The Politics Guys

The Politics Guys - Government Democracy & News

The Politics Guys is an independent, ideologically diverse American politics and policy podcast hosted by experts: political scientists, law professors, and practicing attorneys with government experience. Our mission is to give listeners a much-needed break from conservative and liberal echo chambers through civil, rational, and evidence-based discussion of American politics and policy from multiple perspectives.

  1. 2d ago

    Midterm Predictions, Election Interference, and Trump's Reckoning?

    Mike, Michael, and Trey preview the 2026 midterm elections, examine Justice Department interventions in Alaska and California, and debate what a Democratic Congress could accomplish during Donald Trump's final two years in office. They start with Michael's election models, which point toward Democratic control of the House and a strong possibility of a Senate takeover. But are the polls reliable, and which races in Texas, Iowa, Kansas, and elsewhere will tell us whether a Democratic wave is developing? Next, the guys discuss the controversy surrounding Alaska's two Dan Sullivans, the DOJ's attempt to challenge thousands of California mail ballots, and the increasingly troubling intersection of partisan politics and federal law enforcement. Finally, the guys offer their plausible best-case scenarios for the midterms and beyond. Would congressional investigations expose Trump administration corruption or accomplish little beyond political theater? Could Democrats advance legislation despite presidential vetoes? And might the election finally loosen MAGA's grip on the Republican Party? Michael's Substack The Politics Guys on Facebook | X Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys. The Politics Guys is part of The Democracy Group, a network of podcasts that examines what's broken in our democracy and how we can work together to fix it.

    Midterm Predictions, Election Interference, and Trump's Reckoning?
  2. Oct 23

    Astroturfed Town Halls, The Acton Attack Ad, Raiding Rep. Omar, Meta’s $25B Judgment

    On this week’s episode of The Politics Guys, Trey Orndorff is back with Justin Holmes to look past horse-race headlines and dissect the deeper political science, constitutional, and regulatory developments shaping the national landscape. The guys begin by examining the astroturfed confrontation in Michigan between Abdul El-Sayed and “Tommy,” or Thomas Teepell, a former operative for Senator Josh Hawley. The hosts discuss why "constants don't explain variables" in electoral behavior, noting that while viral moments generate online engagement, they rarely shift voter preferences late in a cycle. The hosts explore the economics of modern astroturfing, campaign spending rationality, and the weaponization of anti-Muslim tropes in midterm messaging. Next, the pair turns to a controversial television commercial in the Ohio governor’s race produced by Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy against Dr. Amy Acton featuring her estranged birth mother, Donna Arther. Trey discussed the academic literature on negative advertising, discussing whether scorched-earth ads suppress turnout and how it might help the Ramaswamy campaign, while Justin addresses the role of perceived fairness in voter persuasion and institutional risks of normalizing perusal trauma in campaign discourse. After that, the hosts turn to an executive branch search warrant targeting a sitting member of Congress, Ilhan Omar (D-MN). Federal agents executed a search warrant of the personal home snd property of Rep. Omar, including her phones, laptops, notebooks, and her passport. Trey and Justin examine the 2006 FBI raid on Representative William Jefferson’s congressional office (United States v. Rayburn House Office Building), which established strict limits on executive searches of legislative communications. The hosts analyze the constitutional danger of sweeping electronic seizures against sitting lawmakers and the evidentiary hurdles of prosecuting three-decade-old paperwork signed by a deceased parent. They close looking at the $25 billion civil judgment against Meta. Justin and Trey discuss the practical realities of parenting in a digital era, the technical barriers to reliable age verification without creating secondary privacy risks, and whether mega-judgments lead to genuine algorithmic reforms or get treated as a cost of doing business. The Politics Guys on Facebook | X Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys. The Politics Guys is part of The Democracy Group, a network of podcasts that examines what's broken in our democracy and how we can work together to fix it.

    Astroturfed Town Halls, The Acton Attack Ad, Raiding Rep. Omar, Meta’s $25B Judgment
  3. Oct 17

    GOP Midterm Woes, Russian Diesel, Rep. Omar Raid

    With the 2026 midterms approaching, Mike and Justin examine the increasingly difficult electoral landscape for Republicans, including Democrats' chances of capturing both chambers of Congress. They discuss record-breaking campaign spending, Elon Musk's extraordinary contributions, and why Trump is sitting on hundreds of millions in campaign funds while concentrating his rallies in Republican strongholds. Next, the guys turn to the Justice Department's search of Rep. Ilhan Omar's home, examining allegations involving her citizenship and finances, previous investigations that produced no charges, and whether the timing suggests political intimidation rather than legitimate law enforcement. Finally, they consider Trump's decision to ease sanctions on Russian diesel, whether the deal could meaningfully reduce American fuel prices, and reports of restrictions on Ukraine's satellite communications. They also explore growing Republican resistance to Trump's Russia policy and the broader institutional implications of a presidency increasingly willing to test the limits of executive authority, with Congress seemingly unable or unwilling to impose meaningful restraints. The Politics Guys on Facebook | X Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys. The Politics Guys is part of The Democracy Group, a network of podcasts that examines what's broken in our democracy and how we can work together to fix it.

    GOP Midterm Woes, Russian Diesel, Rep. Omar Raid
  4. Oct 9

    Midterm Money, Botched Executions, Trump Ads & Measles

    With the 2026 midterms less than four weeks away, Republicans still hold a major financial advantage—but increasingly have to decide which House and Senate races are worth saving. Mike and his fellow political scientist Michael Levy look at GOP spending pullbacks, Democratic opportunities, whether polls may still underestimate Republican support, and what it could all mean for control of the Senate. Next, Tennessee’s second botched execution this year raises a larger question: is the problem lethal injection, or the death penalty itself? The guys discuss wrongful convictions, the economics and deterrent value of capital punishment, whether executions should be public, and the moral distance between supporting an execution and actually carrying one out. Then they turn to the Trump administration’s use of taxpayer money for ads promoting the president and his policies. Mike argues the spending was almost certainly illegal regardless of whether the ads qualify as propaganda, while the two consider why Trump picked this fight—and whether Democratic outrage plays directly into his political strategy. Finally, Pennsylvania’s massive measles outbreak leads to a broader discussion of falling childhood vaccination rates, growing vaccine skepticism, RFK Jr., Trump’s false claims about the MMR vaccine, and Ken Paxton’s investigation of the American Academy of Pediatrics. Michael’s Substack The Politics Guys on Facebook | X Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys. The Politics Guys is part of The Democracy Group, a network of podcasts that examines what's broken in our democracy and how we can work together to fix it.

    Midterm Money, Botched Executions, Trump Ads & Measles

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About

The Politics Guys is an independent, ideologically diverse American politics and policy podcast hosted by experts: political scientists, law professors, and practicing attorneys with government experience. Our mission is to give listeners a much-needed break from conservative and liberal echo chambers through civil, rational, and evidence-based discussion of American politics and policy from multiple perspectives.

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