Lead-Lag Live Michael A. Gayed, CFA

Embark on a thrilling exploration of the financial world's ebbs and flows with Michael Howell, a luminary in the realm of global liquidity. Prepare to dissect the monumental role liquidity shifts play in the markets, the intriguing monetary dances of central banks, and the subtle maneuvers that have the power to send shockwaves through your personal finances. From the Federal Reserve's ledger balancing acts to China's post-festive resurgence, Howell and I lay out how financial titans' strategic moves ripple through economies and touch the common investor.

As we journey through the intricacies of Japan's influence on global cash flow, the allure of gold in a fluctuating interest rate landscape, and the head-to-head of traditional havens against digital currencies, you'll gain a new appreciation for the delicate balance of international finance. This episode peels back the layers of market sentiments, revealing the surprising resilience of gold, the dance of inflation, and the emerging narrative of a commodities renaissance that echoes the bygone '70s. All this while pondering the potential upheavals that a surge in oil prices could unleash upon an already tense global stage.

Finally, join us as we navigate the often-misunderstood signals of economic health—the yield curve and credit spreads—and their real-world implications on job data and your pocketbook. We tackle the conundrum of a strong US dollar, the shadows of currency manipulation, and the specter of fiscal alliances that could redefine global economic alliances. As we unveil the state of global liquidity and the forces that could pivot the financial markets, our discussion will arm you with insights to understand the waves you surf in the vast ocean of global economics.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Unlock the secrets to financial sovereignty with Lisa Hough, a beacon in the realm of Bitcoin and personal empowerment. As a colleague of Caitlin Long at Custodia, Lisa brings her wealth of experience from the trenches of energy trading and a firm belief in the revolutionary potential of self-custody. This episode is not just a journey through Lisa's impressive career from Unchained Capital to Salomon Brothers and Enron, but a masterclass in harnessing the volatility of the energy sector for financial independence. Her advocacy for energy maximalism is a clarion call for anyone yearning to break free from traditional financial constraints and make bold, confident decisions about their economic future.

As the conversation steers towards the broader impact of Bitcoin, you'll be thrust into the heart of global economics and media narratives that shape the perception—and reality—of cryptocurrencies. We grapple with Bitcoin's role in reshaping global reserve currencies, the advent of AI in transactions, and the contentious debate surrounding Bitcoin ETFs and market behavior. Furthermore, the dialogue shifts to the vital inclusion of Bitcoin education within academic curricula, sharing personal vignettes and the triumphs of thought leaders who are paving the way for a financially literate generation. This episode is an essential listen for those intrigued by the intersection of finance, technology, and education, offering both an informative and provocative perspective on the future of money.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Join the conversation with the acclaimed Hal Brands, historian and strategist, as we navigate through the labyrinth of geopolitical shifts that are forging new narratives in world affairs. Our engaging dialogue traverses the precipice of global economic uncertainty, sparked by events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict in Ukraine, and the simmering tensions across the Middle East. Brands' expertise shines as he dissects the concept of mutually assured economic destruction, particularly spotlighting the precarious US-China relationship. By extrapolating insights from his book "Danger Zone," we also scrutinize the shadow of conflict that looms over these superpowers.

Strap in as we dissect the emerging alliances that are redrawing the geopolitical map in Eurasia, where powers like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea are crafting a new world order through strategic partnerships. The intricate web of military and economic exchanges is laid bare, revealing a burgeoning alliance system that stands to challenge the existing US-centric global structure. We pay close attention to the pivotal role of Western military assistance in Ukraine, weighing the global support against internal American sentiment and the surprising outcomes that have arisen since the conflict's inception.

Finally, we cast an analytical eye on the American political landscape and the hurdles that face US aid to Ukraine. The intricacies of Capitol Hill politics are dissected, revealing the complexities behind aid allocations and the unexpected beneficiaries within the US military-industrial complex. The delicate dance of global oil prices and their influence on domestic politics, coupled with the cautious stance of the US and EU on Russian energy sanctions, are examined through a geopolitical lens. Brands and I conclude by envisaging the potential foreign policy pivots in a future US administration, pondering the strategic moves that could reshape US-China relations and the broader global economic fabric.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Unlock the secrets of macro trading with trading maestro Jonathan Matthews, as he shares the wisdom gleaned from his illustrious career at Brevin Howard. I'm your host, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and in this episode, we delve into Jonathan's transition from handling equity derivatives and FX to revolutionizing the way retail subscribers view the markets with his 'Super Macro' analysis. Our exchange is sprinkled with tales of volatility and the rare, golden moments that define a trader's journey, offering you a front-row seat to the thought processes of an industry veteran.

