What the Futures!

Ryan Denis
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  • Entrepreneurship
  • Updated Weekly

Do you ever have a moment on the farm, where you look around and wonder what the ... is going on? Dive into the market factors impacting Western Canadian agriculture every week with Ryan Denis. With over a decade of experience advising farmers on crop and business decisions, Ryan will tackle the tough selling and buying decisions that each farm faces. This is the podcast for farmers in Western Canada!

  1. June 2 Grain Update: Canola $780 & Wheat Basis

    1d ago

    June 2 Grain Update: Canola $780 & Wheat Basis

    Grain markets are moving fast on June 2. Brian Comeault is filling in on Cuppa Coffee while Ryan is away, and John DePape joins the show to break down wheat basis, canola near $780, diesel price discovery, unseeded acres, and what Western Canadian farmers should be watching next. In this live grain market update, Brian covers canola futures, wheat pressure, soybeans, bean oil, crude oil, the Canadian dollar, Prairie rain delays, and diesel quotes that are getting farmers’ attention. Then John DePape explains why basis may matter more than many farmers think, why local bid competition can create major price differences, and why separating futures and basis decisions can be a powerful crop marketing strategy. Sponsored by Land for Rent / Land4Rent: https://land4rent.com/ Links mentioned: The Trading Floor: https://thetradingfloor.circle.so/c/start-here Land for Rent sponsor link mentioned in the episode: https://landforrent.com Possible active sponsor site to verify: https://land4rent.com Strategy Room registration: Link mentioned as being on What the Futures socials. Watch on YouTube  Follow What the Futures: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/whatthefuturespod/ X: https://x.com/wtfuturespod Website: https://whatthefuturespodcast.ca Email Ryan: ryan@whatthefuturespodcast.ca #GrainMarkets #Canola #WheatBasis Chapters (00:00:00) - Canola $780, wheat pressure, soybeans, oil & dollar(00:01:22) - Diesel price discovery and sub-$1 fuel quotes(00:03:08) - Wet fields, rain delays, and unseeded acres(00:04:36) - Crop conditions, weather, and market pressure(00:05:35) - John DePape joins Brian(00:06:23) - Peas, canola carryout, brokerage, diesel questions(00:07:43) - Are unseeded acres enough to move markets?(00:10:03) - Wheat basis transparency and Patterson pricing(00:13:21) - Local bids, specials, targets, and competition(00:14:44) - Export sales reporting and price transparency(00:17:30) - Bullish case for new crop CWRS basis?(00:19:28) - Why farmers should separate futures and basis(00:20:00) - Why basis is not boring(00:21:12) - How farmer selling behavior moves basis(00:22:52) - Basis, spreads, and grain company strategy(00:23:19) - John DePape’s Trading Floor breakdown(00:24:44) - Land for Rent sponsor and Strategy Room update

    25 min

  2. 5d ago

    Specialty Crops Update with Chuck Penner (Peas, Lentils, Durum) + Canola Near New Highs

    Episode 124 of the What the Futures Podcast features Chuck Penner of LeftField Commodity Research answering grower questions on peas, lentils, durum, canola, wheat, and feed barley. Penner breaks down Prairie weather extremes, pea demand from China and India, durum pressure from weaker North African demand, lentil uncertainty tied to Canada, Australia, and India, and canola’s rally into new highs. The episode also covers old crop wheat specials, rising feed barley values, improving canola basis, and the importance of staying ready to execute marketing plans. 00:00 Episode kickoff 00:43 Sponsor message 01:29 Markets and canola highs 03:07 Song of the week 04:27 Seeding challenges and farm morale 08:22 Hedging and farm updates 10:38 Chuck Penner joins 16:59 Green and yellow peas 25:01 Durum outlook 31:17 Lentil market update 37:09 Canola momentum 42:19 Canola rally strategy 45:49 Wheat specials 46:42 Feed barley pricing 47:34 Basis watchlist 49:03 Farm update and sponsor 50:31 Eating your veggies 52:20 Conference and text updates 53:19 Final wrap

    54 min
  3. Should Farmers Hedge Canola at $760?

    May 26

    Should Farmers Hedge Canola at $760?

    Canola prices, wheat hedging, late seeding risk, feed barley, oats, diesel, and weather market pressure are all on the table in this Tuesday Cuppa Coffee livestream from What the Future’s Podcast. Ryan is joined by Quinton from JGL to talk through what farmers across the Prairies are watching right now, including canola hedge targets, wheat basis, seasonal market pressure, late planting concerns, export strength, and why weather may matter more than war headlines for grain and oilseed markets this week. Sponsored by UPL. ⏰ Timestamps 00:00 UPL Wave + fertilizer shock 00:48 Canola hedge target near $760 01:26 Wheat rally + hedge strategy 02:18 Barley, oats + diesel update 04:18 Weather risk, war headlines + late seeding 07:43 Quinton from JGL joins 09:45 Marketing decisions + seasonal highs 15:18 Options, downside protection + crop uncertainty

    21 min

  4. May 22

    Delayed Seeding: Canola Rally or Trap?

