AI Explained

AI Explained

Covering the biggest news of the century - the arrival of smarter-than-human AI. The author of Simple Bench, exposing the remaining human-LLM reasoning gap. Solo Developer of LM Council: https://lmcouncil.ai - Code - INSIDER15Join me at AI Insiders, with exclusive videos and a 1000+ network of AI enthusiasts and professionals: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedLinks:AI Insiders: Code - INSIDER15: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedMy AI Council App: https://lmcouncil.aiSimple Bench: https://simple-bench.com/Podcast (New!): https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/X: https://twitter.com/AIExplainedYT

  1. 38 min ago

    o3 breaks (some) records, but AI becomes pay-to-win

    A green card, o3 vs Gemini 2.5, 6 Benchmarks and a whole bunch of my thoughts on what on earth is happening in AI, from here to 2030. Plus, how AI is becoming pay-to-win, and why. Crazy times, 14 mins probably wasn’t enough.https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explainedAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction00:33 - FictionLiveBench01:37 - PHYBench02:14 - SimpleBench02:54 - Virology Capabilities Test03:13 - Mathematics Performance04:29 - Vision Benchmarks05:43 - V* and how o3 works06:44 - Revenue and costs for you08:54 - Expensive RL and trade-offs 09:40 - How to spend the OOMs13:27 - Gray Swan ArenaGreen Card: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/25/an-openai-researcher-who-worked-on-gpt-4-5-had-their-green-card-denied/PHYBench: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.16074Virologytest: https://www.virologytest.ai/How o3 Vision Works: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.14135 https://x.com/sainingxie/status/1912570624523829573Visual puzzles: https://neulab.github.io/VisualPuzzles/Fiction Bench: https://x.com/ficlive/status/1912863028141244850https://geobench.org/https://simple-bench.com/AIME 2025: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/USAMO: https://x.com/mbalunovic/status/1914398518896193747NaturalBench: https://linzhiqiu.github.io/papers/naturalbench/Where’s Waldo: https://uk.pinterest.com/pin/492792384225896298/IMO and AlphaProof:https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/ai-solves-imo-problems-at-silver-medal-level/Crazy Revenue: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-forecasts-revenue-topping-125-billion-2029-agents-new-products-gain?rc=sy0ihqNumber of Users: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/googles-gemini-user-numbers-revealed-court?rc=sy0ihqSubscriptions pay to win: https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulmonckton/2025/04/23/google-leak-reveals-new-gemini-ai-subscription-levels/GPU Trade-offs: https://x.com/sama/status/1915098951067554030RL Scale-up Amodei: https://www.darioamodei.com/post/on-deepseek-and-export-controlsLog-linear Returns: https://x.com/bobmcgrewai/status/18952282919819432652030 Scaling: https://epoch.ai/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030Model Size: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1874554473256997201Adam on AGI: https://x.com/TheRealAdamG/status/1913998366632968381Papers on Patreon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.01839https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837Chollet Quote: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1912934762580447447OpenSim: https://opensim.stanford.edu/Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    o3 breaks (some) records, but AI becomes pay-to-win
  2. 1 hr ago

    How Well Can GPT-4 See? And the 5 Upgrades That Are Next

    What exactly can GPT-4 see? And does OpenAI have a plan for physical embodiment? Over 12 separate developments announced in the last few days are covered in this video, in which I showcase how improvements in text, speech, 3D, and embodiment are beginning to complement each other.We'll take an early look at use cases for images in GPT 4, how Nvidia and Adobe are pushing boundaries in Text to 3D, at Sam Altman's Moore's Law For Everything, at the new LeRF model and Assembly AI's latest Speech-to-Text. We will also see how OpenAI already had a Robotics team but now is invested in 1x, developing humanoid robots. But they are not the first, as Agility Robotics has shown...Conformer Model: https://www.assemblyai.com/playground/sourceNapkin-to-Code: https://twitter.com/rowancheung/status/1635744529587359756BeMyEyes: https://twitter.com/BeMyEyes/status/1635690254689599488Tanishq: https://twitter.com/iScienceLuvrMedical Questions: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.13375.pdfVQA: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1904.08920.pdfScale is All You Need: https://twitter.com/markchen90/status/1637903780393160704Nvidia Text-to-3D: https://twitter.com/chenhsuan_lin/status/1638543416723406849?t=rXEsDcEvsdmMPEsZPPhWmw&s=09Adobe Firefly: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sJfNfMAQHwMoore's Law For Everything: https://moores.samaltman.com/#:~:text=Moore%27s%20Law%20for%20Everything.%20Broadly%20speaking%2C%20there%20are,we%20can%20get%20with%20the%20resources%20we%20have.LeRF 3D: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.09553.pdfWired: https://www.wired.com/story/fast-forward-for-smarter-robots-just-add-humans/Conformer Model: https://www.assemblyai.com/playground/sourcehttps://www.assemblyai.com/blog/conformer-1/Boston Dynamics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-e1_QhJ1EhQ1X: https://www.1x.tech/Quadrupedal Agility: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.11330.pdfRubik's Cube: https://openai.com/research/solving-rubiks-cubeStatues: https://twitter.com/TuurDemeester/status/1639421727548616710GPT 4 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.08774.pdfAgility Robotics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FhlUI2xDxdESam Altman Lex Fridman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_Guz73e6fwhttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    How Well Can GPT-4 See? And the 5 Upgrades That Are Next
  3. 2 hr ago

