Is Calgary Still a Good Place to Invest in Real Estate? Calgary real estate investors have had an incredible run. Properties that once sold for under $300,000 are now worth significantly more. Rents increased. Investors who bought several years ago benefited from cash flow, mortgage paydown and substantial appreciation. But that creates a different question in 2026: Does Calgary still make sense for someone buying today? In today's episode of the Canadian Real Estate Investing Morning Show, Wayne and Gabby answer a listener who already owns Calgary rental properties and wants to know whether they should buy more, continue holding what they own, or sell. Wayne's answer comes down to one important relationship: The rent-to-price ratio. Property values can continue increasing, but if rents are no longer high enough to support the cost of owning the property, the investment stops functioning as a profitable rental business. Don't Fall in Love With a Market Wayne starts with an important reminder. Being from Calgary is not a reason to invest in Calgary. Loving Calgary is not a reason to invest in Calgary. Having made money there previously is not automatically a reason to buy there again. Real estate investing decisions should be based on the numbers and fundamentals available today. Markets change. Strategies need to change with them. The Difference Between Holding and Buying Today This is one of the most important distinctions in the episode. Someone who bought a Calgary property five years ago may be in an excellent position today. They may have: A much smaller original mortgage Years of mortgage principal paydown Increased rents A large amount of equity Positive cash flow A substantial reserve fund That does not mean someone purchasing the exact same property today will get the same result. The existing owner and the new buyer are working with completely different numbers. The Calgary Investor Who Bought at $280,000 Wayne walks through a simplified example. Several years ago, an investor might have purchased a Calgary house for approximately: $280,000 At 20% down, that investor would have contributed approximately: $56,000 Their mortgage would have been around: $224,000 At the time, similar properties could potentially rent for approximately $1,700 to $1,900 per month depending on the property and neighbourhood. Interest rates were also dramatically lower. The property could cash flow. Then rents increased. And property values increased significantly. That investor may now be sitting on an asset worth well over $500,000 while still carrying a relatively small mortgage. That is an excellent position. Now Buy the Same Property in 2026 The problem is the next investor is not buying it for $280,000. They may be buying it for: $550,000 At 20% down: $110,000 Mortgage: $440,000 Now add today's mortgage rate, property taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy and other operating expenses. The same rental income that produces great cash flow for the person who bought five years ago may produce negative cash flow for the buyer purchasing today. That is the problem. The Rent-to-Price Ratio Is Out of Balance Wayne describes the rent-to-price ratio as the relationship between: What the property costs and What the market will pay to rent it. Calgary property prices increased extremely quickly. Rents increased too. But eventually prices outpaced rents. And rents cannot simply keep increasing indefinitely because tenants still need to be able to afford them. Once purchase prices increase faster than rental income, cash flow begins disappearing. That is where Wayne believes Calgary is today for many residential rental properties. Appreciation Does Not Fix Bad Cash Flow Wayne believes Calgary property values can continue to increase over the long term. Residential real estate generally trends upward over long holding periods. But it does not move upward in a straight line. Interest rates change. Oil prices change. Inflation changes. Employment changes. Government policy changes. Immigration changes. Economic conditions change. Investors cannot reliably predict every short-term movement. That is why Wayne does not want to purchase a negative-cash-flow property simply because he believes it may appreciate. The business still needs to work. The $550,000 Example Wayne runs another simple example. Purchase price: $550,000 20% down: $110,000 Mortgage: $440,000 At approximately 4% over 30 years, the mortgage payment alone is around $2,100 per month. Then add approximately: $300+ per month in property taxes $150 or more in insurance Repairs Maintenance Vacancy Other expenses If the market rent is approximately $2,200 to $2,300, the numbers do not work. You are negative before even accounting for several real operating expenses. That is not the type of rental business Wayne wants to buy. Don't Follow the Headlines This is where investors can