MPC Markets Morning Call

MPC Markets

The MPC Markets Morning Call is hosted by Mark Gardner a daily update on financial markets before the open of the ASX. In the daily podcast we cover stock markets, commodities, interest rates and geopolitics

  1. Investors go Old School as tech sold Dow up

    1d ago

    Investors go Old School as tech sold Dow up

    Wall Street delivered a tale of two markets overnight as the Dow surged to a record high while the Nasdaq slipped on a Broadcom-led semiconductor selloff. The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 7,584.82, with about 360 of its constituents advancing as nine of 11 sectors closed higher — financials led the charge at +2.7% and healthcare added 3%. A renewed Israel–Lebanon ceasefire bolstered hopes for eventual US–Iran peace, sending Brent crude down 2.7% to $95.21 and WTI 3.1% lower to $93.08. Spot gold climbed 1% to $4,478.21 as investors hedged geopolitical uncertainty. Blackstone capped withdrawals from its $79 billion flagship private credit fund after redemption requests hit 10% of shares, adding to a growing pattern of stress in the alternatives space. ASX 200 futures are up 48 points to 8,739, with all eyes on the US May non-farm payrolls report tonight. The Dow rose 1.7% to a record 51,562.30, the S&P 500 gained 0.4% to 7,584.82, while the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.5% as Broadcom’s 12.6% plunge dragged chipmakers lower. An Israel–Lebanon ceasefire renewal bolstered US–Iran peace hopes, though Hezbollah rejected the deal and fighting continued in southern Lebanon. WTI crude fell 3.1% to $93.08 and Brent dropped 2.7% to $95.21 on ceasefire optimism, while Citi maintained a $110 Q3 Brent forecast citing critically low Asian inventories. The 10-year Treasury yield eased 2bp to 4.47% as the curve steepened, with Bitcoin tumbling to a 4-month low near $61,000 after Strategy’s first sale since 2022. Blackstone capped withdrawals from its flagship private credit fund at 5% after investors sought to pull 10% of shares, the latest sign of stress in alternatives. ASX 200 futures are up 48 points (+0.6%) to 8,739, with the AUD steady and the RBA’s Bullock and Hauser both speaking today. Key Takeaways010203040506

    8 min
  2. Record Highs again n Ceasefire extension & AI

    May 28

    Record Highs again n Ceasefire extension & AI

    🚨 MARKET RECAP: S&P 500 & Nasdaq Smash ALL-TIME HIGHS Despite Iran War Tensions 🚨US stocks just delivered one of the strongest days of 2026 — all three major indexes closed at record highs simultaneously for the first time in years. S&P 500 +0.6% to 7,563, Nasdaq +0.9% to 26,917, and the Dow also pushed higher. In just the past two months the S&P is up 20% and Nasdaq up 30% as AI euphoria continues.But behind the rally? A tentative 60-day US-Iran ceasefire MoU that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease the global oil chokehold. Trump hasn’t signed yet, but the market is pricing in relief. Brent crude still closed +1.1% at $93.28 after spiking to $96, while WTI hit a 6-week low on deal optimism.We break down:Full details on the Iran ceasefire — Hormuz shipping, mine removal, nuclear talks, and why Trump’s “red lines” still matterOvernight clashes: ballistic missile at Kuwait, drones near Hormuz, warning shots at tankersIsrael ramps up strikes on Lebanon — does this kill the deal?Why Wall Street is ignoring Asia/Europe selloffsEARNINGS SEASON HEATS UPDell +19% after crushing AI server forecastSnowflake, Best Buy, Dollar Tree, Agilent all surge on strong guidanceAnthropic raises $65B at $965B valuation (now bigger than OpenAI) with Google & Amazon backing — IPO coming Fall 2026?Plus Caesars $5.7B takeover and the regulator pause on the Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern mega-mergerSTAGFLATION WARNINGApril PCE jumps to +3.8% y/y (highest since May 2023)Q1 GDP revised sharply lower to just 1.6%US savings rate collapses to 2.6% — near 18-year lowsNew Fed Chair Kevin Warsh inherits a nightmare: rising inflation + slowing growth = no rate cuts in sightAUSTRALIA FOCUSASX 200 futures rebound +0.6% after Thursday’s $45B wipeoutBHP’s secret diesel truck purchases exposed — A$500M extra annual fuel costWebjet CEO exit, IAG lawsuit settlement, Tourism Holdings bid drama & Guzman y Gomez dumps US expansion (stock +21%)WHAT’S NEXTTrump’s decision on the Iran deal is the biggest market catalyst in weeks. Plus Germany CPI, US Chicago PMI, Fed speakers, and Japan data.Timestamps:0:00 – US Record Highs & Big Picture3:45 – Iran Ceasefire MoU: What We Know9:20 – Oil Price Reaction & Hormuz Impact13:10 – Earnings Winners & Losers (Dell, Snowflake, Anthropic)18:40 – Stagflation Reality Check (PCE, GDP, Savings Rate)23:15 – ASX 200, BHP, Aussie Corporate News27:50 – What’s Ahead This Weekend🎙️ Daily market wrap with no fluff — macro, geopolitics, earnings & Aussie stocks in plain English.👉 Like & Subscribe for daily market recaps every trading day. Drop your biggest question about the Iran deal or AI stocks below 👇#StockMarketToday #SP500 #Nasdaq #IranCeasefire #OilPrices #AIStocks #PCEInflation #Stagflation #ASX200 #BHP #DellEarnings #Anthropic #MarketRecap #Trading2026

    13 min

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The MPC Markets Morning Call is hosted by Mark Gardner a daily update on financial markets before the open of the ASX. In the daily podcast we cover stock markets, commodities, interest rates and geopolitics

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