HPMoR and the Limits of Rationality

Anthea
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One woman's quest to understand the Harry Potter fanfic that created the modern world. Interactive transcripts by Regina: https://hpmoralor.sepionics.com/

Episodes

  1. 3d ago

    Ep. 6: ...And Lose My Calm

    In the second part of chapter 6, Harry descends into multiple black rages, Yudkowsky finally demonstrates a good example of the planning fallacy, and a plot twist is introduced. Anthea is dispirited, Jake and Elisa are unimpressed, and a dog makes a cameo. This episode spoils a plot reveal from later in HPMoR. Content warnings: this chapter mentions child abuse. Citations and further reading, part 2 HPMoR, Chapter 6. Eliezer Yudkowsky. https://hpmor.com/chapter/6 Serial Podcast: The Preventionist, Dyan Neary. The New York Times, 15 Oct 2025. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/16/podcasts/serial-productions-the-preventionist.html “Occam’s Razor,” Philosophy Terms. Accessed 3 Jun 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20260603191635/https://philosophyterms.com/occams-razor/

    1h 42m

  2. 5d ago

    Ep. 5: How I Learned to Start Worrying ...

    In the first part of chapter 6, Harry enlightens McGonagall about the planning fallacy via an incredibly maladaptive coping mechanism.  Elisa, Jake, and Anthea are forced to question the limits of authorial intent and why there are so many alleys in Diagon Alley.  Content warnings: we touch on Alzheimer's; medically assisted suicide, cryonics, and other end of life considerations; suicide; and mortality/death from about 0:50:00 to 1:05:45. Citations and further reading, part 1 HPMoR, Chapter 6. Eliezer Yudkowsky. https://hpmor.com/chapter/6 “Unpublished data from Stanley Milgram’s experiments cast doubt on his claims about obedience,” Eric W. Dolan. PsyPost, 17 Nov 2019. https://www.psypost.org/unpublished-data-from-stanley-milgrams-experiments-casts-doubts-on-his-claims-about-obedience/“Deception and Illusion in Milgram's accounts of the Obedience Experiments.” Gina Perry. Theoretical & Applied Ethics, January 2013. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/317914282_Deception_and_Illusion_in_Milgram's_accounts_of_the_Obedience_Experiments“Credibility and Incredulity in Milgram’s Obedience Experiments: A Reanalysis of an Unpublished Test,” Gina Perry, Augustine Brannigan, Richard A. Wanner, & Henderikus Stam. Social Psychology Quarterly, March 2020. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0190272519861952 “Replicating Milgram: Would People Still Obey Today?” Jerry M. Burger. American Psychologist, January 2009. https://www.apa.org/pubs/journals/releases/amp-64-1-1.pdf“Obedience to authority with an authentic victim,” Charles L. Sheridan & Richard G. King, Jr. Proceedings of the 80th Annual Convention of the American Psychological Association, 1972. https://web.archive.org/web/20180127071012/http://www.holah.co.uk/files/sheridan_king_1972.pdf LessWrong community surveys:2011: https://www.lesswrong.com/s/MKsuezdHmrHfbQCqT/p/HAEPbGaMygJq8L59k 2016: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FDaYqFW8ExjKNwkqa/2016-lesswrong-diaspora-survey-analysis-part-one-meta-and#Work_Status2024: https://www.lesswrong.com/s/MKsuezdHmrHfbQCqT/p/gpZBWNFxymsqnPB92 “Sir Terry Pratchett: coroner tribunals should be set up for assisted suicide cases,” Chris Irvine. The Telegraph, 2 Aug 2009. https://web.archive.org/web/20090805175425/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/5960166/Sir-Terry-Pratchett-coroner-tribunals-should-be-set-up-for-assisted-suicide-cases.html Terry Pratchett - Living With Alzheimer’s, BBC. 18 May 2009. https://youtu.be/KmejLjxFmCQ?si=Cze6ANh5zpqV5uA_ “[LINK] Terry Pratchett is dead,” Baughn. LessWrong, 12 Mar 2015. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NqbSPsAHMTn7BTpFF/link-terry-pratchett-is-dead “Yehuda Yudkowsky, 1985-2004,” Eliezer Yudkowsky. 18 Nov 2004. https://www.yudkowsky.net/other/yehuda “Normal Cryonics,” Eliezer Yudkowsky. LessWrong, 19 Jan 2010. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hiDkhLyN5S2MEjrSE/normal-cryonics“It’s Embarrassing to Die: The Immortalist Story,” Atrocity Guide. YouTube, 1 Mar 2022. https://youtu.be/IZ2YEESTQUI?si=ik68Zn87acnQ1Fin  “Be Prepared,” Tom Lehrer. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cK75VeDeu_U “Planning Fallacy,” the DecisionLab. Accessed 3 June 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20260531110437/https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/planning-fallacy Ministers of Propaganda, Scott M. Coley. William B. Eerdmans Publishing Company, 2024. https://bookshop.org/p/books/ministers-of-propaganda-truth-power-and-the-ideology-of-the-religious-right-scott-m-coley/baf049d942871639