get confused. They see headlines saying: Calgary prices are increasing. Calgary is appreciating. Calgary is growing. Calgary remains desirable. Those things may all be true. But the important question for a rental-property investor is: Can I buy this property today and operate it profitably at today's price, today's rent and today's financing costs? If the answer is no, rising property values do not automatically make it a good investment. Wayne Is Still Holding His Calgary Properties Wayne makes an important distinction between buying more and selling what he already owns. He is not currently looking to buy more Calgary residential rental properties. But he is also not rushing to sell the Calgary properties he already owns. One example from his portfolio was purchased for approximately: $350,000 Today, Wayne estimates that property is worth around: $575,000 That represents roughly 65% appreciation over approximately five years. Even more interestingly, Wayne estimates the property increased from around $530,000 to $575,000 in the last year alone. That is approximately an 8.5% increase. The property still cash flows because Wayne's mortgage is based on the original purchase price, not today's value. Why Wayne Isn't Refinancing All That Equity That property now contains a significant amount of equity. So why not refinance it and pull the money out? Because increasing the mortgage could destroy the cash flow. Wayne's existing mortgage started at approximately $280,000 and has been paid down over time. Refinancing against today's $575,000 value would dramatically increase the debt and potentially eliminate the profitability of the rental business. So Wayne is comfortable allowing the equity to sit there. The property cash flows. It continues paying down debt. It has a healthy reserve. And it may continue appreciating. That is enough. Calgary Was an Incredible Opportunity Wayne is not saying Calgary was a bad investment. Quite the opposite. For investors who purchased the right properties before prices accelerated, Calgary created exceptional returns. Some properties appreciated 50%, 60% or more over several years. At the same time: Rents increased. Mortgages were paid down. Cash flow accumulated. That combination produced tremendous returns. The problem is that once everybody recognizes the opportunity, capital rushes in. Prices rise. Eventually the original opportunity disappears. The Opportunity Moves Wayne explains this as a pattern. A market has a strong rent-to-price ratio. Investors recognize it. Capital enters. Homebuyers enter. Prices increase. Eventually the rent-to-price ratio gets squeezed. Investors then start looking for the next market where rents still support the purchase prices. Wayne believes this is part of what happened as attention shifted from Calgary toward Edmonton. Edmonton then experienced substantial appreciation as more capital entered that market. Eventually another market may become the next opportunity. The investor's job is to recognize it before everybody else does. Wayne's Answer: Hold Calgary, But Be Careful Buying More For the listener who already owns successful Calgary rentals, Wayne's approach would generally be: Keep the profitable properties. Continue collecting cash flow. Continue paying down the mortgages. Let the equity grow. Be cautious about refinancing if it destroys the cash flow. And wait for the right time to eventually sell. But for someone looking to purchase a typical Calgary residential rental today, Wayne believes it is difficult to find properties that meet the investment fundamentals he teaches. There may still be specific opportunities. But they are much harder to find. The Main Lesson Do not ask: "Are Calgary prices going up?" Ask: "Does this rental property make sense at today's price?" Understand: Purchase price Market rent Financing Property taxes Insurance Repairs Maintenance Vacancy Cash flow Then determine whether the property meets your investment criteria. The goal is not to predict which city will increase the most next year. The goal is to buy a rental business capable of surviving for the next 20 years. Coming Tomorrow A listener asked another important question during today's live show: What do you look for when deciding whether to invest in a new city? Wayne and Gabby plan to tackle that question on tomorrow's Morning Show. REIcon – The Summit Series REIcon takes place in Edmonton this weekend: September 11–13, 2026 Wayne and Gabby will be there Friday and Saturday. The Canadian Real Estate Investing Morning Show will broadcast live on stage Saturday morning. Wayne will also be teaching due diligence and pre-purchase analysis. Get your tickets at: www.reiconference.ca Use discount code: REIMASTERS15 for 15% off. REI Masters Mentorship Work directly with Wayne and Gabby on acquisitions, market selection, financing, deal analysis, joint ventures, property manag