The Real Estate Preacher with Randy Lawrence

Apartments- Cash Flow Randy Lawrence | Passive Investing| Real Estate Inves

My mission is helping you access the power to gain lasting wealth through real estate! Get real, raw and relevant insights from the trenches. Learn how to make better investments and experience financial freedom through passive wealth producing real estate. Find out what it takes to develop your own successful real estate company. Get real insights into investing in apartments and single-family homes. And gain the spiritual, mental and strategic tools that lead to wealth, freedom and peace in life!

  1. Oct 6

    TRP - 280 - The Fed Raised Rates – Here's Where the Opportunity Is

    This month, the Fed raised rates a quarter point, and another increase looks likely. I'd figured it was coming – a lot of it ties back to the ongoing situation in the Middle East. But the move itself isn't what I want to spend our time on. The real question is where the opportunity is. For the last six to nine months I've said the same thing: higher for longer. And when you step back, this isn't a high-rate market at all. The last 15 years of very low rates were the exception. Across the last 30 or 40 years, this is a normal rate environment. That's what's expected. That's why the old 2011-to-2021 playbook (buy a value-add deal in multifamily or commercial and exit into lower rates) doesn't work today. A lot of people are still penciling deals on the assumption rates come down in 24 to 36 months. You don't have that certainty. This may simply be the new normal. So where's the opportunity? Two places I'm focused on. First, distress. Over the next 12 to 24 months, a wave of REO and bank-owned properties is coming to market. When you can buy at a significant discount to a property's value, you get cash flow now and the ability to exit at today's market and still make a strong profit. Second, single-family homes. Higher rates have slowed housing and made it harder for sellers – and that's opened a real door for a team like ours. We've bought and sold hundreds of homes over the years, and we've put real energy back into it because of what we're seeing right now. One caution, and it's not about real estate: the stock market has run for four or five years, but every asset class is cyclical, and a retracement always comes. Be watchful there. Bottom line – the opportunity is there, but only if you look at it with intentionality and through the right lens. Join Our Investor Club: https://tinyurl.com/43sfztkp

  2. Jul 29

    TRP - 279 - Inflation Cooled – I'm Still Not Betting on a Rate Cut. Here's Why.

    If you've been watching real estate content lately, you've probably heard a fresh wave of people telling you rates are finally about to come down. In this video, I'll walk through why I'm reading it differently, and what it means for the deals in front of you. Here's what happened. Headline inflation cooled to 3.5%, below the 3.8% forecast, and core eased to 2.6%. Energy prices fell as the Iran ceasefire took the pressure off, and the market immediately started pricing in cuts. On the surface, it looks like the all-clear. But I've said the same thing for two years: higher for longer. One soft, energy-driven month doesn't undo the structural picture, and the Fed meets this week still expected to hold. Warsh has signaled he'll follow the data - and if energy flares back up, as it nearly did again this month, that clear path to cuts narrows fast. So what does that mean for you and me? It means a lot of investors are about to underwrite their next deal on a cut that isn't promised. And it means the rest of us have to stay discriminating, factoring today's rates - not tomorrow's hopes - into every deal we look at over the next two to three years. But here's what's also true: the opportunity is real. Distressed deals are still coming into the market at a basis where the cash-on-cash return actually works. And single-family residential, which tends to be less rate-sensitive than commercial, is softening in ways that are opening real windows. Real estate isn't out of favor. It just rewards the investor willing to dig deeper and underwrite with a clear, discriminating eye. This video breaks down how to think through all of it. Join Our Investor Club: https://bit.ly/4vRT8H3

  3. Jul 6

    TRP 276 - How High Will Interest Rates Go? (And Why It Changes Every Deal)

    If you've been watching real estate content online lately, you've probably heard a lot of people telling you rates are about to come down. In this video, I'll walk through why the data says otherwise, and what it means for the deals in front of you. Here's the question everyone's asking: how high will interest rates go, and how long will they stay there? The latest data gave us a clear signal. Headline inflation came in at 4.2% against an expected 3.8%. Core inflation sits at 2.9%. The 10-year Treasury jumped another 20 basis points. And with the Iran conflict keeping energy costs elevated, inflation is proving stickier than the market wants to admit. Kevin Warsh has signaled it will follow the data, and if inflation stays sticky, that could mean rates move up, not down. We've said it for two years: this is higher for longer, a new normal, and it's not reversing anytime soon. So what does that mean for you and me? It means a lot of investors who bought last year betting on an 18-to-24-month drop in rates are going to feel it. And it means the rest of us have to be more discriminating, factoring higher rates into every deal we look at over the next two to three years. But here's what's also true: the opportunity is real. Distressed deals are coming into the market at a basis where the cash-on-cash return actually works. And single-family residential - far less rate-sensitive than commercial - is softening in ways that are opening real windows. Real estate isn't out of favor. It just rewards the investor willing to dig deeper and underwrite with a clear, discriminating eye. This video breaks down how to think through all of it. Join Our Investor Club: https://bit.ly/4wclITN

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About

My mission is helping you access the power to gain lasting wealth through real estate! Get real, raw and relevant insights from the trenches. Learn how to make better investments and experience financial freedom through passive wealth producing real estate. Find out what it takes to develop your own successful real estate company. Get real insights into investing in apartments and single-family homes. And gain the spiritual, mental and strategic tools that lead to wealth, freedom and peace in life!

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