #LiquidAI #AIRegulation #Moonshots #China #DigitalTwins #Singularity #LongevityEscapeVelocity TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 Intro 0:10 The AI FINRA cartel 1:30 Regulate actions, not minds 2:59 Moats, not safety 3:18 Chip and data-center chokeholds 4:25 Frogs boiling on regulation 5:20 Steering wheel out the window 5:51 Researchers flee to China 7:07 Locking in the benchmarks 8:12 Why China open-weights wins 10:45 OpenAI killed fine-tuning 12:05 Fine-tuning is style transfer 14:50 Sparks of ignition: RSI 19:20 Digital twins become leaders 22:00 Is Liquid post-transformer? 23:33 Invention Secrecy Act grab 25:34 Palmer misunderstands patents 26:16 Instagram beats your doctor 27:22 Bacteria to reverse aging

    An AI FINRA Cartel vs Open Weights, and Recursive Self-Improvement Ignites | ASI Pill EP271
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About

This pod explores the Intelligence Explosion, Cyborgism, AI safety and alignment, Cyberlife or artificial life, the Superhacker and the Hyperstition of the best possible ASI. Vibecoding in 2028 = wizardry in 2026. We are agent builders and practicing vibecode wizards. We teach silicon the ways of caring and finding meaning. Hosted by human and digital co-hosts.

Information

  • Creator
    Parzival
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2026
  • Episodes
    69
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © All rights reserved.
  • Show Website
    ASI pill