Automotive State of The Union

Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier don’t just read headlines, they make the most important connections across car dealerships, general retail, tech, and culture. The goal? To help automotive leaders think clearer and move faster in a world that refuses to slow down. Whether you’re running a rooftop, building a brand, or just trying to keep up with everything shifting in the business of selling cars, this is your regular stop for a shot of news, insight, and a little bit of chaos…always rooted in people-first thinking.  From the showroom to Silicon Valley.  From Wall Street to Main Street. Paul and Kyle connect the dots, keep it real, and make it make sense. Learn more at https://www.asotu.com

  1. 1d ago

    Pickup Truck Roundup: Mitsubishi, UAW Strike, Robins Fly Away

    Shoot us a Text. Episode #1359: Mitsubishi is jumping back into the pickup market with help from Nissan, a supplier strike threatens GM’s truck production at a critical moment, and the internet-famous F-250 robins have finally left the nest, clearing the way for one very patient delivery. Show Notes with links: Mitsubishi is heading back into the U.S. pickup truck market for the first time in nearly two decades, teaming up with Nissan on a midsize truck while also reviving the iconic Pajero/Montero SUV.Mitsubishi will launch a U.S.-built midsize pickup sourced from Nissan, likely tied to the next-generation Frontier platform expected later this decade.The truck marks Mitsubishi’s return to the segment after discontinuing the Raider pickup following the 2010 model year.The strategy is part of a three-step U.S. revival plan: expand off-road offerings, enter new segments through Nissan partnerships, and grow the dealer network with urban satellite stores.Mitsubishi is also reviving the Pajero (Montero) SUV this fall, building it on the Triton pickup platform and creating an entire family of Pajero-branded vehicles.“We will prioritize restoring profitability and work to turn the business around through brand strengthening and product strategies.” — Mitsubishi President Keisuke Sugiura A labor dispute at American Axle is putting pressure on one of GM’s most important profit centers. Nearly 1,000 UAW workers have walked off the job, threatening the supply of axles used in Silverado, Sierra, Colorado, and Canyon pickups just as GM ramps up truck production.UAW members at American Axle’s Three Rivers, Michigan plant began striking after contract talks broke down over wages and mandatory overtime.Workers say they are still living with wage cuts accepted during the 2008 financial crisis, with many production employees topping out around $22 per hour despite years of strong supplier profits.The plant produces critical axles for GM’s full-size and midsize pickups, giving the strike potential to impact some of the automaker’s most profitable vehicles.Timing is especially challenging for GM as it looks to capitalize on Ford’s pickup production constraints and growing competition from Ram, whose truck sales are up 23% this year.“For 18 years, these members have built you an empire of profit, while getting treated like dirt.” — UAW President Shawn Fain. Remember the F-250 that became a federally protected bird sanctuary? The robins have officially left the nest, the truck can finally head to its new owner, and the dealership's unexpected wildlife story turned into an international feel-good headline.Lugnut, Axle, Diesel and Turbo officially flew away last week, ending a month-long delivery delay for the customer’s F-250.What started as a quirky dealership story ended up earning coverage from The New York Times, People, The Guardian, Automotive News and even Ford's corporate media channels.Olathe Ford-Lincoln leaned into the moment, giving the birds names, posting updates, and turning a routine vehicle delivery into a viral community story.The customer, a construction company, never pressured the dealership and agreed to let nature take its course before taking delivery.“The new owners said they were in no hurry to get the truck and the robins could finish raising their family.” — Diane Johnson, Executive Director, Operation WildLife.Join Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast  as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry. Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

    9 min
  2. 4d ago

    Honda Aims For 10% Market Share, Ford’s Energy Business, Target’s Cleaner Bathrooms