    Delayed seeding in Western Canada, canola prices near recent highs, spring wheat drought risk, barley bids, and 2026 crop marketing strategy are all on the table in this episode of What the Futures Podcast. Ryan Denis is joined by Brian Comeault of Ireland Comeault Lafoy / Canadian Ag Markets to break down what Prairie seeding delays could mean for canola, why canola puts may be worth a look, how U.S. wheat conditions could shape spring wheat, and what farmers should be watching before the next major market move. Guest: Brian Comeault, Canadian Ag Markets / Ireland Comeault Lafoy Links mentioned: Ryan’s email list: https://www.ryandenis.ca What the Futures Podcast: https://www.whatthefuturespodcast.ca Canadian Ag Markets YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CanadianAgMarkets Ireland Comeault Lafoy: https://www.irelandcomeaultlafoy.com Canadian Ag Markets trial/subscription info: https://buy.stripe.com/bJe28r0A9cLg81r8ni6Vq05 Harvest Profit: https://www.harvestprofit.com John Deere Operations Center: https://www.deere.ca/en/technology-products/precision-ag-technology/operations-center/ UPL WAVE Biostimulant: https://www.uplcorp.com/ca/product-details/wave-biostimulant Email Ryan for futures updates: ryan@whatthefuturespodcast.ca Timestamps: 00:00 Seeding delays, canola, and wheat market setup 00:44 UPL WAVE and sponsor intro 01:30 Fertilizer market episode mention 02:20 Ryan’s seeding update and safety reminder 07:40 Brian Comeault joins 08:08 Prairie seeding delays and canola impact 10:14 Three drivers behind canola strength 14:33 2022 planting-delay comparison 17:06 Marketing differently in 2026 18:16 Canola risk tools and put options 25:12 U.S. wheat conditions and Kansas wheat tour 27:01 Spring wheat, drought risk, and 2017 comparison 31:16 Barley bids and export strength 32:22 Acreage shifts from delayed seeding 38:38 Ryan’s market update 40:40 Eating Your Veggies: targets, yield checks, puts 43:09 Planting playlist and final CTA #Canola #CropMarketing #WheatMarkets

    45 min
  5. Fertilizer Market Warning 2027: Trouble Is Building

    May 19

    Fertilizer Market Warning 2027: Trouble Is Building

    Fertilizer prices, phosphate supply, and 2027 crop planning are already becoming major questions for farmers. In this Tuesday Cuppa Coffee livestream from What the Future’s Podcast, Ryan Denis is joined by Josh Linville of StoneX to break down the fertilizer market, including phosphate, potash, urea, China, the Strait of Hormuz, and whether farmers should lock in fall fertilizer or keep waiting. Josh explains why North America made it through spring 2026 better than some feared, why global fertilizer supplies are still tight, and what could cause phosphate prices to finally break lower. Ryan also covers canola, wheat, soybeans, oats, Prairie seeding delays, U.S. planting progress, and why farmers may need to “play financial defense” while markets are offering stronger pricing opportunities. Links mentioned: UPL WAVE Biostimulant: https://www.uplcorp.com/ca/product-details/wave-biostimulant What the Future’s Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@whatthefutures/videos ⏰ Timestamps 00:00 Intro + markets update 01:20 Prairie planting delays discussion 03:00 US crop conditions + wheat concerns 04:20 Josh Linville joins the show 05:10 Why fertilizer shortages haven’t happened yet 07:00 Are fertilizer fears overblown? 08:40 Australia fertilizer concerns explained 10:15 Super El Niño debate 11:05 Current state of fertilizer markets 13:10 Why phosphate prices remain high 15:10 China + Strait of Hormuz risks 16:20 Why farmers are sitting on their hands 17:10 White House fertilizer announcements 18:40 “I wanna be boring again” moment 19:20 Will planting delays rally grain markets? 20:00 Ryan’s grain marketing advice for farmers #FertilizerMarket #GrainMarkets #WhatTheFutures Listen to the show on the go. https://open.spotify.com/show/3xz7OvO7P0WDW8mAx25L1y?si=bd51356530834599 https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/what-the-futures/id1715185428 ‍ Follow on Instagram and X for more market insights. https://www.instagram.com/whatthefuturespod/ https://x.com/wtfuturespod Email Ryan: ryan@whatthefuturespodcast.ca What the Futures Podcast Website: https://www. whatthefuturespodcast.ca Thanks to our Sponsors John Deere https://operationscenter.deere.com/ UPL https://www.uplcorp.com/ BrettYoung https://brettyoung.ca/ #FertilizerMarket #GrainMarkets #WhatTheFutures

    21 min

  6. May 15

    Protecting the LAST 70% & Why our Merchant Friends LOVE rallies!