    Altman@Microsoft, Shear@OpenAI, Chaos@Everywhere: Sutskever Regret and the Weekend That Changed AI

    The implosion of OpenAI, a new AGI lab, Sutskever regret and a radical new CEO, the last 48 hours have altered the course of Generative AI. Drawing on multiple exclusive accounts, I’ll endeavour to recreate what happened, get more of the why as well as the when, and give you a clearer sense of the main players. https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedAltman Twitter: https://twitter.com/sama?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5EauthorBrockman: https://twitter.com/gdb/status/1726530200484372688Bloomberg new AGI Org: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-20/microsoft-says-altman-brockman-will-lead-new-in-house-ai-team?srnd=premiumAtlantic Exclusive Extract: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2023/11/sam-altman-open-ai-chatgpt-chaos/676050/Altman New Chipmaker Middle East: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-19/altman-sought-billions-for-ai-chip-venture-before-openai-ouster?fromMostRead=trueThe Information Exclusives: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-execs-invite-altman-brockman-to-headquarters-in-push-to-reinstate-them?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/dozens-of-staffers-quit-openai-after-sutskever-says-altman-wont-return?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-rivals-rush-to-poach-openai-staff-after-altman-ouster?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/breaking-sam-altman-will-not-return-as-ceo-of-openai?rc=sy0ihqTwitter Reports: https://twitter.com/ashleevance/status/1726469283734274338https://twitter.com/emilychangtv/status/1726468006786859101https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1726289070345855126https://twitter.com/satyanadella/status/1726516824597258569https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1726376406785925566https://twitter.com/ryan_t_lowe/status/1726565898742645104https://twitter.com/ada_rob/status/1726570956305707265Altman Board Comments: https://twitter.com/pitdesi/status/1725912296910921900Emmett Sheer: https://twitter.com/eshear/status/1726526112019382275https://twitter.com/liron/status/1672986864297578501https://twitter.com/eshear/status/1703148152138977363Sutskever: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ft0gTO2K85A&t=2322shttps://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1726590052392956028 Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Altman@Microsoft, Shear@OpenAI, Chaos@Everywhere: Sutskever Regret and the Weekend That Changed AI
  4. 3 hr ago

    Altman Expects a ‘Fast Take-off’, ‘Super-Agent’ Debuting Soon and DeepSeek R1 Out