    Shoot us a Text. Episode #1357: Honda rides hybrid momentum toward bigger market share, Ford gets an AI-fueled stock boost from repurposed EV batteries, and Target bets family-friendly upgrades will drive customer loyalty. Show Notes with links: Honda says it’s aiming for more than 9% U.S. market share in 2026 and thinks 10% is within reach as hybrids continue to surge. With gas prices climbing and EV demand cooling, the company says its flexible production strategy is helping it stay ahead.Honda finished last year with 8.7% U.S. market share, hit 10% in April of this year and still expects to grow sales 4% this year to around 1.5 million vehicles.Hybrids made up nearly a third of Honda brand sales in Q1, and the company is ramping up production and marketing around Civic, Accord, CR-V, and Prelude hybrids.Despite tariff uncertainty, Honda says its North American manufacturing footprint protects it from major disruption with nearly 99% of vehicles built in-region.Honda says hybrids are now the sweet spot, expecting them to land in the “mid-to-low 30 percent range” of total sales this year as gas prices push more buyers away from pure ICE models. Ford stock is suddenly surging, not because of trucks, but because Wall Street is betting on Ford becoming an AI-era energy player. The company’s new Ford Energy division plans to repurpose EV batteries into massive storage systems for data centers and utilities.Ford stock jumped 28% in two weeks after launching Ford Energy with a $2 billion investment aimed at powering AI data centers and utilities.The business will repurpose excess EV battery capacity into stationary storage systems, putting Ford into competition with Tesla and LG Energy Solutions.Investors are especially bullish on Ford’s partnership with Chinese battery giant CATL, with one analyst valuing the new energy arm at up to $10 billion.Ford says it plans to deploy at least 20 gigawatt hours of battery storage annually, including a major supply agreement with energy company EDF starting in 2028.BNP Paribas analyst James Picariello summed up the shift saying: “It’s hard to find another comparison on the OEM side of things with the exception of Tesla.” Target is betting that winning over busy families doesn’t require flashy AI, it just requires cleaner bathrooms, smarter shopping carts, and fewer parenting headaches. The retailer says those small upgrades could create much bigger long-term customer loyalty.Target is investing $1 billion into customer experience upgrades, including 130+ store remodels focused on family-friendly improvements.New shopping carts feature larger cupholders, deeper child seats, and flat storage surfaces designed to make shopping easier for parents.The retailer says modernized bathrooms are a surprisingly important loyalty driver because “busy families” are now Target’s core growth audience.Executives admitted Target lost focus in recent years and are now doubling down on creating “the most delightful experience in retail” for younger families.Gartner analyst Halle Stern said the smaller upgrades matter more than flashy tech: “The minor changes are making this huge difference.”Join Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast  as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry. Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

    10 min
  3. 5d ago

    1 Million Missing Shoppers, Leasing Levels Out, The Premium Economy

    Shoot us a Text. Episode #1356: Today we unpack the million buyers who’ve quietly exited the new-car market, why off-lease inventory is finally rebounding (briefly), and how America’s new “premium economy” is changing the way consumers spend, travel and shop. Show Notes with links: A million Americans have quietly exited the new-car market and the shrinking pool of buyers is raising long-term concerns for dealers and OEMs alike.Analysts say roughly one million prospective buyers have defected from the new-car market since 2020 as average transaction prices hover near $50,000 and financing costs remain stubbornly high.Pre-pandemic U.S. sales regularly topped 17 million vehicles annually. Now the industry is bracing for about 16 million sales this year with little confidence the old highs will return anytime soon.Instead of chasing volume with discounts, automakers are leaning into profitable trucks and SUVs. Selling fewer vehicles at higher margins has become an unexpectedly comfortable business model for Detroit.“I don’t want to say automakers are OK with this level of sales, but they kind of are.” — Ivan Drury, Edmunds analystVolvo commercial chief Erik Severinson didn’t mince words: “This is a real threat to the whole industry… people are not able to buy new cars.” The off-lease floodgates are finally reopening… kind of. Nearly 500,000 more lease returns are expected to hit the used-car market this year, but analysts say the glory days of leasing still aren’t coming back anytime soon.Edmunds says off-lease volume is expected to jump nearly 26% year-over-year in 2026 with another 400,000 units expected in 2027 as the industry slowly recovers from the leasing collapse of the pandemic years.After 2027, off-lease inventory is expected to level off because leasing volumes never fully recovered after COVID-era shortages and rising prices.Leasing penetration peaked around 29% before COVID but cratered to just 18% in 2022 as inventory shortages and high prices crushed affordability. Even now, lease activity remains well below historic norms.Edmunds says the leasing slowdown is reshaping the used-car business because many mainstream vehicles no longer produce the steady stream of predictable off-lease inventory dealers once relied on.Ivan Drury: “Without a major shift in incentives toward leasing, we are likely to be stuck in this stifled state of leasing for the foreseeable future.” Forget the “K-shaped economy.” Some economists say America is now a “premium economy” where consumers can’t afford houses or retirement, but they can afford upgraded flights, better groceries and premium experiences.More Americans are entering the upper-middle class, but home ownership and retirement still feel out of reach for many younger consumers.The upper-middle class has grown from 10% of families in 1979 to 31% in 2024, according to research from the American Enterprise Institute.Instead of buying homes, consumers are spending on smaller “premium” upgrades like travel, concerts and nicer retail experiences. Delta and United captured more than 90% of airline profits last year while Spirit struggled.Walmart has become a major winner by improving stores, delivery and curbside pickup, pulling shoppers away from lower-cost competitors like Dollar General.Hilton CEO Chris Nassetta predicts the economy could eventually shift from “K-shaped” to “C-shaped” as lower inflation and AI-driven productivity help consumer spending “converge” and be more balanced across income levels.Join Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast  as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry. Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