    1h 36m

  3. May 19

    Ep. 4: The EA Stands For Ethical Arbitrage

    In chapters 4 and 5, Harry becomes fabulously wealthy and meets Draco Malfoy. Anthea, Elisa, and Jake are joined by Ernie to discuss effective altruism, the fundamental attribution error, and being built different. Citations and further reading: Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, chapter 4: https://hpmor.com/chapter/4HPMoR, chapter 5: https://hpmor.com/chapter/5"Eliezer's Unteachable Methods of Sanity," Eliezer Yudkowsky. LessWrong, 6 Dec 2025. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/isSBwfgRY6zD6mycc/eliezer-s-unteachable-methods-of-sanity"ELI5: What is arbitrage and how do arbitrageurs make money?" r/explainlikeimfive, 27 Nov 2012. https://www.reddit.com/r/explainlikeimfive/comments/13wekw/comment/c77s5go/"Effective Altruism." Lesswrong, 2 May 2024. https://www.lesswrong.com/w/effective-altruism"Purchase Fuzzies and Utilons Separately," EY. LessWrong, 1 Apr 2009. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3p3CYauiX8oLjmwRF/purchase-fuzzies-and-utilons-separately"Can one person make a difference? What the evidence says." Benjamin Todd. 80,000 Hours, accessed 22 Apr 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20260219151243/https://80000hours.org/career-guide/can-one-person-make-a-difference/"Sam Bankman-Fried on Arbitrage and Altruism (Ep. 145)," Conversations With Tyler. 9 Mar 2022. https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/sam-bankman-fried/"An excellent collection of Fermi problems for your class," Kevin Cummins. Innovative Teaching Ideas, 14 Aug 2023. https://innovativeteachingideas.com/blog/an-excellent-collection-of-fermi-problems-for-your-class/"Fundamental Attribution Error." Wikipedia, accessed 22 Apr 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20260401065702/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_attribution_error"Fundamental Attribution Error in Psychology," Saul McLeod. SimplyPsychology.com, accessed 22 Apr 2026. https://www.simplypsychology.org/fundamental-attribution.html"The attribution of attitudes," Jones and Harris. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, January 1967. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0022103167900340?via%3Dihub"The "Fundamental Attribution Error" is rational in an uncertain world," Walker, Smith, and Vul. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, 2015. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/48d9b5qb#main"Don't Revere The Bearer Of Good Info," CarlShulman. LessWrong, 21 Mar 2009. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tSgcorrgBnrCH8nL3/don-t-revere-the-bearer-of-good-info

    2h 23m

  4. Apr 15

    Ep. 3: Stand By Me

    In chapter 3, Harry learns about Death Eaters, and the hosts rescue jokes from a burning podcast. CONTENT WARNING: discussion of real life violence and sexual violence from 40:15-51:46. Continuing discussion of graphic fictional violence from 51:46 onward. Citations and further reading: Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, chapter 3: https://hpmor.com/chapter/3“The Cassandra Claire Plagiarism Debacle – Part XII,” Avocado/white_serpent. Fandom Wank, 6 August 2006. https://web.archive.org/web/20130702155034/http://www.journalfen.net/community/bad_penny/10481.htmlSTRANGE ÆONS. https://www.youtube.com/@STRANGEONS/search?query=harry%20potter .”Kitty Genovese.” History.com, 27 February 2025. https://www.history.com/articles/kitty-genovese“37 Who Saw Murder Didn't Call the Police; Apathy at Stabbing of Queens Woman Shocks Inspector,” Martin Gansberg. The New York Times, 27 March 1964. https://www.nytimes.com/1964/03/27/archives/37-who-saw-murder-didnt-call-the-police-apathy-at-stabbing-of.html“Winston Moseley, Who Killed Kitty Genovese, Dies in Prison at 81,” Robert D. McFadden. The New York Times, 4 April 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20180909012517/https://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/05/nyregion/winston-moseley-81-killer-of-kitty-genovese-dies-in-prison.html“A Call for Help,” Nicholas Lemann. The New Yorker, 2 March 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20250607020600/https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/03/10/a-call-for-help?currentPage=allInfluence, Robert B. Cialdini. HarperCollins, 2007. https://dn710600.ca.archive.org/0/items/ThePsychologyOfPersuasion/The%20Psychology%20of%20Persuasion.pdf“Feeling Rational,” Eliezer Yudkowsky. LessWrong, 25 April 2007. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SqF8cHjJv43mvJJzx/feeling-rational“Twelve Virtues of Rationality,” Eliezer Yudkowsky. LessWrong, 1 January 2006. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7ZqGiPHTpiDMwqMN2/twelve-virtues-of-rationality

