269 episodes

Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau, partners at Validea Capital Management. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics, including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing and behavioral finance, and talk to interesting guests with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors.

Excess Returns Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau

    • Business
    • 4.9 • 47 Ratings

Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau, partners at Validea Capital Management. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics, including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing and behavioral finance, and talk to interesting guests with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors.

    Evaluating the Macro Landscape and Finding Great Companies with Jeff Muhlenkamp

    Evaluating the Macro Landscape and Finding Great Companies with Jeff Muhlenkamp

    In this episode of Excess Returns, we speak with Jeff Muhlenkamp, portfolio manager at Muhlenkamp and Company. We discuss Jeff's views on inflation, the likelihood of a recession, and the possibility of another financial crisis. We also take a in depth look at his investment process, which focuses on finding good companies with strong growth, profitability, and financial strength. He also discussed the importance of understanding management incentives and how he incorporates macroeconomic factors into his investment decisions.



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    • 1 hr 8 min
    Navigating the Islands of Macro with Andy Constan

    Navigating the Islands of Macro with Andy Constan

    In this episode we are joined by Andy Constan, founder of Damped Spring Advisors. We discuss his outlook on the current economic landscape, why he left "higher for longer" island, inflation, the Fed's actions, the bond market, and the influence of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a lot more. He also shares his views on defining alpha and beta in investing, and how he constructs portfolios to generate long-term returns. Finally, Andy expresses his biggest concerns and reasons for optimism looking out over the next 12-18 months.

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    • 1 hr
    The Case for Value Investing with Tobias Carlisle

    The Case for Value Investing with Tobias Carlisle

    David Einhorn recently said that he thinks fundamental investing is broken. If he is right, there would certainly be significant long-term implications for value investing. We explored Einhorn's case in several of our episodes and so we thought it was time we explored the other side of the argument and looked at the long-term case for value. And we couldn't think of anyone better to do that with than our good friend Tobias Carlisle. In this episode, we talk to Toby about the struggles of value and why he thinks they present a significant opportunity to long-term investors. We also discuss inflation, AI, what Berkshire will look like after Buffett and a lot more.


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    • 1 hr 5 min
    Value Investing, Inflation and Expected Returns with Rob Arnott

    Value Investing, Inflation and Expected Returns with Rob Arnott

    In this episode, Research Affiliates founder Rob Arnott returns for his third appearance on Excess Returns. We cover a wide range of topics, including inflation, the struggles of value investing, expected future returns, avoiding value traps, AI and a lot more. Stay tuned until the end when we ask Rob what he is most worried and optimistic about when he looks to the future.

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    • 58 min
    The AI Bubble Thesis with Doug Clinton

    The AI Bubble Thesis with Doug Clinton

    AI stocks have seen a big run recently. This has led many fundamental-based investors to suggest that things have gotten ahead of themselves. Some have even suggested AI is already in a bubble. But what if we are still in the early innings? What if a bubble is just getting started that could eventually exceed the dotcom bubble? Those are the questions we tackle this week with Deepwater's Doug Clinton. Doug wrote a thought-provoking tweet in which he suggested that studying past tech booms suggests that this one might only be getting started. We dig into that idea with Doug. We also discuss the unique AI driven stock picking strategies he has been running, what AI might mean for the future of investing and a lot more.

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    • 59 min
    Inflation, Bank Failures, Bubbles and Other Lessons from Financial History with Mark Higgins

    Inflation, Bank Failures, Bubbles and Other Lessons from Financial History with Mark Higgins

    There have been many significant events in the economy and stock market over the past several years. We have had inflation. We have had bank failures. We have had a pandemic. We have even had a potential bubble developing in the AI space. Despite their differences, there is one thing that all of these events have in common - all of them have happened before. And studying that history can allow us to better understand them and what they mean for the market and the economy. This week we are joined by the perfect person to help us do that. We speak with Mark Higgins, author of "Investing in U.S. Financial History: Understanding the Past to Forecast the Future." We discuss what all of us can learn from financial history and how we can apply that knowledge to become better investors.


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    • 54 min

Customer Reviews

4.9 out of 5
47 Ratings

47 Ratings

Ryan Krueger ,

World class hosts

Deep dive research + authentic curiosity = hard to beat

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My New Favorite Pod!

Hosts are engaging experts that make concepts accessible to all audiences. My new favorite pod!

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Excess Returns Review

Continue to love these discussions and the educational value they provide. Very generous opportunities to learn more by writing a review to receive relevant books, which provide deeper dives into the topics discussed

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