Kontrarian Korner

Ben Kelleran

Conversations on Investments, Finance, Macroeconomics, and Current Events https://www.kontrariankorner.com www.kontrariankorner.com

  1. Kontrarian Korner #125 - Jesse Felder

    3d ago

    Kontrarian Korner #125 - Jesse Felder

    Yesterday I had Jesse Felder back on the podcast. We covered his outlook for AI and data centers, including a couple stories that are similar to the old shoeshine boy story. He also laid out some of the problems he sees in private equity and private credit, along with real estate. We wrapped things up by talking about what is going on in the commodities space, and why he favors energy right now despite the recent price action. If you’re looking for a conversation that covers the different asset classes across financial markets, this one’s for you. You can find Jesse at his website, The Felder Report, and on Twitter and Bluesky. Podcast Summary * The AI and data center frenzy that has built up and the shoeshine boy stories from recent weeks. * Why the AI models are going to be commodities, and the potential changes to locally hosted models. * The cockroaches in private equity and private credit, and why he thinks we could be seeing the beginning of the credit cycle. * The layers of leverage in the system, including leveraged ETFs and increases in margin debt. * The potential policy response from the Fed and the Treasury, and what it means for interest rates. * Why the inflation story is baked into the cake and related to more than just energy costs. * The issues in the real estate market, and why he doesn’t think it’s as frothy as other asset classes. * The relationship between capital and labor, and why he thinks that will change in the next crisis. * Why there are opportunities in the energy sector despite the recent selloff in oil. * Other opportunities in the commodities space, including precious metals. * Book Recommendations: The Great Demographic Reversal and The Unanchored Central Banker by Charles Goodheart and Manoj Pradhan. Kontrarian Korner is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.kontrariankorner.com/subscribe

    58 min
  2. Kontrarian Korner #123 - Cameron Macgregor

    Jun 22

    Kontrarian Korner #123 - Cameron Macgregor

    On Friday I had Cameron Macgregor on the podcast for the first time. We had a great conversation about recent events in the Middle East, the genesis of the conflict, and the system of influence over foreign policy that is breaking down. We also talked about Europe, financial markets, and the various problems facing Western society. We will be doing a follow up conversation soon, and I’m already looking forward to it. You can find Cameron on YouTube, Substack, and Instagram. Podcast Summary * The genesis of the conflict in the Middle East, and the influence of the Zionist lobby on US foreign policy. * A shifting Overton Window among the broader population and how it contrasts with the Zionist influence on our political class. * Why he sees a succession to the current system on the horizon, and why the new sovereign will look different. * The cultural rot in the system and why it doesn’t work anymore. * His view on inflation, the Fed and the Treasury, and the future for gold and bitcoin. * The changes in the market over the last several decades and the divergence between paper markets and physical markets. * Why he doesn’t think a CBDC would be successful in the US. * His thoughts on Europe, and why they are in dire straits politically and economically. * How group identity and ethnos shapes a culture and the social contract. * Why he sees a mass movement coming soon, and the costs of the demographic changes. * How the lack of elite turnover has prevented Trump from implementing pieces of his agenda, including remigration. * Why the lack of unique sovereignty makes the social contract invalid. * Book Recommendations: The Rise and Fall of American Growth by Robert Gordon, End Times by Peter Turchin, The Crowd by Gustav Le Bon & Grapes of Wrath by John Steinbeck. Kontrarian Korner is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.kontrariankorner.com/subscribe

    1h 18m
4.3
out of 5
20 Ratings

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Conversations on Investments, Finance, Macroeconomics, and Current Events https://www.kontrariankorner.com www.kontrariankorner.com

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