    1h 29m

  5. Mar 31

    Ep. 2: Wingardium Leviscrewyou

    In chapter 2, a woman turns into a cat. Anthea and Regina discuss the pros and cons of reasoning from first principles, the collision of the profound and the mundane, and a cool Bavarian. Citations and further reading Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, chapter 2: https://hpmor.com/chapter/2HPMoR and Science: https://hpmor.com/science/“Rationality Quotes 1,” Eliezer Yudkowsky. LessWrong. 15 January 2008. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LiDk2XMBFmRiju4x3/rationality-quotes-1“Interstitial Comments on Dawkins,” Mencius Moldbug. Unqualified Reservations.11 October 2007. https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2007/10/interstitial-comments-on-dawkins/“The Anti-Reactionary FAQ,” Scott Alexander. Slate Star Codex. 20 October 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20131126130345/http://slatestarcodex.com/2013/10/20/the-anti-reactionary-faq “Geeks for Monarchy: The Rise of the Neoreactionaries,” Klint Finley. TechCrunch, 22 November 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20131124080402/https://techcrunch.com/2013/11/22/geeks-for-monarchy/“Mr. Jones Is Rather Concerned,” Mencius Moldbut. Unqualified Reservation. 28 November 2013. https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2013/11/mr-jones-is-rather-concerned/ “Symmetry for Dummies: Noether’s Theorem,” Will Sweatman. Hackaday.com. 14 June 2016. https://hackaday.com/2016/06/14/symmetry-for-dummies-noethers-theorem/“E. Noether's Discovery of the Deep Connection Between Symmetries and Conservation Laws,” Nina Byers. 23 September 1998. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.physics/9807044“ELI5 What are Hamiltonian and Langrarian Mechanics? What do they concern?” answer by u/CreatureOfPrometheus. 4 May 2019. https://www.reddit.com/r/explainlikeimfive/comments/bkka3z/comment/emhm30p/“Unitarity,” Wikipedia. Accessed 29 March 2026. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unitarity“My Childhood Death Spiral,” Eliezer Yudkowsky. LessWrong. 14 September 2008. https://www.lesswrong.com/s/SXurf2mWFw8LX2mkG/p/uD9TDHPwQ5hx4CgaX“How Peter Thiel’s Relationship With Eliezer Yudkowsky Launched the AI Revolution,” Keach Hagey. Wired. 20 May 2025. https://web.archive.org/web/20260204143917/https://www.wired.com/story/book-excerpt-the-optimist-open-ai-sam-altman/ “The Pleasure of Finding Things Out,” from The Pleasure of Finding Things Out, Richard Feynman. Original interview 1981, collected in 1999.

    1h 24m

  6. Mar 10

    Ep. 1: A Podcast of Very Low Probability

    Anthea introduces Jake and Elisa to the world of Rationality, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and HPMoR. A surprising level of empathy for Petunia Evans emerges. Citations and further reading Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, chapter 1: https://hpmor.com/chapter/1Neoreaction a Basilisk, Elizabeth Sandifer: https://bookshop.org/p/books/neoreaction-a-basilisk-essays-on-and-around-the-alt-right/850f22fb82ae27c6The Zizians series, Behind the Bastards. 12-21 March 2025. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9mJAerUL-7whttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-IqARk6Fru4https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWy5YGWHaNAhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OogotniaUXICurtis Yarvin, Behind the Bastards. 17-19 September 2024. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYrPNvVhKLUhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpEg4LS3CT0Peter Thiel and Yudkowsky’s history is discussed in “No Death, No Taxes,” George Packer. The New Yorker, 20 November 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20140801231953/https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2011/11/28/no-death-no-taxesCurtis Yarvin, Neoreaction, Yudkowsky, and Roko’s Basilisk are discussed in “The Strange and Terrifying Ideas of Neoreactionaries,” Nathan J. Robinson and Elizabeth Sandifer. Current Affairs, 30 May 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20251111012737/https://www.currentaffairs.org/news/2022/05/the-strange-and-terrifying-ideas-of-neoreactionaries “Why is Mencius Moldbug so popular on LessWrong?” https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6qPextf9KyWLFJ53j/why-is-mencius-moldbug-so-popular-on-less-wrong-answer-he-sFeynman Lectures on Physics Volumes 1,2,3. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4tHb1egFTm4Rlc3OEFrVmNGQUk/view?resourcekey=0-O8AOzf-ZN7FBDUoHR1WJrQ Discussion of the cultic milieu: https://web.archive.org/web/20250424005912/https://www.vectorsconference.com/culticmilieu_eng“The Harry Potter Fan Fiction Author Who Wants to Make Everyone a Little More Rational,” David Whelan. Vice, 2 March 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20201108113155/https://www.vice.com/en/article/gq84xy/theres-something-weird-happening-in-the-world-of-harry-potter-168“'Harry Potter' and the Key to Immortality,” Daniel D. Snyder. The Atlantic, 18 July 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110725060304/http://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2011/07/harry-potter-and-the-key-to-immortality/241972/

    1h 42m
  • 6 Episodes

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One woman's quest to understand the Harry Potter fanfic that created the modern world. Interactive transcripts by Regina: https://hpmoralor.sepionics.com/

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