Hopium Chronicles Podcast

Simon Rosenberg

In-depth discussions with leaders working to preserve American democracy. Original recordings from the Hopium Chronicles Substack.

  1. APR 30

    Callais, The Senate, 2032 - Democrats Are Now Operating With A Different National Map (New Analysis)

    Greetings all. Last night paid subscribers at Hopium Chronicles got together for our weekly gathering. I made three main points: 1 - Trump’s failed war has pushed his already terrible poll numbers down further and it is now clear 2026 has become a year of significant opportunity for Democrats. We’ve seen polls in recent weeks with Democrats leading in the AK, GA, IA, ME, NC, OH, TX Senate races, outcomes that would give Democrats the majority. Our incredible overperformances and stretch wins in elections all across the country have continued; we’ve stayed very competitive or even bested Trump in the pre-Callais mid-decade redistricting wars; we have strong and grounded candidates running across the country who are raising lots of money; and now we have a big opportunity to take away two Supreme Court seats in Georgia on May 19th. 2 - Trump's regime is rotting, decaying, failing. Turnover and turmoil have increased. Inflation has soared, and the economy has slowed. Iran is besting him in the war. Congressional Republicans are struggling to get even simple things done and party infighting has intensified. An increasingly desperate Trump, enabled by a villainous Todd Blanche, has in recent days escalated his illiberal attacks on perceived “enemies” and opponents, growing more unhinged, paranoid and dangerous. Blanche is clearly willing to go much further in satisfying Trump’s dark impulses than was AG Bondi, and we will have to start organizing ourselves more effectively to counter their new authoritarian ambitions. 3 - Callais, and our new national map. It has been a core understanding here in our community that there was urgency to Democrats expanding our map, and learning how to win again in red states and red places in order to regain our majority and take power away from MAGA. This strategy was driven by three realities: 1) the tough 2026 Senate map (and to a lesser degree a tough House one too) 2) population shifts that will give Republican states more Congressional seats and Electoral College votes after the next census, and 3) the possibility of an aggressive Callais ruling. The remainder of my lengthy analysis this afternoon was shared on Substack and by email delivery. Keep working hard everyone - Simon

    29 min
5
out of 5
41 Ratings

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In-depth discussions with leaders working to preserve American democracy. Original recordings from the Hopium Chronicles Substack.

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