    In Episode 122 of the What the Futures podcast, Ryan reviews a volatile week in prairie crop markets after a USDA-driven spike and explains how grain companies often widen or protect basis during rallies, creating large price discrepancies between nearby elevators. He urges farmers to focus on execution during seeding-season market spikes, emphasizing that rallies can materially improve farm profitability and should be evaluated and protected. Using real examples (e.g., Killam vs. Daysland, Alberta; Aberdeen vs. Melfort, Saskatchewan), he compares wheat bids and breaks down futures, currency, and basis to show differences of roughly 50+ cents per bushel. Ryan discusses strategies to manage the remaining unsold crop without high buyout risk, including put options, structured floors with upside, and averaging-type contracts, and encourages active price discovery across buyers. 00:00 USDA Spike Setup 01:30 Short Sweet Focus 02:39 Merchandisers Love Rallies 04:16 This Week Market Recap 05:40 Profitability Wake Up Call 15:47 Execution After Spikes 17:53 How Farms Sell Rallies 21:43 Act Of God Reality 22:29 Protect The Remaining 70 25:02 Elevator Price Math 31:16 Risk Tools And Options 35:54 Eating Your Veggies

    38 min

  7. May 12

    Did You Miss the Wheat Rally? WASDE & Drought Watch

    Ryan Denis is joined by Allison Thompson of The Money Farm to break down the latest USDA WASDE report expectations, wheat market rally potential, 2012-style drought comparisons, and the biggest crop marketing strategies farmers need right now. From wheat, corn, soybeans, barley hedging strategies, and weather risk, this episode covers critical insights for producers navigating volatile grain markets in 2026. Topics Covered: - USDA WASDE new crop outlook - Wheat rally opportunities - US drought map vs 2012 - Spring wheat & winter wheat risks - Barley downside protection - Corn and soybean options strategies - Farmer crop marketing plans Guest: Allison Thomson – The Money Farm Sponsored by: UPL – Wave Biostimulant & Telaron Fungicide Timestamps: 00:00 Market headlines + sponsor 03:20 Allison Thomson joins 05:20 Winter wheat crop concerns 07:40 Drought map analysis + 2012 comparison 11:00 Crop hedging strategies 13:00 Feed barley downside protection 17:30 Have farmers missed the wheat rally? 19:40 USDA WASDE preview 22:40 Final farmer marketing strategy Chapters (00:00:00) - Market headlines + sponsor(00:03:20) - Allison Thomson joins(00:05:20) - Winter wheat crop concerns(00:07:40) - Drought map analysis + 2012 comparison(00:11:00) - Crop hedging strategies(00:13:00) - Feed barley downside protection(00:17:30) - Have farmers missed the wheat rally?(00:19:40) - USDA WASDE preview 22:40 Final farmer marketing strategy

    24 min

  8. May 8

    Cattle Markets at All-Time Highs & Tractor Cab Math

    Episode 121 of the What the Futures Podcast features Ryan Copithorne (Cows in Control) on cattle markets sitting at all-time highs, including why pricing is strong, what bearish risks to watch, and practical risk management ideas like forward selling, livestock price insurance, and hedging, plus details on his June 18 event in Madden, Alberta. Ryan also discusses farm community challenges, flooding and road washouts delaying seeding on the Denis farm, and emphasizes “tractor cab math” to compare today’s grain prices to budgets and lock in margins. Tyler Yaremchuk (Nation Network) joins to recap the NHL playoffs, discuss Oilers roster needs, and react to the draft lottery chaos with the Maple Leafs landing the No. 1 pick. The episode closes with “eating your veggies” marketing tips and a song pick for the planting playlist. 00:00 Welcome and lineup 01:06 UPL Wave and subscribe 01:58 Hat contest and crisis line 04:31 Heavy weeks and community 12:08 Cattle markets with Ryan 32:42 Tractor cab math setup 38:21 Oilers Season Letdown 55:06 Eating Your Veggies Risk Plan 58:46 Planting Playlist And Wrap

    1h 1m
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About

Do you ever have a moment on the farm, where you look around and wonder what the ... is going on? Dive into the market factors impacting Western Canadian agriculture every week with Ryan Denis. With over a decade of experience advising farmers on crop and business decisions, Ryan will tackle the tough selling and buying decisions that each farm faces. This is the podcast for farmers in Western Canada!

Information

  • Creator
    Ryan Denis
  • Years Active
    2023 - 2026
  • Episodes
    100
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © 2023
  • Show Website
    What the Futures!

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