202 episodes

Unexpected Points takes a look at the NFL through a uniquely analytical lens and challenges our assumptions about the game. Each week, data scientist Kevin Cole discusses the topical and macro issues affecting football.

unexpectedpoints.substack.com

Unexpected Points Kevin Cole

    • Sports
    • 4.7 • 49 Ratings

Unexpected Points takes a look at the NFL through a uniquely analytical lens and challenges our assumptions about the game. Each week, data scientist Kevin Cole discusses the topical and macro issues affecting football.

unexpectedpoints.substack.com

    Weekly Wrap-up, Q&A Pod: Reich hire, Herbert truthing, What should the Jets do?

    Weekly Wrap-up, Q&A Pod: Reich hire, Herbert truthing, What should the Jets do?

    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com

    For the full episode, get a paid subscription
    Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

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    • 23 min
    Era of the Analytical Front Office? w/ 538's Josh Hermsmeyer

    Era of the Analytical Front Office? w/ 538's Josh Hermsmeyer

    Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) of FiveThirtyEight joins me to discuss:
    * What makes a great analytical franchise, why the Eagles are lapping the field
    * The Nathaniel Hackett hire
    * What the Giants and Ravens should do at QB
    * Revisit bold offseason predictions
    * Whether Brock Purdy can sustain his strong efficiency
    View on YouTube:
    Listen on Apple: Please rate and review!
    Listen on Spotify:
    Subscribe to my substack for daily written analysis and twice a week podcasts,
    * Weekly Adjusted Scores and Advanced Reviews
    * Weekly updated Power Ratings
    * Proprietary Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency
    * Paid subscriber access to Google sheet with downloadable metrics and inputs
    Follow me on Twitter: @KevinCole___


    This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe

    • 1 hr 7 min
    Outlook for Eliminated Playoff Teams w/ Eric Eager, Sumer Sports

    Outlook for Eliminated Playoff Teams w/ Eric Eager, Sumer Sports

    Eric Eager of Sumer Sports joins me to discuss how the six playoff losers should approach the offseason:
    * Should the Vikings look at the fundamentals and choose mini-rebuild?
    * Are the Bucs done in their current form?
    * Why the Seahawks have to look at rookie quarterbacks drafting in the top-5
    * Have the Chargers missed the rookie-contract window for Justin Herbert?
    * Lamar Jackson done in Baltimore?
    * The Dolphins need to go all-in on 2023
    View on YouTube:

    Listen on Apple: Please rate and review!
    Listen on Spotify:
    Subscribe to my substack for daily written analysis and twice a week podcasts,
    * Weekly Adjusted Scores and Advanced Reviews
    * Weekly updated Power Ratings
    * Proprietary Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency
    * Paid subscriber access to Google sheet with downloadable metrics and inputs
    Follow me on Twitter: @KevinCole___


    This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe

    • 1 hr 1 min
    Premium Pod: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Bears No. 1 Pick Reactions, Lamar Tag-&-Trade, Carr to the Jets?

    Premium Pod: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Bears No. 1 Pick Reactions, Lamar Tag-&-Trade, Carr to the Jets?

    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com

    I talk through all that happened this week, including:
    * Reactions to my Bears No. 1 pick article and how to hire coaches
    * All-Pro Voting, why the new system of rank ordering is better
    * And paid subscriber Q&A:
    * Lamar Jackson: What will happen this offseason?
    * Ranking the coaching vacancies
    * How much of QB development is intrinsic?
    * How should the Jets play going after Derek Carr?
    Please upgrade to a paid sub (if you don’t have one) to support my work and hear the entire episode.
    If you can’t afford a paid sub right now, reply to this email and I’ll comp you a 6-month, no-questions-asked sub. Appreciate all who take their valuable time and spend it engaging with my work.
    View on YouTube:

    • 23 min
    No. 1 Pick Discourse, Playoff Preview & Breaking into Analytics w/ Tej Seth and Arjun Menon of Take the Points

    No. 1 Pick Discourse, Playoff Preview & Breaking into Analytics w/ Tej Seth and Arjun Menon of Take the Points

    Tej Seth and Arjun Menon join the pod to talk about their podcast, Take the Points, plus:
    * What the Bears should do with the No. 1 pick
    * Preview the playoffs
    * Their Big Data Bowl research
    * How to break into sports analytics
    View on YouTube:
    Listen on Apple: Please rate and review!
    Listen on Spotify:
    Subscribe to my substack for daily written analysis and twice a week podcasts,
    * Weekly Adjusted Scores and Advanced Reviews
    * Weekly updated Power Ratings
    * Proprietary Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency
    * Paid subscriber access to Google sheet with downloadable metrics and inputs
    Follow me on Twitter: @KevinCole___


    This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe

    • 1 hr 16 min
    Premium: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Playoff seeding, Bears drafting a QB, Value of Culture

    Premium: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Playoff seeding, Bears drafting a QB, Value of Culture

    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com

    View on YouTube:

    • 23 min

Customer Reviews

4.7 out of 5
49 Ratings

49 Ratings

GoHatters ,

Great listen

Love this podcast. Gives a different pov on the week and the league in general than I get anywhere else. New and interesting guests. And the numbers backing up his opinions are also very interesting.

Jey-Zee ,

Kevin Cole subscribes to Twitter Blue.

The guy you’re listening to on Unexpected Points podcast gives money directly to an extremist rightwing nut job and one of the worst human beings of this generation. Unacceptable.

Chandler Wagner ,

Kevin Cole

Top notch info from a class act

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