    OpenAI looks set to debut their Operator system, and some leaks are out. At the same time Deepseek R1 releases some numbers, and Sam Altman says he might have been wrong before, and now anticipates a 'fast take-off'. Plus two papers to give you an idea of what a super-agent might be decent at doing, some more exclusive article analysis and much more. Who said anything else is happening today...80,000 Hours Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCafjal1QYJ3rb0Y9xZk1EzgSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2WzJwXWBDnn4iZ7odKwDibAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction01:13 - Pro Cost and OpenAI Operator04:00 - Agent Benchmarks Being Targeted07:48 - Fast Take-off, Altman08:48 - Altman flip-flops10:02 - Deepseek R1 First ReactionAltman ‘100x expectations out of control’: https://x.com/sama/status/1881258443669172470OpenAI Operator Table: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1881285255266750564WebVoyager: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.13919OSWorld: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.07972Axios Exclusive 1 (Super-Agent): https://www.axios.com/2025/01/19/ai-superagent-openai-meta?s=09Axios Exclusive 2: https://www.axios.com/2025/01/18/biden-sullivan-ai-race-trump-chinaDeepseek R1 Numbers: https://x.com/deepseek_ai/status/1881318130334814301Does 1.5B outperform 3.5 Sonnet on Math?: https://x.com/reach_vb/status/1881319500089634954Deepseek R1 (deepseek-reasoner) Pricing: https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing/Altman Fast Takeoff: https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1879100390840697191OpenAI Economic Blueprint: https://cdn.openai.com/global-affairs/ai-in-america-oai-economic-blueprint-20250113.pdfTarget is Long-horizon Tasks: https://x.com/karinanguyen_/status/1879576037249667520Support Regulations: https://www.techemails.com/p/elon-musk-and-openaihttps://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/16/technology/openai-altman-artificial-intelligence-regulation.htmlDonation: https://qz.com/sam-altman-donate-million-zuckerberg-bezos-donald-trump-1851721035Amodei on Regulations by 2025: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugvHCXCOmm4‘Feel the AGI’: https://x.com/polynoamial?lang=enGPT-5 and o-series merger: https://x.com/sama/status/1880358749187240274o1 Thinks in Chinese: https://techcrunch.com/2025/01/14/openais-ai-reasoning-model-thinks-in-chinese-sometimes-and-no-one-really-knows-why/Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Altman Expects a ‘Fast Take-off’, ‘Super-Agent’ Debuting Soon and DeepSeek R1 Out
  5. 3 hr ago

    Claude Opus 4.7 - A New Frontier, in Performance … and Drama

    Claude Opus 4.7 just dropped, but behind every headline lies a deeper story. From a bonanza of benchmarks, to seeing the fruits of one of the biggest mega-projects in US history, to sneaky Mythos disclaimers, to Anthropic admitting compute restraints and, forcing lower capability of Opus 4.7. Where the new model falls behind Gemini but ahead of GPT 5.4, plus why some users are furious at Anthropic. Ending with a 9-year animus, that still affects AI today…https://assemblyai.com/aiexplainedCheck out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.aiAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction00:58 - Benchmarks05:21 - Market Share + Compute Problems08:12 - Mythos Exclusives12:56 - User Frustration + Claude Code Updates14:03 - Brockman Amodei Rivalry17:40 - OpenAI vs Anthropic Approach to CodeClaude 4.7 Opus Release Notes: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7vs Mythos: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGCGugrXUAAKcHp?format=jpg&name=medium232-page System Card: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/037f06850df7fbe871e206dad004c3db5fd50340.pdfARC-AGI 2: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2044834615417053305/photo/1ParseBench: https://x.com/jerryjliu0/status/2044902620746363016/photo/1GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aaVidoc Security Replication: https://blog.vidocsecurity.com/blog/we-reproduced-anthropics-mythos-findings-with-public-modelsBoris Cherny Settings: https://x.com/Hesamation/status/2043016923961577516/photo/2User Frustration: https://x.com/RileyRalmuto/status/2044836116189069660VibeCode Bench: https://x.com/ValsAI/status/2044791415524471099/photo/1Verge Memo: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/911118/openai-memo-cro-ai-competition-anthropic5.4 Cyber: ​​https://openai.com/index/scaling-trusted-access-for-cyber-defense/Data Centers in Absolute $: https://x.com/finmoorhouse/status/2044933442236776794/photo/1…in % of GDP: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGEN8FGWQAAN7Np?format=jpg&name=4096x4096WSJ Exclusive: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-decadelong-feud-shaping-the-future-of-ai-7075acdeBrockman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6vYvk7R190$1T Valuation: https://x.com/StefanFSchubert/status/2045039686997967082Emotions: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/postshttps://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarksNon-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Claude Opus 4.7 - A New Frontier, in Performance … and Drama
  6. 4 hr ago