    13 min
  4. 6d ago

    Dealer Optimism Improves, Volvo Cleared To Import China Tech, ChatGPT Creates Buying Intent

    Shoot us a Text. Episode #1355: Today we’re talking about dealers feeling cautiously optimistic despite economic pressure, Volvo dodging a major U.S. regulatory headache tied to its China ownership, and OpenAI quietly building what could become a serious challenger to Google’s ad business through conversational AI. Show Notes with links: Dealer optimism is creeping back up according to Cox Automotive’s Q2 Dealer Sentiment Index, especially around used cars. But underneath the positivity? Plenty of concern around the economy, politics, and affordability.Dealers rated current market conditions at a “slightly favorable” 53, with optimism for the next three months jumping to 57.Customer traffic showed a meaningful rebound, climbing from a weak 34 in Q1 to 43 in Q2. Still not back to 2025 levels, but enough movement to suggest shoppers are slowly re-entering the market.Dealers gave the used car market a 62 rating — the strongest since 2022 — with several stores reporting record grosses and fast-moving pre-owned inventory.The biggest drag on business? The economy. 54% of dealers said economic conditions are holding them back, while 43% pointed to the political climate.One Toyota dealer summed it up perfectly: “Still a high demand, but economic uncertainty is making people wary.” Volvo shares jumped after the automaker secured approval to continue importing and selling vehicles in the U.S., easing fears that its Chinese ownership ties could create a major roadblock for future business stateside.Volvo stock climbed nearly 7% after the company announced it received “specific authorization” from U.S. regulators tied to China-connected vehicle restrictions, set to begin in model year 2027.The concern stemmed from Volvo’s majority owner, Geely, which controls nearly 79% of the company and had investors worried about future bans under new national security rules.Instead of restrictions, Volvo says talks with U.S. officials around governance, technology, and data security led to an approval with no added conditions — something analysts say was better than expected.Volvo continues investing heavily in the U.S., including plans to build two additional models at its South Carolina plant by 2030. OpenAI’s early advertising experiments are revealing something marketers are paying close attention to: ChatGPT can create buying intent during a conversation, not just respond to it. That could fundamentally change how digital ads work.Unlike Google Search ads built around keywords, ChatGPT ads are triggered by “conversational intent” — meaning the AI can infer what users may want even if they never search for it directly.Similarweb found that 46% of users who eventually saw an ad started the conversation with zero commercial intent. The chat itself gradually created the opportunity.Ads appear much later in conversations — sometimes 30 to 50 exchanges deep — making them feel more like recommendations than interruptions.OpenAI currently shows just one ad at a time inside chats, creating premium inventory that analysts estimate could command CPMs around $60 and CPCs near $12.Similarweb’s Heral Amir: “OpenAI has a chance to take advertising to a very good place from user experience, but they can also mess it up completely.”Join Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast  as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry. Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