The Fed's recent mixed messages have traders and analysts alike scratching their heads—what's their endgame? Jonathan and I dissect this bewilderment, contemplating the interplay between economic signals, such as the soaring core PCE inflation rate, and the silent response from the Fed. We examine the peculiar timing of rate cut speculations considering global financial uncertainties and the upcoming U.S. election, giving listeners an edge in understanding these cryptic strategies.

To cap off, we probe the U.S. economy's surprising resilience to the Fed’s rate hikes and what this means for inflation control efforts. The conversation transitions to the broader market, where we discuss vulnerabilities and the capacity for potential deleveraging events, contrasting current market conditions with those in the run-up to the 2008 crisis. Plus, we shine a light on the curious case of precious metals amidst a skeptical market. Join us for a session packed with expertise to help you navigate the tumultuous waters of finance.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Unlock the secrets of the energy market with the astute insight of Amena Bakr from Energy Intelligence Group. Our conversation journeys through Amena's transition from a journalism background into becoming a vital voice on energy trends, focusing on the delicate interplay of oil prices and Gulf economies. We dissect the roadmap these nations traverse, balancing economic diversification with maintaining oil prices that fuel their development ambitions while steering clear of demand destruction. Amena's profound knowledge brings to light the intricate dynamics of the Middle East's energy landscape, providing a rare glimpse into the strategies employed by countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE to secure their economic future.

Imagine a world where global economic uncertainties and geopolitical chess moves set the stage for an unpredictable energy market. This episode paints a vivid picture of the current geopolitical risks, including the curious case of how major events once capable of causing oil price shocks now barely ripple through the market. We discuss potential oil price spikes tied to conflicts in the Middle East, OPEC's delicate dance to manage market expectations, and the looming question of whether technology and AI could redefine our understanding of the energy sector. With Amena's invaluable expertise, we scrutinize the shifting landscapes that investors and policymakers must navigate.

Journey with us as we wrap up our dynamic discussion with a peek into Amena's meticulous process of energy analysis and research. We share resources for those hungry to dive deeper into the energy sector, spotlighting where to access Amena's comprehensive reports and the latest updates. This episode goes beyond the surface, offering a powerful synthesis of the complexities that shape the global energy narrative. 

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Unlock the secrets of weathering financial storms with PNC's Chief Investment Officer, Amanda Agati, as she delivers an enlightening perspective on investment strategies for the modern market. In our enthralling conversation, Amanda dissects the complexities of post-pandemic finance, where old certainties have crumbled, and the wisdom of maintaining diversified portfolios has never been more critical. From the poetic market sentiment echoed by the Rolling Stones to the perplexing behavior of credit spreads and small caps, we're peeling back the layers of today's economic conundrums.

Tune in for a rare glimpse into the Federal Reserve's chess game with interest rates and inflation, as Amanda Agati breaks down the current state of play. She explains why the Fed might hold off on dramatic moves, despite the hovering specter of persistent inflation in the energy and service sectors. Furthermore, Amanda challenges the notion that moderate inflation is a market malaise, suggesting that it might actually fuel the fire of earnings growth and valuation expansion. We also ponder the repercussions of a slight rate reduction by the Fed and the importance of managing the market's emotional tide over time.

As we wrap up, the conversation shifts to the lopsided landscape of the stock market and the potential for a resurgence among the overlooked majority of S&P 500 companies. Amanda shares her aspiration for a more broad-based market rally and the sparks that could ignite such a shift. Finally, we turn our eyes to the horizon, where AI looms large with its promise to revolutionize productivity and economic growth. We spotlight companies like NVIDIA that are at the vanguard of this transformative wave and close with pointers on how to keep abreast of emerging trends that could redefine our financial future.

Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. 

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.
 Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show