    GPT 5.5 Arrives, DeepSeek V4 Drops, and the Compute War Intensifies

    GPT 5.5 full analysis, plus DeepSeek V4 paper highlights, comparisons with Mythos, a vibe-coded game w/ GPT Image 2, and 50 data-points you wouldn’t get from just reading the headlines.https://80000hours.org/aiexplainedCheck out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.aiAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction01:11 - GPT 5.5 Comparison06:04 - Mythos Marketing11:50 - Recursive Self-Improvement?14:11 - Deepseek V418:03 - VibeCode Experiment Extravaganza21:44 - The Scarce Compute EraOpenAI Benchmarks: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/5.5 System Card: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-5-5/gpt-5-5.pdfDirect Comparison: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGnNm5GWEAAJ1Ob?format=jpg&name=4096x4096DeepSeek Paper: https://huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-V4-ProSWE Bench Pro - benchmark of choice? https://x.com/ChowdhuryNeil/status/2047416077622395025AA Omniscience: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscienceVending Bench: https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2047377260412649967Opus 4.7 System Card: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/037f06850df7fbe871e206dad004c3db5fd50340.pdfSam Altman Drunk Phase: https://x.com/sama/with_repliesNoam Brown: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2047387675762802998DeepSeek Compute Crunch: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/deepseek-unveils-newest-flagship-a-year-after-ai-breakthrough?srnd=phx-aiSpreadsheet Bench: https://x.com/nicochristie/status/2047476237464211721Pattern Recognition: https://arcprize.org/leaderboardLeader Interviews: Core Memory: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCKQL0op30EKnowledge Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JoUcQ1qmAcBig Tech Round 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6vYvk7R190&t=1116sBig Tech Round 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YnoQ8RJbALw&t=8sClaude Code Limitations: https://x.com/TheAmolAvasare/status/2046724659039932830ChatGPT 5.4 for Clinicians: https://openai.com/index/making-chatgpt-better-for-clinicians/Image Arena: https://x.com/arena/status/2046670703311884548VibeCode Bench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/vibe-code5.5-made Game +Seedance 2.0: https://rosemere-quest.pages.dev/Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    GPT 5.5 Arrives, DeepSeek V4 Drops, and the Compute War Intensifies
  7. 6 hr ago

    What's Up With Bard? 9 Examples + 6 Reasons Google Fell Behind [ft. Muse, Med-PaLM 2 and more]

    A definitive comparison between Bard and GPT-4 - and it doesn’t look good for Bard. I demonstrate, with nine different examples, that Bard has a serious problem. From coding to content creation, summarisation to self-tutoring, I cover all the deficiencies that will stop Bard being currently useful. I then go into 6 explanations for why Google might have fallen behind. From Attention authors leaving the ship, not defining their product, safety and Anthropic, better models and Med-PaLM, I explore all the reasons why Bard isn’t up to scratch. Even pdf scanning doesn’t work. Dumpster Fire Article: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/10/google-employees-slam-ceo-sundar-pichai-for-rushed-bard-announcement.htmlBard: https://bard.google.com/GPT-4: https://chat.openai.com/chat?model=gpt-4NYT Article: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/22/business/stock-markets-rates-fed-decision.html8 authors leaving: https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardnieva/2023/02/08/google-openai-chatgpt-microsoft-bing-ai/?sh=648e593e4de4Product Lead Comments: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/03/google-execs-say-in-all-hands-meeting-bard-ai-isnt-all-for-search-.htmlAnthropic Investment: https://www.theverge.com/2023/2/3/23584540/google-anthropic-investment-300-million-openai-chatgpt-rival-claudeImagen Explanation: https://imagen.research.google/Imagen Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2205.11487.pdfMuse Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.00704.pdfMed-PaLM: https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.13138Med-PaLM 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TSEXVjr6m8wPhysics: https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/guides/zqs47p3/revision/5Data Advantage: https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardnieva/2023/02/08/google-openai-chatgpt-microsoft-bing-ai/?sh=648e593e4de4Virtuous Cycle: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/03/google-execs-say-in-all-hands-meeting-bard-ai-isnt-all-for-search-.htmlhttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    What's Up With Bard? 9 Examples + 6 Reasons Google Fell Behind [ft. Muse, Med-PaLM 2 and more]

About

Covering the biggest news of the century - the arrival of smarter-than-human AI. The author of Simple Bench, exposing the remaining human-LLM reasoning gap. Solo Developer of LM Council: https://lmcouncil.ai - Code - INSIDER15Join me at AI Insiders, with exclusive videos and a 1000+ network of AI enthusiasts and professionals: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedLinks:AI Insiders: Code - INSIDER15: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedMy AI Council App: https://lmcouncil.aiSimple Bench: https://simple-bench.com/Podcast (New!): https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/X: https://twitter.com/AIExplainedYT

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