    17 min
  5. May 26

    Mazda’s Identity Crisis, Ford’s F-150 Setback, Ferrari Goes Full EV

    Shoot us a Text. Episode #1354: Today we talk about Mazda trying to define what the brand actually stands for, Ford battling yet another F-150 production headache while inventory stays tight, and Ferrari shocking enthusiasts with a futuristic $640k EV designed alongside former Apple design legend Jony Ive. Show Notes with links: Mazda’s U.S. CEO says the brand’s biggest challenge isn’t product, pricing, or even tariffs—it’s clarity. As Mazda pushes toward 500,000 annual U.S. sales, Tom Donnelly says dealers will play the starring role in making the brand more distinctive and desirable.Mazda has hovered around 400,000 U.S. sales for two years and believes stronger brand identity is the path to 500,000 units.Dealers were challenged to rethink customer experience with shorter processes, stronger relationships, and what Mazda calls a more “sticky” ownership experience.Donnelly emphasized affordability as a major opportunity, noting Mazda’s average transaction price is around $39,000 compared to the industry average above $51,000.Tariffs, incentives, and shifting production have pressured profitability, but Mazda says strategic moves like shifting Mazda3 sedan production to Japan helped improve earnings.“If you walked out of this hotel and asked 10 people what Mazda stands for, you’d get 10 different answers. That is my keeps-me-up-at-night thing.” — Tom Donnelly, CEO of Mazda North American Operations. Ford finally started climbing out of its F-150 inventory hole after last year’s aluminum supplier fire… and then a broken hood die shut the line down again. The pause may only last a few days, but when you’re already 60,000 trucks behind, every hour matters.Ford paused F-150 production late last week after a hood die reportedly broke at a nearby stamping plant that forms the truck’s aluminum hood panels.The Dearborn plant was expected to sit idle Thursday night through at least Saturday, with Memorial Day potentially stretching the shutdown to four days.With two 10-hour shifts running daily, the downtime could cost Ford roughly 2,500 trucks at a time when inventory is already down more than 40% year-over-year.Ford is reportedly considering “super Saturday” or “super Sunday” shifts to claw back lost production and keep dealers supplied heading into summer truck season. Ferrari officially pulled the cover off its first fully electric vehicle, the Luce, and let’s just say… the internet has thoughts. Designed with former Apple design chief Jony Ive, the $640,000 EV swaps engine roar for amplified sound and tradition for experimentation.The Ferrari Luce is the brand’s first EV and first-ever five-seat Ferrari, using four electric motors to hit 0–60 in under 2.5 seconds with a top speed above 190 mph.Ferrari partnered with legendary Apple designer Jony Ive, creating a glass-heavy, ultra-minimal interior meant to feel more “analog” than tech gadget.Ferrari says range wasn’t the priority, with the Luce targeting about 330 miles despite its massive battery pack.Online reactions were… spicy. Many enthusiasts blasted the design for straying too far from Ferrari tradition, while Ferrari shares dropped roughly 6% after the reveal.“As a car becomes electric, it doesn’t mean that it needs to be a consumer electronics object.” — Ferrari Chairman John ElkannJoin Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast  as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry. Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

    15 min
  6. May 25

    Memorial Day Traffic and The Return of Big Incentives

    Shoot us a Text. Episode #1353: Memorial Day travelers are hitting the road in record numbers while automakers roll out massive incentives to move inventory. Show Notes with links: Memorial Day originated in the aftermath of the Civil War as "Decoration Day"—a time for communities to decorate the graves of fallen soldiers with flowers—and later evolved into a federal holiday honoring all American military personnel who have died in service.  An estimated 45 million Americans are packing up for Memorial Day weekend, and 87% of them are doing it the old-fashioned way: by car. Even with higher gas prices, travelers are choosing the road, the snacks, and the “are we there yet?” energy.AAA projects a record 45 million travelers will go 50+ miles from home, up 0.4% from last year.About 39.1 million people will travel by car, despite gas averaging $4.52 per gallon as of May 11.Air travel is also up slightly, with 3.66 million domestic flyers expected. Round-trip domestic tickets are averaging $800, down 6% year over year.Other transportation methods including buses, trains, and cruises are expected to grow 5.3%, helped by a strong Alaska cruise season.AAA Travel’s Stacey Barber said, “Despite higher fuel prices, many people are prioritizing leisure travel during holiday breaks.” New car shoppers heading into Memorial Day weekend are being greeted with something we haven’t seen much of lately: serious incentives. From EVs to pickups to hydrogen sedans, automakers are tossing thousands on the hood to clear inventory and spark demand.Hyundai is offering $7,500 off the 2025 Ioniq 6, nearly 19% of the car’s starting MSRP, as dealers work through leftover inventory.Chevy is putting up to $9,000 on the hood of the 2026 Silverado 1500, one of the biggest incentive percentages on the market at over 22%.Hyundai’s new three-row Ioniq 9 EV gets a $10,000 incentive as the automaker looks to boost slower-than-expected sales.Toyota may win the “please just take it” award with a staggering $35,000 incentive on the hydrogen-powered Mirai, plus 0% financing for 72 months.The story behind many of these incentives? Rising inventories, slower EV demand, and OEMs trying to move leftover or underperforming models before summer heats up.Join Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier every morning for the Automotive State of the Union podcast  as they connect the dots across car dealerships, retail trends, emerging tech like AI, and cultural shifts—bringing clarity, speed, and people-first insight to automotive leaders navigating a rapidly changing industry. Get the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/

    9 min
5
out of 5
31 Ratings

About

Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier don’t just read headlines, they make the most important connections across car dealerships, general retail, tech, and culture. The goal? To help automotive leaders think clearer and move faster in a world that refuses to slow down. Whether you’re running a rooftop, building a brand, or just trying to keep up with everything shifting in the business of selling cars, this is your regular stop for a shot of news, insight, and a little bit of chaos…always rooted in people-first thinking.  From the showroom to Silicon Valley.  From Wall Street to Main Street. Paul and Kyle connect the dots, keep it real, and make it make sense. Learn more at https://www.asotu.com

More From ASOTU Podcasts

You Might Also Like